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Author Topic:   Human Social Evolution (in the face of civilization collapse)
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 3 of 41 (519297)
08-13-2009 1:33 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by DBlevins
08-12-2009 2:06 PM


I wonder what about the end of a civilization would make matches stop working..

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by DBlevins, posted 08-12-2009 2:06 PM DBlevins has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 4 by Huntard, posted 08-13-2009 2:57 AM Evlreala has replied
 Message 22 by DBlevins, posted 08-17-2009 6:34 PM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 5 of 41 (519418)
08-13-2009 2:21 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by Huntard
08-13-2009 2:57 AM


Re: It's about quantity
Huntard writes:
Nothing. They would run out, however.
My point being, even in the face of the fall of a civilization, we have access to resourses and information. Suppose we do run out of matches, what stops us from using modern know-how to start a fire another way?
If only one in 1000 has the nessessary ability to accomplish a goal, all it takes is one to teach others.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by Huntard, posted 08-13-2009 2:57 AM Huntard has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 6 by Stile, posted 08-13-2009 3:50 PM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 7 of 41 (519456)
08-13-2009 7:07 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by Stile
08-13-2009 3:50 PM


Re: How destructive is "collapse?"
Stile writes:
Oh, it takes a lot more than that.
You misrepresent my statement, let me explain. When I said, "all it takes is one to teach others." I am making a referance to the first part of the sentance that says, "If only one in 1000 has the nessessary ability to accomplish a goal," and is not making any referance to anything else let alone any environmental factors.
Never the less, I'll play along..
First, lets define "civilization."
dictionary.com writes:
civ⋅i⋅li⋅za⋅tion [siv-uh-luh-zey-shuhn]
—noun 1. an advanced state of human society, in which a high level of culture, science, industry, and government has been reached.
2. those people or nations that have reached such a state.
3. any type of culture, society, etc., of a specific place, time, or group: Greek civilization.
4. the act or process of civilizing or being civilized: Rome's civilization of barbaric tribes was admirable.
5. cultural refinement; refinement of thought and cultural appreciation: The letters of Madame de Svign reveal her wit and civilization.
6. cities or populated areas in general, as opposed to unpopulated or wilderness areas: The plane crashed in the jungle, hundreds of miles from civilization.
7. modern comforts and conveniences, as made possible by science and technology: After a week in the woods, without television or even running water, the campers looked forward to civilization again.
(think: Europe after collapse of Rome or Easter Island, roughly 1000 years after for this scenario.)
..It is safe to assume that the 3rd definition of civilization is applicable, considering Europe is only one specific place in the world. (correct me if my understanding is wrong.)
Now, using this paradigm, lets observe a hypothedical situation where the colapse of civilization in Italy (Sticking with the Rome theme)has occured and address the questions.
DBlevins writes:
I would like to focus my first question on whether humans, in the aftermath of a large scale collapse of 'civilization' will be able to retain knowledge and skills necessary for their survival?
Considering our current technological state, sharing information (and to an extent skills) with the rest of the world is not only possible, but practiced almost world-wide. The question becomes not 'if' we can, but 'what' we can share. For example, is the knowledge freely given, or is it withheld?
Now for your specific concerns;
-an area in which no one is trying to steal anything/everything you own for their own personal survival
Do you assume there are no areas in which someone isn't trying to steal something 100% of the time? I certainly don't assume there are no areas in which someone is trying to steal something 100% of the time, and I certainly never said it would be an easy task.
-an area in which you are largely free from 'mob mentality' taking over and destroying (even killing) any people you're trying to teach
Do you assert that mobs and killing sprees will be so widespread for a thousand years? In your views of a post civilization meltdown, are people inherantly malicious and evil? Even in 'lawless' areas of the world, riots, mobs, killings, etc.. don't occure all the time.
I would apply the same logic I used for the previous statement.
people who can understand "learning for the future" is more important than "living for the present" (difficult for hungry individuals in a lawless environment)
And do you assume such principals would be lost to everyone in the event of civilizations fall? I would like to see your evidence to support this if this is the case. In many 'lawless' places in the world, such thinking is not absent from everyone.
None of these can be taken for granted in the face of civilization collapse.
Do you presume I do? Explain.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 6 by Stile, posted 08-13-2009 3:50 PM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by Stile, posted 08-14-2009 7:59 AM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 10 of 41 (519529)
08-14-2009 1:50 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by Stile
08-14-2009 7:59 AM


