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Author Topic:   The Dunning–Kruger effect
caffeine
Member (Idle past 1052 days)
Posts: 1800
From: Prague, Czech Republic
Joined: 10-22-2008


Message 3 of 30 (795087)
12-06-2016 4:04 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by RAZD
12-05-2016 12:42 PM


This leads to the perverse situation in which less competent people rate their own ability higher than more competent people.
This is not what Dunning and Kruger found. A quick look through their original paper on the topic instead shows that most people rank themselves as being similar in ability; including the very best and the very worst performers. Observe the below figure:
Note that the fact often pointed out as the central point of the Dunning-Kruger effect, that the worst performers rate themselves as better than the best performers, is actually not true. The ranking by self-reported ability is the same as the ranking by actual performance; only the variance is grossly underestimated. Of the four experiments conducted in the original study, the biggest divergence from accurate ranking was experiment 2:
The top quartile still reported their ability to be higher than anyone else did; and the most important point again (to me) is how little variance there is in people's self-reported abilities.
It seems to me these experiments have been grossly over- or misinterpreted. All Dunning and Kruger showed was that the majority of people rank themselves as being a bit above average at everyday skills, regardless of actual ability.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by RAZD, posted 12-05-2016 12:42 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 4 by RAZD, posted 12-06-2016 6:46 AM caffeine has seen this message but not replied
 Message 20 by Dr Jack, posted 12-11-2016 10:10 AM caffeine has replied

  
caffeine
Member (Idle past 1052 days)
Posts: 1800
From: Prague, Czech Republic
Joined: 10-22-2008


Message 22 of 30 (795342)
12-11-2016 2:51 PM
Reply to: Message 20 by Dr Jack
12-11-2016 10:10 AM


I'd note that the figure 2 you linked is the one based on logical reasoning and thus probably the most key figure and that it does show less competent people rating themselves higher than more competent people - although not higher than the most competent.
Both the posted graphs were based on logical reasoning ability (figures 2 & 4).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by Dr Jack, posted 12-11-2016 10:10 AM Dr Jack has not replied

  
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