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Author Topic:   Nobel Prize vs Proof that the Death Penalty MUST kill innocents
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 106 of 236 (199197)
04-14-2005 9:01 AM
Reply to: Message 95 by crashfrog
04-13-2005 5:48 PM


The only way we know someone is guilty is as a tentative conclusion from finite evidence.
In some cases yes, in some cases no. There is a point where enough evidence has been collected that the only logically possible evidence that could occur to challenge an idea, involves practical absurdities.
You people are playing too much on the tentativity of science. Indeed, you just keep repeating the same things over and over again, despite explanations of wher it comes from, how it is used, and counterexamples.
Scientific methodology is used for a purpose, and investigates things which are not as clear as some cases of causation are. Especially at the gross level of human action.
Clearly the sort of mistake we're referring to is possible; we know that it is because we observe it happening.
Both short paragraphs add up to a strawman and an argument from ignorance.
You observe it in systems which have lower thresholds of information. It is like me judging that we can never have adequate justice systems by pointing out the mock courts of the spanish inquisition.
That you argue we cannot improve systems because of past errors is indeed an argument against science and what went into building our nation.
I don't see that it's relevant. It's not a dodge; I'm not interested in discussing it.
A court ruled on a basis of evidence that she was in fact brain damaged such that she was unlikely to recover, and that she had communicated a wish (at some place and time) not to live like that, and so ordered her killed.
I am trying to figure out how you and jar do not see the complete parallel between that and a court ruling on a basis of evidence that a person did something at some place and time.
Yeah I'll bet you guys don't want to discuss it. It's called a dodge.

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 95 by crashfrog, posted 04-13-2005 5:48 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 127 by crashfrog, posted 04-14-2005 11:15 AM Silent H has replied
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Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 107 of 236 (199201)
04-14-2005 9:15 AM
Reply to: Message 96 by crashfrog
04-13-2005 5:58 PM


The reason scientific conclusions are always tentative is because scientific reasoning is inherently fallacious. All science is based on induction, and the only way to validate induction is by induction.
You did the reading? Good then what is the connection between scientific theories and every day knowledge? Do you need a scientific theory to tie your shoes, to realize that it is your wife you are looking at?
Oh wait, that's right. You don't answer any question that might challenge your position such as the very direct point I made regarding the difference between PE and whether Gould wrote about PE in support of evolutionary theory.
You have conflated scientific theorizing past its intended borders and what's worse adopted creationist scientific methodology as a necessity to conflate metaphysical logical possibility to viable plausible theory.
But I guess you know that since you read everything.
In any case, yes you can still use induction. The rules are tighter and they can be matched in the real world for many things, objects of scientific discovery are usually not one of them.
They're not one-liners for you to ignore; they're succinct rebuttals of your position for you to address.
No really they are one liners. When I give you concrete examples to address, and you ignore them, then rethrow your original statement at me, they are nothing at all.
Which does your system deliver?Which does your system deliver?Which does your system deliver?Which does your system deliver?
Its called ad nauseum. It is a logical fallacy (look it up). It neither makes your case, and in general usually points to a failure (and even a self acknowledged failure) in your argument.
The fact that you refuse to answer simple and direct questions which are on topic, to throw glib choose this or this statements at me, is not really impressive.
Since we're not sure we can tell the difference, prudence dictates that we take the death penalty off the table.
You cannot tell if Dahmer killed anyone? You cannot tell if Gould published papers on PE in support of ToE? You cannot theorize a hypothetical situation where you actually have knowledge of a murder?
We can tell the difference. We have been able to tell the difference. Metaphysical tentativity is a possibility, but is useless in practice. That's what scientists discovered years and years ago. But I guess we can all close our eyes now and go to sleep.

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 96 by crashfrog, posted 04-13-2005 5:58 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 117 by nator, posted 04-14-2005 10:12 AM Silent H has not replied
 Message 120 by macaroniandcheese, posted 04-14-2005 10:29 AM Silent H has replied
 Message 126 by crashfrog, posted 04-14-2005 11:09 AM Silent H has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 108 of 236 (199204)
04-14-2005 9:18 AM
Reply to: Message 98 by nator
04-13-2005 7:51 PM


I love you, Crashfrog, with all my heart, for your magnificent participation in this thread.
If you ever wondered why fundies would come on and slap each other on the back over the most absurd statements regarding the nature of science and scientific theories, you now have special insight.
As for me, I still can't figure it out. What does it take to actively not answer a straightforward question, and simply repeat one's first position like a mantra?