Re: How destructive is "collapse?"
Stile writes:
Assert? About a hypothetical situation? I'm not asserting anything,
Indeed, you have..
Stile writes:
In order to teach others anything you need:
-an area in which no one is trying to steal anything/everything you own for their own personal survival
-an area in which you are largely free from 'mob mentality' taking over and destroying (even killing) any people you're trying to teach
-people who can understand "learning for the future" is more important than "living for the present" (difficult for hungry individuals in a lawless environment)
None of these can be taken for granted in the face of civilization collapse.
I'm more asking for a clarification on these statements then anything else.
Stile writes:
I'm just trying to talk about the same thing the guy who started the thread is trying to talk about. I may certainly be wrong, but who knows?
As am I, which is why I attempted to explain my understanding via a model of a post-civilization experience, I fully admit I may be wrong but this is how I currently understand the scenario.
Stile writes:
From the OP, I take it that he's attempting to discuss something extremely catastrophic. Something that kills anywhere from 50% to 100% of the local civilization.
Then my paradigm still fits, unless I've missed something. Here is where I come into a road block, however..
Without knowing how the civilization fell in the first place, how can the question be addressed beyond this point?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by Stile, posted 08-14-2009 7:59 AM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 12 by Stile, posted 08-14-2009 2:01 PM Evlreala has replied
 Message 30 by DBlevins, posted 08-18-2009 1:50 PM Evlreala has seen this message but not replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 11 of 41 (519533)
08-14-2009 1:59 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by dwise1
08-14-2009 2:14 AM


I'm afraid my time on the internet is limited today, so I will not be able to respond to your message until I have a bit more time. You did raise a few good points and a few I would like to contest once I have the time.
Until then..

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by dwise1, posted 08-14-2009 2:14 AM dwise1 has not replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 13 of 41 (519535)
08-14-2009 2:13 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by Stile
08-14-2009 2:01 PM


Re: How destructive is "collapse?"
Contextual jumping around? It may be my perspective speaking, but I don't see how I was doing said 'jumping'. If thats what you percieved, then I apologise, but my interest was genuine.
I left the model vague for the specific reason that the quote you made of me addresses, I was hoping the author of the OP would fill in some blanks.
If you are leaving the topic, I certainly don't consider it a win.. I was attempting to pick your brain, not win a contest.
Good luck!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by Stile, posted 08-14-2009 2:01 PM Stile has seen this message but not replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 14 of 41 (519562)
08-14-2009 8:59 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by dwise1
08-14-2009 2:14 AM


dwise1 writes:
A lot of things to consider. Some consideration of how civilization had actually fallen after Rome would be needed.
I absolutly agree..
We are so interdependent on infrastructure, that most of what we could do to be "self-reliant" will go away when that infrastructure collapses (assuming that it will immediately).
Now this makes things a bit more interesting, now not only do we have the fall of civilization in our scenario, but now we have the demise of infrastructure. For the sake of argument, whatever occured caused the immediate fall of infrastructure..
Concern has been expressed over lost how quickly skills and knowledge will be lost, but we have already lost so very much.
Yes, and if were speaking of personal or unique information and skills, then I agree. The differance is in our technological age, there is very little knowledge that has not breached the digital realm, for that matter, I know of no skill that is not practiced in almost every other country in the world.
Eg, a German schoolmaster was angered by his students' bad behavior, so as punishment he gives them a massive arithmetic assignment: Add up all the numbers from 1 to 100. All the boys immediately start writing furiously, except for one boy who just sits there thinking. Then he writes a few things down and turns in his assignment, which was completely correct. The boy's name was Karl Friedrich Gau, one of the greatest of Germany's mathmaticians*. The point is that anyone of us given the same assignment would have programmed it into his computer to grind out the answer through sheer brute force. Take our computers away (as when the electricity infrastructure goes away) and we will be reduced to the level of Gau' hapless schoolmates.
I fail to see how using a computer to solve an equation is 'sheer brute force' but I do get your point, I just disagree. I have come across few people who could not perform at least basic math without the use of a computer. One of the benifits of public education.
Ever read the sci-fi classic book, Earth Abides (c. late 40's)?
No, I haven't. I will soon now that I've head of it. Thank you for that.
Unfortunatly, in the story you described, unless I misread, this fall of civilization was on a global scale where as this paradigm is on a relitive local scale.
Which brings up the main problem, which will not be with us, but rather with our offspring. We know what is important, but can we pass that on to our progeny? How many generations does it take to lose everything? Fewer than we may think.
I don't see why not, considering the local infrastructure may be gone, but the global infrastructure is still existing. It seems to me that it would be just a matter of time. The first few generations may forget much, but it is only a matter of time before the rest of the world presses its influance.
Remember, we are incredibly dependent on infrastructure, so we are incredibly vulnerable to loss of infrastructure. And, over 1000 years, we are talking about ten's of generations.
I agree, however, like I pointed out earlier, there is still an infrastructure on the global scale. Over a 1000 years is a long time for the rest of the world to not have any influance over the lost civilization.
Also, the difference with the modern scenario and the Dark Ages is that while the West fell into darkness, the East was still vital and keeping the ancient knowledge alive. Remember, it was the renewed contact with refugees from Byzantium and with the Arabs that helped to spark the rebirth of civilization, the Renaissance.
Are you forgetting this paradigm is only a relitivly local event? The rest of the world still exists.
Which brings up another question. What was the role of Christianity in the on-set of the Dark Ages, what with Christianity's dependence on its followers' ignorance? After all, it took the reintroduction of pagan knowledge to bring about the rebirth of Western civilization, the Renaissance in case some have forgotten.
One could only guess.. I wouldn't even know where to begin addressing this train of thought.
has beenmany authors have given your question a
I'm afraid you've lost me..

