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Author Topic:   A New Run at the End of Evolution by Genetic Processes Argument
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 177 of 259 (771091)
10-19-2015 10:17 PM
Reply to: Message 171 by Faith
10-19-2015 6:01 PM


Re: Scientists Find More Evidence for Ear Evolution
I have a question. Why would it be that the fossil record never contains this common ancestor such as between humans and apes, or in this case between reptiles and mammals. ...
It is entirely possible that we have, however we can't be sure without more evidence. Unfortunately this evidence is hard to come by due to the low incidence of fossils being found (or formed).
Call it standard scientific tentativity to how the nested hierarchies develop.
... Not to mention of course that each of those layers oddly seem to contain exactly the same version of the creature instead of a range of transitionals. ...
Not odd at all, rather there IS a range in each of the transitional layers. Look again at the Pelycodus -- each layer has a range of sizes, and different layers have different (but overlapping) ranges of sizes. So as the population as a whole evolves to larger sizes each transitional group in their specific layer has a range of sizes.
... not to mention the long time gaps between when multiplied millions of creatures in various stages of evolution and various degrees of relatedness to the ones that got fossilized, ...
And again, we can look at the foraminifera and a virtually continuous evolution over time, with thousands of intermediate forms, with speciation events, all bedded in the spatial\temporal matrix.
Sometimes y’all complain that the same design IS used, which supposedly shows that the Creator isn’t very creative; but here you seem to complain that He IS original. One way or another I guess you get to put yourselves above the God who made you.
Because the evidence forms nested hierarchies, not a braided network: once you have branched off from an evolutionary lineage you can't share the same mutations and thus the same developments if it is evolution; creation does not have such a restriction, and all known actual design certainly cross-fertilizes borrowed ideas in a braided network pattern that does not form nested hierarchies.
Enjoy

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 171 by Faith, posted 10-19-2015 6:01 PM Faith has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 187 of 259 (771109)
10-20-2015 7:40 AM
Reply to: Message 168 by Faith
10-19-2015 5:18 PM


Re: Misconceptions on evolution
Before answering this I want to see your reply on Message 176, as it is important to the comments you make. What I want to do is understand your argument so you don't say things like
... that’s not part of my thesis, ...
So help me to know precisely what your thesis is, and how you see it working.
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : ...
Edited by RAZD, : ..

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 168 by Faith, posted 10-19-2015 5:18 PM Faith has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 196 of 259 (771236)
10-22-2015 3:53 PM
Reply to: Message 194 by Faith
10-21-2015 6:06 PM


Does Message 176 describe your argument
It is NOT assuming the conclusion for pete’s sake, it’s merely stating that it does not contradict my argument ...
For us to really know this we have to know what your argument is, without rambling side comments, and without confusions.
Does Message 176 describe your argument?
  1. every time a population splits, for whatever reason, one population does not have all the frequency of alleles that the other population has -- or that the parent population had.
  2. that this means that the frequency of alleles in the Daughter Population is different from the frequency of alleles in the Parent\Remainder Population.
    THEREFORE the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the first (founding) generation of the Daughter Population will be different from the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the Parent Population.
  3. this different distribution will give rise to new phenotype trait mixes in the second generation (1st set of offspring), due to breeding between the first generation types having different distributions from the Parent Population.
  4. over time (several generations) this process would continue and more new phenotype trait mixes would be generated.
    THEREFORE over time (after many generations) a new phenotype trait mix becomes the dominate "Type" of the Daughter Population, one that is distinctly different from the Parent Population dominant "Type" (the characteristic phenotype mix that is used to define the population -- not identical individuals, but appearing similar on the majority of traits).
  5. the domination of the new "Type" will drive some alleles that were previously common into lower and lower frequencies until they become eliminated from the phenome of the Daughter Population.
  6. loss of previously common alleles may eventually cause the Daughter Population to become reproductively incompatible with the Parent Population.
    THEREFORE a new subspecies is formed that has less genetic diversity than the original species.
    THEREFORE as populations continue to divide this will result in less and less genetic diversity being available, until the (final) resultant subspecies become unable to sub-divide further, thus ending evolution.
So, does this or does this not describe your argument?
If not please correct. You can IM/PM/message me if you don't want to post it.
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : .

we are limited in our ability to understand
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 194 by Faith, posted 10-21-2015 6:06 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 197 by Faith, posted 10-22-2015 8:57 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 198 of 259 (771268)
10-23-2015 10:20 AM
Reply to: Message 197 by Faith
10-22-2015 8:57 PM


