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Author Topic:   Deflation-gate
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 61 of 466 (748715)
01-28-2015 2:42 PM
Reply to: Message 60 by Percy
01-28-2015 6:38 AM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
The NFL should be investigating both teams, the Patriots for underinflating, the Colts for overinflating.
Maybe...
That depends on exactly what the rule states. In my opinion, it should be completely appropriate to over-inflate the ball in the locker room with the expectation that the stadium temperature would be well below room temperature. However, the rules may or may not allow such a thing.
ABE:
What if the Pats inflated their balls with warm air with the goal of getting some 'natural deflation', while the Colts pumped theirs up with cold air. The Colts balls would then not deflate upon being brought out into the cold, while the Pats balls would deflate.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 60 by Percy, posted 01-28-2015 6:38 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 62 by Percy, posted 01-28-2015 3:50 PM NoNukes has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 62 of 466 (748725)
01-28-2015 3:50 PM
Reply to: Message 61 by NoNukes
01-28-2015 2:42 PM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
NoNukes writes:
That depends on exactly what the rule states. In my opinion, it should be completely appropriate to over-inflate the ball in the locker room with the expectation that the stadium temperature would be well below room temperature. However, the rules may or may not allow such a thing.
The rules require that the refs inflate the footballs. The football teams are limited to prepping the balls, meaning to manually induce wear on the surface to eliminate the out-of-the-box slickness and make it easier to grip and handle.
If the league feels that football inflation pressure is a significant competitive factor then they need to take temperature into account. There's been no indication in what I've read so far that league rules or procedures take temperature into account.
As the season moves into winter, kicks in outdoor stadiums in the north travel less and less far. I hadn't thought about it before, but now it seems obvious that the drop in pressure in the ball must be responsible. A football's original 12.5 psi indoor pressure at room temperature would be much lower in 10 degree weather. The leather and bladder must be stiffer at lower temperatures, and that must also play a factor.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by NoNukes, posted 01-28-2015 2:42 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 63 by NoNukes, posted 01-28-2015 4:20 PM Percy has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 63 of 466 (748728)
01-28-2015 4:20 PM
Reply to: Message 62 by Percy
01-28-2015 3:50 PM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
The rules require that the refs inflate the footballs.
I'm sure what happens is that the referees deflate the balls when they arrive too high and add air when the balls are too low. If the balls arrive in spec, the referees most likely do nothing at all. What I am sure they do not do is let all of the air out and then re-inflate them. So the question of whether the air in the balls was at thermal equilibrium with the stadium temperature cannot be addressed by simply saying that the refs inflate the footballs.
There's been no indication in what I've read so far that league rules or procedures take temperature into account.
I don't know enough about the procedures to say whether they do or don't take them into account. Is that simply a recast of what you just said?
As the season moves into winter, kicks in outdoor stadiums in the north travel less and less far. I hadn't thought about it before, but now it seems obvious that the drop in pressure in the ball must be responsible.
Or perhaps the increased density/viscosity of the air produces some increased wind resistance. Yes, being extra flat would matter if indeed the kickers balls were deflated. In any event the kickers balls are handled differently from the rest of the team balls. Kickers can get balls inflated on the high end even if the quarterback wants something else.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 62 by Percy, posted 01-28-2015 3:50 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 64 by Percy, posted 01-28-2015 6:20 PM NoNukes has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 64 of 466 (748735)
01-28-2015 6:20 PM
Reply to: Message 63 by NoNukes
01-28-2015 4:20 PM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
NoNukes writes:
I'm sure what happens is that the referees deflate the balls when they arrive too high and add air when the balls are too low. If the balls arrive in spec, the referees most likely do nothing at all. What I am sure they do not do is let all of the air out and then re-inflate them.
Yes, this has been explained several times. Here's another video to not watch: How Officials Check Ball Pressure
So the question of whether the air in the balls was at thermal equilibrium with the stadium temperature cannot be addressed by simply saying that the refs inflate the footballs.
No. As explained several times, the balls are prepped and inflated indoors. In that video you can see that the balls are inflated in the referees locker room. The footballs will definitely not be in thermal equilibrium with the stadium temperature, assuming that by "stadium temperature" you mean the temperature on the field. In a domed stadium indoors and outdoors (meaning the playing field) will be pretty much the same temperature. In an outdoor stadium indoors and outdoors could be at very different temperatures. Gillette is an outdoor stadium.
I don't know enough about the procedures to say whether they do or don't take them into account. Is that simply a recast of what you just said?
I've since found the NFL rules on footballs (NFL Rules, click on "Ball" under the Rules dropdown), so I can say this more clearly this time. Temperature can affect a football's inflation pressure to an extent great enough to change it outside the legal range. If the league feels that football inflation pressure is a significant competitive factor then their rules need to take temperature into account. The NFL rules say nothing about temperature affecting pressure, so if the NFL thinks it important enough for temperature to be taken into account then they'll need to write new rules.
Having said that I should note that there are obviously procedures in place not mentioned in the rules, such as each team specifying the pressure it wants for its footballs. I couldn't find these additional procedures anywhere online, or even any mention about whether they're written down somewhere.
Or perhaps the increased density/viscosity of the air produces some increased wind resistance.
Yes, that would be another factor.
Yes, being extra flat would matter if indeed the kickers balls were deflated. In any event the kickers balls are handled differently from the rest of the team balls. Kickers can get balls inflated on the high end even if the quarterback wants something else.
The kicking balls are provided by the league and are kept under the control of the refs. The rules do not state what pressure the kicking balls should be at, other than the 12.5-13.5 psi range for all footballs. I couldn't find anything about whether kickers could request a certain pressure, but maybe you found something?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by NoNukes, posted 01-28-2015 4:20 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 65 by NoNukes, posted 01-28-2015 6:31 PM Percy has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 65 of 466 (748736)
01-28-2015 6:31 PM
Reply to: Message 64 by Percy
01-28-2015 6:20 PM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
No. As explained several times, the balls are prepped and inflated indoors. In that video you can see that the balls are inflated in the referees locker room.
That explanation still does not address my point.
What temperature air is inside the balls when the referees get them? The temperature inside the ball is not necessarily at thermal equilibrium with the testing room and it would take some time (don't know how long) for them to reach equilibrium. The air inside the ball may stay hot or cold for some amount of time. If so, then the pressure in two sets of balls even after checking/deflating/topping off by the referees may have distinct trajectories once they get onto the field. In fact there may be a difference between balls checked early and late in the process.
I couldn't find anything about whether kickers could request a certain pressure, but maybe you found something?
Nothing in the rules. But a discussion with a kicker or two that suggest that they can have input into the ball pressure. Apparently prior to 1999 there were no "K" balls and the kicker had to compromise with the quarterback on ball pressure. Now it seems that kickers can dictate their own ball pressure.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by Percy, posted 01-28-2015 6:20 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 66 by Percy, posted 01-29-2015 8:02 AM NoNukes has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 66 of 466 (748752)
01-29-2015 8:02 AM
Reply to: Message 65 by NoNukes
01-28-2015 6:31 PM


