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Author Topic:   Is US Establishing An Islamic Theocracy In Iraq?
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 1 of 58 (274857)
01-01-2006 11:31 PM


We know that no matter who gets elected in Iraqi elections at all levels of government, religious Muslims will be elected. We can also be quite sure that the ones elected, for the most part will be Shi'ite/Shi'a Muslims who are the majority, as is the case with Iran.
Before the Iraqi war, Sunis ruled Iraq. Though it was a ruthless regime, the two nations kept one another somewhat at bay so far as control of the region and a balance of power. Now after our troups are out, we will have two likeminded theocracies who will likely soon become closely allied.
We are training Iraq's mostly Shi'a (highly theocratic) military with all of our highly efficient methods of winning wars and arming them with our highly efficient weaponry. We are also financing the buildup of the infrastructure of the cities and military bases.
My concern is that the problems we are having with Iran will be highly increased to include an empowered Iraq if these two Shi'a nations become allied and powerful.
The Shi'as, Sunis and Kurds are suppose to keep the same regions they have traditionally occupied. Since Muslim theocracies are not known to share power with minority sects, what will happen to the Kurds who, as I understand, are sitting on most of the oil?
AbE: Will the small Christian population have any more freedom than they had before in Iraq and any more than the persecuted ones in Iran?
What do you think?
Edited to shorten title and fix last paragraph.
This message has been edited by buzsaw, 01-01-2006 11:41 PM
This message has been edited by buzsaw, 01-01-2006 11:47 PM
This message has been edited by buzsaw, 01-01-2006 11:53 PM

Gravity is God's glue that holds his universe together.

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AdminBen
Inactive Member


Message 2 of 58 (275078)
01-02-2006 5:08 PM


Thread moved here from the Proposed New Topics forum.
AbE: This seemed the most appropriate place. Feel free to question / comment on that decision in the "Considerations..." topic linked below.
Thanks.
This message has been edited by AdminBen, Monday, 2006/01/02 02:09 PM

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    jar
    Member (Idle past 416 days)
    Posts: 34026
    From: Texas!!
    Joined: 04-20-2004


    Message 3 of 58 (275085)
    01-02-2006 5:26 PM
    Reply to: Message 1 by Buzsaw
    01-01-2006 11:31 PM


    Well, the answer to the question in the title is of course, yes. It's an almost certainity that we will see an Islamic Theocracy in Iraq. That was obvious to everyone from even before the invasion.
    Before the Iraqi war, Sunis ruled Iraq.
    Well, not really. Iraq was ruled by the Baath Party which was very secular, the most secular in the Arab world. It was pretty obvious that outlawing the secular party would lead to a Theocracy.
    We are training Iraq's mostly Shi'a (highly theocratic) military with all of our highly efficient methods of winning wars and arming them with our highly efficient weaponry. We are also financing the buildup of the infrastructure of the cities and military bases.
    Yup, just like we did for Osama Bin Lauden, the Shah of Iran, Saddam, the Taliban...
    My concern is that the problems we are having with Iran will be highly increased to include an empowered Iraq if these two Shi'a nations become allied and powerful.
    Very likely. That was the most obvious likely outcome for Bush's actions. It was almost a certainity.
    The Shi'as, Sunis and Kurds are suppose to keep the same regions they have traditionally occupied. Since Muslim theocracies are not known to share power with minority sects, what will happen to the Kurds who, as I understand, are sitting on most of the oil?
    Well, the Christian west has been screwing the Kurds since the fall of the Ottoman Empire so little change there. Fortunately, the Kurds aren't sitting on any of the known or predicted oil.
    AbE: Will the small Christian population have any more freedom than they had before in Iraq and any more than the persecuted ones in Iran?
    Probably a whole lot less freedom, but that too is what happens when you overthrow a secular government.
    This message has been edited by jar, 01-02-2006 04:43 PM

    Aslan is not a Tame Lion

    This message is a reply to:
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    Nuggin
    Member (Idle past 2514 days)
    Posts: 2965
    From: Los Angeles, CA USA
    Joined: 08-09-2005


    Message 4 of 58 (275094)
    01-02-2006 5:54 PM
    Reply to: Message 1 by Buzsaw
    01-01-2006 11:31 PM


    Iran won the Gulf War
    My concern is that the problems we are having with Iran will be highly increased to include an empowered Iraq if these two Shi'a nations become allied and powerful.
    So, Iran and Iraq fight a war, Iran is unable to conquer Iraq.
    Iran hires spy named "Curveball" to feed US/GB false information about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction.
    America charges in, spends hundreds of billions of dollars, and takes down Iraq.
    Iraq elects a pro-Iran government.
    I'd say Iran won this war hands down.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 1 by Buzsaw, posted 01-01-2006 11:31 PM Buzsaw has replied