Re: Does Message 176 describe your argument
I do want to get back to earlier posts but I'm up to my ears in a really messy furniture moving project that has disrupted my whole computer area. Thanks to the internet guy who says I have to get to a phone jack I haven't seen in ten years because it's behind a heavy bookcase with a lot of stuff in front of it. I've made progress but it's going to take help at some point.
Are you getting DSL or FIOS instead of cable? Hopefully not dial-up (although that has gotten faster as everyone else moves to cable & DSL)
The main problem is that I try not to be so flat-out certain at each stage. I'd more often say this CAN happen than that it WILL happen, because it depends on completely random events. It's more or less accurate with that proviso, I think (I'm too tired to know anything right now).
That is indeed one of the problems I see with your argument/s -- that you waffle around a core concept when you discuss it with others, and this makes it difficult to know for sure what that core argument is.
Now it is fine to be tentative, but your core concept needs to be a statement of certainty to be scientific -- that is what makes them falsifiable when those certain statements are shown to be incorrect (or not always correct). That certainty in the concept is also what leads to predictions that test the validity of the concept.
So to "understand the Faith argument" I need to know what that core concept is, and then we can discuss what it predicts would happen and what it predicts would not happen.
ALso I've never said, as far as I recall, that "the domination of the new type" drives alleles. From what I've read, very low-frequency alleles tend to drop out of a population eventually and I think that's all I've said.
What makes those low frequency alleles drop out other than the increase of the other alleles in the population?
How do you get the rise of new phenotypes without the increase in frequency of some alleles that were not high frequency before?
Also want to answer your statement somewhere that I must have dropped my idea that extinction is what ends evolution. That has NEVER been the idea. I may have said that this trend is toward ultimate extinction but it's not inevitable, and it's the running out of genetic diversity that brings the evolutionary processes to an end. The organism could conceivably go on at that point for a long time without extinction, but also there are likely to be other populations of the same species in a healthier state anyway.
And I believe my latest edit of the last conclusion reflects that:
THEREFORE as populations continue to divide this will result in less and less genetic diversity being available, until the (final) resultant subspecies become unable to sub-divide further, thus ending evolution.
Also, this is from the other thread where I am suspended at the moment, could petition to be reinstated but really this is all I want to say: you answered one of my usual statements that I think random "selection" is more common than natural selection in forming adaptations, ...
Well I would agree that natural selection and genetic drift and stochastic events (like volcanic eruptions) would impact the populations, it is just that natural selection is the only one of these that increases population fitness (adapts) by removing the lesser fit phenotype traits over time.
... as if I'd said it's the only way it happens, but I've said that natural selection of the sort that changes the beak to suit the environment CAN happen, I don't deny it as a possibility, just that it's probably not as common as the other way around. Mostly because it's costly for the bird to change the beak, there are no guarantees a particular adaptation is even available to be selected in some cases so a change in the environment could simply be lethal.
As noted in my reply to NoNukes (Message 1034), in the short run (ie each generation) there are variations in the population that could be considered to be "pre-adapted" because they are better fit to the ecology or the ecological changes -- that this is natural selection working with the natural variation in each population to select the better fit over the lesser fit.
It is the long run view, the continued trend over many generations, where you see adaption beyond what was available in the initial population: larger beaks than the largest beaks in the initial population (and the loss of the smallest beak traits).
I hope I've answered your questions.
For now.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
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RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 197 by Faith, posted 10-22-2015 8:57 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 199 by Faith, posted 10-23-2015 1:16 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 201 of 259 (771284)
10-23-2015 1:58 PM
Reply to: Message 199 by Faith
10-23-2015 1:16 PM


Re: Does Message 176 describe your argument
Just have to say this: No it is not "waffling" to use tentative words. ...
The difference is that saying
"I think X may sometimes cause Y" (waffling) and
"I think X causes Y, but I am not sure -- let's test it; let's say that IF X causes Y THEN Z happens and then look for Z" (scientific tentativity).
One is testable the other is not.
... There is no way to know how a new set of gene frequencies is going to play out, it depends on how different they are from the original population's, how large the founding population is and so on. ...
But if we have a core concept that we want to test we can use it to make predictions of how the new set of gene frequencies should play out if the concept is true and how it should play out if the concept is false and what happens when it is only sometimes true.
... The argument isn't tentative though, there's always a TREND to reduced genetic diversity, that may take more or less time to become apparent depending on those variables.
So the CORE argument is that "there's always a TREND to reduced genetic diversity" ... or as I had for the third conclusion:
THEREFORE a new subspecies is formed that has less genetic diversity than the original species.
... or would it be clearer to say:
THEREFORE as each new subspecies is formed that it has less genetic diversity than its parent species.
?
It's DSL, and the previous was DSL. Or so I thought. I don't understand why I have to get to the phone jack. He says I have to remove the white cord and stick it in the back of the new modem.
Your previous DSL modem would have needed the same. Is the new router wireless? That's what I have, with the modem located in the middle of the house and linked to the phone box by cable. Perhaps he wants you to use a new cable\different box to improve electrical flow (line loss).
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 199 by Faith, posted 10-23-2015 1:16 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 202 by Faith, posted 10-23-2015 2:41 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 207 of 259 (771334)
10-24-2015 3:22 PM
Reply to: Message 202 by Faith
10-23-2015 2:41 PM