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by dwise1, posted 08-14-2009 2:14 AM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by dwise1, posted 08-14-2009 11:41 PM Evlreala has replied
 Message 16 by dwise1, posted 08-15-2009 12:24 AM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 18 of 41 (519666)
08-15-2009 11:44 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by dwise1
08-14-2009 11:41 PM


No problem at all, all I care about is content which you clearly provide.
dwise1 writes:
That was a remnant of the first pass at an earlier paragraph that I overlooked and failed to clean up. What it became was:
I'm glad, for a bit there, I was feeling truely baffled. I thought I had missed something entirely.
My misunderstandiong of your analogy stems from the equating using a computer with being necessarily 'brute force.' Your explaination clears that up for me.
Now, concerning your examples.. Contrary to them, most people in a modern civilization can perform basic math. I'm not saying they won't struggle, but necessity does tend to bring out ability in people. This is my opinion, so for the sake of the argument lets assume your examples hold true in our scenario.
Whats to stop the rest of the world from pressing their influence?
Let's not forget, this is in regards to the survival of knowledge and skills not the civilization itself. If all of Italy falls everywhere else in the world still retains their skills and knowledge regardless.
[qs]OK, I guess the wine is kicking in sooner than I thought it would. To summarize, my basic points were:
1. Before we did everything the way we do now, we did it some other way. If we lose our current technology, then in order to do the same things, we will need to revert back to that older way.[qs] Why would we need to revery to the older way when the new way still exists? I'll agree that it might be necessary for the first bit, but it wouldn't be long before the rest of the world moves in or builds the civilization back up.
2. Problem is, nobody has been taught that older way. For the most part, nobody has even been taught that that older way even ever existed.
Isn't this a bit presumtuous of you? Many people know the "older ways" and that they existed. More importaintly, books containing these math tricks and "older ways" are in circulation. Not everybody is so heavily reliant on computers as you think.
3. Our current technology allows us to solve too many problems with the brute force of our machines. The ancients who did not have such machines had to do everything smarter, whereas with our machines we can do things very stupidly and still be able to do the job. When we lose our current technology, we will suddenly have to learn how to work a lot smarter.
Our current technology allows us to solve problems intelligently as well as through brute force. Sometimes (often, with the techniques we have invented) brute force is the intelligent metheod.
4. Problem is not only having to suddenly be a lot smarter, but also discovering the smart solutions to problems. It's not just a matter of being smarter, but also of knowing the techniques for doing all those things. The first time around, it took us generations to figure all that out and now we have lost it within a couple/few generations. How long will it take us to relearn all that?
Do you assume the rest of the world will sit idly by and just watch for generations? I think not.
Kind of just because I'm bordering on stream-of-consciousness mode now, but also because it touches on rediscovering lost technology. In a gaming magazine a couple decades ago, there was once a short story called "Half the Battle." It wasn't the best sci-fi short story by any stretch of the imagination (hey, look at where it was published!), but it has stuck with me. In a post-apocalpse future, generations of archaeologists were digging through the ruins of our current civilization searching for information about the technologies they had lost. Information about the steam engine which seemed unimaginable, but "knowing it can be done is half the battle". And then generations later they dig up plans for a Messerschmidt plane whose engine far outstripped the steam engine at an incredibly small fraction of the weight, but "knowing it can be done is half the battle". Then finally, a new discovery of incredibly advanced technology unlike anything else they had dug up. Very sketchy in the details, but "knowing it can be done is half the battle". It took them two hundred years with many false starts but they kept driving forward with the knowledge that "knowing it can be done is half the battle". The story ends with the first-person perspective belonging to the commanding officer of the product of that advanced technology as he gives the historic command: "Helm, ahead warp factor one!"
A "post-apocalpse future" is an entirely differant scenario, were talking about the fall of civilization. This story is irrellivent to the topis as it consists of an entirely unique paradigm to the one being discussed.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by dwise1, posted 08-14-2009 11:41 PM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 21 by dwise1, posted 08-16-2009 5:07 AM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 19 of 41 (519669)
08-16-2009 12:05 AM
Reply to: Message 16 by dwise1
08-15-2009 12:24 AM


