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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House The Trump Presidency

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Author Topic:   The Trump Presidency
Percy
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Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


(1)
Message 1894 of 4573 (828377)
02-16-2018 5:29 PM
Reply to: Message 1892 by Percy
02-16-2018 4:19 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
I've read further down The Indictment. They're being charged with conspiracy (comments I make about items appear in italicized parentheses like this):
quote:
Object of the Conspiracy
  1. The conspiracy had as its object impairing, obstructing, and defeating the lawful governmental functions of the United States by dishonest means in order to enable the Defendants to interfere with U.S. political and electoral processes, including the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

Here's a section on identity theft:
quote:
Object of the Conspiracy
  1. In or around 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators also used, possessed, and transferred, without lawful authority, the social security numbers and dates of birth of real U.S. persons without those persons' knowledge or consent. Using these means of identification, Defendants and their co-conspirators opened accounts at PayPal, a digital payment service provider; created false means of identification, including fake driver's licenses; and posted on ORGANIZATION-controlled social media accounts using the identities of these U.S. victims. Defendants and their co-conspirators also obtained, and attempted to obtain, false identification documents to use as proof of identity in connection with maintaining accounts and purchasing advertisements on social media sites.
  2. By 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators used their fictitious online personas to interfere with the 2016 U.S. presidential election. They engaged in operations primarily intended to communicate derogatory information about Hillary Clinton, to denigrate other candidates such as Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, and to support Bernie Sanders and then-candidate Donald Trump.
    1. On or about February 10, 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators internally circulated an outline of themes for future content to be posted to ORGANIZATION-controlled social media accounts. Specialists were instructed to post content that focused on "politics in the USA" and to "use any opportunity to critcize Hillary and the rest (except Sanders and Trump - we support them)."
    2. On or about September 14, 2016, in an internal review of an ORGANIZATION-created and controlled Facebook group called "Secured Borders," the account specialist was criticized for having a "low number of posts dedicated to criticizing Hillary Clinton" and was told "it is imperative to intensify criticizing Hillary Clinton" in future posts.
  3. In or around the latter half of 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators, through their ORGANIZATION-controlled personas, began to encourage U.S. minority groups not to vote in the 2016 U.S. presidential election or to vote for a third-party U.S. presidential candidate. (That's pretty insidious. The 3rd party candidate voting was a topic of lengthy discussion earlier in this thread - evidently the Russians thought it could be helpful in achieving their goals.)
  4. Starting in or around the summer of 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators also began to promote allegations of voter fraud by the Democratic Party through their fictitious U.S. personas and groups on social media. Defendants and their co-conspirators purchased advertisements on Facebook to further promote the allegations.
  5. From at least April 2016 through November 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators, while concealing their Russian identities and ORGANIZATION affiliation through false personas, began to produce, purchase, and post advertisements on U.S. social media and other online sites expressly advocating for the election of then-candidate Trump or expressly opposing Clinton. Defendants and their co-conspirators did not report their expenditures to the Federal Election Commission, or register as foreign agents with the U.S. Department of Justice.
  6. To pay for the political advertisements, Defendants and their co-conspirators established various Russian bank accounts and credit cards, often registered in the names of fictitious U.S. personas created and used by the ORGANIZATION on social media. Defendants and their co-conspirators also paid for other political advertisements using PayPal accounts. (Sounds like money laundering)
  7. Starting in approximately June 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators organized and coordinated political rallies in the United States. To conceal the fact that they were based in Russia, Defendants and their co-conspirators promoted these rallies while pretending to be U.S. grassroots activists who were located in the United States but unable to meet or participate in person. Defendants and their co-conspirators did not register as foreign agents with the U.S. Department of Justice. (Russians running campaign rallies for U.S. elections sounds like it should be a much more serious offense then just failing to register as a foreign agent. It seems like it should be equivalent to spying. If it's not then there's a hole in U.S. law.)
  8. In order to build attendance for the rallies, Defendants and their co-conspirators promtoed the events through public posts on their false U.S. persona social media accounts. In addition, Defendants and their co-conspirators contacted administrators of large social media groups focused on U.S. politics and requested that they advertise the rallies.

I've posted enough of the indictment, it goes on like that, although here's a couple particularly insidious items:
  1. After the election of Donald Trump in or around November 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators used false U.S. personas to organize and coordinate U.S. political rallies in support of then president-elect Trump, while simultaneously using other false U.S. personas to organize and coordinate U.S. political rallies protesting the results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. For example, in or around November 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators organized a rally in New York through one ORGANIZATION-controlled group designed to "show your support for President-Elect Donald Trump" held on or about November 12, 2016. At the same time, Defendants and their co-conspirators, through another ORGANIZATION-controlled group, organized a rally in New York called "Trump is NOT my President" held on or about November 12, 2016. Similarly, Defendants and their co-conspirators organized a rally entitled "Charlotte Against Trump" in Charlotte, North Carolina, held on or about November 19, 2016.
  2. In order to avoid detection and impede investigation by U.S. authorities of Defendants' operations, Defendants and their co-conspirators deleted and destroyed data, including emails, social media accounts, and other evidence of their activities.
Count 2, wire fraud and bank fraud, begins on page 30. I won't quote anything from that section as I've quoted too much already, except for this summary on page 31:
quote:
Object of the Conspiracy
  1. The conspiracy had as its object the opening of accounts under false names at U.S. financial institutions and a digital payments company in order to receive and send moeny into and out of the United States to support the ORGANIZATION's operations in the United STates and for self-enrichment.