Re: Does Message 176 describe your argument
... The argument isn't tentative though, there's always a TREND to reduced genetic diversity, that may take more or less time to become apparent depending on those variables.
So the CORE argument is that "there's always a TREND to reduced genetic diversity" ... or as I had for the third conclusion:
I'm saying neither. I'm saying that X always causes Y but sometimes at an undetectable rate. That's why I tend to prefer extreme examples like low founding numbers.
So the CORE hypothesis(*) of your argument is that population divisions\splits have a tendency (trend) to have some loss of genetic diversity in the daughter population?
Is that not saying the same thing as the first statement I listed on Message 176:
1. every time a population splits, for whatever reason, one population does not have all the frequency of alleles that the other population has -- or that the parent population had.
We can change "does not" to "may not" if you wish, but I would note that this makes the statement a wishy-washy "sometimes X happens and sometimes X does not happen" statement that is not testable or refutable.
Would you agree that theses statements follow from that initial CORE statement:
2. that this means that the frequency of alleles in the Daughter Population is different from the frequency of alleles in the Parent\Remainder Population.
THEREFORE the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the first (founding) generation of the Daughter Population will be different from the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the Parent Population.
Would you consider those statements to be part of your argument?
Enjoy
(*) "hypothesis" because of the lack of evidence that people keep harping on.
Edited by Admin, : Fix message link.

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 202 by Faith, posted 10-23-2015 2:41 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 208 by Faith, posted 10-24-2015 8:33 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 209 of 259 (771372)
10-25-2015 12:24 PM
Reply to: Message 208 by Faith
10-24-2015 8:33 PM


Re: Does Message 176 describe your argument
Faith, I feel like I'm trying to nail down jello ...
Hard to know from the way you've worded it. "ALL the frequency of alleles" doesn't convey anything to me ...
Let me see if I can parse it differently for you
... (doesn't have all) (the frequency of alleles) ...
ie -- some would be different frequencies, some could be the same, for all the different alleles of all the different genes.
... It's possible for all the alleles to be in all the populations but at different frequencies. It's even possible that the frequencies will be pretty much the same, for instance all of them having the greatest frequency of the same alleles, and all having roughly the same distribution of frequencies of the others down to the lowest. It's possible, not very probable with a random split but possible.
I think we are saying the same thing here. Yes?
I'd say that's the probable situation, as above: different frequencies from each other.
So we agree at this stage that this is your argument. Yes?
Moving on:
THEREFORE the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the first (founding) generation of the Daughter Population will be different from the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the Parent Population.
In the founding generation? No, I figure they'll all look like the members of the parent population at that point. Their different frequencies of genotypes wouldn't produce new phenotypes that really APPEAR as phenotypes until after a few generations of recombination.
The parent population is not cookie-cutter homogeneous, but a mixture of varieties. These varieties may not be extremely different, just slightly different as the different alleles\traits are distributed in bell curves for each gene.
So this is a consequence of having different allele frequencies in the founding\first population, that the mixture of these slight varieties would be different from what was found in the parent population. These would not be new phenotypes, just a different selection of phenotypes that existed in the parent population.
For instance you could have a higher % of blue eyes than in the parent population, and a lower % of curly hair than in the parent population.
... Their different frequencies of genotypes wouldn't produce new phenotypes that really APPEAR as phenotypes until after a few generations of recombination.
Which is essentially what I was saying in 3 and 4 and the conclusion that followed them:
3. this different distribution will give rise to new phenotype trait mixes in the second generation (1st set of offspring), due to breeding between the first generation types having different distributions from the Parent Population.
4. over time (several generations) this process would continue and more new phenotype trait mixes would be generated.
THEREFORE over time (after many generations) a new phenotype trait mix becomes the dominate "Type" of the Daughter Population, one that is distinctly different from the Parent Population dominant "Type" (the characteristic phenotype mix that is used to define the population -- not identical individuals, but appearing similar on the majority of traits).
Do you agree with that being an accurate representation of your argument?
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 208 by Faith, posted 10-24-2015 8:33 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 212 by Faith, posted 10-29-2015 12:32 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 254 of 259 (771971)
11-01-2015 3:38 PM
Reply to: Message 225 by Faith
10-31-2015 9:52 AM


those "good" mutations ...
If the question is simply where did the alleles come from above and beyond the two for each locus that had to have been in the individuals on the ark, I've said there had to have been a form of mutation to account for them. A very reliable form of mutation I might add, that actually formed alleles instead of mistakes, ...
Another term for them would be beneficial mutations.
No need for a new name for an observed process -- mutations happen, some deleterious, some neutral and some beneficial.
If it was not in the original individuals then it must be a mutation.
If it benefits the bearer in survival and reproduction then it is by definition beneficial.
Enjoy

