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Author Topic:   A Tree is a Tree: Growthmanship in the Developed World
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 61 of 93 (757812)
05-14-2015 12:17 PM
Reply to: Message 60 by ringo
05-14-2015 11:53 AM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
ringo writes:
You seem to be saying that economic growth makes people happy. Economic growth pretty much requires unnecessary consumerism.
It does and it has. But that's not all it does - it's not even the most important thing it does and it's a bi-product, not a targeted outcome, of economic growth.
My question was: Would people be "less happy" with the old fridge and an extra day off?
Well it's a strange and dumb question isn't it? False choice.
It's people like you who consider me poor.
I have no idea whether you're rich or poor and vice versa. But the word 'poverty' really should be reserved for people who are greatly deprived, not for those of us that have the resources and time to indulge in discussions like this.
So let's go back to the example of the fruit tree. Its growth is essentially stopped to make it more productive.
It's a naive and hopelessly simple comparison.
In any case, the apple tree's growth is not stopped, it's regulated and it's output increases as a result. This discussion - as far as I can gather - is about reducing growth which also appears to involve reducing employment to zero. Utterly barking.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif.
Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 60 by ringo, posted 05-14-2015 11:53 AM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 62 by ringo, posted 05-14-2015 12:48 PM Tangle has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 434 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 62 of 93 (757816)
05-14-2015 12:48 PM
Reply to: Message 61 by Tangle
05-14-2015 12:17 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
Tangle writes:
... it's a bi-product, not a targeted outcome, of economic growth.
It doesn't make any difference whether its a targeted outcome or not. The question is whether or not it's a desirable outcome.
Tangle writes:
ringo writes:
My question was: Would people be "less happy" with the old fridge and an extra day off?
Well it's a strange and dumb question isn't it? False choice.
It's a question that you make a point of avoiding. You seem to be saying that economic growth "produces" happiness, at least indirectly, so the question is pertinent.
Tangle writes:
But the word 'poverty' really should be reserved for people who are greatly deprived, not for those of us that have the resources and time to indulge in discussions like this.
I agree. The misuse of the word, such as when it is applied to me, is done by people who believe in economic growth as a necessity. They are the ones who are putting artificial economic numbers on "happiness".
Tangle writes:
In any case, the apple tree's growth is not stopped, it's regulated and it's output increases as a result.
The tree's expansion is stopped. Are you going to weasel a difference between "growth" and "expansion"?
Tangle writes:
This discussion - as far as I can gather - is about reducing growth which also appears to involve reducing employment to zero.
Maybe you should try gathering again. I, for one, have suggested no such thing.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 12:17 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 63 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 1:32 PM ringo has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 63 of 93 (757818)
05-14-2015 1:32 PM
Reply to: Message 62 by ringo
05-14-2015 12:48 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
ringo writes:
It doesn't make any difference whether its a targeted outcome or not. The question is whether or not it's a desirable outcome.
Who is going to say that inceasing happiness would not be a desirable output?
It's a question that you make a point of avoiding.
And my reason for not answering is that 'it's a strange and dumb question and a false choice.'
You seem to be saying that economic growth "produces" happiness, at least indirectly, so the question is pertinent.
I don't 'seem', to be saying it, I am saying it and it's not in any doubt. It's blindingly obvious that it does. It does it by pushing society as a whole up Maslow's pyramid. The question is not whether it does, it's whether marginal increases in economic growth create equivalent increases in human advancement globally and whether the side-effects of pollution and so on are worth the candle.
The answer to that is complicated by the fact that economic growth does not happen purely to satisfy short-term subjective assessments of human happiness in the developed world. It's a much, much more complex issue than that and the metrics so far considered - happiness and well-being in the first world - are not particularly useful in getting to answers.
There's also another agenda involving 100% unemployment which is supposed to make everyone much happier Which I find totally baffling.
The tree's expansion is stopped. Are you going to weasel a difference between "growth" and "expansion"?
If by that you're asking whether I'm going to point out the material error in the comparison, yes I am. The apple tree is not pruned to stop its physical expansion, it's pruned to improve its output - ie its economic expansion (growth). If its output could be acheived without pruning, it would not be pruned. But enough of failed analogies.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif.
Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 62 by ringo, posted 05-14-2015 12:48 PM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 64 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:40 PM Tangle has replied
 Message 87 by ringo, posted 05-19-2015 11:44 AM Tangle has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 64 of 93 (757819)
05-14-2015 1:40 PM
Reply to: Message 63 by Tangle
05-14-2015 1:32 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
The question is not whether it does, it's whether marginal increases in economic growth create equivalent increases in human advancement globally
No, 'globally' is not the question of this thread.
I have been very clear on the fact that this thread is about the developed world and the developed world alone.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 1:32 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 65 by Phat, posted 05-14-2015 1:47 PM Jon has replied
 Message 66 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 1:56 PM Jon has replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18310
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.1


