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Author Topic:   Increase in Natural Disasters? Prophesied?
nwr
Member
Posts: 6409
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 5 of 157 (256444)
11-03-2005 7:56 AM
Reply to: Message 4 by Phat
11-03-2005 5:08 AM


Re: I don't worry about it for a minute!
But I thought that you would like to read this link from Jan Markell.
Your link reminds me of 1999, when we were hearing lots of predictions of doom and gloom of the Y2K computer bug. Most of these doom and gloom predictions were coming from the fundy community, and was accompanied with much "end times" wackiness.
My reading is that the second coming was supposed to occur during the lifetimes of the original apostles. So here is my suggestion. The second coming will never occur. It was a failed prophecy, if it was ever intended to even be a prophecy. It isn't going to happen.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by Phat, posted 11-03-2005 5:08 AM Phat has not replied

Replies to this message:
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nwr
Member
Posts: 6409
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 28 of 157 (256778)
11-04-2005 11:29 AM
Reply to: Message 24 by jar
11-04-2005 9:41 AM


Re: Increasing compared to...
quote:
An increase simply means you compare recent years with former years within a given timeframe, which I've stated, to determine whether there is indeed an increase or not.
What is the timeframe?
On a technical point, buzsaw seems to be correct. In mathematics we can say that f is increasing over time if df/dt is positive - apologies for introducing calculus. We don't actually need to compare one period of time with another. We can look at trends, simply comparing this years data to the previous years data. If there is a consistent upward trend, then we can say that there is an increase and there is no need to compare two distinct periods.
If I am reading buzsaw correctly, that is the position he is taking.
On the factual question - whether buzsaw has accurately reported the trends, and over a long enough period to them to be significant - consider me a skeptic.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by jar, posted 11-04-2005 9:41 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 29 by PaulK, posted 11-04-2005 12:05 PM nwr has not replied
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