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Author Topic:   the old improbable probability problem
happy_atheist
Member (Idle past 4935 days)
Posts: 326
Joined: 08-21-2004


Message 13 of 76 (141163)
09-09-2004 5:49 AM
Reply to: Message 7 by Loudmouth
05-11-2004 11:01 PM


crashfrog writes:
My other favorite misuse of stats is drunken driving. If 30% of accidents are caused by drunken drivers, aren't sober drivers more dangerous since they make up the other 70%?
Only if there are a comparable number of drunk drivers to sober drivers. The statistic is a bit meaningless as it is, but I would imagine that sober drivers outweigh drunken drivers by more than 3:1. If this is the case, then you have a small number of drunk drivers causing a disproportionate number of the accidents.

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 Message 7 by Loudmouth, posted 05-11-2004 11:01 PM Loudmouth has not replied

  
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