Message 65 of 93 (757820)
05-14-2015 1:47 PM
Reply to: Message 64 by Jon
05-14-2015 1:40 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
I have an economic question. IF the developed world scaled back its growth, what would happen to the third world?(hypothetically)
Capitalists may argue that growth is for the benefit of the undeveloped...(even though they keep 95% of the gains)

Saying, "I don't know," is the same as saying, "Maybe."~ZombieRingo
It's easy to see the speck in somebody else's ideas - unless it's blocked by the beam in your own.~Ringo
If a savage stops believing in his wooden god, it does not mean that there is no God only that God is not wooden.(Leo Tolstoy)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:40 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 67 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:58 PM Phat has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 66 of 93 (757823)
05-14-2015 1:56 PM
Reply to: Message 64 by Jon
05-14-2015 1:40 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
Jon writes:
The question is not whether it does, it's whether marginal increases in economic growth create equivalent increases in human advancement globally
No, 'globally' is not the question of this thread.
I have been very clear on the fact that this thread is about the developed world and the developed world alone.
Yes, you have and I've rejected that restriction. The economy is global, what happens in China affects the USA and Africa. If the banking sector in the developed world fails, the whole world suffers.
You're building a castle in the sky, a pure fantasy.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif.
Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:40 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 68 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:59 PM Tangle has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 67 of 93 (757825)
05-14-2015 1:58 PM
Reply to: Message 65 by Phat
05-14-2015 1:47 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
I have an economic question. IF the developed world scaled back its growth, what would happen to the third world?(hypothetically)
That's not really on topic, Phat.
But a quick answer would be: They'd likely welcome the lessening of the severity with which we currently rape them to fuel our endlessand pointlesseconomic growth.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 65 by Phat, posted 05-14-2015 1:47 PM Phat has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 69 by Phat, posted 05-14-2015 2:06 PM Jon has replied
 Message 71 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 2:40 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 68 of 93 (757826)
05-14-2015 1:59 PM
Reply to: Message 66 by Tangle
05-14-2015 1:56 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
Yes, you have and I've rejected that restriction.
Then it's time for your participation in this thread to end.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 66 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 1:56 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 72 by Tangle, posted 05-14-2015 2:43 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18310
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.1


Message 69 of 93 (757831)
05-14-2015 2:06 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by Jon
05-14-2015 1:58 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
This brings up the issue of philosophy. One man sees growth as the only way to make a buck. Another man questions the need for the buck, pointing out that being fed, clothed, and sheltered is enough.
Is that more on topic?

Saying, "I don't know," is the same as saying, "Maybe."~ZombieRingo
It's easy to see the speck in somebody else's ideas - unless it's blocked by the beam in your own.~Ringo
If a savage stops believing in his wooden god, it does not mean that there is no God only that God is not wooden.(Leo Tolstoy)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:58 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 73 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 5:18 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18310
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.1


(1)
Message 70 of 93 (757836)
05-14-2015 2:26 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by Jon
05-08-2015 7:25 PM


