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Author Topic:   SCIENCE: -- "observational science" vs "historical science" vs ... science.
Taq
Member
Posts: 10038
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 505 of 614 (736122)
09-03-2014 11:59 AM
Reply to: Message 502 by Percy
09-02-2014 11:06 PM


Re: Faith responds about "proof"
Sure, I suppose a scientist's threshold for believing he'd proven something could be labeled "beyond a reasonable doubt". But finding that point doesn't seem easy. Earlier I was talking about how consensuses form, and I don't think it's possible to know when enough is enough in terms of evidence, argument and building a conceptual framework of understanding.
I will entirely agree that there is an arbitrary line between proven and unproven (beyond a reasonable doubt). That is part of the art of science, and the human aspect of science. A consensus is a recognition that a particular theory has very compelling evidence behind it, and that the theory should garner respect and attention. The consensus theory sets the bar that challengers must meet.
I've never felt comfortable with this. When I'm only willing to give my "provisional assent" to something, I'm not going to call it a fact.
I find that interesting, given that your position departs from my own. In my experience, there are theories that undergird our collection of facts. A CCD camera that measures the luminosity of a type Ia supernova does so on the basis of many different theories, and your acceptance of the data is based on the provisional acceptance that the camera and methodology will accurately measure luminosity.
Or I could be failing to understand your position and have everything wrong.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 502 by Percy, posted 09-02-2014 11:06 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 507 by Percy, posted 09-03-2014 1:02 PM Taq has not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10038
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 516 of 614 (736192)
09-04-2014 9:51 PM
Reply to: Message 460 by Percy
08-30-2014 10:37 AM


Re: Reply to "What I mean by the Unwitnessed Past"
What I mean by the Unwitnessed Past was posted yesterday. There's nothing new here. She repeats the same arguments and addresses none of the criticisms. It's likely she doesn't understand the criticisms since she quotes Taq's Message 459 (which is polite and describes her position fairly accurately), then calls it too abstract to be saying anything meaningful. She still believes that past events with no witnesses cannot be subjected to meaningful analysis despite dozens of examples to the contrary, for example that a dinosaur footprint can be analyzed to determine the species of dinosaur. She thinks evidence from the past presents problems that render analysis and interpretation speculative but cannot muster any reasons why this is so, e.g.:
I read Faith's blog post, and her update. I found it kind of amusing that she spent so much time trying to argue that I was wrong, and then proved me right in her update.
My post that she commented on in post 459 of this thread stated . . .
quote:
Of course, you don't observe the hypothesis. You test the hypothesis. Nowhere in the scientific method is there an expiration date on valid observations. A 100 million year old fossil is as valid a piece of evidence as a 1 hour old ELISA plate. Both are repeatable observations, and both can be used to test hypotheses.
I was stressing that the scientific method requires observations to be repeatable, not the hypothesis you are trying to test. In this context, the explanation for what happened in the past is the hypothesis. What mistake did Faith make in her update? The exact mistake I told her she was making.
The Fantasy of Evolution: What I mean by the Unwitnessed Past
quote:
I didn't say you can't do science on the unwitnessed past, all I said was that you can't be sure of your results with one-time unwitnessed past events the way you can with replicable testable phenomena and that all you have in such a case is interpretations and hypotheses, more or less plausibility thereof.
I guess Faith forgot that fossils are replicable and testable phenomena, as are the genomes of living species, the geographic distribution of species, and all of the evidence we have presented her. She once again makes the mistake of requiring the hypothesis to be repeatable which the scientific method never requires.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 460 by Percy, posted 08-30-2014 10:37 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10038
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(1)
Message 523 of 614 (736437)
09-10-2014 11:12 AM
Reply to: Message 520 by Percy
09-10-2014 10:23 AM


Re: Faith responds about "proof"
The rest of the update provokes equal befuddlement, I have no comment.
Faith has a massive case of psychological projection. For example:
quote:
In this case, the evidence claimed for events in the distant past is all heavily biased, that is, it's bound to interpretations already determined by your theory.
Faith is talking about herself. She starts with the conclusion that Noah's Ark was really witnessed and that it has to be true. All evidence is filtered through this bias.
In order to create a semblence of equality, she tries to make it look as if everyone else is doing the same. However, all she can ever do is make the accusation and never backs it up with examples of how evidence has been misinterpretted.
quote:
The Dover cliffs didn't form where they are either, but just as the entire British Isles are layered like so much of the rest of the planet, that chalk was layered there along with all the rest of them, it didn't form in place, as none of the layers did, which were all laid down one on top of another and then after they were all in place (which took hundreds of millions of years according to standard theory, but only a year or so on Flood theory) the whole stack was upended by tectonic force, as indicated on those diagrams I posted over there.
She never explains how modern geologists arrived at the interpretation of millions of years, nor did she explain how that interpretation is biased. She just makes the accusation that science is wrong, and the attaches "it makes obvious sense" to her unsupported claims.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 520 by Percy, posted 09-10-2014 10:23 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 524 by Coyote, posted 09-10-2014 12:18 PM Taq has not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10038
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 533 of 614 (736724)
09-12-2014 1:36 PM
Reply to: Message 532 by Percy
09-12-2014 7:51 AM


Re: Faith Posts a 9/11 Update
Concerning the topic of proof, I hope that at some point Faith will begin embracing normal word definitions and agree that evidence is evidence independent of whether anyone has drawn the right conclusions from it. It makes no sense to say, "Your evidence doesn't support your claims, therefore you have no evidence." This shouldn't even have to be explained. It's simple English.
What Faith needs to do is separate observations from evidence, and then show how each relates to the hypothesis AND the null hypothesis. Evidence is a set of observations that satisfies the hypothesis and disproves the null hypothesis.
One of Faith's greatest weaknesses has always been her lack of a null hypothesis which means that she is unable to evidence her claims. In order to have evidence, there need to be potential observations that would be inconsistent with her hypothesis. As she has shown, she will claim that any and all geologic observations are consistent with a flood, no matter what. She can not describe the features a geologic formation would need to have in order to satisfy the null hypothesis.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 532 by Percy, posted 09-12-2014 7:51 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 534 by Percy, posted 09-12-2014 2:35 PM Taq has not replied

  
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