Re: Wilson, The Football company disagrees
NoNukes writes:
No. As explained several times, the balls are prepped and inflated indoors. In that video you can see that the balls are inflated in the referees locker room.
That explanation still does not address my point.
I think it does. Your scenario wouldn't happen because the balls start out at thermal equilibrium with the indoor environment, which is climate controlled. The footballs are being moved around indoors between rooms and hallways that are all at the same temperature. You ask this question:
What temperature air is inside the balls when the referees get them?
The temperature of the air inside the footballs when the referees get them in the referees locker room is the same temperature as the temperature inside that locker room, which is the same as the temperature in the hallway, which is the same as the temperature in the equipment room (where the footballs presumably spent the night), which is the same as the temperature in whatever room is used by the team to prep the footballs. So when you go on to say:
The temperature inside the ball is not necessarily at thermal equilibrium with the testing room...
Yes it is, assuming we don't care about temperature variations of a degree or two that are common in most climate controlled buildings.
We can certainly speculate about circumstances that would affect the balls' temperature while still inside. Are the footballs in the equipment room stored next to or near a heat source like a heating vent or refrigerator? Does the prepping actually increase the temperature of the footballs, as Bill Bellichick's simulation of game day procedures seemed to find? If any circumstances like these are in play then what you say next is perfectly correct:
The temperature inside the ball is not necessarily at thermal equilibrium with the testing room and it would take some time (don't know how long) for them to reach equilibrium. The air inside the ball may stay hot or cold for some amount of time. If so, then the pressure in two sets of balls even after checking/deflating/topping off by the referees may have distinct trajectories once they get onto the field. In fact there may be a difference between balls checked early and late in the process.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 65 by NoNukes, posted 01-28-2015 6:31 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 77 by NoNukes, posted 01-31-2015 2:08 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 67 of 466 (748754)
01-29-2015 8:25 AM


