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Author Topic:   Forum Group for "Hypothesis Testing"
Ben!
Member (Idle past 1419 days)
Posts: 1161
From: Hayward, CA
Joined: 10-14-2004


Message 1 of 8 (242708)
09-12-2005 6:24 PM


This stems from discussion from YEC approaches to empirical investigation .
I think EvC could use a place where highly structured investigation into developing hypotheses could be done. A place where the scientific method is not followed per say, but where empirical observations are attempted to be resolved with other ideas or data that is not scientific in any way.
By providing a place for YECs to investigate hypotheses, I want to promote the serious use of evidence, and the serious interaction of deducing predictions from premises and comparing those premises to known observations, by people who do not consider themselves scientists.
By providing a highly structured environment, I want to eliminate highly randomizing debate that involves:
1. Debating whether YECs are "doing science."
2. Debating whether the claims of the bible are "true" or not.
3. Debating whether or not a particular interpretation of the bible is justified or not.
There's places to discuss all those things. I want a special forum just for this, with very specific rules laid out. Here's a proposal on the rules:
1. All faith-based hypotheses must be stated up front in the OP. (no pulling a "well, God could have done XXX" random, unsupported-by-the-bible assertion to "work through" a problematic empirical observation). Allowing such assertions would completely undermine the "empirical" part of the enterprise. This also includes a statement of what type of interpretation of the bible (literal, etc) they're taking (rahvin's suggestion).
2. There will be NO discussion as to the truth or falsity of these premises. They are taken as GIVEN for the duration of the debate. All debate to that end should be taken to the "The Bible: Accuracy and Inerrancy" forum.
3. NO dodging evidence. Evidence that is presented must be dealt with directly. Any evidence that cannot be
4. NO stating of alternate theories. Alternate theories are not arguments against hypotheses, any more than the purported failure of evolution would be evidence for creation. Extract the relevant DATA from alternate theories, and present them.
5. An admin must be assigned to monitor one of these threads. These threads are really maintenance-heavy, as we have all seen. Somebody needs to be on top of keeping things on track, of being the ultimate arbitrator in disputes, and in keeping track of information (see below). I think a thread like this REQUIRES a "Great Debate"-esque handling by the admin team. I also anticipate that, since the demands on the YEC are great, there will not be too many threads being started here. And even if there are... to ease workload on the admin team, I'd say only keep one such thread active at a time, and keep any other threads waiting in PNT until any previous ones die out.
I also propose that any evidence that cannot be accounted for, and is "passed" on by the person developing a hypothesis, is tracked somehow. I'm not sure how we could do it. Maybe the admin in charge can keep a personal tally, or maybe the admin can keep track of it in their post 2 (traditionally only used for the message "Moved here from the PNT forum")

I understand that this may be outside of what Percy's looking for on this board; in fact I've read where he says he specifically isn't interested in such discussion. I think there are reasonable goals from Percy's perspective on why such a structured approach could work. Not the least of which is in trying to get YECs to use better methodology, and to be more aware of what their methodology is. Secondly, to provide a place where progress in a thread is guided by an admin, rather soley by the posters themselves. The posters simply have shown they can't handle keeping things productive on their own.
If this idea is accepted, I have an idea how to restructure the forums a bit to accommodate this idea and keep things relatively clean. But first things first. I'm looking for some admin feedback on whether or not this is a fruitful idea, or at least feedback on what I need to show you to convince you it could be fruitful.
This message has been edited by Ben, Monday, 2005/09/12 03:27 PM
This message has been edited by Ben, Monday, 2005/09/12 03:31 PM

Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by CK, posted 09-12-2005 6:31 PM Ben! has replied
 Message 4 by PaulK, posted 09-12-2005 6:42 PM Ben! has not replied
 Message 5 by TheLiteralist, posted 09-13-2005 1:52 AM Ben! has not replied

  
CK
Member (Idle past 4148 days)
Posts: 3221
Joined: 07-04-2004


Message 2 of 8 (242710)
09-12-2005 6:31 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by Ben!
09-12-2005 6:24 PM


And as I suggested in that thread - why not re-run an existing thread and see if your methodology would make any difference to the conduct of the people involved and the outcomes?
If that's not acceptable run a fresh topic under those rules.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Ben!, posted 09-12-2005 6:24 PM Ben! has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3 by Ben!, posted 09-12-2005 6:34 PM CK has not replied

  
Ben!
Member (Idle past 1419 days)
Posts: 1161
From: Hayward, CA
Joined: 10-14-2004


Message 3 of 8 (242711)
09-12-2005 6:34 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by CK
09-12-2005 6:31 PM