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    NosyNed
    Member
    Posts: 9003
    From: Canada
    Joined: 04-04-2003


    Message 5 of 58 (275097)
    01-02-2006 6:01 PM
    Reply to: Message 4 by Nuggin
    01-02-2006 5:54 PM


    Re: Iran won the Gulf War POTM?
    Just the title of this is such an original twist on the issue that it is close to POTM material but I'll old back.
    Another amusing thought that my bro read somewhere is that of all the people surprised by the lack of WMD in Irag the MOST surprised was Saddam Hussein.
    He told his underlings to produce WMD. They didn't have the means available to do so. They know what happens if you piss off SH. What happens when he asks for a report on how it is going? :
    "Great boss! Just fine! We're getting really close to that nuke you ordered. Next month or so. Thanks for the interest."
    I like that thought. It has a certain sense to it too. Just like your suggestion here.
    This message has been edited by NosyNed, 01-02-2006 06:01 PM

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    Funkaloyd
    Inactive Member


    Message 6 of 58 (275145)
    01-02-2006 8:55 PM
    Reply to: Message 3 by jar
    01-02-2006 5:26 PM


    jar writes:
    buzsaw writes:
    We are training Iraq's mostly Shi'a (highly theocratic) military with all of our highly efficient methods of winning wars and arming them with our highly efficient weaponry. We are also financing the buildup of the infrastructure of the cities and military bases.
    Yup, just like we did for Osama Bin Lauden, the Shah of Iran, Saddam, the Taliban...
    I get the feeling there's a lesson to be learned here, but I can't quite put my finger on it.

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     Message 3 by jar, posted 01-02-2006 5:26 PM jar has not replied

      
    Buzsaw
    Inactive Member


    Message 7 of 58 (275158)
    01-02-2006 9:44 PM
    Reply to: Message 4 by Nuggin
    01-02-2006 5:54 PM


    Re: Iran won the Gulf War
    Nuggin writes:
    Iran hires spy named "Curveball" to feed US/GB false information about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction.
    Iran hires spy Curveball? Where did you get this?

    Gravity is God's glue that holds his universe together.

    This message is a reply to:
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    Iblis
    Member (Idle past 3917 days)
    Posts: 663
    Joined: 11-17-2005


    Message 8 of 58 (275165)
    01-02-2006 10:08 PM
    Reply to: Message 7 by Buzsaw
    01-02-2006 9:44 PM


    Re: Iran won the Gulf War
    Here is something nice about the actual "Curveball" from Ned Helmore
    An alcoholic cousin of an aide to Ahmed Chalabi has emerged as the key source in the US rationale for going to war in Iraq.
    According to a US presidential commission looking into pre-war intelligence failures, the basis for pivotal intelligence on Iraq's alleged biological weapons programmes and fleet of mobile labs was a spy described as 'crazy' by his intelligence handlers and a 'congenital liar' by his friends.
    The defector, given the code-name Curveball by the CIA, has emerged as the central figure in the corruption of US intelligence estimates on Iraq. Despite considerable doubts over Curveball's credibility, his claims were included in the administration's case for war without caveat.
    According to the report, the failure of US spy agencies to scrutinise his claims are the 'primary reason' that they 'fundamentally misjudged the status of Iraq's [biological weapons] programs'. The catalogue of failures and the gullibility of US intelligence make for darkly comic reading, even by the standards of failure detailed in previous investigations. Of all the disproven pre-war weapons claims, from aluminium centrifuge tubes to yellow cake uranium from Niger, none points to greater levels of incompetence than those found within the misadventures of Curveball.
    The Americans never had direct access to Curveball - he was controlled by the German intelligence services who passed his reports on to the Defence Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon's spy agency.
    US relied on 'drunken liar' to justify war | World news | The Guardian
    And here's something mean about his drunken master by Maureen Dowd
    The Iraqis have thrown the United States another curveball. Ahmad Chalabi - convicted embezzler in Jordan, suspected Iranian spy, double-crosser of America, purveyor of phony war-instigating intelligence - is the new acting Iraqi oil minister.
    Is that why we Americans went to war, to put the oily in charge of the oil, to set the swindler who would be Spartacus atop the ultimate gusher?
    Does anybody still think the path to war wasn't greased by oil?
    The neocons' con man had been paid millions by the United States to tell the Bushies what they wanted to hear on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. A year ago, the State Department and factions in the Pentagon turned on him after he began bashing America and using Saddam's secret files to discredit his enemies.
    Right after the invasion, the charlatan was escorted into Iraq by U.S. troops and cultivated an axis of Americans, Iraqis and Iranians. He got a fancy house with layers of armed guards and began helping himself to Iraqi assets. The U.S. occupation sicced the Iraqi police on his residence only after an Iraqi judge had thugs in the Chalabi posse arrested on suspicion of kidnapping, torture and theft.
    Newsweek revealed that the United States suspected Chalabi of leaking secret information about American war plans for Iraq to the Iranians before the invasion, and of perhaps leaking "highly classified" information to Iran that could "get people killed" if abused by the Iranians. Chalabi claimed the Iranians set him up.
    In August of last year, while he was at a cabin in the Iranian mountains, the Iraqis ordered him arrested on counterfeiting charges, which were later dropped for lack of evidence.
    404 Not Found