The NFL Leaks Again
The NFL just can't seem to help itself. While cautioning its employees, team personnel and players to refrain from commenting on deflate-gate while the investigation is ongoing, the NFL springs yet another major leak full of comments embarrassing to the Patriots and to which they cannot respond: N.F.L. Investigator Seeks to Consult Columbia Physicist Over Patriots’ Deflated Footballs
This article states who from the law firm retained by the NFL contacted Columbia. It had access to the notes of an administrative manager at Columbia. It quotes a Columbia physicist who posted on Facebook, and another Columbia physicist who says it's more likely than not that there was tampering. It quotes a cosmologist ridiculing Bellichick's science experiments. It has a copy of a followup email from the law firm.
It must be one heck of a law firm that doesn't know to initiate contact with an outside resource by saying, "There's a matter I would like to discuss with you if you can guarantee confidentiality."
Unbelievable.
This may be the last straw regarding Goodell's job security. Anyone who saw how ticked Robert Kraft was at the Monday press conference where he showed more emotion in a few minutes than he's exhibited during his entire tenure as owner knows his anger and frustration with Goodell must now be over the top. As I commented earlier, Kraft is one of the more influential owners in the league, and if in the end it's found the Patriots did nothing wrong then Goodell could be gone within a year or two. It will be an amicable parting because that's Kraft's style.
--Percy

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 68 of 466 (748795)
01-29-2015 1:02 PM


Results of a Little Math
If at an atmospheric pressure of 14.7 psi a football with a gauge pressure of 12.5 psi and at a temperature of 72o were cooled to 45o, the ideal gas law yields a pressure of 11.12 psi.
If at a temperature of 45o a football's gauge pressure was 10.5 psi, then it would have to be heated to 96.1o to yield a pressure of 12.5 psi.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 69 by AZPaul3, posted 01-29-2015 2:00 PM Percy has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8529
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 69 of 466 (748802)
01-29-2015 2:00 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by Percy
01-29-2015 1:02 PM


Re: Results of a Little Math
What were the pressure readings of the footballs tested at halftime?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 68 by Percy, posted 01-29-2015 1:02 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 70 by Percy, posted 01-29-2015 2:15 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 70 of 466 (748804)
01-29-2015 2:15 PM
Reply to: Message 69 by AZPaul3
01-29-2015 2:00 PM


Re: Results of a Little Math
Reports say the footballs tested a couple psi low. That would be in the neighborhood of 10.5 psi, but how much in the neighborhood and how much variance there was among the footballs is not known, or at least not public. They did say that one of the twelve footballs tested only a little low.
How much to trust these reports, I don't know. Reports directly contradict each another on some points while reinforcing each other on other points.
--Ted

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by AZPaul3, posted 01-29-2015 2:00 PM AZPaul3 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 71 by AZPaul3, posted 01-29-2015 3:10 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8529
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 71 of 466 (748808)
01-29-2015 3:10 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by Percy
01-29-2015 2:15 PM


Re: Results of a Little Math
Reports directly contradict each another on some points...
I've read everything from 2 lbs in a few balls to 1 lb in some to .5 lb in others from different media (undisclosed) sources.
I can imagine this full disclosure thing that keeps not happening is intended to limit the damage to the NFL's biggest product next Saturday. What could be so bad in full disclosure of this whole petty affair that the league would see as more damaging to the sport's, the league's and the Pat's already destroyed reputations than is happening now?
Did Belichick and Brady give all the refs blow jobs in exchange for underinflating their balls (chuckle)?
Sports stars, politicians, preachers never seem to learn that full disclosure now is far far less damaging than having the media browbeat you with your denials, obfuscations and lies later. And if there actually is nothing blatantly untoward in this thing then the stvpidity* in letting it fester so long is mindboggling.
* Asinine banned word policy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by Percy, posted 01-29-2015 2:15 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 72 of 466 (748852)
01-30-2015 9:28 AM