Count 3 about aggravated identify theft begins on page 34.
--Percy

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 Message 1892 by Percy, posted 02-16-2018 4:19 PM Percy has replied

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 Message 1898 by NoNukes, posted 02-16-2018 8:58 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1895 of 4573 (828378)
02-16-2018 5:53 PM
Reply to: Message 1894 by Percy
02-16-2018 5:29 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
Here's a better version of the indictment from the Washington Post that has a text version that can be cut-n-pasted: Special counsel's indictment of Russian Internet Research Agency, 13 suspects
--Percy

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1899 of 4573 (828402)
02-17-2018 10:22 AM
Reply to: Message 1896 by NoNukes
02-16-2018 6:46 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
NoNukes writes:
After the election of Donald Trump in or around November 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators used false U.S. personas to organize and coordinate U.S. political rallies in support of then president-elect Trump, while simultaneously using other false U.S. personas to organize and coordinate U.S. political rallies protesting the results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
Does "false US personas" mean something more than logging onto Quora or Facebook with a fake name and details?
My understanding of the indictment is that indicted Russians were on American soil only in 2014, so "false US personas" means they logged in to social media, bank accounts and PayPal using fake and stolen IDs.
--Percy

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 Message 1896 by NoNukes, posted 02-16-2018 6:46 PM NoNukes has replied

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 Message 1900 by NoNukes, posted 02-17-2018 12:41 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1901 of 4573 (828412)
02-17-2018 1:09 PM
Reply to: Message 1898 by NoNukes
02-16-2018 8:58 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
NoNukes writes:
But let's assume that some unnamed person in Trump's campaign was working with the Russians. Would they be involved in this particular conspiracy, or even need to know that the Russians were going to commit any of those acts?
We can only go by what is publicly known of Trump campaign contacts with the Russians. The indictment makes clear how little idea we had of how much Mueller knows, and it seems unlikely, at least to me, that the indictment represents the extent of his knowledge, especially given that Papadopoulos, Flynn and Gates have already reached pleas deals with Mueller (and also Californian Richard Pinedo concerning helping the Russians commit identity theft), which means they're cooperating by providing information.
But at this time there is no publicly known information connecting the Trump campaign to this Russian conspiracy, so we can only speculate about whether it exists or will exist at some point. For those who like to speculate about sinister brilliance, what a coup it would be for the Russians to drag us through the chaos of a couple years of a Trump presidency, and then dragging us through a couple more years of a Trump impeachment and trial.
But returning to what we know now, the most problematic publicly known connection between the Trump campaign and Russian representatives involved Donald Trump Jr.'s meeting purportedly about Clinton emails. If Mueller has evidence that the Russians attempted to hack Clinton emails, or that Russia was responsible for the hacking of DNC emails, then Donald Jr. may be in a great deal of trouble. If Donald Sr. knew the true subject of the meeting when he composed Donald Jr.'s description for the press, then he may be in an equal amount of trouble. It means they're part of the Russian conspiracy, and their actions represent not mere crimes but treason.
And regardless of any conspiring with Russia, obstruction of justice charges are looking increasingly likely.
--Percy

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1904 of 4573 (828418)
02-17-2018 2:11 PM
Reply to: Message 1900 by NoNukes
02-17-2018 12:41 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
NoNukes writes:
Here is something from an editorial I found on the Huffington Post. I don't swear to its accuracy,...
I've read the indictment, and I think a significant portion of the Huffington Post editorial by Paul Blementhal is misleading (Foreigners Can Tweet About U.S. Politics. They Just Can’t Buy Ads To Promote A Candidate.). Both the headline and the first couple paragraphs make it seem like the only thing the Russians did wrong was pay for ads:
quote:
The 13 Russian nationals indicted by a federal grand jury Friday were not charged simply because they are foreigners suspected of interfering in a U.S. presidential campaign. They were charged because they, and the companies employing them, paid for propaganda to interfere in the election.
...
It is not illegal for a foreign national to voice an opinion on U.S. politics or candidates...It is, however, not cool if you spend money to promote that message through advertising on a digital platform.
While true, that's only part of the story. From a top level view, the reasons the Russians were charged were:
  • Failing to register as foreign agents, and then with the Attorney General, but engaged in political activity anyway, i.e., seeking to defraud the US by interfering in the 2016 election.
  • Filing visa applications using false information so as to enter the US to collect intelligence for their election interference efforts.
  • Engaging in aggravated identity theft.
  • Engaging in wire fraud.
  • Engaging in fraud and deceit to hide their illegal activities.
The editorial continues on to mention some of these things, but then at the end it returns to the point about paying for ads, lending a false impression that that's the key illegal activity, which is untrue. For example, here the indictment describes use of a false persona to send a message to a Facebook group supporting Trump:
quote:
69. On or about August 2, 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators used the false U.S. persona "Matt Skiber" Facebook account to send a private message to a real Facebook account, "Florida for Trump," set up to assist then-candidate Trump in the state of Florida. In the first message, Defendants and their co-conspirators wrote:
Hi there! I'm a member of Being Patriotic online community. Listen, we've got an idea. Florida is still a purple state and we need to paint it red. If we lose Florida, we lose America. We can't let it happen, right? What about organizing a YUGE pro-Trump flash mob in every Florida town? We are currently reaching out to local activists and we've got the folks who are okay to be in charge of organizing their events almost everywhere in FL. However, we still need your support. What do you think about that. Are you in?

