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Author Topic:   Religion is Evil!
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 181 of 228 (648685)
01-17-2012 4:08 PM
Reply to: Message 169 by Modulous
01-17-2012 5:49 AM


The International Community, the UN, other nations.
Well, again, it's not really "allowed" if you do what you want and no one is able to stop you. The "international Community" has no enforcement mechanism. UN mandates and resolutions aren't even binding on member states. The sole purpose of the UN is to get states together at the table to talk. The flip side of that is, if you don't like what the other guy has to say, you can't really do anything about it.
In a society with no police, "allowable by law" is meaningless. The UN is not the world's police.
I was merely suggesting that you have seemed to assumed Iran was engaged in forbidden nuclear behaviour.
Well, yeah. I certainly think they are. The question is, what does forbidden actually mean when the rules themselves give no meaningful penalty for violation?
It's insufficient simply to point out that Iran's development of nuclear weapons puts them in violation of the NPT. That's a justification for action, but on its own it has little meaning. The question is - how shall we respond to Iran's development of nuclear weapons?
We don't know the outcome is a safer world, though you seem eager to believe that.
Sure, I'd prefer to believe that the future has a lower likelihood of nuclear exchange than a higher one. And it's certainly the case that predicting the future is a bit of a mug's game. I can only observe and arrive at my own conclusions, same as you. It doesn't bother me that we may arrive at different ones.
Or he was otherwise inconvenient, or he was merely a potential threat, or he was key to the running of a perfectly legitimate Enrichment Plant that makes the Israelis nervous, or makes the Iranians slightly wealthier which makes Israel unhappy.
Plenty of people meet those criteria and have never been the targets of Mossad. Even assuming the basest of motives for the actions of Mossad it's tough to see any reason they would assassinate someone except for a belief on their part that it served the interest of Israeli power.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 169 by Modulous, posted 01-17-2012 5:49 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 186 by Modulous, posted 01-17-2012 5:10 PM crashfrog has not replied
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1.61803
Member (Idle past 1526 days)
Posts: 2928
From: Lone Star State USA
Joined: 02-19-2004


Message 182 of 228 (648686)
01-17-2012 4:11 PM
Reply to: Message 180 by GDR
01-17-2012 3:57 PM


I too am ex-military back when the C-130 was a new aircraft type.

"I am torn by war, I know little of why I am here. I only know not to separate myself from my gear. If I am to die, let it be for my brothers and no other." Salute.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 180 by GDR, posted 01-17-2012 3:57 PM GDR has replied

Replies to this message:
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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 183 of 228 (648687)
01-17-2012 4:13 PM
Reply to: Message 172 by Straggler
01-17-2012 10:41 AM


Re: I read the news today, oh boy
5th Amendemnt - "No person shall be deprived of life without due process of law"
"Due process" doesn't specify any particular process. A secret assassination court might very well fulfill the 5th Amendment, if it was established according to a law passed by Congress.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 172 by Straggler, posted 01-17-2012 10:41 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 185 by Straggler, posted 01-17-2012 4:59 PM crashfrog has replied

  
GDR
Member
Posts: 6202
From: Sidney, BC, Canada
Joined: 05-22-2005
Member Rating: 2.1


Message 184 of 228 (648691)
01-17-2012 4:32 PM
Reply to: Message 182 by 1.61803
01-17-2012 4:11 PM


1.61803 writes:
"I am torn by war, I know little of why I am here. I only know not to separate myself from my gear. If I am to die, let it be for my brothers and no other." Salute.
Sorting out right and wrong in those circumstances is so incredibly conflicting. I was fortunate in that in my military time I never had to think about it, and besides being 20 something and enamoured by airplanes I didn't think that deeply anyway.

