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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House The Trump Presidency

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Author Topic:   The Trump Presidency
Taq
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Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(1)
Message 1328 of 4573 (821740)
10-11-2017 5:44 PM
Reply to: Message 1319 by Stile
10-11-2017 9:14 AM


Re: People who voted for Jill Stein were tricked, and we are all paying for it
Stile writes:
Or, using your terminology: Clinton wasn't good enough to stand for her Democratic values and also appeal to enough of rural America to win the election.
In today's political climate, a D next to your name on a ballot is reason enough not to vote for that candidate. I doubt that Sanders would have received those votes.
Are there things no one knows about (currently) that could solve this conundrum for the Democrats?
Perhaps. The phrase is still true as stated, again.
One of the solutions is to have Republicans in power so they can demonstrate that they are incapable of governing in a way that benefits rural America. It's one thing to be against Obamacare because it starts with Obama, but it is another when you are faced with the prospect of losing your insurance and/or Medicaid because of Republican policies.
It seems you have made your conclusion without any (offered) reasoning/support.
Vote for Jill Stein to send a message that you want a different type of Democratic candidate. Result: Trump.
Vote for Hillary Clinton and voice your opinion in subsequent primaries about the type of candidate you want. Result: Clinton (i.e. not Trump).
I guess it comes down to which you prefer. In my opinion, the second option seems a lot better.
1 - The temporary cost of having Trump in office could easily be worth it for the potential long-term gain of forcing the Democrats to learn how to stick to their values, reduce corruption in their politics and also appeal more to rural America.
It's not as if Clinton was appointed by elite Dems in a smoky back room. She won the primary election.
Edited by Taq, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1319 by Stile, posted 10-11-2017 9:14 AM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1334 by Stile, posted 10-12-2017 9:08 AM Taq has not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1338 of 4573 (821794)
10-12-2017 5:19 PM
Reply to: Message 1330 by New Cat's Eye
10-12-2017 12:04 AM


Re: People who voted for Jill Stein were tricked, and we are all paying for it
New Cat's Eye writes:
They look pretty damned red to me...
Land doesn't vote. People do.
Your method of representing the vote could allow a county with a single vote to count as much as a county with 1 million votes. That's bad math.
Isn't the point of the electoral college to prevent those densely populated islands of blue from taking charge of the huge sea of red that is out there?
From what I have read, part of the reason for the Electoral College was to prevent the election of a completely unfit President. It was thought that a college of somewhat sane people might undo the vote made by the people if need be, such as preventing the election of Napoleon or some such craziness. Since then, laws in some states require the elector to vote the same as the people, so that has lost some bite over the years.
One could also argue that using the number of Senators in the equation for doling out electors is a nod to preserving state rights and not allowing more populous states from overpowering less populous states. This was the reasoning for the two houses of Congress.
Your scenario requires all three states going to Hillary, which would require changing 77,744 votes. There's smaller margin charges than that on the other side that would allow for Trump to still win even if your three states switched.
I just took a look at the 2012 Presidential election results, and Obama won by 5 million in the popular vote and 332 to 206 in the Electoral College. Hillary won by 3 million votes, and lost the Electoral College. That seems pretty screwed up.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1330 by New Cat's Eye, posted 10-12-2017 12:04 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(1)
Message 1369 of 4573 (822024)
10-17-2017 6:50 PM
Reply to: Message 1357 by Modulous
10-16-2017 5:17 PM


Re: Democrats need to stop blaming others for their loss.
Modulous writes:
So if he makes it 4 years and elects to run a second time, the Democrats had better field a candidate that appeals to more people than their last effort.
The irony is that the next Democratic candidate could get fewer votes than Hillary and still win handily. Trump got 3 million fewer votes than Hillary and still won.
Even knowing the present outcome, I likely would not have voted Clinton. I reserve my votes for candidates that I want to win, not the lesser of the two evils most likely to win.
I doubt that anyone voting for Stein or Johnson thought they would win. It's a bit like watching a 3 year old walk right by you and onto the highway where they are struck by a car. You can claim that it isn't your fault because you weren't driving the car, but is that really the truth?
If Trump getting 57% of the vote, while another candidate was preferred by more citizens - I can only suggest you kick up a fuss and hope to make Presidential electoral reform a key factor in the legislature elections.
The current electoral system favors the party in power, so it is a self reinforcing problem.
Edited by Taq, : No reason given.
Edited by Taq, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1357 by Modulous, posted 10-16-2017 5:17 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1374 by Modulous, posted 10-18-2017 12:22 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(5)
Message 1375 of 4573 (822077)
10-18-2017 5:41 PM
Reply to: Message 1372 by dronestar
10-18-2017 11:13 AM


Re: A valid reason to vote 3rd Party
dronestar writes:
For example, a family of an American soldier who died in the illegal and immoral Iraqi invasion that Hillary fully authorized, cheerled, and repeatedly funded.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1372 by dronestar, posted 10-18-2017 11:13 AM dronestar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1387 by dronestar, posted 10-19-2017 2:38 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1376 of 4573 (822078)
10-18-2017 5:49 PM
Reply to: Message 1374 by Modulous
10-18-2017 12:22 PM