Since they didn't register as foreign agents, and since they're misrepresenting themselves as an American, this is a crime and obviously not a paid ad.
--Percy

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 Message 1900 by NoNukes, posted 02-17-2018 12:41 PM NoNukes has replied

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1909 of 4573 (828433)
02-17-2018 5:50 PM
Reply to: Message 1906 by NoNukes
02-17-2018 3:39 PM


Re: Mueller Charges Russians
With the indictment providing so much detail of what Russia did to interfere in the 2016 election, I think Rrhain's view that the smoke can be connected to a fire now looks a little stronger. Before the indictment revealed how much we know about what the Russians did, Donald Jr.'s meeting about Clinton emails with some Russians in Trump Tower didn't seem likely to result in charges.
But now there's the likelihood that we know a lot more than has been made public. The connection of just one Russian in that Trump Tower conference room to the election conspiracy or to trying to hack Clinton emails or to hacking the DNC emails or to something else we don't even know about yet would potentially make Donald Jr. part of the conspiracy, and Donald Sr. knew about the meeting since he wrote the false description of it for the press.
The seriousness with which the courts have treated Trump's public comments and tweets regarding immigration as reflecting his true intent lends confidence that they'll also take seriously what the public comments and tweets and all these meetings (not just the Donald Jr. meeting) with Russian representatives really say about the Trump campaign's intent.
Of course, Trump himself probably has little to fear from the courts. Trump campaign members could face prosecution, but Trump himself can only be tried by the Senate and the odds seem against it ever getting that far (Trump's own DOJ isn't going to charge him with anything, and it would raise constitutional issues anyway). Even if the Republican House flips Democratic this fall, why would they even bother voting articles of impeachment if the Senate remains in Republican hands - maybe as a political move. It feels like Trump is safe from impeachment, but it is beginning to seem possible that some people, beyond those already indicted, may be going to jail.
Interesting fact of history: John Dean spent little actual time in jail. My recollection is hazy now, but I seem to recall that because of deals with prosecutors and time spent working with the prosecution...well, let me look this up. Ah, instead of a minimum security facility he ended up spending most days at Leon Jawarski's offices, and when the legal process finally ended Judge Sirica reduced Dean's sentence to time served, about four months, and very little of that in actual jail.
--Percy

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1913 of 4573 (828454)
02-18-2018 10:16 AM
Reply to: Message 1912 by NoNukes
02-17-2018 11:30 PM


Re: Trump is off the chain again...
[Comment: In the end this post turned out to be less a reply to what you said and more just me on a soapbox]
NoNukes writes:
Of course, the problem with these assertions is that an investigation into criminal activities can never establish this. In fact, just as it is impossible for Clinton to claim she would have won, it is equally impossible to establish that the Russians had zero impact on the election results. And that is all any has said about the charges.
Precisely right, but conservative news outlets like Fox News are endorsing and doubling down on the president's position that the Mueller indictment exonerates the Trump campaign of collusion with the Russian conspiracy. It's as if they and their audience either ignore or don't think about how little sense this makes.
Many things conservative say make little sense and often involve distortion or leaving out key facts, leaving one wondering whether they have any moral compass: "In the wake of the Florida massacre, now is not the time to discuss solutions." "We care about the DACA people." "The tax cuts help the middle class the most." "The increased deficits won't affect the economy." "Russian meddling had no effect on the outcome of the 2016 election."
There was an interesting interview in today's Washington Post of a former employee of the Russian's Internet Research Agency (A former Russian troll speaks: ‘It was like being in Orwell’s world’). When asked why he left he said, "I left for moral reasons. I was ashamed to work there." If a Russian troll can have a conscience, why not American conservatives? A couple more quotes:
quote:
I arrived there, and I immediately felt like a character in the book 1984 by George Orwell a place where you have to write that white is black and black is white. Your first feeling, when you ended up there, was that you were in some kind of factory that turned lying, telling untruths, into an industrial assembly line.
...
Who really reads the comments under news articles, anyway? Especially when they were so obviously fake. People working there had no literary interest or abilities. These were mechanical texts. It was a colossal labor of monkeys, it was pointless. For Russian audiences, at least. But for Americans, it appears it did work. They aren’t used to this kind of trickery. They live in a society in which it’s accepted to answer for your words.
That is, in Russia the propaganda just rolls off like raindrops off a raincoat, but in America if they're already inclined to think that way they drink it up.
During the 2016 election the considerable amount of absurd negative news about Hillary Clinton was like nothing I'd ever experienced in any previous election (the most ridiculous was Pizzagate, the accusation that Clinton was running a child sex ring out of pizza parlor in Washington D.C.). I chalked it up to the increasing popularity of social media amplifying voices I wouldn't have heard in previous elections, but Russian involvement now means it's not possible to know if that's all it was.
I mentioned the Pizzagate conspiracy theory above and thought this excerpt from Wikipedia scary:
quote:
The poll showed that 9% said that they did believe she was connected, 72% said they did not, and 19% were not sure.
So 28% of the American people are so stupid that they believe it possible that Clinton was running a child sex ring out of a pizza parlor. Wow! Given this, it's definitely believable that the Russian disinformation campaign elected Trump, though in my mind Comey reintroducing the Clinton email scandal just a couple weeks before election day was a very big factor.
Speaking of the Clinton email scandal, I wonder how much of the negative feeling about Clinton's use of a private email server during her time at State was real and how much was stoked by Russian trolls? This article from July, 2016, characterizes what effect the scandal was having on the Clinton campaign at the time: Hillary Clinton Survived Her Email Scandal, But Not Unscathed, New Poll Shows. It says:
quote:
Clinton has battled the notion during her campaign that she is dishonest and purposely set up the private email server because she wanted to hide her public and private exchanges from public scrutiny and skirt disclosure laws. Her Republican opponent, Donald Trump, calls her crooked at virtually every campaign appearance.
...
The poll found that 56 percent of Americans said they think the Democratic presidential candidate broke the law, including 39 percent who think she did so intentionally and 17 percent who think she did so unintentionally.
How much of Trump calling Clinton crooked was amplified by Russian trolls and bots? Hard to say, but the use of a private email server seems a mistake, not a crime, and given that the server was never compromised while servers at State were, obviously Clinton did due diligence regarding security. But during the election opinions like mine were buried beneath a veritable deluge of negative press and social media attacks.
I know it can't be quantified, but in my view the Russian trolls and bots did make possible Trump's election, and I see no diminishment in the susceptibility of the American public to conservative media outlets like Fox News and to social media.
--Percy