dwise1 writes:
OK, that changes a lot. We're down the tubes, but other parts of the world are still hunky-dory? OK, so what's keeping those other parts of the world from moving in and taking over us?
Nothing, which is kind of my point.
So what about the Eastern Empire? They kept a hands-off approach. Why? Was it because of the politics that had led to the split? Was it because of the barrier of the distances, logistics, and cost in resources had they attempted to take over the Western Empire? Was it because they had their own border problems to deal with? Whatever it was, they stayed away until a millenium later when they reached out to the West seeking help against Islamic invasion, which resulted in the Crusades. Which in turn, because we were suddenly exposed again to lost ancient, pagan knowledge that the Eastern Empire (AKA "Byzantium") had preserved, helped to spark the Renaissance.
Do you assume that modern politics work the same way as the politics of the past? Or how about the comparisant in communication technologies? Warfare? Transportation?
If you're not compairing how the Eastern Empire acted to how modern countries would act, then what was the relivence of this?
Knowledge. Let's let that one ride for right now.
Another time then..
OK, now for your scenario. We collapse, but the rest of the world survives? OK, what is to keep them from rolling in and taking us over? Seriously. The only way we will be completely on our own is if the rest of the world that survived were to be kept the hell away from us. What would that be?
Once again, nothing.. Thats the point. Being "completely on your own" is irrellevent. Its a non-variable.
Let's follow a scenario where we collapse, after which another country or coalition moves in and takes over. Why? Because of our resources? Because of the remnants of our industrial power? They would have a selfish interest in reconstructing our devastated infrastructure, because they need that infrastructure to exploit whatever it is that they came wanting to exploit. Hence, our infrastructure would be restored in fairly short order; it's mainly just our political structure that would need a lot of work.
The question pertained to the survival of knowledge and skills, not the rebuild of a political structure. This, too, is an irrillevent point.
There has to be a really good reason for the surviving part of the world to leave us alone.
I agree, but as I've said.. its an irrillevent point.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 16 by dwise1, posted 08-15-2009 12:24 AM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 20 by dwise1, posted 08-16-2009 3:25 AM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 27 of 41 (519883)
08-18-2009 3:24 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by dwise1
08-16-2009 3:25 AM


