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Author Topic:   What is an ID proponent's basis of comparison? (edited)
traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 98 of 315 (516630)
07-26-2009 2:42 PM
Reply to: Message 97 by Stagamancer
07-26-2009 2:15 PM


Mutations
However, the kind of mistake that is made is still random. The outcome of this mistake is random. This is still random mutation, there's just a higher probability that it will occur when it is induced. Inducing mutation is just like rolling multiple dice instead of just one (or rolling one die more often). It increases the chances of getting the desired roll, but it does not decrease the randomness of each individual roll. Just because there are mechanisms that allow for this increased mutation rate doesn't mean it's not random.
The above really depends on what any of us lurkers want to believe. I for one have a problem believing that a new function such as digesting nylon could be formed by random mutations simply because of the complexities inside of the cell. How many things can go wrong and look at the error correction mechanisms inside the cell that catches and corrects something like a 99.99999999% of all errors. From a previous link:
Because of the potential harm of mutations, humans and other mammals have evolved to make as few as possible. The machinery inside our cells has the ability to replicate our genomes extremely well, and the polymerase enzymes that replicate our DNA rarely make mistakes. Even when they do, we have multiple, redundant repair and proofreading mechanisms that would make even the most six-sigma-compliant NASA engineer jealous.
The quoted statement from above would be more plausible if one of the first Darwinian predictions (below) was correct.
"The cell is a simple homogenous globule of plasm" - T. H. Huxley - "Darwin's Bull Dog".
Either bacteria have the ability to direct their mutation to a specific goal, or they have the ability to increase the rate of random mutation at a specific site in order to take a chance that they will develop a beneficial mutation. I'll give you a hint, it's the latter.
So what does the bacteria do with all of those mutations that it can't use?
Smooth Operator,
You are doing very well in this debate, much better than I would have done. You seem to be losing some of your patience but I don't blame you. Also, I don't believe the one who wins the debate is the last one who posts. Intelligent design is for those who can discern what is real from what is not.
"Computers are no more able to create information than iPods are capable of creating music." - Dr. Robert Marks - Professor of Electrical and Computer Engineering at Baylor University
Edited by traderdrew, : Just adding more "Complex Specified Information"
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 97 by Stagamancer, posted 07-26-2009 2:15 PM Stagamancer has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 115 by Stagamancer, posted 07-27-2009 12:56 AM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 100 of 315 (516633)
07-26-2009 2:59 PM
Reply to: Message 99 by Percy
07-26-2009 2:44 PM


Evolution is never "halted in its tracks." That could only happen if you prevented all mutations, and since the copying of millions of nucleotides is only rarely perfect, almost all reproductive events are accompanied by mutations.
This point was made to me in a previous debate. However, superficially it doesn't explain the complexities it would have to overcome such as the right mutations at the right places with the right expressions. I am thinking about the wrong places where random mutations could occur.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 99 by Percy, posted 07-26-2009 2:44 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 104 by Percy, posted 07-26-2009 4:06 PM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 107 of 315 (516648)
07-26-2009 4:29 PM
Reply to: Message 103 by DevilsAdvocate
07-26-2009 4:01 PM


S.O.:and it is suitable to detect design. Devil's Advocate: Says who?
CSI is obviously suitable for detecting design. Are you just trying to wear Smooth Operator out? When information is arranged in a specific order that addresses a specific function and is designed for a specific use, there is obviously an intelligence behind it. You wouldn't say that my post is just a jumble of complex ramdom information since it replies to a specific statement you made.
How about termite mounds are they intelligently designed by termites?
I think you can make a case that they are the result of a combination of an intelligent design and weather such as rain erosion. I wouldn't say that they are CSI. They are complex but so are many other things in nature. It is chaos.
If a tree had to grow its way around a structure such as horizontal pole, I would say that is the chaos but not CSI.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 103 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-26-2009 4:01 PM DevilsAdvocate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 111 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-26-2009 4:50 PM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 108 of 315 (516650)
07-26-2009 4:35 PM
Reply to: Message 106 by DevilsAdvocate
07-26-2009 4:15 PM


Never say never in science. Science is always spoken in the language or probabilities.
I disagree. I think the first law of thermodynamics says "Never" since it says energy cannot be created or destroyed.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 106 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-26-2009 4:15 PM DevilsAdvocate has not replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 119 of 315 (516740)
07-27-2009 8:56 AM
Reply to: Message 111 by DevilsAdvocate
07-26-2009 4:50 PM