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1919 of 4573 (828480)
02-19-2018 11:57 AM


And now a word from the National Review
Naturally conservative reaction to the Mueller indictment of Russians and Russian businesses is far more muted and pointed in a different direction than everyone else, so I thought it might be interesting to rebut one of their editorials.
In Russia Launches ‘Information’ War, U.S. Responds with Lawsuit and Self-Destruction conservative National Review columnist Andrew C. McCarthy explains why the Mueller indictment of 13 Russians and 3 Russian businesses is a useless even counterproductive exercise. His essay of excuses is easy to rebut (I don't quote everything McCarthy says - for the full editorial follow the link):
quote:
Mueller’s indictment is an ineffectual response to a provocation by Russia.
Mr. McCarthy, you must be operating under the delusion that Mueller thought Russia would extradite their citizens. The real reason Mueller issued the indictment was to remove all ability of the Trump administration to maintain that Russian interference in our election was a hoax. That it worked is shown by Trump's 13 tweets today that revealed a pathetic, deranged, ego-driven figure.
quote:
That is certainly a fair assessment of what the indictment alleges. The account is disturbing, but its form leaves many of us underwhelmed. Our government says Russia is levying war. It is attacking a foundational institution the electoral system of our democratic society and, more basically, our society’s cohesion as such. Our response should not be, nor appear to be, the filing of a lawsuit. That is provocatively weak.
Again, the goal of the indictment is not to try Russians in U.S. courts of law. It's to prove the Russia scandal is no hoax.
quote:
The Russia probe has been a counterintelligence investigation, as it should be. That is why I’ve complained from the first that it was inappropriate to put a prosecutor in charge of it.
McCarthy fails to mention Trump's role in making necessary the appointment of the special counsel, and he is wrong about Mueller's role being solely that of a prosecutor.
First, Trump has only himself to blame for the appointment of a special counsel. The Russia probe began as a counterintelligence investigation under the direction of FBI director Comey, but then Trump fired Comey in May of 2017. Attorney General Sessions had to recuse himself because of his failure to disclose two meetings with the Russian ambassador while working for the Trump campaign, and since the FBI's new director would be appointed by Trump who was a subject of the Russia probe, it fell to deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein to appoint a special counsel. If Trump hadn't fired Comey, no special counsel.
Second, Mueller's role is not just prosecutor but also investigator. He has the power to direct both FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors. The amount of detail in the Russia indictment makes clear that he has a great deal of investigative power at his fingertips. You are dead wrong that Mueller's role is solely that of prosecutor.
quote:
The main thrust of this complaint has been that a prosecutor should not be assigned unless there is first strong evidence of a crime. But that is not the half of it.
You dig yourself a hole with this error that Mueller is just a prosecutor, then your just continue digging yourself deeper:
quote:
A government lawyer is a hammer who sees every problem as the nail of a lawsuit.
...
To the contrary, we use counterintelligence rather than criminal investigation to thwart foreign adversaries because prosecution is a woefully inadequate response. The point of counterintelligence is to gather information so we can stop our enemies, through meaningful retaliation and discouragement. Generally, that means diplomatic, economic, intelligence, and, in extreme cases, military means. It could mean deploying our own cyber capabilities. The idea is not to invade every rogue nation. It is to respond to provocations in a manner that hurts our rivals conveying that the prohibitive cost we will exact makes attacking us against their interests.
Repeating a fallacy as you do here doesn't turn it into a truth. Trump demonstrates the failure of repetition to turn lies into truth every day.
quote:
That cannot be accomplished by a mere indictment on which no one will be tried.
Again, the purpose of the indictment was to destroy the credibility of Trump's claims that Russian meddling in the 2016 election was a hoax.
quote:
When prosecutors are serious about nabbing law-breakers who are at large, they do not file an indictment publicly.
Why repeat your daft charge Mueller thinks he can arrest Russians in Russia?
quote:
That would just induce the offenders to flee to or remain in their safe havens...That is because the Justice Department and the special counsel know the Russians will stay safely in Russia.
Yes, of course. It's time to note that you can't really believe this crap you're peddling. You'rejust doing what all defenders of presidents in trouble do. What you're doing now for Trump was done by plenty of Republicans for Nixon and plenty of Democrats for Bill Clinton. That they had no leg to stand on is made clear by how little sense they made and by how much they focused on irrelevancies. One ploy you have in common with them is casting criticism and blame on the investigators instead of the investigated, a form of misdirection that seems to fail every time, acting as a holding action at best.
quote:
Mueller’s allegations will never be tested in court. That makes his indictment more a political statement than a charging instrument.
In this I think you are correct. Putting a stop's to Trump drumbeat of false claims that Russian meddling was a hoax was important politically.
To the extent there are questions about whether Russia truly meddled in the election, the special counsel wants to end that discussion...the indictment demonstrates that the special counsel has been hard at work.
You start your piece by not getting it, but now suddenly you get it?
Through all the months of public debate over whether there was criminal-collusion evidence against the president, we have stressed that the main focus of the counterintelligence investigation is the Kremlin, not the White House.
You err again. The investigation began when suspicious Trump campaign activities came to the attention of the FBI. While obviously the main suspicion is that Russia meddled in the 2016 election, it was Trump campaign activities that caused an investigation to be opened. Mueller's mandate is wide ranging, giving him the right to pursue any wrongdoing he finds.
Also interesting is your reference to the "main focus of the counterintelligence investigation." You begin your piece expressing the opinion that we don't need a prosecutor but an investigator, but now you suddenly seem to understand that Mueller has considerable investigative authority.
It is good, then, that Russia has gotten so much of the special counsel’s attention.
You must be only pretending to believe what you just wrote, because you can hardly have forgotten the indictments of Mannfort, Gates and Popadopoulos, nor the many meetings between members of the Trump campaign and Russians, especially the Trump Tower meeting by Donald Jr. and Kushner with Russians peddling Clinton dirt. Given the dramatic difference between what we thought Mueller knew before versus after the indictment, I'd say a number of people in the Trump campaign are likely in big trouble, but you give that possibility not even so much as a nod.
What is not good is that he is a special counsel as opposed to, say, a high-ranking intelligence or defense official. It is only natural that a prosecutor sees his job as making a criminal case, but that is not really what is called for under the circumstances.
And, just like that, you're back once again to the position you just finished pounding into dust, that Mueller is nothing but a prosecutor.
Obviously, if there were strong evidence that Americans had aided and abetted our foreign adversaries in their hostile acts, it would be essential to prosecute them. My objection has been that a special counsel was assigned despite the absence of strong evidence that crimes were committed by Trump-campaign figures.
As explained earlier, there was no choice but to appoint a special counsel. There was already an ongoing investigation that with the firing of Comey was leaderless. Sessions had to recuse himself, a new head of the FBI would be nominated by a potential target of the investigation, so there was no choice but to appoint a special counsel to take over the ongoing investigation.
It is freely conceded that I do not favor special-counsel appointments except when a severe Justice Department conflict of interest leaves no other option.