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     Message 7 by Buzsaw, posted 01-02-2006 9:44 PM Buzsaw has replied

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    Buzsaw
    Inactive Member


    Message 9 of 58 (275174)
    01-02-2006 10:24 PM
    Reply to: Message 8 by Iblis
    01-02-2006 10:08 PM


    Re: Iran won the Gulf War
    Hi Iblis. Thanks for the links. I also found this corroborating information.
    link writes:
    3. “Curveball” turned out to be an appropriate moniker for this individual. His story was not only disinformation, but also disinformation that may have been deliberately fed to the U.S. by Ahmed Chalabi’s group. In light of allegations that Chalabi was connected to Iranian intelligence, one must wonder if Iran may also have been deliberately feeding Curveball’s b.s. to the U.S. This would not have required a great deal of guile on the part of the Germans and/or Iranians: it would have been like setting out a pot of honey in the path of a marauding, hungry bear. “Curveball’s story has since crumbled under doubts raised by the Germans and the scrutiny of U.S. weapons hunters, who have come to see his code name as particularly apt, given the problems that beset much of the prewar intelligence collection and analysis. U.N. weapons inspectors hypothesized that such trucks might exist, officials said. They then asked former exile leader Ahmed Chalabi, a bitter enemy of Hussein, to help search for intelligence supporting their theory.” (Ibid.; p. 2.)
    4. Curveball appeared right on time, providing the U.S. (through his German handlers) with just what they wanted to hear. “Soon after, a young chemical engineer emerged in a German refugee camp and claimed that he had been hired out of Baghdad University to design and build biological warfare trucks for the Iraqi army. Based largely on his account, President Bush and his aides repeatedly warned of the shadowy germ trucks, dubbed ”Winnebagos of Death’ or ”Hell on Wheels’ in news accounts, and they became a crucial part of the White House case for war, including Secretary of State Colin L. Powell’s dramatic presentation to the U.N. Security Council just weeks before the war.” (Idem.)
    5. As it turned out, Curveball was the brother of one of Chalabi’s top aides. Again, Chalabi has been alleged to be a cat’s paw for Iranian intelligence. “Only later, U.S. officials said, did the CIA learn that the defector was the brother of one of Chalabi’s top aides, and begin to suspect that he might have been coached to provide false information. Partly because of that, some U.S. intelligence officials and congressional investigators fear that the CIA may have inadvertently conjured up and then chased a phantom weapons system. David Kay, who resigned in January as head of the CIA-led group created to find illicit weapons in Iraq, said that of all the intelligence failures in Iraq, the case of Curveball was particularly troubling. ”This is the one that’s damning,’ he said. ”This is the one that has the potential for causing the largest havoc in the sense that it really looks like a lack of due diligence and care in going forward.’’ (Idem.)
    6. “Kay said in an interview that the defector ”was absolutely at the heart of a matter of intense interest to us.’ But Curveball turned out to be an ”out-and-out fabricator,’ he added. . . .” (Idem.)
    7. “. . . U.S. and British intelligence officials have acknowledged since major combat ended in Iraq that lies or distortions by Iraqi opposition groups in exile contributed to numerous misjudgments about Iraq’s suspected weapons programs. Chalabi’s Iraqi National Congress is blamed most often, but the rival Iraqi National Accord and various Kurdish groups also were responsible for sending dubious defectors to Western intelligence, officials say. . .” (Ibid.; p. 3.)
    Spitfire List | FTR #502 Curve Ball

    Gravity is God's glue that holds his universe together.