I love how creationist and IDers just assume if you say something over ad nauseum it makes it true. As Jerry Maguire says "Show me the money!" or in this case the evidence.
It seems to me that you should prove to me that CSI is not suitable for detecting design. Or what you can do is prove to us that new amounts of of CSI containing at least 400 bits can be produced by natural causes.
A natural arch formed by water and wind erosion can have a specific function and use by animals and humans. A cave can as well. Is there an intelligent agent behind the formation of these natural phenomena? There is nothing magical or special about these natural phenomena. We attribute meaning to them precisely because they do seem to conform to our needs and desires. This is in a way a form of anthropocentrism.
Yes but it wasn't necessarily designed by an intelligence. It was designed by the forces within chaos. The cave doesn't produce or communicate any CSI.
What does that mean???
The termites build the mound with cooperation. The mound doesn't need to have any particular elucidean shape. Different mounds have different shapes. They don't need to conform to particular mathematical models. Forces such as heavy rain can effect the shapes of the mounds.
You can't even adequately define CSI, how can you expect anyone else to understand WTF you are talking about??
With sentences like these I get the impression that you are trying to make us look bad rather than attempting to investigate what CSI is yourself.
So what is complex and not complex in nature?
I'm not sure if I can draw the lines there. I suspect complexity is represented in natural phenomenon with different degrees of fractal dimension. You are making me think. Chaotic things are natural phenomenon that defy traditional linear measurements.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 111 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-26-2009 4:50 PM DevilsAdvocate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 139 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-27-2009 4:11 PM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 120 of 315 (516742)
07-27-2009 9:14 AM
Reply to: Message 115 by Stagamancer
07-27-2009 12:56 AM


Re: Mutations
And yet we have observable, calculable mutation rates. Bacterial mutation rates are far higher than human mutation rates and your 99.99999999% correction rate is not based on any real information.
The 99.99999999% figure came from a pdf below
http://shapiro.bsd.uchicago.edu/2006.ExeterMeeting.pdf
Well, the same thing any population does. A bacterium with a detrimental mutation will either a) die or b) not reproduce as fast as a wild type or beneficial mutant and that mutation "that it can't use" will disappear from the population. It's simply evolutionary theory. Read about it.
I believe you. I asked the queston because there is at least one other person around here who thinks that the cell will hold on to neutral mutations and use those mutations to build something new. I think it is called genetic drift? I'm sure neutral mutations do occur but I think the possibility of them coherently getting together and building structures such as proteins binding together and IC structures is more like Darwinian conjecture than a realistic senario that can explain what occurs in the real world.
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 115 by Stagamancer, posted 07-27-2009 12:56 AM Stagamancer has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 126 by Stagamancer, posted 07-27-2009 12:47 PM traderdrew has not replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 121 of 315 (516743)
07-27-2009 9:25 AM
Reply to: Message 104 by Percy
07-26-2009 4:06 PM


So you place a single bacterium in a petri dish with a growth medium that divides every 20 minutes. At the end of a single day you would have 5 thousand billion billion bacteria (5x1021), and about the same number of cell divisions, so this means there have been 50 billion billion mutations (5x1019). What do you think the odds are of at least one mutation occurring both where it's needed and to the precise base pair that is needed? Well in a genome of approximately 5 million base pairs, the odds are pretty close to one. In fact, it would be very unusual if the necessary mutation didn't occur many, many times.
Good point. However, as you would expect, I remain skeptical because if we are talking about one or two simple mutations, then I would have to agree with you. But when there are multiple coherent mutations that are required to produce new structures or to take large steps, I remain unconvinced. I must say that I don't know enough about the cell and genetics to really refute what you are saying.
What I do know is that just after the first time I left this forum, I became a better debater. As my jiu-jitsu teacher taught me, "You will learn more when you risk exposing yourself than when you don't."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 104 by Percy, posted 07-26-2009 4:06 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 122 by Percy, posted 07-27-2009 9:50 AM traderdrew has replied
 Message 123 by themasterdebator, posted 07-27-2009 11:51 AM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 124 of 315 (516767)
07-27-2009 11:55 AM
Reply to: Message 122 by Percy
07-27-2009 9:50 AM


Evolution produces only minute change in each generation, selecting traits from the pool of individuals who survived to reproduce. The procedure of selection and reproduction is repeated from scratch in each generation, each generation producing minute change. Over thousands of years the changes gradually accumulate.
This is part of Darwinian theory, is it not?
For one thing, a specific gene can be broken in multiple places. (missing amino acids, or insertions, substitutions are some examples) In order for a gene like that to regain its original function, there would have to be soe multiple mutations that are also the right kind of mutations "before" deleterious mutations can occur to that gene.
I see that you are being cool. So in defense of Darwinism, I would suspect that multicellular organisms would more easily circumnavigate whatever hurdles it may encounter so it can continue to evolve.
However, I don't think this would explain how to evolved IC systems without some type of blueprint. Also, how it would explain how functionally integrated proteins evolved through a step by step process. Multiple coherent mutations would be required just to get two proteins to bind to each other. Perhaps there is a theory that explains how the machinery, that makes these proteins, evolved through a Darwinian fashion.