Precisely the case here, but you seem blind to what is right in front of your face.
Thus, I do not see why a special counsel would have been needed for any Russia case involving suspects unconnected to the Trump campaign.
You again misrepresent reality by saying that election meddling was "unconnected to the Trump campaign." Suspicions about illegalities involving the Trump campaign were why Comey originally opened the investigation.
But all that said, I have never contended that the assignment of a Justice Department prosecutor would be inappropriate if there were concrete grounds to believe Americans were guilty of crimes.
You're attempting to leave yourself a safety net, but one doesn't open an investigation when there are "concrete grounds to believe Americans were guilty of crimes." With "concrete grounds" one simply issues arrest warrants, but when there is only suspicion or suggestions of crimes one opens an investigation. Which is what Comey did.
Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein suggested on Friday that, with formal charges now filed, the Justice Department will turn to the next step in the legal process: seeking the defendants’ extradition. Once the Russians stop laughing, I imagine they’ll send us a curt note in Cyrillic or maybe they’ll just flip us the bird, the universal language.
This is true that the U.S. will follow the standard legal process after an indictment and seek extradition, but there is no extradition agreement between the U.S. and Russia, and Rosenstein gave no indication that the U.S. expects Russia would honor any extradition requests.
There are reasons besides ineffectiveness to be concerned about turning this diplomatic dispute into a criminal-justice issue.
Really. And what, pray tell Mr. McCarthy, are those reasons?
This is a dangerous game to play. Our government, American organizations, and individual Americans regularly take actions and engage in political expression (including pseudonymous expression) with the intention of affecting foreign political campaigns or that could be understood that way regardless of American intent. In its lead story on Mueller’s indictment, the New York Times observes that for decades, the CIA has work[ed] covertly to influence political outcomes abroad. The Obama administration, on the American taxpayer’s dime, tried to get Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu defeated and agitated against Brexit. The Bush administration tried to democratize the Middle East. It is de rigueur to tut-tut that such meddling is unseemly, but it is what governments do and have always done. They have interests, and those interests can be profoundly affected by who is governing other countries.
Oh, Mr. McCarthy, great reason! Election meddling is just something governments do, so why should there be any legal action?
Moreover, it is the proud boast of the United States that we promote the virtues and benefits of liberty throughout the world and encourage oppressed peoples to stand up against tyrants. Our government funds Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty precisely to expose people to news and ideas that their despotic governments censor. Do we really want to signal that we see such agitation-by-information as an indictable crime, in response to which the affected government should issue arrest warrants that will inevitably make it risky for Americans to travel outside the U.S.?
Oh, Mr. McCarthy, another great reason. If we criminalize foreign interference in our democratic processes, then foreign countries might criminalize Radio Free Europe?
Remember, we are talking here about a case in which Russia’s campaign, despite its energy and funding, was a drop in the ocean of American campaign spending and messaging. It barely registered. It had no impact.
Oh, Russian meddling had an impact. While Russian spending on their meddling efforts was a "drop in the ocean", so were the 70,000 votes responsible for Trump's victory.
And, again, the indictment that has been filed is a gesture that will result in no prosecutions. Is it really worth opening this can of worms?
As pointed out above, of course it was worth "opening this can of worms." Just look at much it riled up Trump, 13 angry and error-filled tweets over the weekend. Obviously he's hiding something. I guess we also have to allow the possibility that his ego is so large that he's willing to destroy our democratic institutions in order to protect his belief that he won the election with no help from Russia. But whatever the reason, Trump has likely pushed over the boundaries of responsible opposition and into obstruction.
I know what you’re going to tell me: It’s not the same thing because we don’t do what they do: When we meddle, it is not through the kind of fraudulent activities that Mueller alleges the Russians engaged in including bank fraud, wire fraud, and identity theft. But don’t kid yourself: What we are green-lighting here is criminal prosecution as a response to interference by alleged agents of a foreign power in another country’s elections and public debates. Once that is the rule of the road, we are not going to be able to control decision-making in other countries about what kind of conduct constitutes actionable interference.
It is greatly doubtful that this indictment will have any impact on out ability to control decision-making in other countries.
Finally, since the indictment is a political document, we should evaluate its political impact at home.
Since you recognize that the indictment is a political document and perhaps even understand that it likely wouldn't have been made public were it not for Trump's attempts at obstruction, why did you write all that crap about the reaction of Russia and other foreign despotic governments?
On balance, it is good for President Trump.
You think it's good for Trump? I think Trump might disagree with you, as his 13 weekend tweets clearly attest.
The Russian election-meddling scheme stretches back to the years before he became a political candidate.
You're kidding. You're uttering this obvious fallacy? Nobody had declared their candidacy for president in 2014.
To the extent there was Russian outreach to the Trump campaign, the indictment makes clear that the campaign acted unwittingly. Not only does that mean there was no collusion on the face of things; it means there was almost surely no collusion at all
Mr. McCarthy, it means no such thing. This is just one indictment. Mueller's investigation is not through. To mention just one recent development, Gates is in the process of agreeing to a plea deal. Publicly there is a great deal of smoke regarding collusion, and given how Mueller's indictment just surprised everyone with how much he knows, if you're a betting man I very much doubt that you'd bet Mueller knows nothing about possible collusion.
Had there been an established framework of Trump—Russia coordination, there would have been no need for Russians to reach out to unwitting Trump-campaign officials.
The use of the word "unwitting" in the indictment refers generally to politically active Americans who didn't know they were interacting with Russians. The members of the Trump campaign who met with Russians knew they were meeting with Russians and were not unwitting.
All that said, the indictment perhaps unwittingly, if I may say so tells an unflattering story about the state of our country.
I'm more focused on what your opinion piece says about you, Mr. McCarthy.
Thus, we get nonsense like, The Kremlin wanted Trump to win and Putin was motivated by his fear and loathing of Hillary Clinton, etc., etc.
If the Kremlin didn't want Trump to win, why is the indictment full of evidence of Russians trying to influence the election in favor of Trump? Will you not even try to make sense.
In reality, what happened here could not be more patent: The Kremlin hoped to sow discord in our society and thus paralyze our government’s capacity to pursue American interests. The Russian strategy was to stir up the resentments of sizable losing factions. It is not that Putin wanted Trump to win; it is that Putin figured Trump was going to lose. That is why the Kremlin tried to galvanize Trump supporters against Clinton, just as it tried to galvanize Sanders supporters against Clinton, and Trump supporters against Cruz and Rubio, during the primaries. It is why the Russians suddenly choreographed anti-Trump rallies after Trump won. The palpable goal was to promote dysfunction: Cripple a likely President Clinton before she could even get started, wound President Trump from the get-go when he unexpectedly won, and otherwise set American against American whenever possible.
This is actually a good statement of the Kremlin's high level goals.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 1920 by NoNukes, posted 02-19-2018 3:36 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1921 of 4573 (828484)
02-19-2018 3:57 PM