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    Buzsaw
    Inactive Member


    Message 10 of 58 (275184)
    01-02-2006 11:05 PM


    Islamofascism And Democracy
    The same link goes on to talk about how fascism works with democracy. I don't mean to turn this thread into a link mining thing, but there's so much here that is difficult to articulate without the links. I suggest a reading of this whole link as it is quite interesting as related to this topic. I've chosen a few significant statements here.
    link writes:
    a 26. Just as the U.S. was lured into the Iraqi invasion under the auspices of bad intelligence and some fundamental illusions about the nature of the Middle East, so, too it may be in the process of being lured into a friendly relationship with the Islamofascist Muslim Brotherhood. An ally of the Third Reich, the Brotherhood is explicitly fascist. Like a number of neo-fascist movements (including the Italian Alleanza Nationale and the German NPD) the Brotherhood is attempting to use democratic means to achieve power, where it is deemed feasible. ...................... It may be that the Bush administration’s attempts at fostering democracy in the Middle East may result in the ascension of Islamofascist governments in those countries.
    30. It is disturbing to note that the Brotherhood is a dominant force in the American Islamic community: “Past and present Muslim Brotherhood supporters make up the U.S. Islamic community’s most organized force. They run hundreds of mosques and dozens of businesses engaging in ventures such as real estate development and banking. They also helped set up some of the leading American Islamic organizations that defend the rights of Muslims, promote Muslim civic activism and seek to spread Islam. For years, federal agents paid little heed to the Brotherhood, but after Sept. 11, they noticed that many leads went back to the Brotherhood. ”We see some sort of nexus, direct or indirect, to the Brotherhood, in ongoing cases,’ said Dennis Lormel, until recently a top FBI counterterrorism official. The architect of the Sept. 11 strikes, Khalid Sheik Mohamed, told U.S. interrogators that he was drawn to violent jihad after joining the Brotherhood in Kuwait at age 16 and attending its desert youth camps, according to the report released in July by the national commission that investigated the attacks.” (Ibid.; p. 2.)
    Spitfire List | FTR #502 Curve Ball

    Gravity is God's glue that holds his universe together.

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    Iblis
    Member (Idle past 3917 days)
    Posts: 663
    Joined: 11-17-2005


    Message 11 of 58 (275188)
    01-02-2006 11:19 PM
    Reply to: Message 10 by Buzsaw
    01-02-2006 11:05 PM


    zero to hitler in ten posts lol
    Something nice about the Muslim Brotherhood
    Hassan al-Banna, the teacher who founded the group, was a Wahabbi Sunni Muslim. Wahabbism is an extremely strict form of Islam, not dissimilar to the brand pushed by the Taliban.
    In its early years, the Brotherhood focused on religious preaching, education and social programs. It was banned, then legalized again after the formation of Israel in 1948. Dissatisfied with Egyptian efforts against the "Zionist threat," the Brotherhood assassinated the prime minister of Egypt in late 1948, leading to the retributory killing of al-Banna in early 1949.
    After being banned again 1954 (due to an attempt to assassinate Egyptian President Gamal Abdal Nasser), the membership was dispersed into surrounding nations, including Jordan, Lebanon and Syria. As it spread throughout the Middle East, the Brotherhood became increasingly associated with acts of violence, assassination and terrorism.
    One of the Brotherhood's beefs with the Egyptian government was its support of the Soviet Union, which may have won the attention of the young Central Intelligence Agency. Rumors have swirled for years that the CIA may have supported the Brotherhood during the 1950s and 1960s. The allegations of an alliance have been widely reported, but not irrefutably documented. If true, the CIA has a lot to answer for.
    http://www.rotten.com/library/conspiracy/muslim-brotherhood/

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    Minnemooseus
    Member
    Posts: 3945
    From: Duluth, Minnesota, U.S. (West end of Lake Superior)
    Joined: 11-11-2001
    Member Rating: 10.0


    Message 12 of 58 (275189)
    01-02-2006 11:19 PM
    Reply to: Message 10 by Buzsaw
    01-02-2006 11:05 PM


    Re: Islamofascism And Democracy
    I have this vague recollection of a rather ugly Islam topic in the past, and I don't think we want to do it again. That said, I don't feel up to getting into your link right now, and I don't think such is likely to change.
    I don't recall what if any position you have taken here at , in regards to George W. Bush. There is a strong correlation between creationism and neo-con, but maybe you are not one of the such. Are/were you a GWB supporter? My instinct is that you are not a "rabid liberal GWB hater".
    Has the outcome of the war so far come as a surprise to you? You don't seem to have much disagreement (as far as my feeble memory recalls) with the replies you have received.
    Very much not in the admin mode,
    Moose

