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Author Topic:   Two wrongs don't make a right (the (ir)rationality of revenge) - also gun control
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4043
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 7.7


Message 46 of 452 (519022)
08-10-2009 3:13 PM
Reply to: Message 45 by Legend
08-10-2009 2:37 PM


Re: I'm confused..what was your position again?
quote:
Rahvin writes:
Hiding only puts me at risk if the intruder is armed and wants specifically to do me harm and manages to find me and manages to somehow "get the drop on me" while I have a gun pointed directly at the doorway waiting to open fire if anyone enters.
I initially joined this thread by replying to your Message 7 where you claimed
quote:
When a thief enters your home and tries to steal from you, immediate emotional reactions tend toward violence - if you have a gun, shoot the thief. The revenge motivation overrides common sense...
I responded by saying that this has nothing to do with revenge but is a response triggered by physiological factors and evolution.
But in Message 10 you described this as..
quote:
Base instinct tends towards retribution in excess of what's actually necessary or wise. In the vast, vast majority of cases, the safest course of action in a home intrusion is to quietly call the police, and hide.
Which you re-affirmed in Message 19:
quote:
Being frozen in fear and staying out of the thief's way is generally the very best course of action anyway. Everyone involved is far more likely to escape with their lives if confrontation is avoided.
Now you've stopped talking about hiding in fear but actually setting up armed ambush instead. I can't help but feel that you've moved the goalposts a bit.
My position has always been that lethal force should be the very last resort. Attempting to avoid confrontation is the best way to avoid needing lethal force to defend oneself, as well as the safest route for the victim in 90% of cases. I never excluded lethal force entirely. I didn't specifically mention setting up an ambush at first, only adding that as we moved more into the specific scenario. If you believed that I was a strict pacifist in the beginning, then it appears we have had something of a misunderstanding.
Legend writes:
what makes you think that the 'right to live' should be immutable and unconditional?
quote:
Rahvin writes:
I didn't say that. Considering how many times I've expressed willingness to kill if an intruder actually enters the room where I am hidden, this comment borders on outright lying.
You've either shifted your position or I've originally misunderstood you. In the interest of clarity and focus, your current position is that human life is invaluable until it enters your bedroom in a threatening manner, correct?
That's a bit more specific. I would say that human life has a greater value than any number of possessions, and that no degree of theft, ever, period, on its own is sufficient to justify shooting the thief. However, lethal force is justified when used to defend againt an imminent threat to oneself or others. Not a potential threat as in an unknown intruder who may or may not be armed, may or may not intend harm, and as yet has not forced a confrontation. An imminent threat is one that has presented itself, where a confrontation is actually occurring or has become obviously inevitable.
I view an intruder entering the room where I am hidden as the point where the threat becomes imminent, and not acting becomes far more risky than acting. If I can see that the intruder is unarmed, I would attempt to threaten him with the gun rather than opening fire as my life would not be in imminent danger. If I am uncertain or I can see that he is armed, then I would open fire.
I do not value human life as "sacred." I simply value it as significantly more than any posession or amount of money. Possessions and money can all be replaced, while a human life cannot. I do view the life of an intruder as less than the lives of the intended victims, but for such a judgment to be relevant a confrontation must occur. If confrontation can be avoided, no lives need to be lost resulting in the least amount of net harm done.
Is that more clear?
quote:
Rahvin writes:
I said that property rights do not outweigh the right to love. If a man steals $1, $100, or $1,000,000, he doesn't deserve to die for it.
then how much does he deserve to die for?
There is no amount. I find the very notion that a human life can be assigned a monetary value in terms of "if he steals this much, he deserves to die" to be repugnant. He certainly deserves to be punished, but on a scale proportionate to the crime committed. Death is vastly disproportionate to any amount of theft.
and what about the emotional and psychological trauma that burglary inflicts on people? You seem to forget to bring that up. Does the intruder deserve to die for that or doesn't that even register in your worldview ?
I don't bring it up becasue we were discussing the use of lethal force, and I do not see emotional trauma as being on an even footing with death. Certainly I consider the traumatic experience and the consequences thereof as significant in terms of justice and meting out punishment, but at no point does it justify a death sentence.
Why is it that for you every single thing an intruder does is somehow deserving of death? He enters the house -> kill him. He steals my TV -> kill him. He emotionally traumatized me -> kill him.
I support lethal force only in the immediate defense of my life or the life of someone else against an imminent threat. Not a defense against the loss of property. Not a defense against or retibution for emotional trauma.
It seems that if we were to follow your advice concerning the value of the lives of criminals, we may as well do away with prisons entirely and simply execute the lot of them.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 45 by Legend, posted 08-10-2009 2:37 PM Legend has not replied

