Welcome aboard tymygy. Sorry to have to admonish you so quickly but your post has little to nothing to do with the topic of this thread.
We try to keep each thread on topic, please help out.
You post would make the beginnings of a good opening post in the proposed new topics though.
You would have to copy it to a new post
and add you calculations supporting the numbers you have arrived at. I'm afraid you may have pulled it off some site that is a bit careless with the truth. In which case you will find the details that you supply will be ripped to little, tiny quivering pieces. But if you really think your statistical calculations are correct then you really should start a new thread on them.
There are a few posting here who are actual mathematicians and will help you sort them out.