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 Message 122 by Percy, posted 07-27-2009 9:50 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 125 of 315 (516768)
07-27-2009 12:10 PM
Reply to: Message 123 by themasterdebator
07-27-2009 11:51 AM


Can you provide me some instances of a super difficult mutation along with the mathematical probability that this would occur?
I haven't explored mathematical probabilities of small hurdles in proteins. I casually have thought about it in greater proabilities but of course our minds tend to lose the concept of large numbers.
According to information I got from Michael Behe, I would think a protein binding site would be a good example. There are many proteins in our body that work in teams. Just binding two proteins together would be around one chance in 10 to the 20th power.
Of course, if the genetic code can't evolve a blueprint to make an IC system, what are the chances of evolving one through a Darwinian framework? Sure there are Darwinian models but do those models conceal any problems along the way?
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 123 by themasterdebator, posted 07-27-2009 11:51 AM themasterdebator has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 154 by Rrhain, posted 07-28-2009 4:42 AM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 156 of 315 (516919)
07-28-2009 9:08 AM
Reply to: Message 139 by DevilsAdvocate
07-27-2009 4:11 PM


First you need to adequately define CSI...
Look at my post #299 in the link below.
EvC Forum: EXPELLED: No Intelligence Allowed - Science Under Attack
Now that I gave a link to a of mine in another thread,,, attack, attack, attack it.
If I showed you two caves that were identical and one was human made and one created by the forces of nature would this not negate your CSI argument?
These forces may the result of some sort of chaotic order but, the problem with your thinking is that a cave or a waterfall do not transmit or produce information, much less CSI (complex specified information).
Neither does the morphology and physiology of biological life intrinsically 'need' to fit a certain standard. Biological life much like other natural occurring phenomena is shaped by the environmental conditions in which it exists. Forces such as electromagnetic radiation and chemical agents can effect the composition of the genome and ultimately the shapes (morphology) of organisms.
You'reeee really the Devil's advocate aren't you?
Hmm, did you just make up that definition or where did you draw it from. This is unlike any definition of the word 'chaos' I have seen. What do you mean by linear measurements? Can we not predict to a degree the amount of erosion that will occur in a river on a yearly basis? Is that a 'chaotic thing'? So what specifically falls into your category of 'chaotic things'?
I just looked for the definition in a book of mine "Chaos" by James Gleick. I cannot find a good definition inside so far and I don't remember seeing one. I found the book hard to follow because I think I would learn some of the information better if I saw real life illustrations. I do see chaos everytime I step outside or even when cigarette smoke mixes with the air. How would you measure the precise dimensions of smoke (assuming you could flash freeze it) with Euclidean geometry?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 139 by DevilsAdvocate, posted 07-27-2009 4:11 PM DevilsAdvocate has not replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 157 of 315 (516926)
07-28-2009 9:29 AM
Reply to: Message 154 by Rrhain
07-28-2009 4:42 AM


Um, you do realize that every single example of "irreducible complexity" that Behe has ever come up with has been shown to be not only reducible but actually evolved? Every single one.
Ummmm, I have heard it but I haven't seen any good ones. I have seen the pilus model for evolving a flagellum but it conceals at least one "major" problem plus other problems described by Michael Dembski.
So the prosecution started pulling out papers and stacking them up in front of him on the witness stand until they rose so high that Behe had to stop the proceedings because he could no longer see over the stack of papers in front of him that he had claimed did not exist.
So you expect me to go through the transcripts of the Dover trial in order to refute or agree with you? Maybe I will just take your word for it.
Too, chemical reactions do not just result in random chemicals. When I take a mole of oxygen gas and two moles of hydrogen gas, mix them together at STP, and spark the mixture, why is it I never get a flask full of hydrogen peroxide with trace amounts of water?
So what you are saying from your chemistry lesson is that biochemistry works with what it is there. But you see with protein bonding, oil and hydrogen bonds have to arranged in sequence with their counterparts in the other proteins as well as having the correct shapes.
traderdrew: Sure there are Darwinian models but do those models conceal any problems along the way?
Rrhain: Well, then I wouldn't get on board a Boeing 777 if I were you. It was created by a computer using evolutionary methods, not by humans designing it. By your logic, these planes should be falling out of the sky.
Of course there have been test planes that have fallen out of the sky or even blew up....and those evolutionary methods??? Dammit... Now I have to go and really study up on evolutionary computer programs and not rely on what Smooth Operator posted. I have to go because I have some serious studying to do on the Dover trial too. See you all around.
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.
Edited by Admin, : Fix dBCodes.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 154 by Rrhain, posted 07-28-2009 4:42 AM Rrhain has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 172 by Rrhain, posted 07-29-2009 6:17 AM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 177 of 315 (517068)
07-29-2009 10:59 AM
Reply to: Message 172 by Rrhain
07-29-2009 6:17 AM