Trump Worst American President of All Time
As if there was any doubt, a New York Times survey of 170 members of the Presidents and Executive Politics section of the American Political Science Association found that Trump is the worst American president of all time: How Does Trump Stack Up Against the Best and Worst Presidents?. He has three years to climb out of gutter.
--Percy

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1923 of 4573 (828495)
02-20-2018 10:05 AM


CNN Gets It Wrong
An article on today's CNN's website, Trump is helping to undermine US democracy. That's just what Russia wants, gets it wrong when describing how the Mueller indictment says "unwitting" persons interacted with Russians:
quote:
Friday's indictment noted that Russian representatives interacted only with "unwitting" Trump campaign aides...
That's not what the indictment said. I now quote from the indictment
quote:
Some Defendants, posing as US. persons and without revealing their Russian association, communicated with unwitting individuals associated with the Trump Campaign and with other political activists to seek to coordinate political activities.
The indictment says, "unwitting individuals associated with the Trump Campaign," not "Trump campaign aides." A campaign aide is an assistant to an important person in the campaign, not "unwitting individuals associated with the Trump Campaign." This section of the indictment is definitely not referring to Donald Jr. or Kushner or Sessions or Popadopoulos and so forth, and definitely not to Trump himself. It is referring to ordinary rank and file workers for the Trump campaign.
The indictment also includes "other political activists" among the unwitting.
This claim by Trump supporters that the indictment absolves Trump and everyone in his campaign of colluding with Russians should be countered at every opportunity, because it is an obvious and shameful misrepresentation of what the indictment actually says.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 1924 by jar, posted 02-20-2018 10:32 AM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1925 of 4573 (828503)
02-20-2018 11:25 AM
Reply to: Message 1924 by jar
02-20-2018 10:32 AM