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 98 by nator, posted 04-13-2005 7:51 PM nator has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 115 by Zhimbo, posted 04-14-2005 10:06 AM Silent H has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 109 of 236 (199206)
04-14-2005 9:21 AM
Reply to: Message 102 by tsig
04-14-2005 4:16 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
Where can we find one of these failure-proof systems?
Well we already have the start of one system. Jar finally admitted that some realities which have actually happened might allow him to execute a person.
For him it was that on top of all the evidence the "suspect" not only readily confesses, but actively wishes to have the death sentence imposed.
Is that a level of evidence you are willing to accept?

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 102 by tsig, posted 04-14-2005 4:16 AM tsig has not replied

Replies to this message:
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 Message 112 by Zhimbo, posted 04-14-2005 9:52 AM Silent H has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2195 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 110 of 236 (199209)
04-14-2005 9:36 AM
Reply to: Message 109 by Silent H
04-14-2005 9:21 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
quote:
For him it was that on top of all the evidence the "suspect" not only readily confesses, but actively wishes to have the death sentence imposed.
Is that a level of evidence you are willing to accept?
No.
If we later find out all of that evidence was wrong, we can't take back the death penalty.
Nothing is 100% proven, holmes, not even in science, and that is the sticking point we seem to have in this converstaion. As Gould says, even what we consider "facts" in science are accepted only provisionally, and I agree with that definition, while you, apparently, do not.
When someone's life is on the line, I don't think we should have mere "provisional acceptance". I believe we need much more, which I don't think is possible, since humans are not omnicient.
Show me how we can move beyond "provisional acceptance" of something as basic as a fact, as you seem to think that we can.
Now, you may be comfortable with this level of uncertainty. I am not.
This message has been edited by schrafinator, 04-14-2005 08:40 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 109 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 9:21 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 114 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 10:00 AM nator has replied

  
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6037 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 111 of 236 (199214)
04-14-2005 9:48 AM


What is "practical certainty"?
Holmes
Several times in this thread you've used the phrase "practical certainty".
What exactly is "practical certainty"? Is there a precise pre-existing definition, or is this your term...and if it's your term, what do you mean by it?

Replies to this message:
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Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6037 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 112 of 236 (199217)
04-14-2005 9:52 AM
Reply to: Message 109 by Silent H
04-14-2005 9:21 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
quote:
Well we already have the start of one system. Jar finally admitted that some realities which have actually happened might allow him to execute a person.
For him it was that on top of all the evidence the "suspect" not only readily confesses, but actively wishes to have the death sentence imposed.
Is that a level of evidence you are willing to accept?
If I understand Jar correctly, it isn't that he considers it an acceptable "level of evidence", it's that it's a high level of evidence PLUS the execution does not go against the person's wishes.
Me, I think it's a terrible idea to allow a person's wish to be executed to be a contributing factor...too much risk of a mentally ill person caught up in a big mess wanting to commit suicide.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 109 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 9:21 AM Silent H has not replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 113 of 236 (199220)
04-14-2005 9:55 AM
Reply to: Message 99 by Zhimbo
04-13-2005 8:19 PM


