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Author Topic:   Fake polls, fake news
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 6 of 710 (799885)
02-17-2017 10:07 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Faith
02-17-2017 9:11 AM


Faith writes:
That ratings are in the toilet is a lie.
Your NoNukes quote from his Message 409 was only referring to the Trump approval ratings of 45%. I agree with you that that doesn't qualify as being "in the toilet", but it *is* the lowest of any modern president in the first month of his term.
Fake news, fake polls,...
Like your man Trump, you seem to believe that you're just saying so makes it true, or maybe that just you're saying so is sufficient and that what you say doesn't have to have any factual support.
...which is why it was such a shock to the left that Hillary lost.
But the polls were correct that Hillary had a considerable lead. In the end it turned out to be about 3 million votes. It still feels surprising that the popular vote broke out into the electoral college in a way that gave Trump a narrow victory in three key states.
They are continuing with the same old game to try to make it look like Trump has lost favor.
Trump hasn't lost favor among his base, and the media reports this continually, including after yesterday's press conference. Did that press conference seem normal to you? Have you ever seen a president act like Trump did yesterday? Wouldn't you expect people in general to respond negatively to this president's inability to begin hitting anything like a presidential stride.
Twitter has been manipulated too so that only the negative responses to his tweets show up.
Now there's a new one. And you know this how?
You guys have no idea just how sneaky rotten your team is.
And apparently we're technological wizards, too. We couldn't keep Russian hackers out of Democratic emails, but we can hack the presidential Twitter account. Right.
The rest is true. Trump voters DO feel the opposite of you and just about everyone else here.
Well, you're here. Don't just tell us how you feel, tell us the facts behind how you feel. True ones, not the ones Trump likes to make up.
AbE: Faith's OP was very short, just a few sentences, when I originally replied to it. She sure knows how to sow confusion.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : AbE.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Faith, posted 02-17-2017 9:11 AM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 8 by NoNukes, posted 02-17-2017 10:26 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied
 Message 9 by Faith, posted 02-17-2017 10:35 AM Percy has replied
 Message 14 by ooh-child, posted 02-17-2017 12:19 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 20 of 710 (799905)
02-17-2017 2:42 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by Faith
02-17-2017 10:35 AM


Faith writes:
The 45% is the fake news. We on Trump's side knew it even if the rest of you bought it.
And you know this how?
As I said, I agree with you that Trump's approval ratings are not "in the toilet." One should be careful how one doles out superlatives, otherwise none are left by the time something truly appropriate for a superlative occurs. In the case of approval ratings I'd call 30% or lower "in the toilet." Right now they're simply dismal for a president in the first month of a freshly elected administration.
What IS unprecedented is the media's attitude.
The media is reacting the same way anyone does to someone uttering serial untruths. As Shepard Smith of Fox News said yesterday, Trump "keeps repeating ridiculous throwaway lines that are not true at all."
I know about Twitter from trustworthy sources.
What trustworthy sources? Oh, wait a minute, you answer that question next:
But in my opinion anyone who is half conscious ought to know such things are rigged because we know he's very popular.
And you know he's very popular how?
Actually I agree with you. Trump is very popular. 45% approval is nearly half the country. Presidential approval ratings spend most of their time between 35% and 70%.
Whether someone wants to call an average 45% approval rating good or bad is a personal choice, but you can't argue with the number. It's a fact.
You don't need to "hack" Twitter. The people who run Twitter only have to set the program to put the negative responses at the top. Google does the same kind of thing. It's not that hard to bury the views they dislike and bring their favored views to Page One.
And you know this is happening how?
Yes, I forget that there are people watching and waiting to pounce and went ahead and added a response to another post from the Presidency thread. Sorry about that. I can move that part to another post but that might just add to the confusion.
Please do not foster more confusion by moving text around between posts. No one should be significantly editing messages after they've been posted. The edit feature is for minor fixes/changes, not for wholesale rewrites or addendums. Abusers of the edit privilege can lose it.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by Faith, posted 02-17-2017 10:35 AM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 26 by Faith, posted 02-17-2017 5:47 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(3)
Message 51 of 710 (799944)
02-18-2017 8:21 AM
Reply to: Message 26 by Faith
02-17-2017 5:47 PM