Re: Democrats need to stop blaming others for their loss.
Modulous writes:
Again, this is not important. It's exactly the way the system is supposed to operate - the popular vote does not select the President - though it often coincides with the selection. Of the votes that matter, Trump got 77 more than Hilary.
Then you should be saying that the next Democratic candidate needs to get the right votes, not more votes.
Or perhaps it's like two people arguing over whether the 3 year old should get hit by a car or a truck while you are arguing, perhaps the 3 year old shouldn't be getting hit by any vehicle, or if it must, let it be a bicycle - even while knowing you will ultimately lose the argument but hoping that next time those a 3 year olds fate is in the balance - the people that argued for car and lost try to argue they should be hit by a motorbike next time or at least a slower moving car and hope to win that argument instead.
Nope, that's not it.
Since 1960 it has gone
Since 2000 there have been two occasions where the winner of the presidential election did not win the popular vote, and both times it was a Republican. Republicans are currently in power, hence the self reinforcing problem. On top of that, state districts are heavily gerrymandered in favor of the Republicans since 2010, so that gives them overrepresentation in the House and Senate.
If it swings the other way, I am sure that Democrats will be just as unwilling to change the rules.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1374 by Modulous, posted 10-18-2017 12:22 PM Modulous has replied

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1420 of 4573 (822358)
10-23-2017 2:56 PM
Reply to: Message 1387 by dronestar
10-19-2017 2:38 PM


Re: A valid reason to vote 3rd Party
dronestar writes:
And I am so sorry to irritate you with my harping (I tire of it too). I sincerely wish there wasn’t someone holding a gun to your head and forcing you to read every post in the thread. Gosh, it has to be a million times more annoying then those dark-skinned Iraqis who continue to suffer silently and invisibly in the corporate media from Hillary’s criminal actions.
If your motto is "more cowbell this time", you should probably find a new topic to rant on.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1387 by dronestar, posted 10-19-2017 2:38 PM dronestar has replied

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 Message 1421 by dronestar, posted 10-23-2017 3:22 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1425 of 4573 (822367)
10-23-2017 4:42 PM
Reply to: Message 1421 by dronestar
10-23-2017 3:22 PM


Re: A valid reason to vote 3rd Party
dronester writes:
And I am so sorry to irritate you with my harping (I tire of it too). I sincerely wish there wasn’t someone holding a gun to your head and forcing you to read every post in the thread. Gosh, it has to be a million times more annoying then those dark-skinned Iraqis who continue to suffer silently and invisibly in the corporate media from Hillary’s criminal actions.
No irritation and no gun involved. I am often morbidly entertained by watching people display their psychological problems in public, sort of like being transfixed while watching a dumpster fire.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1421 by dronestar, posted 10-23-2017 3:22 PM dronestar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1427 by dronestar, posted 10-23-2017 5:24 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(1)
Message 1429 of 4573 (822373)
10-23-2017 5:43 PM
Reply to: Message 1427 by dronestar
10-23-2017 5:24 PM


Re: A valid reason to vote 3rd Party
dronestar writes:
I think the term for someone who enjoys watching people in crisis and dumpster fires is called a 'sociopath.'
No need to be irritated. No one has a gun to your head forcing you to read my posts.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1427 by dronestar, posted 10-23-2017 5:24 PM dronestar has replied

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(2)
Message 1453 of 4573 (822460)
10-25-2017 12:53 PM
Reply to: Message 1451 by RAZD
10-25-2017 11:45 AM


Re: Trump 2.0? Probably
RAZD writes:
The democrats have not fixed any of their problems and are instead hunkering down and purging Berniecrats from the DNC.
Winning the popular vote by 3 million in a presidential election would be a "problem" most political parties would dream of having.
It would seem that the major problems they have to conquer are local, as in gerrymandering. Each state is going to have its own quirks and type of viable candidate, so I don't think there is any single magic idea that is going to work.
quote:
With preliminary data now available about nationwide congressional voting trends this year, we can begin to tackle some of these questions. First, while Republicans, as of this writing, received a plurality of votes cast for Congress nationwide this year49.9 percent, again according data from the Cook Political Reportthey received a greater share, 55.2 percent, of the seats. Democrats, as a result, won a smaller share of seats than they did votes: 44.8 percent of seats as compared to 47.3 percent of the votes. (These numbers may change as final vote tallies are updated.)
Republicans in Congress got a seats bonus this election (again)
It would seem that the real problem is in congressional candidates and not the vote at the top of the ticket. While the scales are still tipped in the favor or Republicans, the Dems still can't complain too loudly since they got fewer votes by a couple percentage points.
You may have echoed these same sentiments earlier in this thread, so I apologize if I am retreading well worn ground.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1451 by RAZD, posted 10-25-2017 11:45 AM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1455 by RAZD, posted 10-25-2017 2:36 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1456 of 4573 (822463)
10-25-2017 2:46 PM
Reply to: Message 1455 by RAZD
10-25-2017 2:36 PM