  
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4043
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 7.7


Message 47 of 452 (519026)
08-10-2009 4:08 PM
Reply to: Message 44 by Legend
08-10-2009 2:29 PM


Re: gun ownership as a deterrent
Sorry for the out-of-order reply - I saw the second one first.
quote:
Legend writes:
The burglary per capita rate is almost double in the UK (a country with strict gun controls and a notoriously liberal sentencing system) than in the US (a country wih lax gun controls and a strict sentencing system).This fact alone would seem to indicate that the posiibility of armed resistance and harsh punishment does work as a deterrent, thereby shooting down your argument.
Rahvin writes:
It would seem that France has a lower incidence of burglary than the US, despite having very strict gun control laws.Japan has 2 burglaries per 1,000 citizens (US has 7, UK has almost 14) and has outlawed all but sport weapons (rifles and shotguns). The Netherlands has similar restrictions on gun ownership (no gun license unless you belong to a hunting/sporting club, and then only guns appropriate for such purposes), and has about 5 burglaries per 1,000 citizens.
There'a reason I contrasted the UK to the US: both countries share to a great extent cultural and socio-political characteristics, they have similar cultural and social values, principles and ideologies. By having many things that are the same one can more easily distinguish and explain the things that are different, like the gun-culture and attitude to crime.
France, for example, has a long tradition of egalitarianism, communal action and disregard for individualistic greed and ambition, dating back to the French Revolution. In the UK and particularly in the US individualistic ambition is considered an asset! France also has a higher percentage of rural population than either the UK or the US and the British Crime Survey has long established that burglary rates are more likely in urban areas. In addition, my French colleague informs me that in France you can legally own a shotgun or non-automatic rifle as long as you're registered with a shooting or hunting club, which is not the case in the UK.
If factors like these are disregarded no valid correlation can be drawn between between deterrents and burglary rates.
As for Japan, you must be having a laugh! Japan has a culture where pride and honour are highly-valued and revered. I have Japanese friends who wouldn't steal anything even if you paid them! To them it's "fumeiyo", the greatest sin. That's why crime is so low in Japan, not because of the strict gun laws.
If you want to compare something, make sure it's like for like.
Do you have anything beyond your personal conjecture as to the "Real cause" of lower crime rates?
The fact is, gun control laws do not have a causal effect on crime rates. Cime rates are determined by other factors, as is shown by the wild distribution of crime rates that have absolutely no correlation statistically with gun control laws.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
It would seem that gun control laws are not actually correlated to a reduced incidence of burglary. Isn't that odd?
Not if you're comparing apples to oranges.
I'm comparing gun control laws and crime statistics. If the two do not show a correlation, then they must not share a causal relationship, and crime rates must be more significantly affected by other variables.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
Perhaps the possibility of firearm ownership is not an actual deterrent in the case of burglary?
Or perhaps you're ignoring all the socio-cultural factors that affect burglary rates.
Perhaps I'm pointing out that socio-cultural factors by far outweigh the presence or absence of gun control laws as a determining factor in crime rates.
In what twisted world can you honestly look at international burglary rates compared to gun control laws, see that there is no direct pattern, and conclude that they are in fact correlated and in fact share a causal relationship?
How can you in one sentence claim that socio-cultural influences are a larger factor when determining burglary rates and then turn around and say that gun control laws are the real cause?
quote:
Rahvin writes:
And yet, as I pointed out, other countries with extremely strong gun control laws have significantly lower burglary rates than the US. It would appear that your attempt to correlate the possibility of gun ownership with a lower incidence of burglary is complete bullshit.
It would appear that you're just disregarding a significant number of other factors that affect burglary rates.
It would appear that you're disregarding the fact that gun control and burglary are not statistically correlated. If other factors more significantly affect burglary rates, you cannot claim that gun control laws are in fact the dominant factor. You can't cherry-pick two countries and claim a pattern, Legend. "2" is not a statistically representative number. If we look at all countries and compare their crime statistics, we see that gun control is not even remotely the dominant factor in determining burglary rates.
Let's look at some better data. Washington DC until recently had a complete handgun ban in effect, beginning in 1977, which was overturned in 2007.
According to Wiki, the property crime rate (meaning burglary, among others) went up 5.6% between 2006 and 2007, when the ban was repealed. If your assertion were true, we should see a decrease in property crime as victims are more likely to be armed. Violent crime went down 6.2% over the same period, but had gone up 9.3% from '05 to '06 with no change in gun control laws.
2008 data is apparently not yet available.
While we need a few more years to really see whether a trend develops, preliminary data suggests that strict gun control and its repeal had a negligible effect on crime rates in DC.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
In 90% of cases, I'll be safe by avoiding confrontation. Forcing a confrontation decreases my chance of survival, contrary to what you're suggesting.
No, in 90% of cases you'll be safe. Period.
