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Author Topic:   The 2016 United States Presidential Election
frako
Member (Idle past 327 days)
Posts: 2932
From: slovenija
Joined: 09-04-2010


(1)
Message 226 of 892 (793475)
10-30-2016 7:57 AM
Reply to: Message 225 by Percy
10-30-2016 7:46 AM


Re: The Burning of the Democracy
not that alarmist i think its a real possibility trump would be hitler 2.0, but hillary ist that much better it must suck to live in a country where your democracy is a sham
Edited by frako, : No reason given.

Christianity, One woman's lie about an affair that got seriously out of hand
What are the Christians gonna do to me ..... Forgive me, good luck with that.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 225 by Percy, posted 10-30-2016 7:46 AM Percy has replied

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(2)
Message 227 of 892 (793479)
10-30-2016 8:23 AM
Reply to: Message 226 by frako
10-30-2016 7:57 AM


Re: The Burning of the Democracy
frako writes:
it must suck to live in a country where your democracy is a sham
I think many people care less about democracy and more about their way of life. Political institutions are just the means to maintain or improve a way of life. Trump supporters are responding to threats to their way of life and see Trump as willing to do whatever's necessary to save it, no matter that his means are undemocratic as well as politically, economically, internationally and militarily destabilizing. Trump supporters see human rights concerns as just an excuse for emphasizing the plight of minorities and 3rd world peoples at the expense of themselves. If it takes a trade war or a real war or whatever else to put their white lives back on track, then so be it, and hang the consequences on others.
Most notable in these primary and election threads has been the tepid support for Hillary. Obviously some regions are rabidly pro-Hillary, but I think tepid support is more the rule than anything more enthusiastic. If she wins it won't be for what she represents but for who she isn't.
--Percy

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 228 of 892 (793482)
10-30-2016 9:06 AM
Reply to: Message 227 by Percy
10-30-2016 8:23 AM


The Burning of the Democrat Party
Most notable in these primary and election threads has been the tepid support for Hillary. Obviously some regions are rabidly pro-Hillary, but I think tepid support is more the rule than anything more enthusiastic. If she wins it won't be for what she represents but for who she isn't.
I posted this in July before the primary on facebook:
quote:
Okay, so the current tabulated count (ignoring the mail-in votes that have yet to be counted in California and elsewhere) is (total delegates so far — as of 06/18/16):
Hillary 2221 (55%)
Bernie 1830 (45%)
with 4051 of 4051 possible pledge (elected) delegates currently allocated, leaving a delta of 391 delegates.
There are 715 Super-delegates so they CAN decide on one OR the other to make them the candidate. In fact in other years 45% has been sufficient to get the nomination (when that was the highest count).
There is a lot of talk about coming together and how we need to unify so that we can beat Donald Trump in November. The question I have is why pick Hillary to be the standard bearer -- should we not consider ALL possible paths and choose the one most likely to succeed in November -- if that is truly the goal here?
There are a lot of democrats who will stay home or vote for Jill rather than vote for Hillary. Certainly she won't inspire independents to vote for progressive down-ticket candidates.
If we would be voting for "the lesser of two evils" in November, between #SHiliary and #ScaryHairy, shouldn't we be talking about picking a candidate that is not a "lesser evil" in the first place?
Let me put this out here once again: the super-delegates will pick the candidate in the July 25-28 convention, ... but INDEPENDENT voters will pick the PRESIDENT in the November election.
If the DNC (super-delegates) picks Hillary and she loses to Trump it will NOT be because of Bernie, or Bernie supporters, ... it will be because they - the DNC and democrat establishment and the corporate media - picked a WEAKER candidate, one with less mass appeal and one who is seen by many - especially by independent voters - as part of the corrupt system\establishment problem instead of as part of a solution.
Seems that prediction is coming true.
So a lot of "Hillbots" are posting "Remember Nader" and accusing people of endangering the election, ... when the nadir truth is that Gore did not earn enough votes:
Dispelling the Myth of Election 2000: Did Nader Cost Gore the Election?
quote:
George Bush beat Al Gore by only 543 votes in Florida. Gore needed Florida’s electoral votes in order to win the presidency. He did not get them. Gore’s diehard Democratic Party supporters have declared Green Party presidential candidate Ralph Nader the reason their candidate lost the 2000 presidential election, even though numerous other factors in the climactic Florida vote-counting drama affected the outcome. Instead of focusing solely on the votes Ralph Nader took from Al Gore, a balanced analysis would also take into account the following: (1) voters who were disenfranchised; (2) voting systems and procedures that failed; (3) the party-line United States Supreme Court vote declaring George W. Bush the winner; and (4) Democrats who voted for Bush or not at all.
Gore also alienated progressives in the campaign, and sealed that when he picked hawkish independent Lieberman for VP. Hillary is making those very same mistakes by ridiculing Bernie people and picking DINO Tim Kaine for VP.
Those who do not learn from history are bound to repeat it.
If Hillary loses it will be because she does not earn enough votes.
Her tepid non-response to the DAPL protest is indicative of HER wrong direction. Her comment in the (leaked email) account of talks about having a "private face" and a "public face" are also indicative of trustworthiness in actually meaning what she says in public.
I expect that Hillary will win, because Trump is a troglodyte, not because she is a good candidate.
I also expect that the senate may stay in republican hands because she won't inspire voters to elect down ticket candidates. Or that the republicans will win it back in 2018.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
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to share.


