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Author Topic:   Identifying false religions.
bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 213 of 479 (568978)
07-19-2010 11:09 AM
Reply to: Message 210 by jar
07-19-2010 10:48 AM


Re: Analogy?!!!
jar writes:
Within the topic though, it is necessary IMHO to understand that Gods and gods that we discuss are limited by the human imagination. That does not preclude though the very existence or reality of some GOD that is beyond our limited imagination.
Indeed, the gods that theists believe in are limited by their imaginations. It would, theoretically, be impossible to believe in gods that were beyond their imaginations, just in the concept of "things beyond the imagination."
This ends up as "I believe in something, but I cannot know what it is".
There wouldn't be a word for it. And if a word was given to it, it would be meaningless.
One thing that may be beyond the imagination is pure complete nothing.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 210 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 10:48 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 215 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 12:06 PM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 214 of 479 (568979)
07-19-2010 11:15 AM
Reply to: Message 212 by New Cat's Eye
07-19-2010 11:05 AM


Re: I agree.
Catholic Scientist writes:
So then, one could accept your animal theory while not accepting your supernatural one without being inconsistent and irrational.
Only if you could falsify the supernatural one.
It would require establishing the existence of just one supernatural being of any genre beyond reasonable doubt.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 212 by New Cat's Eye, posted 07-19-2010 11:05 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 216 of 479 (568986)
07-19-2010 12:55 PM
Reply to: Message 215 by jar
07-19-2010 12:06 PM


Re: Analogy?!!!
jar writes:
I can assign a name to it, for example "GOD".
I can also assign some characteristics to it, for example "The Creator of all that is, seen and unseen."
"Creators" are things we can imagine. A creator of all things seen and unseen would have created itself, and written this post.
That might be stretching the imagination.
jar writes:
If someone asks me for proof, I can offer none.
But that also does not preclude the Gods and gods folk worship from representing some real entity.
Of course not. They could all be worshipping colliding branes or quantum fluctuations without knowing it, if you want to look at things that way. My theory that all supernatural beings are figments of the imagination is a strong theory, not a "proof".
The theory that all animals are born from other animals is not a proof, either, just as modern evolutionary theory is not a "proof" that naturalistic evolution explains everything about life on earth.
Strong theories give us the rational default positions in relation to the evidence available at any particular time.
On the topic, any individual described religion involving supernatural beings should be considered very likely to be false as the default position.
That is, by those who wish to be considered rational. Others can believe that Tinkerbell created the universe if they feel like it. As you point out, why not?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 215 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 12:06 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 217 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 12:59 PM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 218 of 479 (568990)
07-19-2010 1:14 PM
Reply to: Message 217 by jar
07-19-2010 12:59 PM


Re: Analogy?!!!
jar writes:
Nonsense, it could also be a real entity.
I didn't say that it couldn't be. We were talking about things that could exist that are beyond the human imagination. "Stretching the imagination" doesn't mean "not existing".
jar writes:
bluegenes writes:
On the topic, any individual described religion involving supernatural beings should be considered very likely to be false as the default position.
Okay, but that still has nothing to do with GOD. Sheesh.
It's you who suggested that things that folks worshipped might have something to do with a real entity you call GOD, not me. Sheesh.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 217 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 12:59 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 219 by jar, posted 07-19-2010 1:47 PM bluegenes has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 228 of 479 (569068)
07-20-2010 5:27 AM
Reply to: Message 223 by RAZD
07-19-2010 8:41 PM


Bet of the month!
RAZD writes:
bluegenes writes:
This is the theory you can't falsify:
All supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination.
This is the theory that you can't falsify:
A supernatural being can exist that is not a figment of the human imagination..
You really don't know the difference between a scientific theory and a random hypothesis, or baseless guess, do you? Do you want some clues?
RAZD writes:
Yes, but (amusingly) you are still incapable calculating the probability\likelihood that a non-science fiction book exists in my library.
Epic fail.
Enjoy.
Would you like to point to a bluegenes post in which the claim is made that bluegenes can make a probability calculation on what books you've got in your room? Would you like to point to a bluegenes post that makes the claim that bluegenes can make probability calculations on everything in the world?
Board members with basic reading comprehension will have missed these posts.
What bluegenes claims is this: It is rational and productive to make probability estimates on many things without being able to mathematically quantify the probability.
I can demonstrate this to you. I'll list 100 things that I estimate as "very improbable" to be in your house. In every case, no member of this board will be able to give a mathematical figure on the probability to within an order of magnitude. In fact, they won't be able to say anything but "very improbable", or, in your unique case, "I'm completely uncommitted because I cannot know". If I'm right on every single one, I will have demonstrated that my way of viewing the world is correct in this respect.
If I'm wrong on one single thing, then I'll send you 100,000 dollars.
If none of the things can be found in the house, you send 1,000 dollars to Percy to help with the site.
Agreed? Show some confidence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 223 by RAZD, posted 07-19-2010 8:41 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 243 by RAZD, posted 07-21-2010 8:50 PM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 246 of 479 (569533)
07-22-2010 5:02 AM
Reply to: Message 243 by RAZD
07-21-2010 8:50 PM