He has told you, O man, what is good ; And what does the LORD require of you But to do justice, to love kindness, And to walk humbly with your God.
Micah 6:8

This message is a reply to:
 Message 182 by 1.61803, posted 01-17-2012 4:11 PM 1.61803 has seen this message but not replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 185 of 228 (648700)
01-17-2012 4:59 PM
Reply to: Message 183 by crashfrog
01-17-2012 4:13 PM


Re: I read the news today, oh boy
As I said previously - I doubt that US constitution legally applies to assassins hired by the US in Iran to kill Iranians anyway.
But those who point to the letter of a law like this are usually doing so to avoid adhering to the spirit of, or moral reasons for, the law.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 183 by crashfrog, posted 01-17-2012 4:13 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 189 by crashfrog, posted 01-18-2012 8:38 AM Straggler has replied

  
Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 186 of 228 (648703)
01-17-2012 5:10 PM
Reply to: Message 181 by crashfrog
01-17-2012 4:08 PM


Even assuming the basest of motives for the actions of Mossad it's tough to see any reason they would assassinate someone except for a belief on their part that it served the interest of Israeli power.
And the counterpoint to this is that I see no reason to assume that the interests of Israeli power align with our own except in some extreme hypothetical examples.
I don't know all the details, but it wouldn't be the first time Mossad have been suspected of assassinating a nuclear scientist. Back in 1980 there was Yehia El-Mashad who was working with the Iraqi nuclear program when he died in suspicious circumstances (and an associated prostitute called Marie-Claude Magal who was allegedly a witness to some aspect of the plot, also suffered a tragic 'accident'). I don't think any evidence has ever surfaced over the last thirty years that he was developing nuclear weapons or even making weapons grade material. The French seemed to have a good relationship with the man.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 181 by crashfrog, posted 01-17-2012 4:08 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 187 of 228 (648713)
01-17-2012 6:17 PM
Reply to: Message 181 by crashfrog
01-17-2012 4:08 PM


State Sponsored Murder
Crash writes:
The UN is not the world's police.
Do you think that those who did the killing are justified in taking on the role of being not only the "the world's police" - but also the world's judge jury and executioner?
Do you think in the absence of a world police force it is a case of every nation for itself and anything-goes on that basis?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 181 by crashfrog, posted 01-17-2012 4:08 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 188 of 228 (648714)
01-17-2012 7:00 PM
Reply to: Message 179 by crashfrog
01-17-2012 3:57 PM


There are no "anti-ballistic missile systems", none that work anyway, and even if there were why would it matter if they were deployed around Iran?
Let's not confuse every defensive system with the absurdity that is SDI. There are systems that have some effectiveness against crude technology weapon. Nothing 100% effective, true, but such systems can work well enough to make a first strike a relatively poor option, for countries with only a few missiles.
Iran doesn't have a ballistic missile program, they have a nuclear weapons program. You understand that those are two different things, right?
Why the condescension? Do I have a reputation for idiocy that arrived in this discussion before I did?
Countries who are developing nuclear weapons have generally also developed missile capability at the same time. We should expect Iran to do the same thing.
What, then, is a justifiable response in your opinion?
More name calling? Labeling them as the 'Nookler' axis of evil? Sanctions?
I'm suggesting that when countries develop offensive weapons, be they pointy sticks, or nuclear weapons, that other countries don't suddenly acquire a moral imperative to invade them.
I suspect Iran is looking at the examples of Pakistan, India, and North Korea and thinking that the best way to get people off your back about your nuclear weapons is to have some.
It appears to me that Iran is correct about that. They might well take the NK approach of stalling and pretending to bargain for as much as they can get, and then deploying weapons anyway.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. The proper place to-day, the only place which Massachusetts has provided for her freer and less desponding spirits, is in her prisons, to be put out and locked out of the State by her own act, as they have already put themselves out by their principles. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 179 by crashfrog, posted 01-17-2012 3:57 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 190 by crashfrog, posted 01-18-2012 8:48 AM NoNukes has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 189 of 228 (648749)
01-18-2012 8:38 AM
Reply to: Message 185 by Straggler
01-17-2012 4:59 PM


Re: I read the news today, oh boy
But those who point to the letter of a law like this are usually doing so to avoid adhering to the spirit of, or moral reasons for, the law.
Maybe, but then if you're going to insist that "due process of law" has to mean "exactly how we treat criminals in the US", then every other country's legal proceedings are illegitimate and we must start a world war to empty all foreign prisons, right?
I don't think it's always a stance of moral cowardice to assert that the protections of the US constitution apply only to Americans; in most cases that's a recognition that other countries actually do have the equivalent sovereignty to govern their affairs as they see fit - not necessarily as we see fit. I think you can allow for different countries to solve problems in different ways without devolving into full-on cultural relativism.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 185 by Straggler, posted 01-17-2012 4:59 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 192 by NoNukes, posted 01-18-2012 10:17 AM crashfrog has replied
 Message 196 by Straggler, posted 01-18-2012 1:56 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 190 of 228 (648750)
01-18-2012 8:48 AM
Reply to: Message 188 by NoNukes
01-17-2012 7:00 PM