Unfounded assumption. We know that in 90% of cases no violence actually occurs, but we do not know whether the victim forced a confrontation or not. In a situation where an intruder is willing to harm but is not seeking to harm, forcing a confrontation increases your risk while hiding reduces it.
In 10% of cases some kind of violence will be inflicted upon you whether you want it or not. I'm saying that 1 in 10 chance of bodily harm is too large to ignore. You can reduce those odds by taking pro-active and decisive action.
Says you. Again you assume that "pro-active and decisive action" reduces risk, but all I see is an unfounded assumption. Most people aren't Rambo - when we start gun fights, we can get shot, too.
Further, I'm not suggesting that the 10% of cases should be ignored. You are the one suggesting we should ignore 90% of cases. I've already addressed the wisest course of action - hide, but respond with force if a confrontation becomes inevitable. The ambush addresses the 10% of cases with the best possible tactical response, forcing the enemy to meet you on ground of your chooseing where you have the advantage of surprise (he doesn;t know where in teh room you are) and a chokepoint (he has to come through the one door - cover the door and you can easily strike before he can identify you as a target). That same ambush addresses the other 90% of cases (as well as the ethical dilemma of killing someone for simple theft) by not forcing a confrontation.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
If the intruder is unarmed, I'd be safe either way.
That's a false and naive assumption. Violence is very effectively inflicted with bare hands or household items.
An intruder who is seeking to do me harm is almost certainly going to be armed, for that very reason - he doesn;t want to get brained by a lamp in a struggle either. Chances are very high that an unarmed intruder is only intending to steal, not kill or injure. Further, if I am lying in ambush waiting with a gun, an unarmed intruder certainly is at a disadvantage.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
Hiding only puts me at risk if the intruder is armed and wants specifically to do me harm and manages to find me and manages to somehow "get the drop on me" while I have a gun pointed directly at the doorway waiting to open fire if anyone enters.
And if the intruder knows you have a gun pointed at the door, he'll be very reluctant to come in. Which re-inforces my point about the possibility of resistance (especially armed resistance) acting as a very good deterrent!
Ah, right - you want to shout out that you are armed. What if the intruder believes you are bluffing? What about the fact that you just completely ruined your tactical position by giving away your location, ruining the element of surprise? If the intruder intended you harm, he now knows exactly where you are, and to use caution when entering the room. Perhaps he'll have another solution to get you out of the room.
None of which happens if you just lie in wait and avoid a confrontation until the intruder enters your defensive trap.
quote:
Rahvin writes:
Taking a course of action that significantly increases your risk of injury as a "defense" against a situation that only has a 10% chance of occurring is foolhardy. This is significantly different from using a seatbelt, with decreases risk.
You haven't shown why you think that taking a decisive and pro-active action, like shooting/stabbing the intruder the moment you see them, increases your risk of injury. If the intruder is only there to steal and not inflict violence then your initial attack -or even warning of attack- will only send him fleeing. If the intruder is intent on inflicting violence anyway then surely your odds of survival won't be diminished by you attacking him first.
That rather depends on how you attack first. My scenario of lying in ambush could certainly be called attacking first, since I'm nearly certain to get off the first shot (and do so accurately given the chokepoint). Other scenarios involve sneaking around the house attempting to "get the drop" on the criminal - and if you're seen, he can easily shoot first. You have no advantage - neither of you knows where the other is, you have equivalent cover, and if you've shouted a warning he knows you're there (and may know at least a general direction, meaning you're at a disadvantave). This is a clear increase of risk.
So in 90% of cases, you've successfully reduced your risk of being stolen from by scaring off the attacker...or increased your risk as you force an unnecessary confrontation with an intruder who didn;t want to harm you but will shoot back. You may have jsut killed someone for stealing your TV.
In those same 90% of cases, I've allowed my replaceable possessions to be taken, but I've avoided a confrontation and nobody gets hurt.
In 10% of cases, you've sacrificed significant tactical advantages and done nothing to deter a determined attacker intent on doing you harm. You've simply entered a gun fight, or allowed the intruder to find a tactical solution to your well-advertised "ambush" (for instance, pretending to leave and hiding, waiting for you to come out of the room in his own ambush).
Meanwhile, in those same 10% of cases, I have retained the tactical advantage by remaining hidden and focusing my line of fire on a chokepoint. Since the intruder does not know where I am, he does not know that the door is a killing zone, and will likely fall into the trap as he searches for me. He doesn't get to know where I am until he already has a bullet in his center of mass.
I'm pretty sure that a simple tactical analysis shows that my position is vastly superior in reducing risk, as well as following my ethical code of avoiding lethal force unless absolutely necessary.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 44 by Legend, posted 08-10-2009 2:29 PM Legend has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 48 by RAZD, posted 08-10-2009 6:24 PM Rahvin has not replied
 Message 50 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 6:44 AM Rahvin has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 48 of 452 (519031)
08-10-2009 6:24 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by Rahvin
08-10-2009 4:08 PM