One mans shade is another mans warmth.
Jon writes:
There are subjective components to well-being, so there will always be some means to manipulate the graphs a little, but unless you are arguing that all the measures used (which, beside GPI include, in the U.S. for example: HDI, ecological footprint, life satisfaction, and biological carrying capacity) are similarly biased, the trend that I argued for initiallythat in spite of ever increasing economic growth, well-being hasn't increased since around the 1970sseems supported by the charts.
We humans collectively and individually question our happiness and our purpose in life. In my other topic I mention some of the problems and challenges at my workplace. Workers argue for more...always more. Better health care, better hours...more money. Better retirement. Newer workers are forced to follow this drummer...often questioning why they are not paid as well as the older guys or why they must empty the trash rather than scanning groceries.
Jon writes:
Certainly there was a time in the now-developed world in which many people lived so close to the edge of subsistence and extinction that growth in pretty much anything was indeed positive.
But is that the condition we still find ourselves in?
No. Although I might think I would be miserable earning less than I do now, what I really find as i examine my life is that I need more time and more peace of mind more than I need money.
The solutions that you propose are logical and yet would likely be fought.
Jon- listing solutions writes:
...
  1. Eliminate the influence of money in politics
  2. Increase awareness of the link between growthmanship and low quality of life/overall happiness
  3. Utilize labor unions not simple to protect growthmanship jobs but to help create jobs in areas where growth is needed
  4. Phase out consumerism
  5. Heavy taxes on wasteful growth
  6. Worker-owned industries
1) What else do rich guys need money for...if not to gain and use power?
2) Quality of life and philosophy of happiness are indeed important to discuss.
3) Imagine! If we could change labor unions....but would we even need them? If we had good health care and didn't need good wages...
4) Phasing out consumerism is a giant task and I fear most folks wouldnt even understand the need to do so.
5) I agree...tax the crap out of the greedy and the wasteful. Unfortunately they have money and lawyers, however.
6) Would i want to co-own my store? Would it be worth the hard work??
Edited by Phat, : fixed quote

Saying, "I don't know," is the same as saying, "Maybe."~ZombieRingo
It's easy to see the speck in somebody else's ideas - unless it's blocked by the beam in your own.~Ringo
If a savage stops believing in his wooden god, it does not mean that there is no God only that God is not wooden.(Leo Tolstoy)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Jon, posted 05-08-2015 7:25 PM Jon has not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 71 of 93 (757841)
05-14-2015 2:40 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by Jon
05-14-2015 1:58 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
jon writes:
That's not really on topic
Of course it's on topic, it holes your argument below the water line. What you mean is that it inconveniently burns your straw man.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif.
Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:58 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 72 of 93 (757843)
05-14-2015 2:43 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by Jon
05-14-2015 1:59 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
Jon writes:
Then it's time for your participation in this thread to end.
Haha. If only you could restrict the discussion to those that agree with you eh? Good luck with that.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif.
Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 68 by Jon, posted 05-14-2015 1:59 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 73 of 93 (757856)
05-14-2015 5:18 PM
Reply to: Message 69 by Phat
05-14-2015 2:06 PM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
This brings up the issue of philosophy. One man sees growth as the only way to make a buck. Another man questions the need for the buck, pointing out that being fed, clothed, and sheltered is enough.
Is that more on topic?
Perhaps. But we're not really talking about one man's opinion against another's. The metrics presented are averages, and they take into consideration mostly objective facets of well being such as resource depletion, education, life expectancy, and environmental quality.
The key thing driving this is the economic concept of marginality (marginal utility, marginal benefits, diminishing marginal returns, etc.) which I have mentioned a couple of times now.
An example might help demonstrate this: Imagine a community of 100 people who can each eat no more than 10 loaves of bread a day, need at least 2 to survive, and can be satisfied with 5. If there are 100 loaves of bread to divide amongst them equally, all of those loaves will provide a high utility to the community (demonstrated by the community's demand for bread). If 200 loaves are divided equally, again, all of those loaves will provide a high utility. With 300 loaves, however, the utility provided is not as high, since everyone is now surviving. And so on up to 500/day. After 500/day, the utility provided drops substantially since everyone is now satisfied (they can eat more, but it doesn't make them less hungry). After 1,000 loaves it is impossible for the community to consume any more bread. More bread at this point provides no utility. This situation can be represented on a graph:
The concept of marginal utility, which is what this is, tells us that the benefits from consumption of additional units of a good/service begin to diminish as those goods/services satisfy wants/needs. The fewer wants/needs that remain (or the lower the importance of those wants/needs) the less the benefit of additional consumption (because it satisfies fewer wants/needs or wants/needs of less importance).
Now some folks might argue that this situation does not apply to every case of consumption, production, etc. They will tell you that the world we live in is one in which economic laws don't apply to certain things. But they are wrong.
Every good/service can be overproduced. It is a simple economic fact grounded in the biological reality that we are not immortal.* As such, our ability to absorb the benefits of increased production are limited. Not just bread and cars, but medicine, education, oil, TVseven breathable air! And this is what we see in the measurements of standard of living compared to economic growth, which proves the diminished marginal benefit of consuming additional economic growth.
Things start to get complex when we include costs (and not just benefits) in the equation so let's skip that for now and just ask ourselves whether we're at a point yet where increased growth no longer provides increased benefits.
It is try that we are probably not at that point with all goods/services. But with many, yes. And the evidence I've presented (against which no opposing evidence has been offered) demonstrates that, on the aggregate, our current level of economic growth is beyond our ability to reap benefits from that growth.
Will we see huge increases in well-being if we, for example, make some of that growth targeted? Maybe, but it's likely that the increase will be small and that, in fact, even after maxing out in growing targeted areas we will find much of our current growth superfluous.
So it doesn't come down to one man deciding what is enough. It comes down to society deciding what is enough, and the evidence indicates that society has decided that enough is much less than what we're working our asses off trying to produce but a hell of a lot more than food, clothing, and shelter. Enough is a level of production/consumption (not production/consumption of identical goods, as Tangle has tried to make us think with his nonsense about computers) similar to that of the late 1970s.
____________________
* Of course, if we ever break that barrier, then that economic fact might be thrown into question, but until we do, it is the reality with which we live.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by Phat, posted 05-14-2015 2:06 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 79 by Tangle, posted 05-15-2015 1:30 PM Jon has replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 859 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 74 of 93 (757861)
05-14-2015 7:55 PM
Reply to: Message 53 by Tangle
05-13-2015 4:03 AM