Adhering to the principle of "provisional knowledge" does NOT mean that you cannot do anything, because you cannot achieve perfect certainty.
You have misunderstood what that specific comment was related to. Not just one person has raised the point of intentional abuse of a system. There is certainly the ability of a vast conspiracy to abuse ANY system.
If the problem is the possibility of someone getting killed because of extreme abuse of a system, then one begins to pull apart all human endeavour.
Some of the most graphic examples (and they are much more numerous than frame-ups leading to death sentences) are police killing wholly innocent people. They actually do have the ability (the right) to kill people without every going through court. If the problem with the death penalty is even if we tighten it so no mistakes go through, intentional misconduct can, then what of the other instruments of state that share this power?
It means that at some future point, additional unforeseen evidence may cause us to revise our beliefs.
There is a limit to the nature of unforseen evidence that can be granted as realistic, or practically possible. This is why I was trying to start with hypotheticals for which there would be no question that more info could surface, or alternatively real life examples where it is clear there could not be more info that could possibly be generated that would bear on the case.
I am not the one refusing to even discuss a hypothetical and a real life case.
I do not understand why that is being done by people who routinely skewer creos for that exact same behavior. It is obvious when creos do it. And it is obvious to me when anyone else does it, even if they are liberals clammering for a popular liberal cause.
What's funny is I'd even be willing to accept living in a nation where everyone denounced the death penalty as undesirable (indeed I currently do). I am not lusting for blood and think society will collapse without it. My problem is the lies that antiDP people are surrounding themselves with to demonize anyone who supports it, as well as to prop up some figment of "scientific rationality" to their quite obviously subjective moral and political position.
Think of Gould's famous definition of fact - "confirmed to such a degree that it would be perverse to withhold provisional assent." That's what is "certain" in science. But it's stil provisional.
Not everything is science, and science is not meant to apply to everything. Indeed some rules of knowledge are necessarily tighter than modern science uses.
Can you tell the difference between your knowledge of whether Gould's PE theory applies to real life, and whether Gould published papers on PE theory?
So far I can't get a straight answer from crash.
Think about that previous line...there is, in fact, NOTHING I would EVER bet someone else's life on. Nothing.
This is of course part of the line of reasoning underlying all of my opponent's positions on this issue.
What this says is that rules of knowledge must scale according desirability of moral outcome. Think about that. That is exactly what it says.
But the problem is this, it shows exactly where you have adopted the creo stance regarding knowledge.
Okay so the one thing YOU would never be willing to wager is a person's life, and so if it is in the balance we throw out not just modern scientific methodology, but embrace a metaphysical view of knowledge much more open than that of creos. Where this happens is in courts and so we cannot have that in court... except of course when the life being wagered is someone fundies want kept alive.
Well the one thing fundies are not willing to wager is the TRUTH, and more importantly the life of GOD (or their own souls). Thus if it is in the balance they expect us to throw out modern scientific methodology for older scientific methods which will grant their theories the same status as modern scientific theories.
The fact is. just like people's lives, the TRUTH, can be sacrificed by embracing modern scientific methodology. They are absolutely 100% correct. That is something scientists accepted long ago, just like when they threw out the absolute incredulity of metaphysical tentativity (we can know nothing).
Although you may feel superior to the fundies for thinking they can actually save souls, as if they are more important than lives, that is a subjective moral position, with the exact same epistemological nihilism we have been discussing in other threads.
Think about it.
Am I willing to risk one person's life on a tentative theory? No. It is only a stock dilemma that I'd have to. Not all knowledge is as tentative as a scientific theory.
When it reaches the point that the only logically possible sources of future evidence which can refute my current model, involve Godlike beings, or ultra conspiracies (which in the end if that comes out then we do have someone to blame), then I feel pretty safe in saying, yeah I know it.
We already have the makings of one system. Keeping the same general framework of courts that we have now, what if we required the suspect caught in the act, with several unrelated witnesses, and positive physical evidence, plus the person confesses to the crime and actively seeks the death penalty. In that case could you feel like you know?
As for me... Dahmer did it, Gould published papers on PE, yet whether OJ is guilty or PE is correct is tentative. I believe the latter are true with all my heart and mind, but there are possible avenues for future contradictory evidence.
Not even Dahmer's
What possible evidence could have come forward to refute his guilt, especially as he ended up admitting to his guilt?

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 99 by Zhimbo, posted 04-13-2005 8:19 PM Zhimbo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 122 by Zhimbo, posted 04-14-2005 10:49 AM Silent H has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5845 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 114 of 236 (199221)
04-14-2005 10:00 AM
Reply to: Message 110 by nator
04-14-2005 9:36 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
Nothing is 100% proven, holmes, not even in science
You have conflated science well past its boundaries, and indeed are refuting the basic process of building scientific methodology.
Show me how we can move beyond "provisional acceptance" of something as basic as a fact, as you seem to think that we can.
Answer the question. Can you tell the difference between whether PE is how nature works, and whether Gould wrote papers on PE?
Do you have a husband or boyfriend?
No. If we later find out all of that evidence was wrong, we can't take back the death penalty.
Please explain to me how all the evidence could possibly be wrong within this hypothetical case.

holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 110 by nator, posted 04-14-2005 9:36 AM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 118 by Zhimbo, posted 04-14-2005 10:19 AM Silent H has not replied
 Message 119 by nator, posted 04-14-2005 10:22 AM Silent H has replied

  
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6037 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 115 of 236 (199228)
04-14-2005 10:06 AM
Reply to: Message 108 by Silent H
04-14-2005 9:18 AM


quote:
What does it take to actively not answer a straightforward question, and simply repeat one's first position like a mantra?
Alternatively, Crash's "mantra" includes straightforward questions that you are actively not answering, and I haven't seen your position evolve since page 1 of this thread, either.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 108 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 9:18 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 123 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 10:53 AM Zhimbo has not replied

  
macaroniandcheese 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3953 days)
Posts: 4258
Joined: 05-24-2004