only in Canader eh?
Hi Rahvin, for the record I don't own a gun and see no need to. I have had several things stolen from me, and in each case having a gun would not have prevented it, as they occurred in my absence.
The fact is, gun control laws do not have a causal effect on crime rates. Cime rates are determined by other factors, as is shown by the wild distribution of crime rates that have absolutely no correlation statistically with gun control laws.
...
I'm comparing gun control laws and crime statistics. If the two do not show a correlation, then they must not share a causal relationship, and crime rates must be more significantly affected by other variables.
Back in the 70's, living in Toronto, you could walk downtown single, female, elderly, etc, etc, after dark and not fear being mugged.
I was involved in a noise pollution study, and out of curiosity we tried to correlate urban noise levels with violent crime, including rapes, mugging, etc. filtering the statistics to show the same kinds of crimes in the urban areas in the US and in Canada, and places where we could find data on noise levels in the various cities.
We found a straight line correlation in both the US and in Canada, but the slopes were significantly different: Canada was much flatter than the US for the same noise levels.
Interestingly, what this means is that for every noise level in the study, the rate of violent crime was higher in the US than in Canada.
Obviously, other factors are involved, but one that does stand out is the difference in gun control: you can't carry a gun in Canada, and if you get caught doing a crime with a gun the penalties are significantly higher (as they are in Britain, btw).
Gun ownership just means that both sides can have guns and shoot each other, while strict gun control means that both sides cannot have guns.
Next of course is the tautological statement of the IRA propagandists - that when guns are outlawed only outlaws will have guns. Myself, I trust the legal system and the police to deal with the people with guns, because I prefer to live in a civilization that has outgrown the "eye-for-an-eye" and "preemptive strike" mentality.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by Rahvin, posted 08-10-2009 4:08 PM Rahvin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 52 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 9:32 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 49 of 452 (519034)
08-10-2009 6:45 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by xongsmith
08-06-2009 1:19 PM