Re: CNN Gets It Wrong
jar writes:
...the other charging a lawyer making false statements to Federal Authorities.
The Washington Post also has an article: Son-in-law of Russian businessman to plead guilty to making false statements in Mueller probe.
Neither the CNN article nor the Washington Post article is very clear (at least to me), but the information document actually filed by Mueller's office is very clear. It says that Alex Van der Zwaan made false statements to the Special Counsel's Office and agents of the FBI:
  • He said that he and Person A last communicated in 2014 about Person A's family when in fact he last spoke to Person A in September, 2016, about a report on the trial of Yulia Tymoshenko (Ukrainian politician) and surreptitiously recorded the call.
  • He said that he did not know why an email between him and Person A in September, 2016, was not produced to the Special Counsel's Office when in fact he deleted that email and a number of other emails between him and Law Firm A.
  • He said that he and Richard Gates last communicated in August, 2016, in an innocuous text message when in fact he last spoke to Gates in September, 2016, about the same report on the Tymoshenko trial and surreptitiously recorded the call.
The information document is short and to the point and an easier read than either of the two news articles.
So why does Mueller care? My guess is that for Mueller the Van der Zwaan lies are just leverage to get him to enter into a plea deal in return for his testimony, but it's unclear why. It is within Mueller's mandate to pursue any illegal activity that comes to his attention in the course of his investigation, so it is possible that this has nothing to do with the Russia scandal and is just related to money laundering committed by Gates and Mannafort that Mueller uncovered during the investigation. But it is also possible that Gates, Mannafort and Van der Zwaan know something about Trump campaign involvement with Russian election meddling.
Stay tuned.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Grammar.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1924 by jar, posted 02-20-2018 10:32 AM jar has replied

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 Message 1926 by NoNukes, posted 02-20-2018 12:27 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied
 Message 1927 by jar, posted 02-20-2018 1:03 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1928 of 4573 (828518)
02-20-2018 1:03 PM


Collusion by the Trump Campaign Proven Six Months Ago?
I just became aware of this report from the Center for American Progress from August 2, 2017: Russiagate: The Depth of Collusion. I quote an email exchange from the report between Rob Goldstone (head of Oui 2 Entertainment that assisted the Trump organization in bringing the 2013 Miss Universe pageant to Russia) and Donald Trump Jr.:
quote:
The email sent to Donald Trump Jr. by Rob Goldstone at 10:36 a.m. on June 3 said:
The Crown prosecutor of Russia [Yuri Chaika, Russian Prosector General] met with his father Aras [Agalarov] this morning and in their meeting offered to provide the Trump campaign with some official documents and information that would incriminate Hillary and her dealings with Russia and would be very useful to your father. This is obviously very high level and sensitive information but is part of Russia and its government’s support for Mr. Trumphelped along by Aras and Emin [Agalarov]. [emphasis added]
Donald Trump Jr. responded 17 minutes later at 10:53 a.m.:
Thanks Rob I appreciate that if it’s what you say I love it especially later in the summer. Could we do a call first thing next week when I am back? [emphasis added]
The meeting took place six days later with Natalia Veselnitskaya, who was described to Donald Trump Jr. as the Russian government attorney; Rinat Akhmetshin, a Russian-born lobbyist who was formerly a Soviet intelligence officer; and Irakly Kaveladze, an executive in the company owned by the Kremlin-linked oligarch who helped arrange the meeting.
While I've seen this email exchange described before (especially the "I love it" part), I've never seen the actual emails. I find it difficult taking seriously exchanges only indirectly described in news articles. What people actually wrote or said written out in black and white is much more convincing.
The report represents that there were actually two campaigns to elect Trump, one by the Trump campaign and one by the Russians. The key question is whether there was any collusion between the two campaigns. Seeing these email excerpts makes much more real to me what the report says next, that this by itself is sufficient evidence that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians:
quote:
This is collusion. The purpose of this meeting was to obtain information from the Russian government that was damaging to their opponent, explicitly as part of Russia’s broader government support for Mr. Trump. Top Trump campaign officials knew the purpose and participated. This latest revelation, with all the other information now known, confirms that the Trump campaign knew about the Russian effort to intervene in the election and encouraged and participated in the effort both in private and in public.
The undisputed facts about the June 9 meeting point to clear intent to coordinate with the Russian government’s covert intelligence operation to influence the election. The apparent eagerness on the part of the most senior members of the Trump campaign to meet with Kremlin-linked figures; the willingness to acquire and use material provided by the Russians; the failure to report the meeting to U.S. law enforcement; the subsequent repeated public denials that any meetings with Russians had occurred; the misleading statements made about the meetings in the face of evidence that they had occurred; and the denial of any Russian election interference demonstrated that the Trump campaign was a willing and capable partner with Moscow in its covert influence operations targeting the election.
Yes, this is collusion. Mueller already has enough information to wrap this all up in the language of conspiracy (which is the word used in legal statutes), so he works on to discover the exact extent of Trump campaign involvement regarding campaign aides and Trump himself. I hope he's not expending too much effort on pre-2016 money laundering charges against Gates and Mannafort - I hope that's just leverage for gaining more testimony about Russian collusion.
The report is long but makes good reading. It contains much information that we've probably all seen mentions of in news articles, but never in original form and never gathered in one place. It's incredible that it only represents what was publicly known six months ago.
Note that the report, though it appears to me to be fact focused, is from a partisan group. The Center for American Progress was founded by John Podesta, chairman of the Clinton campaign and he of the hacked emails that WikiLeaks dribbled out during the 2016 election campaign.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 1929 by PaulK, posted 02-20-2018 1:48 PM Percy has replied
 Message 1934 by NoNukes, posted 02-20-2018 3:35 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1931 of 4573 (828525)
02-20-2018 2:15 PM
Reply to: Message 1929 by PaulK
02-20-2018 1:48 PM