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Diomedes
Member
Posts: 995
From: Central Florida, USA
Joined: 09-13-2013


(1)
Message 229 of 892 (793502)
10-31-2016 11:21 AM
Reply to: Message 29 by Diomedes
10-11-2016 1:30 PM


Latest Polls
So far, the fallout from the recent email snafu seems to not have had much of an effect on the numbers. Latest from Real Clear Politics shows Clinton with about 263 electoral votes sewn up:
realclearpolitics.com
As it stands, all she needs to do is win Colorado and she has won the election. And she is currently ahead there by 4.5 points.
Trump has increased his lead slightly in Ohio and Florida is still waffling back and forth. But otherwise, not much in the way of change.
My guess is unless something of substance comes out of that FBI investigation in the next few days, it appears most of the email controversy is already baked into the results.
Then again, anything can happen.

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NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 230 of 892 (793505)
10-31-2016 1:19 PM
Reply to: Message 229 by Diomedes
10-31-2016 11:21 AM


Re: Latest Polls
My guess is unless something of substance comes out of that FBI investigation in the next few days, it appears most of the email controversy is already baked into the results.
During the campaign it has taken a few days for new controversy to get reflected into the results. But given that huge numbers of folks have already voted, issues will have less effect.
Besides that, what we currently have isn't really all that much. I think if something is to be made from them, it will take some active pumping by the media or Trump.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
I never considered a difference of opinion in politics, in religion, in philosophy, as cause for withdrawing from a friend. Thomas Jefferson
Seems to me if its clear that certain things that require ancient dates couldn't possibly be true, we are on our way to throwing out all those ancient dates on the basis of the actual evidence. -- Faith

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Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


Message 231 of 892 (793520)
10-31-2016 9:45 PM
Reply to: Message 201 by Percy
10-26-2016 9:57 AM


Re: What a friend said he liked about Trump
Clinton's position is that a Syrian no-fly zone to save lives would only be implemented through negotiation
Sure, her official position is that it is to save lives, but the unofficial [and actual] reason is to keep the so-called Axis of Evil in check. This is all about keeping Russia/Iran/Syria/North Korea/China tightly constrained so that the United States and NATO allies can continue to do whatever they want unopposed.

"Reason obeys itself; and ignorance submits to whatever is dictated to it" -- Thomas Paine

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Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9142
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.3


(2)
Message 232 of 892 (793534)
11-01-2016 10:16 AM
Reply to: Message 231 by Hyroglyphx
10-31-2016 9:45 PM


Re: What a friend said he liked about Trump
That is quite a leap there. From no-fly zone to world domination in two sentences.
What is it that US and NATO have conspired to do if unopposed?

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10038
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 233 of 892 (793542)
11-01-2016 11:05 AM
Reply to: Message 229 by Diomedes
10-31-2016 11:21 AM


Re: Latest Polls
Diomedes writes:
So far, the fallout from the recent email snafu seems to not have had much of an effect on the numbers. Latest from Real Clear Politics shows Clinton with about 263 electoral votes sewn up:
realclearpolitics.com
As it stands, all she needs to do is win Colorado and she has won the election. And she is currently ahead there by 4.5 points.
Trump has increased his lead slightly in Ohio and Florida is still waffling back and forth. But otherwise, not much in the way of change.
My guess is unless something of substance comes out of that FBI investigation in the next few days, it appears most of the email controversy is already baked into the results.
Then again, anything can happen.
I think the Trump campaign knows this, even if they are unwilling to address it publicly. When someone from the Trump campaign is asked to comment on the national polls they try to redirect by saying that they are ahead in Ohio, as if Trump is running to be President of Ohio.