dwise1 writes:
He was obviously positing a global collapse, not a localized one as you are.
"Obvious" implies that the scenario was clearly defined, which it was not. Using the example given by the OP, I presented a logicly sound reasoning as to how I interpreted the meaning whie admiting I could be wrong and asking for a clarification if one believed it were so.
Evlreala writes:
Ex. ..It is safe to assume that the 3rd definition of civilization is applicable, considering Europe is only one specific place in the world. (correct me if my understanding is wrong.)
Show me where my reasoning was flawed.
dwise writes:
The only way in which a localized collapse could still be considered in this discussion would be if for some reason the affected region were to be kept isolated from the rest of the globe that was not affected.
I would like to hear your reasoning for this as well, considering we havent discovered or discussed what caused the fall of the civilization in the first place. Consider how long it takes a small community to recover after a natural disaster, now add to the effect how long it would have taken them without an outside source to help them such as their government. Local or global, the questions are still applicable until a new variable is introduced.
The Western Empire was a case of a localized collapse that was rendered identical to a global collapse because the affected region remained isolated from the rest of the globe that was not affected. For about 1000 years after Rome had fallen, Constantinoble continued to function and to rule the Eastern Empire, Byzantium. Yet when Rome fell, Constantinoble did not come to its aid and so Rome's localized collapse effectively became a global collapse.
I'm afraid you are only partially correct. Rome fell, true, but groups did flee Rome taking their customs, knowledge, skills, and insight with them. Explain how this constitutes isolation.
OK, so what is there to discuss then? They would move in, take over, lead us to recovery, albeit along paths that would benefit them. Maybe different countries would squabble over us and might even have wars to settle who got what from us, but that still renders the original question of the OP moot.
I fail to see how restating my own argument back to me is helpful. Did you misunderstand what I meant by "global influance?" I was trying to be as direct as I could while still being honest(considering I don't know how other countries would react with an unknown fall of civilization.)
So have I answered that now? We could rationalize why Byzantium had not acted upon the collapse of Rome. If we were to run the same scenario with modern technology (ie, the technology of the rest of the globe that had survived the localized collapse that you posit), modern communications, modern transportation capabilities, modern logistic capabilities, etc, then the outcome would have been extremely different. When Rome collapsed, the sheer logistics of what it would have taken for Byzantium to have come to her aid could have served as explanation enough for her not having come to Rome's aid. If the USA were to collapse today, I cannot think of any reason for the surviving countries to not come rushing in, whether to her aid or to feed on her carrion.
That is, once again, kind of my point..
I submit that Byzantium's logistical reasons were compelling enough to have kept it from intervening in Rome's collapse. Those same logistical reasons would not by any stretch of the imagination prevent the rest of the globe from intervening in the collapse of the USA.
Granted, however, we arn't talking about a paradigm of ancient Rome, but of modern Rome(or as you've suggested, the USA).
OK, Byzantium's obstaining from intervening in Rome's collapse rendered that localized collapse global (as far as the West was concerned). If the USA were to similarly collapse, there is nothing to prevent anybody else in the uneffected globe to intervene, not do you expect them to not intervene (indeed, you seem to explicitly expect them to intervene).
And restating my argument accomplishes..?
Therefore, all your scenarios are rendered moot.
Also, your scenarios have nothing to do with the OP, which posited a global collapse.
Stating "therefore" doesn't make your argument sequential.
You assert a global colapse.. Okay, I'm open to the possibility that I am wrong, however, the example demonstrates a local colapse. Pointing out my position to me over and over accomplishes nothing more then making your content look redundant. If I am wrong, then so be it, but where is the flaw to my logic?
Uh, hello????? A "post-apocalpse future" is hardly dissimilar to "the fall of civilization." In the case of a global collapse, the two are identical. In the case of a localized collapse, as I have demonstrated the point is completely and utterly moot.
Actually.. No..
Or should I start this off with a juvinial attempt to talk down to you with using a common phrase found in pop culture and signify its exaggeration with the use of several question marks.. No, I think I will step away from acting like I'm 12.
Even in the face of global collapse, the two are not identical. Post-apocoliptic refers to a specific kind of fall of civilization. Take for example if every world government were to suddenly fail. This is a type of a fall of civilization, yet it is not apocoliptic by any definition.
Also, I have watched Star Trek in its various incarnation ever since it first aired on 08 Sep 1966 (Man Trap). I also purchased Franz Joseph's "Tech Manual" (apparently the document dug up by the archaeologist in the story) in 1975. I am also a "Trekker", not a "Trekkie", since I do not have two sets of Vulcan ears in my desk drawer (not even a single set, FWIW). However, the irony of the story, that an imagined future technology could be taken seriously and allowed to be achieved, is just too beautiful to be ignored. Especially since it was buried in an obscure magazine that even I cannot find.
This is going to be good.. I'll explain that in a moment, but first, I notice you like to bring up a lot of non-sequential facts to illustrate a point. For example, the referance to not being a "trekkie" due to your lack vulcan ears. I'm wondering why you think this is relivent?
Moving on..
It was known for a fact that it was impossible to exceed the speed of sound. Every time we tried, we hit a wall that destroyed the aircraft that had attempted to exceed the speed of sound. We knew that for a fact.
I'm sorry, but your understanding of the scientific mindset is truely ignorant if you believe this to be true. This is not meant to be insulting, just an observation, let me explain..
First of all, you made a statement with an assumption.
-that is was known for a fact that it was impossible to break the sound barrier
This is incorrect, durring this time period, we knew it was possible to go faster then the speed of sound because we had observed it in nature. Some species of birds are capible of breaking the sound barrier when in a steap enough decline in optimal conditions.
Secondly, in science, it is never "impossible" to do anything, only degrees of improbible. For example, it is considered possible that the computer you are using to have spontainiously disassembled itself on the atomic level everytime you leave the room and reassemble before you return, but is it probible?
Thirdly, we knew why the plains were destroyed everytime they attempted to exceed the sound barrier, we just didn't know how to work past this point yet.
That is, until the Glorious Glennis piloted by Chuck Yeager proved us wrong!
Glennis proved only the ignorant wrong, this feat had already been observed in nature.
We know for a fact that even the most basic technology of Star Trek is impossible. Just imagine for one moment a society that had been given a glimpse of that technology, but they had been told that it was not only possible, but had actually been achieved.
Once again, you are incorrect. Though we are not at the level of technology that the show hinted at, we have made a great deal of progress in devoloping these technologies.
-We've been able to teleport photons and other small particles over long distances
-3d holographic simulations, manipulated by the user in the enviroment and experienced tactile sensations via use of directed soundwaves. (holodeck)
-Models have been produced for matter restructuring technology as well math models for as faster then light travel.
-Quantium computers are right around the corner, in fact a few companies have made claims that they have already produced working prototypes.
I'll admit that your knowledge of early American science fiction is impressive, but your understanding of what is out there today is not.
Armed with that knowledge, what could possibly hold them back?
Religion.. (off topic, I know, but it had to be said. See: The Dark Ages)
Now, my question to you.. How is this rellivent?
(sorry for the delay, internet time where I am is scarce at best and I have to copy/paste your posts when I get the chance and reply when I'm next on.)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by dwise1, posted 08-16-2009 3:25 AM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by dwise1, posted 08-18-2009 3:04 PM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 29 of 41 (519932)
08-18-2009 1:46 PM
Reply to: Message 21 by dwise1
08-16-2009 5:07 AM


dwise writes:
OK. My posts regarding the relevance of your particular scenario, which differs greatly from the scenario posited by the OP, have already been posted. To summarize, the scenarios that you posit are all moot.
So you have asserted, and it may be the case.. You still have not explained the flaw to my logic. To summarize, your arguments are made on an assumption, right or wrong your argument is weak.
OK. There's a lot of old knowledge out there. Knowledge that was absolutely necessary before our over-abundant technology. Knowledge that was mentioned to us by our teachers but which we never paid any attention to.
You assume once again. Weak argument.
OK, here's a challenge. In 7th grade, my math teacher demonstrated to us a long-hand method to calculate the square-root of calculating any given number. Do not use any Internet resource.
You're challenging me to math? Are you serious? First of all, I didn't have your math teacher, so how am I supposed to know what metheod they taught you? You want to know how I was taught? First, its irrellivent to the topic, second it would take more effort then I'm willing to give you, and third, theres no way for me to prove that I didnt "use an internet resource" and to be honest, you don't come accross as the type of person to trust my word sence you've clearly already made up your mind about it.
Perhaps I am not as unique as I believe I am.
I believe this sums it up pretty nice..