Re: Collusion by the Trump Campaign Proven Six Months Ago?
PaulK writes:
It’s pretty bad - there was an offer of collusion and Trump jr was definitely interested - but we haven’t seen the evidence that there was anything more than talk.
Conspiracy requires little more than talk. Some overt act is required, but that could be anything. Here's the definition of conspiracy from the Cornell law library.
quote:
An agreement between two or more people to commit an illegal act, along with an intent to achieve the agreement's goal. Most U.S. jurisdictions also require an overt act toward furthering the agreement. An overt act is a statutory requirement, not a constitutional one. See Whitfield v. United States, 453 U.S. 209 (2005). The illegal act is the conspiracy's "target offense."
Conspiracy generally carries a penalty on its own. In addition, conspiracies allow for derivative liability where conspirators can also be punished for the illegal acts carried out by other members, even if they were not directly involved. Thus, where one or more members of the conspiracy committed illegal acts to further the conspiracy's goals, all members of the conspiracy may be held accountable for those acts.
Where no one has actually committed a criminal act, the punishment varies. Some conspiracy statutes assign the same punishment for conspiracy as for the target offense. Others impose lesser penalties.
Conspiracy applies to both civil and criminal offenses. For example, you may conspire to commit murder, or conspire to commit fraud.
One overt act in this case is the Russian hacking of Podesta and DNC emails. Notice the part about "derivative liability" where each conspirator is responsible for the actions of all other conspirators.
Also note that Russiagate: The Depth of Collusion describes the extensiveness of contacts between the Trump campaign and Russia representatives:
quote:
It is now known that Trump campaign officials had extensive contacts with Kremlin-linked figures during the campaign. There were constant and continuous interactions: There were at least 18 calls and messages and at least 10 meetings between Trump campaign associates and Kremlin-linked figures just during the campaign.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1929 by PaulK, posted 02-20-2018 1:48 PM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1932 by PaulK, posted 02-20-2018 2:26 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1935 of 4573 (828534)
02-20-2018 5:38 PM
Reply to: Message 1932 by PaulK
02-20-2018 2:26 PM


Re: Collusion by the Trump Campaign Proven Six Months Ago?
PaulK writes:
This is not to say that there was no agreement, only that the evidence so far made public doesn’t show that.
I guess we can differ on what constitutes an agreement and sufficient evidence, but boiled down this is what does it for me. From the emails between Goldstone and Donald Jr.:
Goldstone: "The Crown prosecutor of Russia...offered to provide the Trump campaign with some official documents and information that would incriminate Hillary...and be very useful to your father."
Donald Jr.: "...I love it..."
And then they attended the meeting.
There are suspicious things not even in the Russiagate: The Depth of Collusion report. For example, one day after Hillary Clinton announced Tim Kane as her running mate on July 22, Wikileaks began dumping the DNC emails. One hour after the Access Hollywood tape became public on October 7, Wikileaks began dumping the Podesta emails. Russia was the source of all the email hacks - Wikileaks was only the vehicle.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Typo.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1932 by PaulK, posted 02-20-2018 2:26 PM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1938 by PaulK, posted 02-21-2018 12:56 AM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22475
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 1936 of 4573 (828536)
02-20-2018 6:06 PM
Reply to: Message 1934 by NoNukes
02-20-2018 3:35 PM


Re: Collusion by the Trump Campaign Proven Six Months Ago?
NoNukes writes:
Actually, absent a bit more, this looks like a plot[1] to collude because apparently there was no actual dirt or a furthering of a plot to get dirt, at least that is according to what we've been told about that meeting.
From Trump campaign—Russian meetings:
quote:
On July 14, Akhmetshin stated in an interview that Veselnitskaya had claimed to have evidence of "violations of Russian law by a Democratic donor", and added that she "described her findings at the meeting and left a document about them with Trump Jr. and the others."
Details about who is who can be found at the link. Claims about what was in the document vary, Akhmetshin's being just one version, but apparently information changed hands. Donald Jr. characterizes this as opposition research, and it would be were the other people at the meeting representatives of your average everyday opposition research firm, but since they were Russian agents it does look like collusion to me that can be connected (because of derivative liability) to all the other Russian election-related meddling.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1934 by NoNukes, posted 02-20-2018 3:35 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1937 by NoNukes, posted 02-20-2018 8:12 PM Percy has replied

  
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