capuchins do it
Hi xongsmith,
There was a game not similar to the Prisoner's Dilemma, but brought up in the same conversation. I think it was showing how Tit-For-Tat was the best overall strategy. The idea is this - you initially assume everyone is good. Upon encountering a ripoff, your return the same tit-for-tat just the once and resume your pollyanna outlook. Repeat whenever it occurs again. In computer simulations this simple rubric seems to have won out in terms of surviving among denizens of the wilderness in terms of getting cooperation when you need it and also avoiding being victimized to extinction.
Curiously, a study of capuchin monkeys:
Monkeys Show Sense Of Fairness, Study Says
quote:
Researchers studying brown capuchin monkeys (Cebus apella) have found that the highly social, cooperative species native to South America show a sense of fairness, the first time such behavior has been documented in a species other than humans.
The question of whether human aversion to unfair treatment”now shown by other primates”is an evolved behavior or the result of the cultural influence of large social institutions like religion, governments, and schools, in the case of humans, has intrigued scientists in recent years.
The new finding suggests evolution may have something to do with it. It also highlights questions about the economic and evolutionary nature of cooperation and its relationship to a species' sense of fairness, while adding yet another chapter to our understanding of primates.
"It looks like this behavior is evolved . it is not simply a cultural construct. There's some good evolutionary reason why we don't like being treated unfairly," said Sarah Brosnan, lead author of the study to be published in tomorrow's issue of the science journal Nature.
Note that John Forbes Nash won a Nobel prize in economics for solving a part of the cooperation question:
John Forbes Nash Jr. - Wikipedia
Nash equilibrium - Wikipedia
quote:
Nash equilibrium has been used to analyze hostile situations like war and arms races[1] (see Prisoner's dilemma), and also how conflict may be mitigated by repeated interaction (see Tit-for-tat). It has also been used to study to what extent people with different preferences can cooperate (see Battle of the sexes), and whether they will take risks to achieve a cooperative outcome (see Stag hunt). It has been used to study the adoption of technical standards, and also the occurrence of bank runs and currency crises (see Coordination game). Other applications include traffic flow (see Wardrop's principle), how to organize auctions (see Auction theory), and even penalty kicks in soccer (see Matching pennies).[2]
Tit for tat - Wikipedia
quote:
Each tit-for-tat agent scores a total of 28 points, over the six matches. Each defector scores only 26 points.
Despite the fact that the tit-for-tat agents never won a match and the defectors never lost a match, the tit-for-tat strategy still came out ahead, because the final score is not determined by the number of match wins, but the total points score. Simply put, the tit-for-tat agents gained more points tying with each other than they lost to the defectors.
The more tit-for-tat agents that there are in the described game, the more advantageous it is to use the tit-for-tat strategy.
It is not surprising to me that evolution has tested all the various options for "winning" the game/s of social interaction/s, and thus ending up with the optimum solution - because it has an increased survival advantage for the population.
Enjoy.
Edited by RAZD, : quote not qs

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by xongsmith, posted 08-06-2009 1:19 PM xongsmith has not replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 50 of 452 (519078)
08-11-2009 6:44 AM
Reply to: Message 47 by Rahvin
08-10-2009 4:08 PM