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Diomedes
Member
Posts: 995
From: Central Florida, USA
Joined: 09-13-2013


(6)
Message 234 of 892 (793550)
11-01-2016 12:59 PM
Reply to: Message 233 by Taq
11-01-2016 11:05 AM


Re: Latest Polls
I think the Trump campaign knows this, even if they are unwilling to address it publicly. When someone from the Trump campaign is asked to comment on the national polls they try to redirect by saying that they are ahead in Ohio, as if Trump is running to be President of Ohio.
The problem is also exacerbated by the rhetoric coming from Trump about the election being 'rigged'. He is essentially setting the stage for defeat, but because he is so thin skinned, he won't accept a legitimate loss. It has to be illegitimate. The problem is, many of his most strident supporters are taking those statements literally. My big concern is some nitwit goes on a rampage after a Trump loss because Trump stupidly called for people to exercise '2nd Amendment Solutions'. The guy is so batshit he literally doesn't have a filter of any sort. And that is dangerous.
Hillary is not perfect, but she summed up Trump in the best way possible: "Anyone that can be baited by a Tweet is not fit to be president."

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AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8529
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


(4)
Message 235 of 892 (793552)
11-01-2016 8:38 PM
Reply to: Message 232 by Theodoric
11-01-2016 10:16 AM


Re: What a friend said he liked about Trump
What is it that US and NATO have conspired to do if unopposed?
It’s a test.
If the USA and its allies can show that we control the world and can keep the others in line thereby proving we are the superior human’s on this planet then we stand to gain the most startling technologies the aliens have to offer. New weapons, controllable machine super-intelligence, FTL star ships, virtually instant long range transport around the planet and the solar system, and, the end to disease, hunger, war. All we have to do is set up Siberia and a bit of northern China as a sanctuary home for the aliens to occupy free of human presence and interference and all these gifts will be ours. OK, so we would have to accept a wee bit more ammonia in our atmosphere (not to exceed 9% for the first 300 years) but we can handle that easy.
Anyway, that’s how I understand it.

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1.61803
Member (Idle past 1525 days)
Posts: 2928
From: Lone Star State USA
Joined: 02-19-2004


Message 236 of 892 (793576)
11-02-2016 9:40 AM
Reply to: Message 235 by AZPaul3
11-01-2016 8:38 PM


Re: What a friend said he liked about Trump
I also think the global warming has to do with all the atmosphere converters the aliens have already installed back during the Eisenhower administration in Roswell. Everything is going to plan.

"You were not there for the beginning. You will not be there for the end. Your knowledge of what is going on can only be superficial and relative" William S. Burroughs

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(2)
Message 237 of 892 (793577)
11-02-2016 9:53 AM
Reply to: Message 234 by Diomedes
11-01-2016 12:59 PM


