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Author Topic:   2014 was hotter than 1998. 2015 data in yet?
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 66 of 357 (776231)
01-10-2016 2:07 PM
Reply to: Message 60 by Genomicus
01-09-2016 8:57 PM


Re: o.k.
Genomicus writes:
We can now circle the planet in an hour in small rockets made of advanced materials. In the 1800s, it took a much larger steel steamship two weeks to circumnavigate the planet.
But the steamship was much cheaper - and still is. Nor are circumnavigation and orbiting "the same task". Your example is actually "doing something completely different with way more resources".
"Doing more with less" is, in fact, nonsense. It's political mumbo-jumbo, nothing more.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 60 by Genomicus, posted 01-09-2016 8:57 PM Genomicus has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 70 by Genomicus, posted 01-11-2016 3:01 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 82 of 357 (776342)
01-12-2016 10:55 AM
Reply to: Message 70 by Genomicus
01-11-2016 3:01 PM


Re: o.k.
Genomicus writes:
If you're talking about cheaper in a monetary sense, that's not exactly relevant to the "more with less" thesis.
That's exactly what "more with less" means. The fact that a steamship is physically bigger than a spacecraft is irrelevant.
Genomicus writes:
It's the task of getting a member of our species to begin at one point of the earth, circle around it, and arrive back at that approximate point.
It isn't the destination that counts; it's the reason for the trip. Circumnavigation by ship allows you to make multiple stops for multiple reasons along the way. it could be said that circumnavigation by steamship is doing more than mere orbiting - and with less.
Genomicus writes:
But, if this example doesn't do it for you, then the "more with less" narrative can be extended to aircraft instead of rockets.
That might be better but a steamship is still more flexible - i.e. it can do more.
Genomicus writes:
With way more resources as measured by mass?
Of course not. Nobody in their right mind would measure resources by mass.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by Genomicus, posted 01-11-2016 3:01 PM Genomicus has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 141 of 357 (777040)
01-25-2016 10:55 AM
Reply to: Message 139 by LamarkNewAge
01-24-2016 10:37 PM


Re: 216 feet
LamarkNewAge writes:
Actually, for new generating capacity, it is a cost-competitive option in about a third of places people live in the USA.
How would solar work in Manhattan?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 139 by LamarkNewAge, posted 01-24-2016 10:37 PM LamarkNewAge has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 142 by xongsmith, posted 01-25-2016 12:35 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 151 of 357 (777115)
01-26-2016 11:07 AM
Reply to: Message 142 by xongsmith
01-25-2016 12:35 PM


Re: Manhattan
xongsmith writes:
I googled "solar power windows"....
Solar windows are nice.
But for a century or so, New York City has had laws about how wide a tall building can be - because buildings tend to blot out the sun for buildings behind them. I'd be more impressed by the scalability of solar power if somebody actually did the math and showed how much solar power NYC could actually generate. Can solar windows, etc. provide enough power for the building plus the buildings in its shadow?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 142 by xongsmith, posted 01-25-2016 12:35 PM xongsmith has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 155 by RAZD, posted 01-26-2016 3:30 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 174 of 357 (777208)
01-27-2016 2:18 PM
Reply to: Message 155 by RAZD
01-26-2016 3:30 PM


Re: Manhattan
RAZD writes:
One thing that I see going on is that these alternative energy sources are transforming the way we think about energy distribution, looking for aesthetic solutions not just a bunch of towers and electrical lines.
My issue is with people who just say, "It's scalable," without demonstrating that it is. I accept that solar could be a significant contributor to NYC's energy needs/usage but I can't help but think it's being oversold.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 155 by RAZD, posted 01-26-2016 3:30 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 176 by xongsmith, posted 01-27-2016 3:15 PM ringo has replied
 Message 181 by RAZD, posted 01-27-2016 11:13 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 177 of 357 (777219)
01-27-2016 3:29 PM
Reply to: Message 176 by xongsmith
01-27-2016 3:15 PM


Re: Manhattan
xongsmith writes:
I guess I must be ignorant. What the hell is "scalable"?
The quick hipshot answer is easy: Just make more panels.
Which is why I asked about Manhattan. How do you scale up from six panels on one hippy-dippy house to x panels in a city of ten million?
xongsmith writes:
Maybe the problematic word should be "storage"???
And how big would the battery be to prepare for a rainy day?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 176 by xongsmith, posted 01-27-2016 3:15 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 188 by xongsmith, posted 01-28-2016 1:32 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 184 of 357 (777269)
01-28-2016 10:50 AM
Reply to: Message 181 by RAZD
01-27-2016 11:13 PM


Re: Manhattan
RAZD writes:
When people started playing with electricity with kites and leyden jars, did they question if it could be scalable?
They had time. They could afford to go down a few blind alleys.
We're being sold solar energy by companies that stand to make a lot of money whether it's a blind alley or not. They are certainly not motivated to tell the truth about scalability.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 181 by RAZD, posted 01-27-2016 11:13 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 213 by RAZD, posted 01-30-2016 1:41 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 185 of 357 (777270)
01-28-2016 10:52 AM
Reply to: Message 182 by LamarkNewAge
01-28-2016 12:42 AM


Re: Jon ignores evidence.
LamarkNewAge writes:
Anybody who thinks that solar and wind can't be 100% is delusional.
So answer the question: Can solar and wind power new York City?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 182 by LamarkNewAge, posted 01-28-2016 12:42 AM LamarkNewAge has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 193 by LamarkNewAge, posted 01-28-2016 4:23 PM ringo has seen this message but not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 216 of 357 (777441)
01-31-2016 1:20 PM
Reply to: Message 188 by xongsmith
01-28-2016 1:32 PM