Re: Trump 2.0? Probably
RAZD writes:
So I'll repeat what I said about that: getting a massive vote in states you have already won the electoral college votes, but failing to win electoral votes in swing states is to my mind a failure to properly manage where the election energy, cashflow, ads, etc was spent. ie - less time in california and more in pennsylvania and michigan could have made a difference. The extra votes were wasted when a few more votes in specific areas were needed.
That's exactly what they tried to do. Pennsylvania was thought to be as much of a lock as California. The same for Michigan. The voter models they were using to tell them where to spend their money was wrong, and no one really knew it was wrong until after the election. What they saw was higher than expected voter turn out in rural areas in some states, with Pennsylvania being a perfect example.
As the old saying goes, hindsight is 20/20.
Added in edit:
Here are some links for the polling data leading up to the election. The polling in both Pennsylvania and Michigan look pretty good for Clinton, especially so in Penn where Republicans hadn't won in quite some time:
realclearpolitics.com
realclearpolitics.com
The democrats don't seem to know how to campaign in "off year" elections, letting republicans win in state and federal races for representatives etc.
A lot of that has to do with voter turnout as well. The demographics that tend to vote Republican have traditionally turned out in higher numbers in off year elections.
Going for corporate sponsorship is a huge mistake when your base is working people trying to make ends meet.
Obama was sponsored by large corporations, and he kicked ass.
The more they campaign as "republican lite" the fewer people will be interested, especially in off-years.
Obama was as Republican Lite as it gets. Even his healthcare plan was a Republican plan. Obama crushed it in the voting booth.
I can't help but lean towards the old saw that Democrats fall in love and Republicans fall in line. Personality has a lot to do with getting elected, and Hillary just flat out lacked personality.
Edited by Taq, : No reason given.
Edited by Taq, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1455 by RAZD, posted 10-25-2017 2:36 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1464 by RAZD, posted 10-26-2017 5:30 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1469 of 4573 (822567)
10-27-2017 5:09 PM
Reply to: Message 1464 by RAZD
10-26-2017 5:30 PM


Re: Trump 2.0? Probably
RAZD writes:
Well she had a negative image long before November.
As does every single politician. None of them are perfect.
Exactly, the model was wrong because they didn't look at rural working people and rural unemployed -- so Trump picked them up.
They did look at rural working people and the rural unemployed. What they didn't predict, and no one predicted, was that voter turnout in those demographics would be much higher than in previous years. Trump had them the entire time.

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Taq
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Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


(4)
Message 1546 of 4573 (825352)
12-13-2017 2:48 PM
Reply to: Message 1544 by NoNukes
12-13-2017 2:16 PM


Re: Trump's "glass half full"
"Trailer half full" was the first phrase that came to my mind.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1544 by NoNukes, posted 12-13-2017 2:16 PM NoNukes has seen this message but not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1556 of 4573 (825410)
12-14-2017 5:46 PM
Reply to: Message 1554 by NoNukes
12-14-2017 1:27 PM


Re: Accusers Call for Congressional Investigation
NoNukes writes:
Yes, it is still the case that recognition that Trump is unsuitable is slow among his base, but even there, Trump appears to be suffering the death of a thousand cuts. Trump's core support is very strong and includes some number of folks we should never expect to change. But Trump's approval rating among Republicans is well out of that mid eighty to ninety range it was at just a month ago.
At some point people from the middle class and below will notice that no one is building a wall, their tax bill is about the same while the rich are getting a massive tax break, and a long list of other unfulfilled promises. Republican healthcare system? Nowhere to be found.
What happens next? I think I will grab some popcorn, kick back in the recliner . . .

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1597 of 4573 (826279)
12-27-2017 5:46 PM
Reply to: Message 1594 by caffeine
12-27-2017 12:33 PM


Re: Why Does Trump Seem Invulnerable to his Base
caffeine writes:
It also helps, of course, that standing amongst the enemies perceived by Trump's supporters are the 'liberal media establishment'. News critical of Trump easily looks like the globalists fighting back. Which is why my heart dies a little whenever I see something like the cringeworthy whining of CNN over the stupid wrestling video tweet. This kind of over-the-top melodrama undermines the media's credibility when it comes to serious and relevant criticism, and strengthens the view of Trump supporters that the 'lamestream media' are out to destroy Trump at any cost.
What undermines credibility is when a group of people focuses on one story that doesn't mean anything, and then ignores piles of credible and fact based reports that show them in a poor light.

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10044
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 1657 of 4573 (826732)
01-08-2018 5:57 PM
Reply to: Message 1651 by Percy
01-08-2018 10:04 AM


Re: Stephen Miller Speaks His Mind
Percy writes:
Apparently, after the interview the exchanges continued, Miller was asked to leave the set, refused, and was eventually escorted off by security. Let me repeat that. A senior policy advisor to the president of the United States behaved so badly that he had to be escorted off a premises by security.
In one moment, Miller is demeaning the veracity and honesty of what CNN reports on. The next moment, Miller wants to be on CNN so badly that they have to get security to remove him from the set.
The lady doth protest too much, methinks.

This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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