because ... hacking
... The problem is, many of his most strident supporters are taking those statements literally. ...
quote:
Des Moines Woman Says She Voted Twice For Trump Because "The Polls Are Rigged"
A Des Moines woman has been charged with Election Misconduct, a Class D felony, after allegedly voting twice for GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump. Terri Rote says she was afraid her first ballot for Trump would be changed to a vote for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.
"I wasn't planning on doing it twice, it was a spur of the moment," says Rote.* "The polls are rigged."
But Polk County Attorney John Sarcone says voter fraud in Iowa is very rare, which is evidence that Iowa’s election system is secure.
"I think in the 25-plus years that I've been doing this job, this maybe the third 08-20-2022 5:56 PM we've had some irregularity that's resulted in a criminal charge," says Sarcone. "People aren’t voting more than once. And if they do, or attempt to do it, they will get caught because there are safeguards in place....We want everybody to exercise their right to vote, but only once."
quote:
Trump Loyalists Planned Voter Intimidation Using Fake ID Badges, Fake Exit Polling Until HuffPost Asked Them About ItVote Protectors, the anti-voter-fraud group hosted by Donald Trump ally and political dirty trickster Roger Stone, plans to send volunteers to monitor polling places in nine cities with high minority populations on Election Day, Stone said last week. Untrained poll-watchers have intimidated voters in previous elections. But Vote Protectors is going further than its predecessors.
Stone’s group created an official-looking ID badge for its volunteers to wear, and its volunteers planned to videotape voters and conduct fake exit polls, efforts that election experts say risks intimidating and confusing voters. Or at least that’s what the group was planning to do before The Huffington Post asked Stone about it on Tuesday. The controversial Trump ally, long known for his bare-knuckled political tactics, said that key proposals on his group’s websites were there without his knowledge, and assured HuffPost that he would operate within the confines of election law.
There are several types of fraud that can be committed during an election.
Voter fraud type 1 (people voting twice or pretending to be someone - dead - else) is rare. It is an individual trying to game the system.
Voter fraud type 2 (people not being allowed to vote, voter intimidation) is very prominent this year -- since the voter rights bill was gutted -- and almost all are committed by republican run states. An exception is Rhode Island that passed the ALEC voter photo ID law, which has resulted in fewer people of color getting to vote.
Election fraud type 1 (electronic voting machines hacked with virus that alters votes) is relatively easy, especially for the party in charge of running the elections in the state, and when there is no paper ballots to recount it is not possible to check (except by exit polls indicating significant differences). This is usually done by the party or a segment of the party. There are videos on the internet showing how easy this is. One such source is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GamR4y_ykA0
Election fraud type 2 (old school ballot stuffing or not counting some ballots, electronic vote count tallying machines hacked and tallies altered, ballots moved to different district with different order on ballots) is also covered by articles and videos on the internet. One such source is Hacking Democracy - Wikipedia
The media tries to paint all fraud as type 1 voter fraud and ignores the evidence of other types, when they are more likely and much more dangerous in their ability to alter results.
Note that the woman was trying to counter type 1 election fraud with type 1 voter fraud (with no guarantee of the second vote not being altered as well)
Exit polls have traditionally been used to see if any of the frauds are being conducted in significant numbers -- ie results outside the margins of error of the poll -- but cannot identify the exact amount nor the source of the differences. See Exit poll - Wikipedia also see Stanford Study Proves Election Fraud through Exit Poll Discrepancies | Snopes.com
The obvious solution is to insist on a paper trail that can be (a) verified and (b) recounted by independent vote auditors.
There are several reforms that would be needed for more democratic elections:
1. No more "winner take all" states for electoral college delegates: make delegates proportional to popular votes.
2. Every primary, state and national election should be by verifiable paper ballots with ranked/instant runoff voting, so no candidate can be a "spoiler" in any race. The final primary ranked votes are not counted until the convention, and the final ranked national elections are not counted until the electoral college.
Use the electoral college as the final counting system for the ranked votes. This has two benefits: (1) it does not require amendment to the constitution and (2) this shifts the media circus from election night to the day of the convention or the electoral college. This shift allows states time to validate and recount the ballots.
3. House of representative districts need to be apportioned by a rational metric removed from party bias, such as population density based on census data, and all candidates should be a resident of their district and have voted in it in the previous election.
4. Every citizen should be able to vote without question or restriction of any kind. The federal government could issue photo ID voter cards through the post office just as passports are issued. They can be issued on the 18th birthday for natural born citizens, and issued when naturalized citizens pass their citizenship requirements.
5. Mail in ballots should be available for everyone to send (or handed) in before the election day dead-line, and be exactly the same ballot as paper ballots at the polls.
This can be initiated through ballot initiatives: see Home Page - Ballot Initiative Strategy Center
The problem is also exacerbated by the rhetoric coming from Trump about the election being 'rigged'. ...
Ignoring the evidence of rigging in US primaries and past elections does not make the evidence disappear, rather we should be advocating ways and means to ensure that neither party, nor any private group (like Diebold?), interferes with elections.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 238 of 892 (793578)
11-02-2016 9:53 AM
Reply to: Message 231 by Hyroglyphx
10-31-2016 9:45 PM


Re: What a friend said he liked about Trump
Hyroglyphx writes:
Sure, her official position is that it is to save lives, but the unofficial [and actual] reason is to keep the so-called Axis of Evil in check. This is all about keeping Russia/Iran/Syria/North Korea/China tightly constrained so that the United States and NATO allies can continue to do whatever they want unopposed.
Oh, do say more about our suppression of the Axis of Evil so that we can just run wild.
--Percy

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xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.5


(2)
Message 239 of 892 (793588)
11-02-2016 12:56 PM
Reply to: Message 237 by RAZD
11-02-2016 9:53 AM


Re: because ... hacking
RAZD writes:
The obvious solution is to insist on a paper trail that can be (a) verified and (b) recounted by independent vote auditors.
...and get a receipt of your own ballot (like a carbon copy) with your same ballot's long serial number you take home. Ballots are serial-numbered randomly. Later you can look up on the website and see how they counted the ballot with your serial number, which no one but you, yourself, knows.
This could also help understand how your IRV ballot wound up being counted. I seem to recall that Lani Guinier of the Clinton Administration wanted the IRV system.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

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NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 240 of 892 (793590)
11-02-2016 1:29 PM
Reply to: Message 237 by RAZD
11-02-2016 9:53 AM


Re: because ... hacking
This is usually done by the party or a segment of the party. There are videos on the internet showing how easy this is. One such source is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GamR4y_ykA0
I'm not going to dispute that this is possible and even easy. My question is about your statement about who "usually" commits this kind of fraud. What evidence is there regarding a pattern of abuse that we can label "usually"?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
I never considered a difference of opinion in politics, in religion, in philosophy, as cause for withdrawing from a friend. Thomas Jefferson
Seems to me if its clear that certain things that require ancient dates couldn't possibly be true, we are on our way to throwing out all those ancient dates on the basis of the actual evidence. -- Faith

This message is a reply to:
 Message 237 by RAZD, posted 11-02-2016 9:53 AM RAZD has replied

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