There are systems that have some effectiveness against crude technology weapon. Nothing 100% effective, true, but such systems can work well enough to make a first strike a relatively poor option, for countries with only a few missiles.
You're still stuck on this "missile" paradigm when it's far more likely that Iran - eventually - would attempt to deploy their nuclear weapon as a vehicle bomb or even a "suitcase nuke". I mean, the two nuclear weapons used in wartime were deployed as unguided bombs from airplanes, and that's only because you can't drive from Los Alamos to Japan. But you can drive from Tehran to Tel Aviv.
Why the condescension?
Please allow me to apologize - condescension was not my aim. Frequently I try to break what I see as blinders made of unchallenged assumptions by means of stark questioning. But I guess that can seem condescending, too.
All I'm saying is, the warhead of a ballistic missile is probably the least likely attack vector for an Iranian nuclear weapon. I think just about everybody agrees that Iran is going to do the same thing with their nuclear weapons as they do with their conventional weapons - supply them to jihadist terrorist groups as a form of proxy warfare against Israel and the US.
Sanctions?
We're already doing sanctions; we probably doing the most sanctions we can do without causing Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz. And, frankly, given the massive devastation and loss of life caused by a decade of sanctions in Iraq (as well as their complete uselessness in actually extracting concessions) I'm far from convinced that sanctions are a more humane alternative than assassinating a small number of nuclear scientists.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 188 by NoNukes, posted 01-17-2012 7:00 PM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 191 by NoNukes, posted 01-18-2012 10:04 AM crashfrog has not replied
 Message 195 by Rahvin, posted 01-18-2012 11:45 AM crashfrog has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 191 of 228 (648756)
01-18-2012 10:04 AM
Reply to: Message 190 by crashfrog
01-18-2012 8:48 AM


You're still stuck on this "missile" paradigm when it's far more likely that Iran - eventually - would attempt to deploy their nuclear weapon as a vehicle bomb or even a "suitcase nuke".
No I'm not stuck on that point. But you did ask about it in your response which implied that I was an idiot for even mentioning anti-missiles. I can scarcely be blamed for responding further.
For the record, yes, I do know the difference between a nuke and a missile.
We're already doing sanctions; we probably doing the most sanctions we can do without causing Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz.
Whereas killing Iran's nuclear scientists is unlikely to have such a result? I'm not convinced.
I'm far from convinced that sanctions are a more humane alternative than assassinating a small number of nuclear scientists.
That's fine. I agree with you on that point. But reasonable people might disagree that such an explanation is enough to justify an assassination policy.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : Removed snippiness. Crashfrog has already apologized.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. The proper place to-day, the only place which Massachusetts has provided for her freer and less desponding spirits, is in her prisons, to be put out and locked out of the State by her own act, as they have already put themselves out by their principles. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 190 by crashfrog, posted 01-18-2012 8:48 AM crashfrog has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 192 of 228 (648757)
01-18-2012 10:17 AM
Reply to: Message 189 by crashfrog
01-18-2012 8:38 AM


Re: I read the news today, oh boy
don't think it's always a stance of moral cowardice to assert that the protections of the US constitution apply only to Americans; in most cases that's a recognition that other countries actually do have the equivalent sovereignty to govern their affairs as they see fit - not necessarily as we see fit.
Except that recognizing the sovereignty of countries on this issue isn't really our policy. We do expect our government t mouth off about human rights issues, and intellectual property laws, and due process in other countries. Sometimes we even invade countries in part because of how they treat their own people.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. The proper place to-day, the only place which Massachusetts has provided for her freer and less desponding spirits, is in her prisons, to be put out and locked out of the State by her own act, as they have already put themselves out by their principles. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 189 by crashfrog, posted 01-18-2012 8:38 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 193 by crashfrog, posted 01-18-2012 10:31 AM NoNukes has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 193 of 228 (648760)
01-18-2012 10:31 AM
Reply to: Message 192 by NoNukes
01-18-2012 10:17 AM


