Seriously, dennis780. You should consider dropping the 10
118 number from your argument. It is making you look silly. That number is supposed to be a generous
over-estimate of the number of opportunities or trials available in the universe. It is deliberately huge in order to put tiny probability numbers perspective in response to people saying given enough trials anything can happen.
As has been pointed out, given 10
118 trials, even things with a probability of 1 in 10
50 are bound to occur.
Further because the number is known to be an over estimate, using it to estimate probabilities really under cuts your argument. Heck, most of those events didn't even occur in our galaxy and are irrelevant.
For example, look at how silly this sounds:
Given that there are only 10
118 possible events in the universe, what are the chances of me rolling a 6 in three trials of a single die?
I recommend sticking with probability estimates numbers in making your point. As a hint, those probabilities will be epressed as ratios less than one (e.g. 1:10
150 or 10
-50 or 1 in 6) and not big numbers like 10
118.
Just some advice. You don't have to take it.