I'm up for that. Seems to me the thread IRH set up is about to run along those lines (it's just getting off the ground). Should we see how that goes? I'd be willing to work as the admin on that thread.
By the way, thanks for the reminder Charles. That's a good suggestion you made in the other thread, and I forgot to bring it over.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2 by CK, posted 09-12-2005 6:31 PM CK has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by TheLiteralist, posted 09-15-2005 5:34 AM Ben! has not replied

  
PaulK
Member
Posts: 17825
Joined: 01-10-2003
Member Rating: 2.2


Message 4 of 8 (242713)
09-12-2005 6:42 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by Ben!
09-12-2005 6:24 PM


The fundamental problem is that the typical YEC is caught in an apologetic mindset. They are not disposed to critically examining their views. They often don't even care to read and understand the critiques offered by other preferring to voice the first objection that comes to mind regardless of whether it actually address the point it is supposed to rebut.
I suppose it is possible that you might find a YEC who is prepared to discuss things rationally - but I don't think there's one currently on EvC (or many out there - not least because they aren't likely to stay as YECs)..

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 Message 1 by Ben!, posted 09-12-2005 6:24 PM Ben! has not replied

  
TheLiteralist
Inactive Member


Message 5 of 8 (242810)
09-13-2005 1:52 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Ben!
09-12-2005 6:24 PM


A model thread exists, maybe?
I recently threw out a "hypothesis" for the EvC forum members to critique. Interestingly, the members granted me many of the things you are asking for in this new proposed debate forum -- I was actually a little surprised by that.
I call attention, in particular, to the conversation between me and crashfrog starting in Message 152 and ending in Message 159.
--Jason

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 Message 1 by Ben!, posted 09-12-2005 6:24 PM Ben! has not replied

Replies to this message:
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CK
Member (Idle past 4148 days)
Posts: 3221
Joined: 07-04-2004


Message 6 of 8 (242816)
09-13-2005 3:12 AM
Reply to: Message 5 by TheLiteralist
09-13-2005 1:52 AM


Re: A model thread exists, maybe?
Actually I did suggest in the other thread where we discussed trying this that your OP would be what I consider a suitable "subject" for a test thread -

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by TheLiteralist, posted 09-13-2005 1:52 AM TheLiteralist has not replied

  
TheLiteralist
Inactive Member


Message 7 of 8 (243699)
09-15-2005 5:34 AM
Reply to: Message 3 by Ben!
09-12-2005 6:34 PM


stricter guidelines/ask for permission
Hi Ben,
After considering how some evolutionists and creationists can respond to each other, I have a couple of suggestions (no big deal if they are not used).
I would think that topics for such a forum should have stricter guidelines for acceptance -- i.e., it should be presented as a "hypothesis" or an idea submitted for analysis by the forum members. In other words, I've got an idea, now I'd like input from others -- even others with an opposing view point.
I also think that, perhaps, people wishing to participate in this new forum (should it be established) should be required to ask permission to participate in the forum (or perhaps even on a thread by thread basis).
So, one might lose priveleges in this forum, but not the others. It really seems like a forum where the normal tit-for-tat stuff doesn't belong, but that is very hard to prevent (on both sides).
Just some thoughts.
--Jason
AbE:
I see the way you've titled this thread, it could apply even to evolution-believing members who might have an idea about whatever and would like to see it discussed intelligently to see where the idea's strengths/weakenesses might be. But even in evo/evo discussions, there can be a lot of tit-for-tat style of discussion and severe topic-drift.
This message has been edited by TheLiteralist, 09-15-2005 05:37 AM
This message has been edited by TheLiteralist, 09-15-2005 05:41 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3 by Ben!, posted 09-12-2005 6:34 PM Ben! has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 8 by nwr, posted 09-15-2005 8:29 AM TheLiteralist has not replied

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 6409
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 8 of 8 (243738)
09-15-2005 8:29 AM
Reply to: Message 7 by TheLiteralist
09-15-2005 5:34 AM


Re: stricter guidelines/ask for permission
I would think that topics for such a forum should have stricter guidelines for acceptance -- i.e., it should be presented as a "hypothesis" or an idea submitted for analysis by the forum members. In other words, I've got an idea, now I'd like input from others -- even others with an opposing view point.
This seems reasonable to me. Based on experience so far, I suggest that when a thread is opened in the new forum, an accompanying comment thread be opened (perhaps in a different forum). I think that would help reduce the off-topic comments.
I also think that, perhaps, people wishing to participate in this new forum (should it be established) should be required to ask permission to participate in the forum (or perhaps even on a thread by thread basis).
I would suggest we wait for experience before deciding whether this is needed. I would be interested in first seeing whether a comment thread would be sufficient to allow the discussion to be kept reasonably clean.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by TheLiteralist, posted 09-15-2005 5:34 AM TheLiteralist has not replied

  
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