Faith writes:
Exactly the same way YOU "know" it's 45% or less. You trust those sources, I don't trust them. Intuition, personal judgment, who we find believable. You have no evidence, so don't ask me for evidence.
But I do have evidence. I have in the past gone to polling websites to discover the details of their methodology, including even the exact phrasing of the questions they asked. I can and did, for example, go to the Gallup website to find the Gallop methodology for their daily tracking polls. If you have a problem with their approach, what is it?
So you did. I disagree. I consider 45% ridiculously fake.
And you know this how? I mean in a factual sense - what is the evidence upon which you base this judgment? Or is it just more intuition and personal judgment from the person who believes in witches.
After all the polls saying Hillary was going to win even as Trump racked up the electoral votes on election night, you still believe what the MSM says is "fact?
Of course I believe the mainstream polling - it was correct about Hillary leading Trump, since she won the popular vote by 3 million votes, a considerable margin. As I said before, the polling wasn't detailed enough to show that Trump would win by narrow margins in three key states that gave him a victory in the electoral college. Since more of the country preferred Hillary to Donald it makes perfect sense, especially given the many missteps and miscues, the combative and antagonistic approach, and the tendency to make up facts he likes and ignore facts he doesn't, that his popularity is low for a newly minted president.
The way they spin stories about Trump is so obviously disgustingly biased and you all just eat it up. It's so blatant I am amazed that even liberals swallow it uncritically. No, Trump is right to call them out in his press conferences. They ARE the enemy. Oh yes there is a big conspiracy out there to defeat Trump no matter what they have to resort to, and the media are the major part of it.
We already know how you feel. What we're wondering is whether there are any facts supporting what you believe. Have you any facts at all, or are your contributions to this thread going to consist only of you repeating your unsupported opinions over and over?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by Faith, posted 02-17-2017 5:47 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 52 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 2:55 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 54 of 710 (799953)
02-18-2017 3:34 PM
Reply to: Message 52 by Faith
02-18-2017 2:55 PM


Faith writes:
Rasmussen found 55%. I believe Rasmussen, you believe Gallup. Those are the facts.
But I don't disbelieve Rasmussen. In the absence of information about how they conduct their poll I would withhold judgment, but Caffeine says Rasmussen polls people who say they intend to vote, while the Gallup methodology I read doesn't say anything about selecting on the basis of voting intent. That could account for the difference. We cannot too easily compare histories of the Gallup and Rasmussen polls because Rasmussen only goes back to 2003. This means we couldn't compare how Bush's (either one) or Clinton's or Reagan's first 30 days Rasmussen poll numbers compare to Trump's.
But if you go to this Rasmussen webpage you can see that on February 17, 2009, just 30 days into his first administration Rasmussen gave Obama a +15 approval index, while today they're giving Trump a +2.
So on what basis do you reject Gallup and accept Rasmussen? Anything factual, anything at all?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 2:55 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 56 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 3:53 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 62 of 710 (799961)
02-18-2017 4:47 PM
Reply to: Message 56 by Faith
02-18-2017 3:53 PM


Faith writes:
Here I am sitting in the Coffee House, enjoying my macchiato, I'm happy to chat and compare notes but demanding evidence belongs somewhere else. IMHO.
I'm just asking if there's any factual basis for your beliefs, and the answer is apparently not. You just believe what you like and damn the facts.
As I said, the Rasmussen poll includes only people who intend to vote, while the Gallup poll does not. This could account for the difference. Trump is still very popular with his base, but his administration appears chaotic and disorganized, and Trump himself seems ignorant, impulsive, mean and inept. He has no experience in governing and it shows. To ignore it would be to ignore the elephant in the room, and so the media is not ignoring it.
forget anything left, a bunch of crybabies, flamethrowers and assassins, what a crowd -- and I don't trust ANYTHING in the "mainstream" including polls. Evidence, schmevidence, that can be faked too, very easily with polls.
To paraphrase Harry Truman, the media isn't giving Trump hell. It's just that for Trump the truth is hell.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 56 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 3:53 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 64 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 4:48 PM Percy has replied
 Message 116 by caffeine, posted 02-19-2017 4:43 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 70 of 710 (799971)
02-18-2017 5:25 PM
Reply to: Message 64 by Faith
02-18-2017 4:48 PM


Faith writes:
Nicely spun, Leftie. I'm sure you'll get some accolades for that.
Except that I'm not a "Leftie". I'm neither a Republican or a Democrat. I'm a fiscal conservative and a social liberal. I like some of Trump's positions, like single payer health insurance, reducing corporate taxes, and eliminating the interest-to-long-term capital gains tax loop hole. What I'm against is having an impulsive, inexperienced, ignorant and mean-spirited person as president. There is evidence for this entire characterization, should evidence ever be something you're interested in discussing.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 4:48 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 72 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 5:28 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 87 of 710 (799992)
02-18-2017 7:48 PM
Reply to: Message 72 by Faith
02-18-2017 5:28 PM


