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Three Curtains

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Author Topic:   Three Curtains
Phat
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From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
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Message 7 of 48 (729272)
06-07-2014 2:02 PM 		Reply to: Message 3 by rstrats
06-07-2014 10:20 AM

Full Monty
I agree that it does not matter if one changes their mind. The host is always gonna eliminate the third option.
When I use a word, Humpty Dumpty said, in a rather scornful tone, it means just what I choose it to meannothing more nor less.
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Phat
Member
Posts: 18310
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.1

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Message 8 of 48 (729275)
06-07-2014 2:05 PM 		Reply to: Message 6 by Modulous
06-07-2014 1:56 PM

Probability Changes Based on Data
There is a 1/3 chance you picked the right answer and 2/3 chance you picked the wrong answer. It is not #3, therefore there is a 2/3 probability it is behind #2 and a 1/3 probability of being behind #1.
I don't see the math. Once 3 is eliminated, you have a 1 in 2 chance period. The original math no longer applies to the current reality.
When I use a word, Humpty Dumpty said, in a rather scornful tone, it means just what I choose it to meannothing more nor less.
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 Message 6 by Modulous, posted 06-07-2014 1:56 PM Modulous has replied
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