RAZD writes:
Ah so finally it sinks in that you have no basis for judging the likelihood of the existence of god/s, that you have nothing more than your personal opinion, based on your worldview and biases.
My personal opinions and world views are based on intelligent assessments of the available evidence.
It's my personal opinion and world view that, if you go into your bathroom, it's very improbable that you'll find a mermaid in the bath. It's my personal opinion and world view that, if you go into your bedroom, you won't find any fairies there.
I can make 1000 such statements with a very, very, very high level of confidence without ever having been in your house, and sitting thousands of miles away from the place. You check it out, and I'll be right every time. 100%. Why?
According to you, because I cannot know whether or not there are mermaids in your bathroom, or fairies in your bedroom, I should be uncommitted. So who is rational?
Now, how can I assess the precise mathematical probability of a mermaid being in your bathroom, or fairies being in your bedroom? I can't.
But if I can be right 1000 times, my estimates must be very, very good.
Now, on scientific theories.
Do you understand why your:
RAZD writes:
This is the theory that you can't falsify:
A supernatural being can exist that is not a figment of the human imagination..
is not a scientific theory, just an unsupported assertion? Creationists make such unfalsifiable assertions all the time, and it's hard to believe that you've been here on EvC for six years without understanding what's wrong with this.
"All supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination" is a theory/law for which I can present positive evidence (loads), which can be falsified, and which makes many predictions (Obama won't turn out to be the anti-Christ, for example).
The human mind is the only known source of supernatural beings, just as horses are the only known source of horse shit, and bulls are.......well, err, someone's posts on this thread that contain the phrase "confirmation bias" might challenge that law.
Making probability estimates is rational. Read and learn.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 243 by RAZD, posted 07-21-2010 8:50 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 277 of 479 (569788)
07-23-2010 7:48 PM
Reply to: Message 275 by jar
07-23-2010 7:35 PM


Re: on GOD
jar writes:
Now within this universe the reasonable way to produce effects is ...wait for it...wait for it, using the tools available in this universe.
Only if you're limited to them. I'd go to work on my magic carpet if I could.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 275 by jar, posted 07-23-2010 7:35 PM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 279 by jar, posted 07-23-2010 7:57 PM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 280 of 479 (569793)
07-23-2010 8:34 PM
Reply to: Message 279 by jar
07-23-2010 7:57 PM


Re: on GOD
jar writes:
See, that is the difference between you and me. I'd pick a Ferrari 250 or a 330.
There are no speed limits on carpet flying, and it's pollution free.
You don't know the traffic jams and parking problems in my area.
With the carpet, you just magically open your office windows, fly in and park on the floor, and it becomes part of the office furniture.
Then I would put my feet up and enjoy watching the elves who are doing the work for me.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 279 by jar, posted 07-23-2010 7:57 PM jar has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 292 of 479 (569828)
07-23-2010 10:48 PM
Reply to: Message 289 by RAZD
07-23-2010 9:47 PM


Re: rational vs irrational? or another false dichotomy (again)?
RAZD writes:
And yet, curiously, all you have is opinion. You and Straggler and bluegenes etc can all have a high opinion of your own opinion/s, but somehow that fails to amount to anything more than confirmation bias towards your own opinions (something everyone is guilty of, and thus proves nothing).
That's a very definite statement coming from someone who is completely uncommitted on whether or not Satan is manipulating his mind. It would certainly be irrational behaviour for such a person to express any opinions on anything.
But, to explain your behaviour as being the result of a mind manipulating Satan would be explaining it with a random baseless explanatory hypothesis, wouldn't it? And smart people who rate their opinions highly know that such hypotheses are always very unlikely to be correct.

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 Message 289 by RAZD, posted 07-23-2010 9:47 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 428 of 479 (571266)
07-31-2010 1:25 AM
Reply to: Message 427 by RAZD
07-30-2010 11:42 PM


It's very unlikely that you're right.
RAZD writes:
When the doorbell rings, do you assume a default position that no-one is there, or do you open the door to see who\what made the bell ring?
When my doorbell's not ringing, I assume the default position that no-one is there. I cannot know that no-one is there, but 100 random visits to the door when the bell's not ringing will demonstrate that I'm being very, very rational to take that default position.
When my doorbell does ring, I assume the default position that it will not be a supernatural being doing the ringing. Decades of door answering have shown me to be very, very rational in making this assumption.
RAZD writes:
.... and therefore it is irrational to claim that something absolutely (or that it is highly likely that something) does not exist.
You claim that it is irrational to claim that something is highly unlikely to exist?
I think it's very unlikely that your house was built by elves. I think it's very unlikely that house-building elves exist.
The only known source of houses is human construction.
The only known source of supernatural beings is the human imagination.
Therefore, it's very unlikely that house-building elves exist.
Even without those observations, "elves built your house" would be a random, baseless hypothesis, and as such, very unlikely to be true.
1,530,000 uses of the phrase "very unlikely" here, on google scholar.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 427 by RAZD, posted 07-30-2010 11:42 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2497 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 459 of 479 (571550)
08-01-2010 4:02 AM
Reply to: Message 457 by Bikerman
07-31-2010 11:08 PM


Replying directly to posts and people.
Bikerman writes:
No you don't because, outside the books of the New Testament, there isn't any. I'll bet you haven't even run consistency checks with other books such as the dead sea scrolls and the Gnostic gospels either.
Hi, Bikerman, and welcome to EvC.
Just a couple of practical points. You must have hit the "general reply" button to make the post I'm replying to. Using the reply button on the bottom right of the specific post you're replying to will give you the effect you see on this post, and make it clear what you're replying to by the links at the top and bottom of your post.
It will also inform the other poster with an automatic Email, if he or she hasn't cancelled that process.
For further clarity, using the shaded quote boxes and [qs=Buzsaw] would have made it easy for readers to see whom you are quoting (I can guess, because I recognise Buz's prophecy content!!).
There's a "peek" facility on each post, which is an easy way to see how everything's done.
Welcome again.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 457 by Bikerman, posted 07-31-2010 11:08 PM Bikerman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 463 by Bikerman, posted 08-01-2010 2:32 PM bluegenes has not replied

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