Faith writes:
I'm aware of that "evidence." I consider it spin, not truth.
We're already familiar with your opinions. What you haven't provided is any facts underpinning what you believe. Your reluctance to discuss them can only be explained if no such facts exist, much like Trump and his many fact-free claims.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 72 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 5:28 PM Faith has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 89 of 710 (799994)
02-18-2017 8:02 PM
Reply to: Message 85 by Faith
02-18-2017 7:07 PM


Re: more uter lies and dishonesty from Faith
Faith writes:
More lies, jar. Cut it out.
Jar spoke the truth and it bears repeating. No one here hates Trump. We have to live in this country, and we wish him every success in terms of doing what is best for our country and the world. We hope his policies result in economic prosperity, happiness, freedom and world peace.
But little he's done looks like it will end well. You don't bake a cake by blowing up the kitchen, but in effect that's what he's trying to do. We all hope he wakes up tomorrow and becomes honest, humble, compassionate and grounded in reality, but we know that's unlikely - he's been who he is for a very long time.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 85 by Faith, posted 02-18-2017 7:07 PM Faith has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 139 of 710 (800147)
02-20-2017 10:17 AM
Reply to: Message 120 by Faith
02-19-2017 7:20 PM


Re: Pizzagate - There's something to it???
Faith writes:
As often happens here, I tried to post a minimum of what I thought would be recognized as simple facts...
Would that it were so that you've tried to provide facts. A couple days ago you stated your true position, that you weren't interested in facts and evidence ("demanding evidence belongs somewhere else", Message 56) and refused to provide support for your claims.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 120 by Faith, posted 02-19-2017 7:20 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 140 by Faith, posted 02-20-2017 10:57 AM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(2)
Message 147 of 710 (800158)
02-20-2017 11:35 AM
Reply to: Message 140 by Faith
02-20-2017 10:57 AM


Re: Pizzagate - There's something to it???
Faith writes:
Ah yes, well that is correct as far as it goes. Evidence to prove one poll better than another is way too much to ask,...
But that was your claim, that the Rasmussen poll was better than the Gallup poll. Again, you know this how?
The alternative that was suggested to you is that there's a better way of looking at the polls. Caffeine and I explained several times that Gallup polled everyone while the Rasmussen polled those likely to vote, and that this could account for the difference. In other words both polls are valid, within their respective error margins.
But in the case of Pizzagate I know there are facts out there.
No you don't. The Democratic campaign and Clinton were running a human trafficking and child prostitution ring out of pizza shops across the US? Really? You have serious problems recognizing the absurd.
It would be nice if conversations here could be a little more ... casual? ...
That would be a lot easier if didn't keep popping our nonsense meters off the scale. Polls are a credible subject, Pizzagate is absurd. Do you have any fake news to discuss that isn't?
It's so much more pleasant than pedophilia allegations.
I would be delighted if the subject were dropped.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 140 by Faith, posted 02-20-2017 10:57 AM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 149 by Faith, posted 02-20-2017 11:50 AM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 154 of 710 (800165)
02-20-2017 12:10 PM
Reply to: Message 149 by Faith
02-20-2017 11:50 AM


Re: Pizzagate - There's something to it???
I see that in your previous post you've got scare-tactic predictions, absurd claims that only the right knows what's best for the country, and statements that now it's a world-wide conspiracy against Trump and that they'll be sorry. I also see nothing about the topic, which is supposed to be fake polls and news. You have no comment about the information about the differences between the Rasmussen and Gallup polls?
Faith writes:
The facts I was referring to are the actual emails. Those ARE facts.
There's more conspiracy in the Constitution than those emails. It might be a good idea to drop the subject until there are facts other than "emails exist."
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 149 by Faith, posted 02-20-2017 11:50 AM Faith has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(4)
Message 187 of 710 (800225)
02-21-2017 8:00 AM
Reply to: Message 178 by Faith
02-20-2017 8:41 PM


