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Author Topic:   Stasis and Evolution
Parasomnium
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Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


(2)
Message 45 of 61 (532926)
10-27-2009 9:56 AM
Reply to: Message 39 by Kaichos Man
10-27-2009 9:09 AM


Someone must win
Kaichos Man writes:
even mathematicians have established a working definition of impossibility. It's 1 to 1050.
Clearly something with a chance of 1 in 1050 or less is still possible: the total result of two hundred coin flips in a row has a chance of about 1 in 1.6 x 1060, and I think you'll agree that it's a matter of minutes to flip a coin two hundred times. Whatever the outcome, it had a chance of 1 in 1.6 x 1060. Yet it happened.
Now, if you had predicted this particular outcome, that would have been something so unlikely as to be well-nigh impossible. And it's this element of prediction that's missing from the story of evolution.
The chance of someone emerging as victorious from Wimbledon is 1. This person has won each and every tennis match they played during the tournament. Amazing? No, because someone must be the victor. But it's much more unlikely to correctly predict the victor.
Edited by Parasomnium, : No reason given.
Edited by Parasomnium, : No reason given.

"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science." - Charles Darwin.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 39 by Kaichos Man, posted 10-27-2009 9:09 AM Kaichos Man has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 50 by Kaichos Man, posted 10-29-2009 1:48 AM Parasomnium has not replied

  
Parasomnium
Member
Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


(1)
Message 57 of 61 (533578)
11-01-2009 9:23 AM
Reply to: Message 55 by Kaichos Man
10-31-2009 8:42 AM


Re: Someone must win
Well, it certainly is irrelevant to this topic: stop discussing it here!
Alright. (Sulking) But I didn't start it...
No, I did. I am sorry for going off-topic.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 55 by Kaichos Man, posted 10-31-2009 8:42 AM Kaichos Man has not replied

  
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