Yeah, that's what I also think, and why I do think that the probability argument against abiogenesis is viable
But it's only viable as a thought experiment, because no matter what the improbability comes out to be, the fact remains that life exists and that would point to a process of abiogenesis, regardless of the improbability.
Like the golf making that shot, the improbability of it happening existed before he took the shot, and yet it happened. In the same sense that, no matter how improbable abiogenesis might be, life exists and therefore trumps the results of the improbabality.
Something that happens once in a thousand years now would happen once in a million years.
Here's an improbabality, a poker hand occuring that the chances of it happening are 1 in 2.7 billion. Almost completely impossible, yet, it occured.
Improbabality serves no purpose in hindsight since the end result, whether it's 4 Aces being beaten by a Royal Flush or multiple mutations occuring, can be seen.
What are the odds of it happening again? The same as it happening the first time, yet it happened regardless of the improbabality.