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 225 by Faith, posted 10-31-2015 9:52 AM Faith has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 255 of 259 (771972)
11-01-2015 4:27 PM
Reply to: Message 212 by Faith
10-29-2015 12:32 AM


Re: Does Message 176 describe your argument
Getting back to this ...
I'm sorry, I'm trying to be accurate. I'm afraid of letting a statement stand that is only partially accurate that can later cause problems.
Well I worry about not being able to discern what the argument is when it keeps wiggling. It's fine to be tentative, but if your foundation is tentative then the conclusion necessarily is tentative at best, and you need to recognize that as well.
OK, that's clear but the other phrasing wasn't.
Think of it as taking a snap-shot of the genotype\phenotype mix of the first\origin generation of the daughter population from the isolation. If one could tabulate all the allele frequencies of all the genes you would have a definition of that population at that moment.
We could do Hardy-Weinberg ratio calculations on them:
quote:
The Hardy-Weinberg ratio is the starting point for much of the theory of population genetics. It is the ratio of genotype frequencies that evolve when mating is random and neither selection nor drift are operating. ...
These frequencies are reached after a single generation of random mating from any initial genotype frequencies ...
That would quantify your initial population.
The thing is, it seems clear that you can have a very homogeneous population as far as general appearance goes, that nevertheless has high genetic diversity. They can't be "cookie cutter" homogeneous but nevertheless the overall appearance is remarkably homogeneous. ...
Agreed, some traits are somewhat invisible to the eye, leading to better health for instance, but most of the phenotype selection would be apparent in different sizes, different details, and they would be apparent if you were to document each individual rather than look at a tv image of a herd for instance.
So "very homogeneous" would be in the eye of the beholder and the detail they invoked.
... A million wildebeests look just about identical to each other, ...
Ever looked at a herd of cows that all appeared superficially the same but differed in details?
... . In fact there could be enough genetic diversity to form many such daughter populations out of the same larger population and each would end up differing from both the parent population and the other populations. All due to their different gene frequencies and their reduced genetic diversity from the original population. The thing I find hardest to explain is how there could be such apparent homogeneity with so much genetic diversity but it seems to be the case. Agree or disagree?
Curiously I think your "hardest to explain" problem is in your own making by not seeing the diversity in the original population.
Seems so, yes.
OK, yes.
Yes.
Accurate representations of things I've said, ...
So we have a lot of agreement thus far, but ...
Um, this isn't my argument, it's merely an observation on which I base my argument.
... but all these points aren't my argument, they are observations that contribute to my argument. Undergirding as it were. Support. Or context. Sorry if this seems a nitpick but to me it's not. The argument is that these processes require reduced genetic diversity.
Well, I think what we have here is one of the reasons you keep saying that people don't understand your argument, as we are using this word in slightly different ways.
If it is an observation that you base your hypothesis on it is part of your argument that leads to that hypothesis, this is part of the formal structure of the way science is described.
Your argument is not your conclusion, it is the path that leads to your conclusion: if persuasive it should lead others to a similar conclusion.
The conclusion is not the argument it is the hypothesis that is based on the argument/s that are presented to support it.
Your hypothesis is that these processes require reduced genetic diversity. As an hypothesis it is testable and falsifiable.
This gets us to the point of new phenotype mixes beginning to occur ...
Message 176:
1. every time a population splits, for whatever reason, one population does not have all the frequency of alleles that the other population has -- or that the parent population had.
2. that this means that the frequency of alleles in the Daughter Population is different from the frequency of alleles in the Parent\Remainder Population.
C1: THEREFORE the distribution of different phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the first (founding) generation of the Daughter Population will be different from the distribution of those existing phenotype traits (the makeup of the phenome) in the Parent Population.
3. this different distribution will give rise to new phenotype trait mixes in the second generation (1st set of offspring), due to breeding between the first generation types having different distributions from the Parent Population.
Do you agree?
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 212 by Faith, posted 10-29-2015 12:32 AM Faith has not replied

  
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