Re: I read the news today, oh boy
Sometimes we even invade countries in part because of how they treat their own people.
Yes, but we've yet to invade France (where they need no warrant to search your home) for violations of the Fourth Amendment, for instance, or Finland for not requiring that arrestees be Mirandized. Just because we do something in a particular way here doesn't mean that it's the definition of "due process."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 192 by NoNukes, posted 01-18-2012 10:17 AM NoNukes has replied

Replies to this message:
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caffeine
Member (Idle past 1046 days)
Posts: 1800
From: Prague, Czech Republic
Joined: 10-22-2008


Message 194 of 228 (648770)
01-18-2012 11:15 AM
Reply to: Message 193 by crashfrog
01-18-2012 10:31 AM


nitpicking
Yes, but we've yet to invade France (where they need no warrant to search your home) for violations of the Fourth Amendment
You can't search someone's home without a warrant in France, except under a State of Emergency.

This message is a reply to:
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Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


Message 195 of 228 (648773)
01-18-2012 11:45 AM
Reply to: Message 190 by crashfrog
01-18-2012 8:48 AM


You're still stuck on this "missile" paradigm when it's far more likely that Iran - eventually - would attempt to deploy their nuclear weapon as a vehicle bomb or even a "suitcase nuke".
You betray your lack of knowledge of nuclear weapons. The so-called "suitcase nuke" is not a simple device; it takes decades of research to miniaturize a nuclear weapon to the point it takes up little enough space to fit in even a non-commercial vehicle (you cannot actually carry a "suitcase nuke" like a suitcase; they're small, not light, you could put one in the trunk of a car or in an SUV. Remember, it's still filled with plutonium, which has a density of 19.74 g/cm^3, as compared to lead, which is "only" 11.34 g/cm^3, and you need enough for critical mass and the mechanism that initiates the reaction...). I'm not even positive that Iran possesses the industrial and research capacity to pull it off any time in the foreseeable future.
More pointedly, a nuke carried in a vehicle like a car bomb runs some very significant risks. You need to actually deploy such a device to a target worth hitting, which means driving it across borders and risking normal police stops. The weapon would almost certainly need to be carried in a full tractor-trailer, unless you're looking multiple decades into the future; those sorts of vehicles need to go through checkpoints for customs.
No, missiles are actually far more likely as a delivery system; Iran doesn't require ICBM capability to hit Israel. I believe they have already test-fired ground-based missiles that have a projected range capable of reaching Israel. Their task at this point is developing a nuclear weapon, and then miniaturizing it sufficiently to fit in a warhead that can be mounted on one of those missiles. Nuclear weapons are extremely heavy (being based on Uranium or Plutonium) and are usually quite large when first developed.
ICBM-interception missiles would be useless - we're talking basically about a glorified SCUD launcher, like what we saw in Desert Storm. PATRIOT missile batteries can intercept a fair number of those types of missiles if deployed (and I would imagine we would do exactly that, or sell some to Israel, if Iran becomes nuclear-capable). This means Iran would need a large first-strike capability to ensure that any targets will actually be hit. And, of course, firing a medium-range missile like that would be an act of war that would result in an immediate response, even if we didn't know the attack was nuclear yet. From both the US and Israel. And Israel has nuclear weapons. And Israel is very trigger-happy.
The difficulty isn't developing nuclear weapons, nor in making a rocket. The difficulty is miniaturizing a nuclear weapon so that it will fit on the rocket and not interfere with its range or flight profile, because a nuclear warhead is so different from conventional payloads.
I mean, the two nuclear weapons used in wartime were deployed as unguided bombs from airplanes, and that's only because you can't drive from Los Alamos to Japan. But you can drive from Tehran to Tel Aviv.
And good luck getting a nuclear weapon that far. It's easy to sneak an individual with a little equipment past customs checkpoints. Nuclear weapons are somewhat more difficult.

The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it.
- Francis Bacon
"There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers

This message is a reply to:
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