Re: Increased Growth No Longer Leads to Increased Well-Being
Remove accidental double post.
Edited by anglagard, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 53 by Tangle, posted 05-13-2015 4:03 AM Tangle has not replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 859 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


(1)
Message 75 of 93 (757863)
05-14-2015 8:09 PM
Reply to: Message 53 by Tangle
05-13-2015 4:03 AM


Pine Ridge and Relative Happiness
Tangle writes:
I would need some convincing that the life of a happy plains Lakotan is better than my life as a happy urban warrior - with good education, security of food supply, physical security and relative longevity.
And a satellite navigation system.
Maybe a native American in exactly the right place in the USA that didn't need to worry about attacks from other tribes, freezing or starving to death in winter and surviving childbirth and appendicitis had a great life. I seriously doubt it - we tend to romanticise these things and can't imagine the hardships - but even if true, he was lucky. For most parts of the world 'simple' existence was harsh, hard, painful and short.
Here are some statistics reported from several sources including the Guardian and NYTimes.
quote:
BRIEF STATISTICS
* 97% of of the population at Pine Ridge Reservation live below federal poverty line.
* The unemployment rate vacillates from 85% to 95% on the Reservation.
* Death due to Heart Disease: Twice the national average.
* The infant mortality rate is the highest on this continent and is about 300% higher than the U.S. national average.
* Elderly die each winter from hypothermia (freezing).
* Recent reports point out that the median income on the Pine Ridge Reservation is approximately $2,600 to $3,500 per year.
* At least 60% of the homes are severely substandard, without water, electricity, adequate insulation, and sewage systems.
* Recent reports state the average life expectancy is 45 years old while others state that it is 48 years old for men and 52 years old for women. With either set of figures, that's the shortest life expectancy for any community in the Western Hemisphere outside Haiti, according to The Wall Street Journal.
From the American Indian Humanitarian Foundation. You may want to read the whole thing for a full appreciation of how happy they must be under such conditions.
I have read enough primary sources to assure you, this is one case in which I can definitely state the Lakota were happier before civilization inadequately bestowed its blessings upon them.
And this is in a first-world country.
Edited by anglagard, : Misspelled title
Edited by anglagard, : Add to quote for clarity of response

Read not to contradict and confute, not to believe and take for granted, not to find talk and discourse, but to weigh and consider. - Francis Bacon

This message is a reply to:
 Message 53 by Tangle, posted 05-13-2015 4:03 AM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 77 by Tangle, posted 05-15-2015 3:45 AM anglagard has not replied

  
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