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Author Topic:   the old improbable probability problem
Panda
Member (Idle past 3703 days)
Posts: 2688
From: UK
Joined: 10-04-2010


(1)
Message 56 of 76 (662178)
05-13-2012 6:14 AM
Reply to: Message 52 by zaius137
05-13-2012 2:11 AM


Re: probabiity problems
zaius137 writes:
A magician performing before an audience of evolutionists produces two royal flushes in a row. The crowd stands to its feet in applause proclaiming, Look improbable events happen all the time. A single statistician, knowing the probability of pulling a royal flush is (649,350 : 1) and twice is (421,655,422,500 : 1) stands to his feet and yells fraud. The statistician is immediately ejected from the assembly as being closed minded to the possibility of very real magic.
You seem to think that magicians doing card tricks are actually doing "very real magic".
Do you really think a card trick is magic?
This is what you should have written:
quote:
A magician performing before an audience of evolutionists produces two royal flushes in a row. The crowd stands to its feet in applause proclaiming, That was entertaining!. A single statistician, knowing the probability of pulling a royal flush is (649,350 : 1) and twice is (421,655,422,500 : 1) knows that slight of hand required to produce two royal flushes. No-one in the assembly believes they have just witnessed a display very real magic.

Tradition and heritage are all dead people's baggage. Stop carrying it!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by zaius137, posted 05-13-2012 2:11 AM zaius137 has not replied

  
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