This message is a reply to:
 Message 21 by dwise1, posted 08-16-2009 5:07 AM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by dwise1, posted 08-18-2009 2:35 PM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 34 of 41 (519986)
08-18-2009 10:15 PM
Reply to: Message 22 by DBlevins
08-17-2009 6:34 PM


Re: A candle in the dark?
DBlevins writes:
I hope you'll forgive my late responses, and not mistake this for a lack of interest in my own subject but only due to a hectic schedule.
Not at all.. It is perfectly understandable that you have a life outside of an internet forum, thank you for responding at all. =D
Thank you, also, for clearing things up a bit for us.. I'll have to address this new model once I have more time. For now, I'll leave you with this.. We as a species, have something we did not have back in the past. Not only is our recorded knowledge widespread and easily accessable, but (the part that truely sets us apart) the ability to read and apply that information is not only almost as widespread, but has become a family tradition in most of the modern world to teach at home.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 22 by DBlevins, posted 08-17-2009 6:34 PM DBlevins has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 37 by DBlevins, posted 08-20-2009 6:39 PM Evlreala has replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 35 of 41 (520018)
08-19-2009 3:48 AM
Reply to: Message 32 by dwise1
08-18-2009 2:35 PM


dwise1 writes:
With all due respect, would you please pull your head out of whatever orifice it's jammed into and just respond to what I'm saying instead of making up minutiae to quibble over.
With all due respect, would you please stop acting like a child when someone disagrees with your premises? I am and have been addressing your arguments, the problem stems from your inability to functionaly present them in a manner that is both sequential and while restraining your temper.
I know its asking much of you, but would you care to share an example of a "minutiae" that you are refering to?
Continuing..
Don't be an idiot! I was not challenging your math skills, but rather placing you in the situation of a post-collapse person who needs to calculate a square root in order to accomplish a task. Is it possible for you to stop and think for a moment?
And so you resort to ad hominem attacks.. Pathedic.
Lets break it down;
OK, here's a challenge.
As of yet, this first sentance tells me there is a challenge, but not yet any specifics as to whom you are addressing. Without any other source to tell me the challenge is for another party (perhaps hypothedical) I must assume you are issuing the challenge to me as I am the target of this conversation from your end.
In 7th grade, my math teacher demonstrated to us a long-hand method to calculate the square-root of calculating any given number.
Specifics about the potential challenge have been given. parameters (however weak) have been made and defined.
Do not use any Internet resource.
Finally, the last bit, a restriction on the challenge. As this is the last sentance of the paragraph, it is reasonable to assume that this is the challenge in its entirety.
Even in placing me in your "situation" it is still a challenge of my math skills.. You are, afterall, challenging me to demonstrate how to use longhand to calculate the square root of a given number, thus.. math. I have demonstrated my thought processes in detail, ergo, I do think. Baseless insults wont work when I can break them down and demonstrate the fallacy. Might I recomend something akin to civility?
I told you to not use any internet resource, because, guess what, in the post-collapse world there is no internet anymore! You got that?
I "got" that, I'm not challenging why you added that restriction to the challenge. Go back and read my post again. I'm stating how the challenge is a moot point as I believe you to be the kind of person who would not take my word when I say I did not use "any internet resources."
No internet, no computer, no calculators. You would need to think your way to a solution. Our ancestors had methods to solve that problem, but -- and this was my point -- most, if not the vast majority, of us were never taught those old methods and those who were taught them never practiced them enough to remember them decades later.
As I have pointed out before, this is presumptious of you. You assume this to be the case, and for many it may be, however, your premise isn't based on real data but on a belief. Can you provide evidence to support this claim?
Until then, I reject your premise.
So post-collapse man would either need to find some reference somewhere with that information or else he would need to reinvent the wheel from scratch. I have only encountered the technique I was briefly taught in 7th grade (similar in format to long division) one other time: in a US Navy correspondence course. The other night I tried to find it again, but couldn't. Also, nowadays those courses are published as PDF files and we all know how readable those will be in the post-collapse world.
Like.. a book? Or someone who knows how to perform the same equation (assuming post-collapse man doesn't know)?
Ohh, and to counter your last point, these courses are still printed in book format.
There is one out, though. It is possible that this post-collapse man had found a slide rule. But how many people currently under 50 ever learned to use one of those, let alone learned what it was based on?
I assume you are refering to a slipstick? I'm not sure which the real name is, but there is a kid on my street who uses one, though not used as much in favor of the more accurate and quick to process scientific calculator there are still many out there who know how to use them. This argument is only valid if you first assume the "post-collapse" man is unable to perform math without one.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 32 by dwise1, posted 08-18-2009 2:35 PM dwise1 has not replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 36 of 41 (520019)
08-19-2009 3:48 AM
Reply to: Message 33 by dwise1
08-18-2009 3:04 PM