Message 116 of 236 (199229)
04-14-2005 10:08 AM
Reply to: Message 104 by contracycle
04-14-2005 7:17 AM


Re: form the other thread...
aristo hahaha. good job.
actually that's quite my point: that people are self-righteous.
maybe you're experience was good, but the majority of people will look at the accused and see only that they are 'better'. depending of course on their own stereotypes. then their minds will start to warp the information so that they see what they want.
This message has been edited by brennakimi, 04-14-2005 09:18 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 104 by contracycle, posted 04-14-2005 7:17 AM contracycle has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2195 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 117 of 236 (199231)
04-14-2005 10:12 AM
Reply to: Message 107 by Silent H
04-14-2005 9:15 AM


quote:
You cannot tell if Dahmer killed anyone? You cannot tell if Gould published papers on PE in support of ToE? You cannot theorize a hypothetical situation where you actually have knowledge of a murder?
Sure, we can tell.
But not with enough certainty to advocate a system that we would need to apply to every situation which uses tentative, provisional acceptance of facts and evidence as a means to determine if we are going to kill people or not.
You, apparently, are comfortable with that level, however small, of uncertainty.
I am not.
Not when someone's life is on the line.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 9:15 AM Silent H has not replied

  
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6037 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 118 of 236 (199234)
04-14-2005 10:19 AM
Reply to: Message 114 by Silent H
04-14-2005 10:00 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
quote:
"Please explain to me how all the evidence could possibly be wrong within this hypothetical case"
The principle of provisional knowledge is the admission that there may be something we haven't thought of yet, so this question is moot. It's precisely because we can't be sure we've thought of everything that one adheres to the principle of provisional knowledge.
It does NOT lead to total inaction or total inability to do science or cross the street. It just says that even "obvious truths" have been and could once again be wrong, even if we can't currently think of how.
In science, we accept "facts" to build theories, contribute to engineering, etc. But these facts, even, are "provisional".
For the engineering application of making a system to decide who gets executed, however, that's not good enough.
quote:
"Do you have a husband or boyfriend?"
Well, she might have both, I'm not 100% sure...

This message is a reply to:
 Message 114 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 10:00 AM Silent H has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2195 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 119 of 236 (199236)
04-14-2005 10:22 AM
Reply to: Message 114 by Silent H
04-14-2005 10:00 AM


Re: Fortunes to be made
quote:
Can you tell the difference between whether PE is how nature works, and whether Gould wrote papers on PE?
Do you have a husband or boyfriend?
I might bet my life on having the correct answers to those questions, but I wouldn't bet anyone else's life.
Especially the second one. It just might be the case that through some strange technicality, my marriage license might not be valid and I don't know it. I could live my whole life like that and not realize it, but it wouldn't make it not true.
Now, if someone's life was dependent upon my knowing The True Answer to the question "Do you have a husband?", and I answered "Yes", and we found out that I wasn't really married even though I thought that I was, that person would die.
I'm not willing to take that risk with another person's life.
Are you?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 114 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 10:00 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 124 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 11:00 AM nator has not replied

  
macaroniandcheese 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3953 days)
Posts: 4258
Joined: 05-24-2004


Message 120 of 236 (199242)
04-14-2005 10:29 AM
Reply to: Message 107 by Silent H
04-14-2005 9:15 AM


the question is not can we tell if someone has committed a murder. the question is can we tell when someone has not, even though all the evidence is stacked against him.
say a man and his wife live on a farm of sorts or in a cabin out in the woods. say the man goes on a walk one night (as he usually does) and the wife stays to finish some task (which she usually does). someone approximately the same size and strength of the husband breaks into the house wearing gloves of the same brand, miraculously from the same lot which the man owns (no fingerprints, but fibers. note. they don't find the second pair of gloves.) and wearing the same kind of boots (same print) as the husband wears all the time. say he beats said woman to death. say the couple has recently had a great deal of arguments, some culminating in heated, harsh words and maybe even throwing stuff (maybe they were trying to conceive and having trouble and this was putting a strain on their relationship). say the intruder used a blunt object he found at the cabin to beat the woman. there's no evidence of tire tracks. the intruder came through the woods from approximately the same direction as the husband's normal walks. the husband gets home and calls the authorities. they never find the intruder.
who do you think would be convicted?
why?
now are you comfortable with the level of doubt? if a grieving husband is murdered by the state for being in the wrong place at the wrong time (with the wrong pair of gloves).
This message has been edited by brennakimi, 04-14-2005 09:30 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 9:15 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 125 by Silent H, posted 04-14-2005 11:08 AM macaroniandcheese has replied

  
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