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 10 by Buzsaw, posted 01-02-2006 11:05 PM Buzsaw has replied

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    Buzsaw
    Inactive Member


    Message 13 of 58 (275206)
    01-03-2006 12:30 AM
    Reply to: Message 12 by Minnemooseus
    01-02-2006 11:19 PM


    Re: Islamofascism And Democracy
    minnemooseus writes:
    I don't recall what if any position you have taken here at , in regards to George W. Bush. There is a strong correlation between creationism and neo-con, but maybe you are not one of the such. Are/were you a GWB supporter? My instinct is that you are not a "rabid liberal GWB hater".
    Has the outcome of the war so far come as a surprise to you? You don't seem to have much disagreement (as far as my feeble memory recalls) with the replies you have received.
    The outcome of the war has not come as a surprise to me. I have posted in these EvC forums in the past that as I understand the Biblical prophecies, the Islamic fundamentalists will advance and the US will diminish in world influence and power, as the enemies of Israel eventually renew their aliance with Russia, Germany and North Africa. They will ultimately be drawn into an invasion of Jerusalem for Armageddon to happen. Christianity will suffer much tribulation as Islams influence advances. Vatican City will be suddenly destroyed (likely nuked) again leaving a huge void for the Christian world to curb the Islamic advance to world domination which the prophet Muhammed advocated and prophesied in the Quran.
    The Bush administration should have watched how the Israelis keep terrorism at bay and followed their model by bombing the heck out of hot spots only and withdrawing, leaving the bloodied terrorists a lot to think about before the next strike. Yah, the UN council would scream bloody murder after each strike, but what's new?
    Logically it's a mistake for the Bush Admin to pour billions into equiping and training two Muslim theocratic governments, Iraq and Afganistan, but I know the last chapter via Biblical prophecy, which says GOD JEHOVAH will draw the nations into the region for reckoning at Armageddon before the not too distant 2nd advent of Jesus, his Christ to the Temple Mount at Jerusalem where he will establish a righteous kingdom to dominate the world for a full millenium before the world is destroyed by fire, et al.
    Btw, I did vote for GWB and would do it again on principle for reasons other than his war decisions like the appointment of Supreme Court justices, et al.
    Bush does not understand that the Islamic fundies, the close followers of the Quran, the Haddiths and Sunnas intend to dominate the world. He and the media (or maybe via the media) like to think that Islam is a peaceful religion. LOL! Neither the Shi'a nor the Sunis fundies are peaceful, and the fundies eventually work their way into power in these nations and they, for the most part run the mosques.
    You seem a bit puzzled (alarmed? ) that things are going so smoothly between counterparts here. It will likely spark up a bit after this post. Surely there will be some debate here, but unlike the other thread, we will find/have found some common ground.

    Gravity is God's glue that holds his universe together.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 12 by Minnemooseus, posted 01-02-2006 11:19 PM Minnemooseus has replied

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    randman 
    Suspended Member (Idle past 4920 days)
    Posts: 6367
    Joined: 05-26-2005


    Message 14 of 58 (275215)
    01-03-2006 1:04 AM
    Reply to: Message 13 by Buzsaw
    01-03-2006 12:30 AM


    Re: Islamofascism And Democracy
    Buz as a fellow believer, I caution you to be careful with prophecy. Yes, there are some "negative" prophecies about the end-times, that are true, but there are others as well.
    The Bible also states a great catastrophe will descend on Egypt drying up the Nile, and then Egypt will turn to the Lord, and there will be a godly peace as a result as Egypt and Syria are called "My people" or something like that, and a highway between Egypt, Israel and Syria.
    That has not happened. It can only happen now if Egypt and Syria turn to Jesus and are converted to following Christ to a degree as soceities. It's unfulfilled prophecies of great revival in these nations, and so this, imo, must occur before any of anti-Christ scenarios play out.
    In Iraq, is Bush unwittingly perhaps backing a new Islamic regime?
    probably

    This message is a reply to:
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    lfen
    Member (Idle past 4699 days)
    Posts: 2189
    From: Oregon
    Joined: 06-24-2004


    Message 15 of 58 (275244)
    01-03-2006 2:29 AM
    Reply to: Message 5 by NosyNed
    01-02-2006 6:01 PM


    Re: Iran won the Gulf War POTM?
    As an aside this is a classic problem with interpreting intelligence.
    The British success in WWII with breaking the enigma cypher led them to believe that Rommel couldn't attack because his supplies were low. The Brits were then surprised by his attack. Rommel had been lying, crying poor to his headquarters to try and get larger allotments.
    Teaches us to be careful about over relying on this stuff.
    lfen

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