dwise1 writes:
Well, while it seemed obvious to me, I guess almost anything is open to different interpretations. Though now DBlevins has explicitly stated in Message 22:
Indeed, anything is open to interpretation especially when it is stated so vague. As I have stated all along, I have been open to the possibility that I was wrong.
So now you're arguing with yourself? I wonder who will win that one.
I'm honestly wondering if your reading comprehension failed you, you misrepresented my post to cause unnessessary ridicule, or if I just wasn't clear enough..
The "Ex." at the begining of the qs'd area was there to identify it as an example to the statement made before it, which was;
Using the example given by the OP, I presented a logicly sound reasoning as to how I interpreted the meaning whie admiting I could be wrong and asking for a clarification if one believed it were so.
The next statement was made in conjunction with the first two parts.
Thus;
Statement
Example of statement
then, follow-up question
Well if you agree with me, then what's the problem? If I've been supporting what you were saying, then what's the problem?
The problem is your understanding of the argument, your use of logical fallacys (non sequester and ad hominum to name a few), and your ability to make assumptions.
I correctly took the thread to be talking about a global collapse (this kind of discussion most commonly is on a global scale) while you mistook it to be about a localized collapse.
Yes, and the OP (DBlevins) admited their example was misleading, you still have not shown me where the flaw to my logic was.
So it appears that we were talking past each other. I saw you talking about this global collapse actually being localized, so I pointed out, quite correctly I believe, that the only way for this localized collapse having the same effects as a global one would be if for some reason those other surviving powers were to not intervene. You seem to agree with that, yet you keep opposing it.
Incorrect, I agreed to the premise, however at the time it was irrilevent. Until DBlevins made the clarification (after the fact, I might add) There was no reason to assume that anyone would not interfere. My reasoning for which has yet to be proven unsound, I'm still waiting.
So what's the problem?
Ahem..
Evlreala writes:
The problem is your understanding of the argument, your use of logical fallacys (non sequester, red herring and ad hominum to name a few), and your ability to make assumptions.
OK, so groups fled Rome. And this alleviated the isolation of Rome exactly how?
dictionary.com writes:
Isolate
verb, -lat⋅ed, -lat⋅ing, noun, adjective
1. to set or place apart; detach or separate so as to be alone.
2. Medicine/Medical. to keep (an infected person) from contact with noninfected persons; quarantine.
3. Chemistry, Bacteriology. to obtain (a substance or microorganism) in an uncombined or pure state.
4. Electricity. to insulate.
5. Television. to single out (a person, action, etc.) for a camera closeup.
—noun
6. a person, thing, or group that is set apart or isolated, as for purposes of study.
7. Psychology. a person, often shy or lacking in social skills, who avoids the company of others and has no friends within a group.
8. Biology. an inbreeding population that is isolated from similar populations by physiological, behavioral, or geographic barriers.
9. Also called language isolate. Linguistics. a language with no demonstrable genetic relationship, as Basque.
10. something that has been isolated, as a by-product in a manufacturing process: an isolate of soy flour.
—adjective
11. isolated; alone.
Provided the nature of being isolated is to be alone, then integrating into another culture is to be no longer isolated. Now, consider the context, I was refering to the Roman people, not the geological location or political power.
The location and political power are irrellivent when the topic is about the survival of skills and knowledge.
Are you using another definition of "isolation?"
They were leaving Rome, not arriving with support to rebuild Rome. The outside world received those refugees and may have been affected by them, but not Rome. For that isolation to be lifted, groups such as those refugees would have to have come streaming into Rome, bringing their customs, knowledge, skills, and insight with them. Which didn't happen for another 1000 years, when Byzantium herself started to fall.
Irrelivent. Why are you so fixated on the rebuilding of a civilization when its non sequential to the argument?
The argument was about the survival of the knowledge and skills, not that particular civilization.
BTW, do you have any information on those groups of refugees? Where they went? What they founded and what that eventually became? What effect they had on the regions where they eventually settled? Out of curiosity.
Not on hand, I did do a report on the subject in my freshman year of highschool, if I can find the paper, I'll be glad to cite the referances I used. It will take some time to find it, if I held onto it at all.
And it turns out that you are wrong; it was a global collapse, not a local one. And the OP also admits that Rome was perhaps not the best example.
Lets see if you pick up on it this time.. Bolded for emphasis.
Evlreala writes:
Stating "therefore" doesn't make your argument sequential.
You assert a global colapse.. Okay, I'm open to the possibility that I am wrong, however, the example demonstrates a local colapse. Pointing out my position to me over and over accomplishes nothing more then making your content look redundant. If I am wrong, then so be it, but where is the flaw to my logic?
The dynamics and recovery from a local collapse are different from a global collapse. All your scenarios were for a local collapse and are therefore moot for a global collapse.
And restating a point that we both agreed on does.. what exactally?
Despite your inappropriate ad hominem (and it would help if you were to at least appear to attempt to pay attention), you do raise a good point that is applicable to a global collapse: How did the collapse occur?
Once again, you are incorrect.. First, I made no ad hominem against you. Argumentum ad hominem is an argument directed at the person, I attacked your argument and presentation there of (a foundation of logical argumentation, might I add.) Second, the ironic part of it is, your very next statement was argumentum ad hominem against me.
Just off the top of my head, I see two ... no, three ... factors here that would affect the extent of the collapse and the rate of recovery out of it.
Playing along..
Point 1) I partialy agree (in conjunction with point 2)
Point 2) I agree.
Point 3) A moot point, this could be associated as an extention of with point 2.
And as for the rest of your inventing minutiae to quibble over, in this case "we knew for a fact", haven't you ever heard of Common Wisdom (AKA "Conventional Wisdom")? That is the generally held consensus of the community. That does not by any stretch of the imagination (except your own, apparently) mean that everybody held that view. Indeed, it is those who challenge Common Wisdom who lead us to most advances in knowledge and technology.
Sorry to say, pointing out how your statements were horribly incorrect is not, in fact, "inventing minutiae to quibble over." Your comments about "Conventional wisdom" would be valid, if you hadn't been stating what you were saying as a matter of fact.
wikipedia.com writes:
Conventional wisdom (CW) is a term used to describe ideas or explanations that are generally accepted as true by the public or by experts in a field.
As the belief that we cannot exceed the speed of sound was not, in fact, generally accepted as true (as it was a well known fact at that time that this phenomona was observed in nature and it was well known why our planes kept breaking apart upon reaching the sound barrier.), it is then not accepted as conventional wisdom by its very definition.
And thank you for pointing out how true that Star Trek story was. Most of those advances you mention, if not all of them, were inspired and motivated by Star Trek. Despite Common Wisdom, they want to find a way to make that technology happen.
Your welcome, it still remains irrelivent.
For the record, your example of "comon wisdom" is argumentum ad ignorantiam (an argument to ignorance).
Exactly my point. Again, since you agree with my point, what's the problem?
Your understanding.
If I ended my post with "The Earth revolves around the Sun" unless you subscribe to a geocentric belief (or other opposing belief) then you would agree with me. Well, then whats the problem?
Its irrelivent, thats the problem.
Its a red herring.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 33 by dwise1, posted 08-18-2009 3:04 PM dwise1 has not replied