Behe would know this if he ever bothered to do a survey of the literature before making his proclamations that such things have "never been studied," but he doesn't.
I see a lot of huffing and puffing from you about Behe but no real evidence so far. Believe it or not, I have read parts of books on evolution at my local B&Ns and Borders. Authors have included Jerry Coyne, Kenneth Miller and Richard Dawkins. Jerry Coyne seems to be the most rational of that bunch. I have not come across anything that convinces me to drop ID after I read the counterarguments from Behe or others. An example would be the mounting amount of evidence that seems to strongly suggest that the TTSS devolved from the flagellum.
The reason why I was skeptical that your statement of whoever it was who threw down the publications or journals that refute Behe's irreducible complex arguments, is that is a friggin courtroom and I don't know who you are. I don't know much time everyone had to examine the evidence in court or how much evidence was provided by both sides. It would greatly strengthen your argument if you could provide me a link of something that I can examine. I really have some studying up to do. So I would rather see some evidence rather than participate in a dragged on useless debate.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 172 by Rrhain, posted 07-29-2009 6:17 AM Rrhain has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 179 by Wounded King, posted 07-29-2009 11:24 AM traderdrew has not replied
 Message 203 by Rrhain, posted 08-02-2009 4:43 AM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 217 of 315 (517768)
08-02-2009 1:31 PM
Reply to: Message 203 by Rrhain
08-02-2009 4:43 AM


This is hardly some rare, isolated case that only legal buffs would have ever heard of. It made the national news. And I don't want you taking my word for it. I want you to learn about it on your own.
Actually, I have been scanning the transcripts of the Dover trials and I look for specific things that support what posters such as RAZD and PaulK have stated around here. So far, I just haven't found them. Could I have overlooked them? I think psychology can explain people interpreting information into a way they want to hear.
I can just see a lawyer throwing publications in front of Behe. Lawyers are not in trial to be fair, they are there to help win cases for their clients. Who is the jury? Most of the time, they don't want to be there. I'm sure most of them found the flagellum a boring subject.
It is all good because if someone isn't smart or astute enough to see through the BS and I do see it in posts here that I haven't responded too, then they shouldn't be advocates of ID.

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 Message 203 by Rrhain, posted 08-02-2009 4:43 AM Rrhain has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 218 by Wounded King, posted 08-02-2009 2:16 PM traderdrew has replied
 Message 220 by PaulK, posted 08-02-2009 2:22 PM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 222 of 315 (517776)
08-02-2009 3:05 PM
Reply to: Message 220 by PaulK
08-02-2009 2:22 PM


That didn't come out quite right but to be more specific, this is an example of what I saw:
They may say that, but if they do they're lying. Look at the transcript of the Dover trial where Behe rejects the evolution of the immune system simply on the grounds that evolutionists haven't worked out every little detail yet. If the evidence really favoured ID, don't you think he could come up with something rather better than making ridiculous and one-sided demands?
It is not my point of view that evolutionists haven't worked out every little detail yet. The point of view of Behe isn't that they have worked out every little detail and that there are hurdles in IC systems such as the vertebrate immune system. "Every little detail" tells me Darwin has worked out the basic step by step details. If this is so then, why would you say it hasn't worked out every little detail? And really, why would more IC systems such as the flagellum be a ridiculous one-sided demand?
I'm also looking at this copied from the same message you posted. Below is a cut and paste from message 191.
Fallen: Actually, Behe didn’t admit that they could evolve through indirect routes. Rather he admitted that, as a bare possibility, IC systems might have evolved by unknown indirect routes.
PaulK: That looks like hair-splitting to a point where I can't see a relevant difference.
That doesn't appear to be hair-splitting to me. Behe is telling us there "might" be but nobody has showed me a good tortuous route that explains how to build a classic one. In other words he is keeping his mind open to a possibile explanation. I don't blindly accept Darwinian conjecture for building something like a flagellum. If Darwinian conjecture can be used to build a great model or explanation then, why aren't the more well known authors advancing a good model? The best I have seen for the flagellum is a TTSS and it has problems. I would think an unambiguous evolutionary model for an IC system would sell books and make the author famous because he or she was the one who bought Behe or an IC system down.
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.
Edited by traderdrew, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 220 by PaulK, posted 08-02-2009 2:22 PM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 223 by PaulK, posted 08-02-2009 3:23 PM traderdrew has replied

traderdrew
Member (Idle past 5181 days)
Posts: 379
From: Palm Beach, Florida
Joined: 04-27-2009


Message 224 of 315 (517779)
08-02-2009 3:27 PM
Reply to: Message 218 by Wounded King
08-02-2009 2:16 PM


You are correct and I was wrong. Although it could raise another point, why would someone decide to leave the outcome of this trial hinging on one person to make?

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