Re: Manhattan
xongsmith writes:
15 million panels... ??? What is the problem?
The problem is: How many square miles of panels is that?
xongsmith writes:
The buildings need only do themselves, not other buildings.
Again... that's why I used Manhattan as an example. I have my doubts that the Empire State Building can produce all of its own power.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 188 by xongsmith, posted 01-28-2016 1:32 PM xongsmith has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 217 of 357 (777442)
01-31-2016 1:27 PM
Reply to: Message 213 by RAZD
01-30-2016 1:41 PM


Re: What is scalability?
RAZD writes:
What is scalability other than just increasing the size amount of array of solar panels.
The problem of scaling solar power is similar to the problem of scaling Godzilla. The power output increases by area whereas the density of power usage increases by volume.
RAZD writes:
It becomes a matter of real estate occupied....
That's exactly my point. What works in low-density suburbia will not necessarily work in high-density urbia.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 213 by RAZD, posted 01-30-2016 1:41 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 221 by NoNukes, posted 02-01-2016 2:04 AM ringo has replied
 Message 259 by RAZD, posted 02-08-2016 2:50 PM ringo has seen this message but not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 223 of 357 (777467)
02-01-2016 10:53 AM
Reply to: Message 221 by NoNukes
02-01-2016 2:04 AM


Re: What is scalability?
NoNukes writes:
Volume of what, ringo? What parameter raised to the third power correlates to the observed/expected/predicted increase in energy usage?
The square-cube law applies in general to scaling. A building twice the length, width and height of a house will accommodate (approximately) eight times as many people as a house and will require (approximately) eight times as much energy while having only four times the area for solar collectors.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 221 by NoNukes, posted 02-01-2016 2:04 AM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 224 by NoNukes, posted 02-01-2016 12:32 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 225 of 357 (777485)
02-02-2016 10:50 AM
Reply to: Message 224 by NoNukes
02-01-2016 12:32 PM


Re: What is scalability
NoNukes writes:
A closer model is a combination of either doubling the number of buildings or increasing the height of buildings as the population grows.
We're not talking about handling growth. We're talking about converting from one energy source to another.
NoNukes writes:
If area is a limited resource, what is gained by doubling the length and width of any given building?
What I'm saying is that (self-contained) solar energy doesn't seem to scale well to large buildings.
NoNukes writes:
Finally, some places, like say Manhattan are places where we might model pop density as you suggest, but that model does not match other places.
I'm only talking about the "some places" where the model does apply (which includes a large proportion of the earth's population). I'm asking if solar is a practical solution in those places. The answer seems to be "no".

This message is a reply to:
 Message 224 by NoNukes, posted 02-01-2016 12:32 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 226 by NoNukes, posted 02-02-2016 1:12 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 227 of 357 (777545)
02-03-2016 2:20 PM
Reply to: Message 226 by NoNukes
02-02-2016 1:12 PM


Re: What is scalability
NoNukes writes:
Energy need not be generated locally even in Manhattan or Tokyo.
Then why not just answer the question: HOW would solar energy work in Manhattan? How many square miles of collectors would be needed? Where would they go? How would the power be transmitted? Where would the power be accumulated for a rainy day?
NoNukes writes:
Your model still contains bad assumptions.
I haven't proposed any model. I'm asking how the miracle of solar energy is supposed to work.
NoNukes writes:
Fortunately the real outlook is far better than your prediction would lead us to believe.
I haven't predicted anything.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 226 by NoNukes, posted 02-02-2016 1:12 PM NoNukes has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 228 by Dogmafood, posted 02-03-2016 3:12 PM ringo has replied
 Message 322 by RAZD, posted 02-24-2016 12:59 PM ringo has seen this message but not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 229 of 357 (777550)
02-03-2016 3:32 PM
Reply to: Message 228 by Dogmafood
02-03-2016 3:12 PM


Re: What is scalability
ProtoTypical writes:
Have you ever seen Saskatchewan?
I'm looking at it right now.
ProtoTypical writes:
We could put every bodies solar panels there.
You'd have to compete with the farmers for the sunlight:
quote:
In the Richardson area, east of Regina, a quarter section of land can fetch $250,000 according to farmland real estate agents. link
How many quarter sections (160 acres) in 100Km2?
And you didn't answer the other two questions that you quoted: How would the power be transmitted? Where would the power be accumulated for a rainy day?
It's 1600 miles from Regina to NYC as the crow flies - and those crows would be crossing four of the Great Lakes, so the transmission lines would be even longer. And I presume you want us to keep the batteries on our end?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 228 by Dogmafood, posted 02-03-2016 3:12 PM Dogmafood has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 230 by Dogmafood, posted 02-03-2016 3:55 PM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 437 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 231 of 357 (777555)
02-03-2016 4:02 PM
Reply to: Message 230 by Dogmafood
02-03-2016 3:55 PM


Re: What is scalability
ProtoTypical writes:
I didn't really think that we should collect sunshine in Sask to use in NYC.
Then where should we collect it? How much will it cost?
Forget about pie (or solar panels) in the sky. Think existing technology.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 230 by Dogmafood, posted 02-03-2016 3:55 PM Dogmafood has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 232 by Dogmafood, posted 02-03-2016 4:28 PM ringo has replied

  
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