  
Evlreala
Member (Idle past 3095 days)
Posts: 88
From: Portland, OR United States of America
Joined: 08-12-2009


Message 40 of 41 (521286)
08-26-2009 7:31 PM
Reply to: Message 37 by DBlevins
08-20-2009 6:39 PM


Re: A candle in the dark?
Sorry for the wait on my reply..
DBlevins writes:
I think I am getting the gist of your position in regards to my OP. Feel free to correct me if I’m mistaken.
Gladly..
Your position is that in a post-collapse world, there would still be sufficient numbers of people able to pass on the knowledge they have to others. Either the knowledgeable members or access to written materials will allow the future descendants to continue living in some ‘vague’ form similar to contemporary society.
Yes and no.. Here is where I have to speculate without knowing how the collapse happened in the first place. In most "collapse of a civilization" scenarios, there are still a sizeable amount of people. So, for the most part, I assume there are a lot of people strictlyt on an average basis.
The reason I say ‘vague form similar to contemporary society’ is that I am not sure if you believe a collapse of civilization is even possible? Your argument seems to suggest that even if civilization collapses, it would be temporary or only localized, that, there will be others who will pick up the pieces if the original inhabitants could not.
To clarify, I do believe a global collapse of civilization IS possible, just not probible or easy to accomplish. I'm trying to address both the initial fall and the end scenario a thousand years later (how long has it been sense the discovery of electricity?)
I am confused with your example of the difference between today’s widespread knowledge and access to information and the paucity of same in the past. Rome, before and during its collapse, was not some wasteland of plebeian dolts held together by the thin thread of educated patricians. Neither was Easter Island or any other society which suffered a collapse, full of simpletons with little access to knowledge.
I agree, and I have never said otherwise. In contrast, lets look at contemporary books and compair them to ancient written texts. Before the printing press, books were hand written and few in number accordingly. How many math texts do you suppose all of Rome had back before their fall? Now how many math books are in your city alone?
Speaking from personal experience, I can, within walking distance of my house alone, find hundreds of math books easily. The issue I'm raising isnt one of IF the knowledge is there, but one of how easy it is to find.
I am not suggesting that this would be permanent. Knowledge lost can be rediscovered. What I am asking is the opinion, of those interested, about what amount of knowledge would be retained or rediscovered 1000 years after a global collapse?
I hate to bring it up again, but that heavily depends on the question of how the civilization fell in the first place.
Do you, Evlreala, feel by the virtue of today's vast mass of information and access to information that discussing a global collapse would be an exercise in fultility? That there is so much momentum in human civilization, that a global collapse would likely be a blip in history, to be discussed in some future forum?
Quick answer.. No, not at all.
Once again, my time is up, or I would elaborate more. Until next time..

This message is a reply to:
 Message 37 by DBlevins, posted 08-20-2009 6:39 PM DBlevins has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 41 by DBlevins, posted 09-08-2009 5:22 PM Evlreala has seen this message but not replied

  
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