Yet More Different Information
Yesterday I came across a couple articles with a little different information:
The first article contains this little nugget:
But what has the NFL really found? As one league source has explained it to PFT, the football intercepted by Colts linebacker D’Qwell Jackson was roughly two pounds under the 12.5 PSI minimum. The other 10 balls that reportedly were two pounds under may have been, as the source explained it, closer to one pound below 12.5 PSI.
Various reports have contained mildly conflicting information, but this is the first time the possibility has been raised that it wasn't eleven balls that were 2 psi underflated but one. The others were only around 1 pound underinflated. And what pressure did the ideal gas law yield for a drop in temperature from 72o to 45o? 11.12 psi.
Remember that reports seemed to agree that the Colts balls had checked out in range at halftime, but that's not possible. If they'd been originally inflated to 13.5 psi at 72o, then at halftime at 45o they would have been at 12.12 psi and out of range. The reports are either incorrect or the Colts balls were originally overinflated.
The other significant point in the articles was the way the NFL has mismanaged this. Quoting the first article again:
Even if (and at this point it could be a big if) the league finds proof of foul play, was it really worth it? The NFL has tarnished its own shield by painting a Super Bowl participant as a cheater without clear evidence of cheating. As noted on Friday, some believe that former Commissioners (such as Paul Tagliabue) would have addressed complaints coming from teams like the Colts regarding underinflated footballs not by trying to lay a trap for the Patriots, but by letting the Patriots know that the league office is paying attention to the situation, and that if there’s any funny business happening it needs to stop, now. Instead, the league office opted to try to catch the Patriots red handed.
...
Regardless of how hard or easy it could be or should be to get to the truth, the NFL owes it to the Patriots and the league to get there, quickly. Instead, the premier American sporting event apparently will be played under a dark cloud, and anything other than an eventual finding of cheating will seem anticlimactic and contrived. Even if the conclusion is regarded as legitimate, it won’t undo the damage that the Patriots and the NFL will have suffered during this bizarre period of pending allegations that have not yet been proven.
I am not claiming the Patriots did nothing wrong. One part of what I am saying is an expression of my dismay over not just the lack of knowledge and awareness of the effects of climatic conditions on ball pressure, but in some quarters of actual rejection of them.
But more importantly I am saying that the evidence for drawing any conclusions is not yet publicly available, and that anyone who is drawing conclusions is doing so out of their own biases. If the Patriots are guilty I will condemn them along with everyone else, but they can only be found guilty by evidence, not public opinion.
One clarifying comment about how I'll feel if it turns out to be a rogue ball attendant: I won't know what to think. Was he really rogue, or is he just taking the blame for the organization? Even if he was genuinely rogue, how much blame should the organization bear for that? I don't have answers at this time.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Grammar, wordsmithing.

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 73 of 466 (748856)
01-30-2015 10:06 AM


Another Article Favorable to Patriots
Article: DeflateGate broken down by MIT physics professor, says Bill Belichick, Tom Brady should be innocent until proven guilty
Gee, what a novel thought. The MIT professor says he's dismayed that the NFL went to Columbia for physics tutoring:
But with the NFL reportedly seeking help from none other than the Columbia University Physics Department for its investigation of the mysterious, deflated footballs in the AFC title game, one MIT physics professor says he simply can’t believe the league reached out to the junior varsity physics team for science tutoring.
Not only is Columbia the JV of physics, they can't keep a secret, either. The professor goes on to say he understands that they may have avoided MIT because it's located in the center of Patriots fandom. Where the Columbia professors erred he correctly comments on the influence of climatic conditions:
They have to take into account if it’s high pressure or low pressure in the atmosphere when you measure (ball pressure), says Pritchard. If you inflate it to a certain amount when there’s low pressure, and then the pressure increases, that lowers the gauge pressure. The most obvious thing is the temperature causes the air inside the ball to expand or not to expand. That certainly affects the pressure.
You have to remember that there is air inside the ball even when the reading of the gauge is zero, Pritchard adds. Everywhere around us, we’re surrounded by air that has roughly 15 (pounds per square inch).
Pritchard said that one scenario that would have affected the pressure in the footballs would have been if they were inflated in a warm room and then were taken outdoors and it was not much above freezing. That could make a pretty significant difference about 2 PSI. The game-time temperature for the AFC title game was approximately 51 degrees, which still could have lowered the PSI.
He refreshingly concludes:
The NFL, in my opinion, could go to Columbia Law School they have a good law school and learn something about American ideas of fairness, says Pritchard. Like, you don’t accuse people before you have any proof.
--Percy

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


(1)
Message 74 of 466 (748864)
01-30-2015 12:17 PM


You Yanks and your funny little balls.....

Replies to this message:
 Message 75 by AZPaul3, posted 01-30-2015 3:17 PM Straggler has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8529
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


(1)
Message 75 of 466 (748876)
01-30-2015 3:17 PM
Reply to: Message 74 by Straggler
01-30-2015 12:17 PM


Even though we have funny little balls we score 20 times to your one.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 74 by Straggler, posted 01-30-2015 12:17 PM Straggler has not replied

  
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