Re: Emails
Faith writes:
And we don't need him to tell us the media are fake news,...
And you have so far given no examples of the mainstream liberal media (New York Times, Washington Post, CNN) concocting fake news. We do have examples of the conservative media doing it, like Pizzagate.
I *do* think you're using a fake definition of fake news, because you seem to think it's any news that isn't favorable to Donald Trump. Wikipedia defines fake news as "deliberately published hoaxes, propaganda and disinformation purporting to be real news." Can you accept that definition, and then can you provide examples of the mainstream liberal media engaging in its practice?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 178 by Faith, posted 02-20-2017 8:41 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 191 by New Cat's Eye, posted 02-21-2017 12:19 PM Percy has replied
 Message 192 by Faith, posted 02-21-2017 12:22 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 195 of 710 (800257)
02-21-2017 1:10 PM
Reply to: Message 191 by New Cat's Eye
02-21-2017 12:19 PM


Re: Emails
New Cat's Eye writes:
Is the charge of "fake news" really claiming that the mainstream media is posting hoaxes?
If you mean Trump's charge of "fake news", then no, it isn't a claim that the mainstream media is posting hoaxes. As Wikipedia says, "fake news" is "deliberately published hoaxes, propaganda and disinformation purporting to be real news." What Trump means by "fake news" is something different and incorrect. By "fake news" Trump means news that is unfavorable to him, like that he didn't have the largest inauguration crowd in history, or that he didn't have the biggest electoral victory since Reagan, or that there wasn't a terrorist incidence in Sweden Friday night.
Trump is clearly misusing the term "fake news". For example, at his first press conference he called CNN "fake news" for reporting that a former British intelligence agent had gathered a dossier on Trump that purportedly contained potentially salacious material, specifically noting that they had not been able to confirm the validity of the dossier. Nothing they said was false or fake. One could very reasonable argue that CNN should not have reported this without gaining reliable information about the dossier's contents, that short of that the story lacked significance, but one can't argue that they said anything false or fake.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 191 by New Cat's Eye, posted 02-21-2017 12:19 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 199 by New Cat's Eye, posted 02-21-2017 1:40 PM Percy has replied
 Message 205 by Faith, posted 02-21-2017 2:27 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(5)
Message 200 of 710 (800264)
02-21-2017 1:44 PM
Reply to: Message 192 by Faith
02-21-2017 12:22 PM


Re: Solme examples of fake news against Trump
Hi Faith,
I appreciate the effort to try to post some evidence, but, well, I didn't see any example of "fake news" by the mainstream media in your post, the media that Trump has been castigating, the ones he mentioned in this tweet:
"The FAKE NEWS media (failing @nytimes, @CNN, @NBCNews, @ABC, @CBS and many more) is not my enemy, it is the enemy of the American people."
And you can add the Washington Post to that list, Trump's omission of it was probably accidental.
"Fake news" from the mainstream media would be anything from one of these news outlets that is demonstrably false (to use Wikipedia's definition, a hoax, propaganda or disinformation) that they refuse to back away from and continue promoting. We don't mean actual reporting or wording that Trump doesn't like. We don't mean tweets.
fortunately there are sources of information on fake news against Trump that I can refer to because I'm just aware of being drowned in it every day and am not good at keeping track of specifics.
If you're truly being drowned in "fake news" every day then while reading or watching one of these mainstream media outlets just send us a post about it. Describe what was false and include a link to the article or the broadcast video.
But as I said in my previous post, Trump (and you) are misusing the term "fake news." The mainstream media is not engaged in "fake news." They're just reporting facts that Trump wishes weren't true, like the news about the investigations into Russian connections. Whether Trump likes it or not, that these investigations are happening is a fact, and yet reporting about it is apparently what launched him on his cruise into nuttiness at last week's press conference.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 192 by Faith, posted 02-21-2017 12:22 PM Faith has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 203 of 710 (800267)
02-21-2017 1:53 PM
Reply to: Message 199 by New Cat's Eye
02-21-2017 1:40 PM


Re: Emails
New Cat's Eye writes:
So is this thread about the Wikipedia definition of fake news or the Trump definition of fake news?
You mean should we use the actual definition of "fake news" or the fake definition of "fake news?" I'm going to vote for the actual definition.
And are we only to be bothered by a news story if the author says anything that is blatantly false or fake?
I think Trump has set the standard for the threshold for what is false or fake, and that standard is the exact word you used: blatant. Trump claimed his inauguration drew the largest crowds in history, that his electoral college victory was the largest since Reagan, so that's the standard. Find examples of the mainstream media making similarly blatant false claims and then not backing away from them.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 199 by New Cat's Eye, posted 02-21-2017 1:40 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 204 by New Cat's Eye, posted 02-21-2017 2:05 PM Percy has replied

  
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