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Author Topic:   US Census Fertility Report found 53.8% females 25-29 childless ( Social Security hurt
LamarkNewAge
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Joined: 12-22-2015


Message 1 of 6 (809356)
05-17-2017 11:36 PM


This fertility data was just published this month, and never before has the 25-29 group been majority childless.

The 30-34 female group is much more fertile but the 30.8% childless rate is also a new record.

The majority of the childless female population is college educated.

Social Security was not considered in the report (I don't think anyway ), but the funding shortfall is really being seen as more and more severe with every passing year since the Great Recession.

After the projections showed full funding of future benefits till 2042, for most of the first 21st century decade (2000 up till 2008) of official analysis , that 100% funding limit has been lowered and lowered for the last 9 years till the year of reckoning has now been sunk all the way down to 2029.

2009 began with a 2037 projected year for the funding dropping, based on projected revenue ( which would be strictly Pay As You Go as the surplus would be exhausted thus nothing additional to fund benefits - just the raw day to day payroll tax payments from workers to immediately be used to pay retirees ) , from 100% down to 73%.

Now it is 2029 for the surplus to be exhausted, and then only 71% of benefits can be paid.

My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW.

There is no other solution honestly.

This thread is a proposal to discuss the various issues covered (fertility alone, Social Security alone, or a combination of both ).


Replies to this message:
 Message 3 by xongsmith, posted 05-19-2017 6:38 PM LamarkNewAge has not yet responded
 Message 4 by ringo, posted 05-20-2017 11:58 AM LamarkNewAge has not yet responded

    
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Message 2 of 6 (809628)
05-19-2017 5:49 PM


Thread Moved from Proposed New Topics Forum
Thread moved here from the Proposed New Topics forum.
    
xongsmith
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Posts: 1800
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
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(1)
Message 3 of 6 (809629)
05-19-2017 6:38 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by LamarkNewAge
05-17-2017 11:36 PM


LNA asks:

My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW.

There is no other solution honestly.

This thread is a proposal to discuss the various issues covered (fertility alone, Social Security alone, or a combination of both ).

It's simple: just eliminate the cap on FICA deductions. This isn't even their vaunted flat tax - it gets cut off for the rich above an amount, like 117k! What a deal!

For starters.

Edited by xongsmith, : No reason given.


- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by LamarkNewAge, posted 05-17-2017 11:36 PM LamarkNewAge has not yet responded

    
ringo
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Posts: 13639
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005
Member Rating: 2.3


Message 4 of 6 (809713)
05-20-2017 11:58 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by LamarkNewAge
05-17-2017 11:36 PM


LamarkNewAge writes:

My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW.


You don't need to make an effort to bring more people in. Just stop persecuting the ones who are already in.
This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by LamarkNewAge, posted 05-17-2017 11:36 PM LamarkNewAge has not yet responded

  
LamarkNewAge
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Posts: 879
Joined: 12-22-2015


Message 5 of 6 (810971)
06-03-2017 12:23 PM


Look at China, South Korea, and Japan (3 nations tryingn to encourage more births
China is literally paying couples to have more children and has been for awhile.

In 2000, there were 18.5 million 18 year olds entering the workforce. The number of 18 year olds entering the workforce, as opposed to going to college, fell to 10.5 million.

By 2020, the number will fall to 7 million in a nation that will cross 1.4 billion people by then.

Many big job businesses are already starting to leave China for Africa, and I just read about the moves to Ethiopia.

Japan.

The latest population projections have the island nation dropping to 80 million people in 2060. See June 3, 2017 New York Times for shocking article in Business section.

South Korea.

The population has peaked at 50 million people, and the 1.2 birth rate per female means that the nation will loose a good many millions by 2050.

I'm never going to complain too much when nations totaling nearly 1.6 billion people are collectively going to remain at around the same amount by 2050, but it is something that hasn't sunk in HERE in the United States.

I am amazed how many people that I talk to who still think that South Korea is a nation much poorer than the United States.

China is a very difficult nation to understand and especially economically.

The population issues combined with economics are really really really really something to watch with interest.

Immigrants finally getting brought into Japan and South Korea ( in significant numbers ) ? NOT YET!

Necessary for sure.

Necessity will be the mother of increased immigration as a matter of sound and, frankly, required policy.

We better take notice.

Americans better take notes.


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 Message 6 by NoNukes, posted 07-02-2017 10:45 PM LamarkNewAge has not yet responded

    
NoNukes
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Posts: 9921
From: Central NC USA
Joined: 08-13-2010
Member Rating: 3.3


(1)
Message 6 of 6 (813945)
07-02-2017 10:45 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by LamarkNewAge
06-03-2017 12:23 PM


Re: Look at China, South Korea, and Japan (3 nations tryingn to encourage more births
China is literally paying couples to have more children and has been for awhile.

I have been unable to confirm your statement. I do see articles dated as late as this past March suggesting that China needs to encourage more births, but nothing saying that they are doing so, or that there is a new policy that includes paying couples to have more children.

In fact, China ended the one child policy in 2015. How long is "for awhile"? Months?


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This message is a reply to:
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