Re: gun ownership as a deterrent
Rahvin writes:
Do you have anything beyond your personal conjecture as to the "Real cause" of lower crime rates?
I did try to look at two societies with similar socio-cultural characteristics but different crime rates and I put forward the hypothesis that the lower burglary rate in the US could be attributed to the greater deterrent, i.e. loose gun laws which level the playing field for home-owners and harsher sentencing for burglars, robbers and thieves. You can try to shoot it down if you like but incredulous questioning doesn't really contribute either way.
Rahvin writes:
The fact is, gun control laws do not have a causal effect on crime rates.
That's not a fact, and you haven't shown it is.
Rahvin writes:
Cime rates are determined by other factors, as is shown by the wild distribution of crime rates that have absolutely no correlation statistically with gun control laws.
Of course I realise and accept that many other factors affect crime rates. That's why comparing countries such as Japan and even France to the UK/US is counter-productive as their 'other factors' are so numerous.
Rahvin writes:
In what twisted world can you honestly look at international burglary rates compared to gun control laws, see that there is no direct pattern, and conclude that they are in fact correlated and in fact share a causal relationship?
I looked at two societies that share many cultural values and three things that stick out as very different is the attitude to gun ownership, stricter sentencing for criminals and the lower US burglary rate. I therefore find it quite plausible that the first two are related to the latter. My view is supported by the common-sensical axiom that a would-be burglar would be deterred by the probability of the home-owner owning a gun and being likely to use it. It's the same reasoning process that stops people from picking fights with people who are likely to hurt them.
Rahvin writes:
How can you in one sentence claim that socio-cultural influences are a larger factor when determining burglary rates and then turn around and say that gun control laws are the real cause?
Because, unlike you, I compared countries which share many socio-cultural values. When many things are similar you can more easily distinguish the things that are different.
Rahvin writes:
If other factors more significantly affect burglary rates, you cannot claim that gun control laws are in fact the dominant factor. You can't cherry-pick two countries and claim a pattern, Legend. "2" is not a statistically representative number. If we look at all countries and compare their crime statistics, we see that gun control is not even remotely the dominant factor in determining burglary rates.
I compared two countries which share many socio-cultural values. When many things are similar you can more easily distinguish the things that are different.
Rahvin writes:
Let's look at some better data. Washington DC until recently had a complete handgun ban in effect, beginning in 1977, which was overturned in 2007.
According to Wiki, the property crime rate (meaning burglary, among others) went up 5.6% between 2006 and 2007, when the ban was repealed. If your assertion were true, we should see a decrease in property crime as victims are more likely to be armed. Violent crime went down 6.2% over the same period, but had gone up 9.3% from '05 to '06 with no change in gun control laws.
If the ban was in effect for 30 years why are you cherry-picking just one year to illustrate your point? Where are the overall numbers? Until you can see the numbers before the ban, during the ban and some years after the end of the ban you can't draw any conclusions.
Rahvin writes:
While we need a few more years to really see whether a trend develops, preliminary data suggests that strict gun control and its repeal had a negligible effect on crime rates in DC.
Like you say it's too early to tell just yet and you'll also need to factor in all the other things that have changed in that period, e.g. drug usage, unemployment and poverty rates, etc.
Rahvin writes:
Again you assume that "pro-active and decisive action" reduces risk, but all I see is an unfounded assumption. Most people aren't Rambo - when we start gun fights, we can get shot, too.
Further, I'm not suggesting that the 10% of cases should be ignored. You are the one suggesting we should ignore 90% of cases. I've already addressed the wisest course of action - hide, but respond with force if a confrontation becomes inevitable. The ambush addresses the 10% of cases with the best possible tactical response, forcing the enemy to meet you on ground of your choosing where you have the advantage of surprise (he doesn;t know where in teh room you are) and a chokepoint (he has to come through the one door - cover the door and you can easily strike before he can identify you as a target). That same ambush addresses the other 90% of cases (as well as the ethical dilemma of killing someone for simple theft) by not forcing a confrontation.
Although I can't really reject your ambush defense I still think that it isn't the best course of action for three reasons:
1) Sometimes it increases risk. It can be done if you're living by yourself but with having a family and especially with the children being in separate rooms you can't just wait and hope that your wife or kids won't panic and make a noise. Even more worryingly you're giving the intruder the chance to come upstairs and put himself within harm's range of your family. Why take that risk?
2) By waiting in ambush you're giving the intruder a tactical advantage. When he first enters your house he's at his most ignorant and therefore at his most vulnerable. He doesn't know the layout of the house, the lay of the land so to speak, how many people live there, where they are located, etc. The only thing he does know is his entry point, the window or door he came in from, which can be also used as his exit point. This is the time to attack him. if he's not incapacitated by the attack his first instinct would be to flee and that's bound to be through his only known route. It's all about not giving him time to think and choices to make. You give him just enough time for the adrenalin to kick in and you allow him only one choice: flee. if you wait upstairs in ambush you give him the time to assess the layout of the house, how many people live there, where they're likely to be, how wealthy they are, etc. He can then decide if he just wants to steal your TV and leave or if he'd like to torture you until you give him your credit card number and then rape your wife as he's just seen her picture in a bikini on the mantlepiece and she looks hot. Why take that risk?
3) When you're in a confrontational situation time is against you. You MUST take action, fight or flight, that's what nature has programmed us for. If you just do nothing or just wait in ambush the adrenalin that's gathering inside your body will cause a build up of lactic acid on muscle tissue (since you're not using your muscles to fight nor to flee) which in turn produces a feeling of weakness and the loss of endurance capability in the muscle. In short, the more time you wait in ambush the less effective you're going to be. Why take that risk?
Now the real issue is: none of the above will matter if the intruder only wants to take your TV and leave. The thing is *you don't know that*. Statistically violence against you will happen less than 10% of the time. But, like I've been saying all along you put your seatbelt on for much smaller odds than that. Why should you value your life more when you're in a car than in your own home facing a situation that you didn't initiate or cause?

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by Rahvin, posted 08-10-2009 4:08 PM Rahvin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 51 by dronestar, posted 08-11-2009 9:25 AM Legend has not replied

  
dronestar
Member
Posts: 1417
From: usa
Joined: 11-19-2008
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 51 of 452 (519098)
08-11-2009 9:25 AM
Reply to: Message 50 by Legend
08-11-2009 6:44 AM


Incentive?
Legend writes:
. . . then rape your wife as he's just seen her picture in a bikini on the mantlepiece and she looks hot.
If an intruder sees a picture of MY wife in a bikini on the mantlepiece, that wouldn't be an INCENTIVE to continue the burglary, it would be a DETERRENT. (Me thinks even the intruder would favor the less harmful bullet in the chest instead.)
I'm kidding, KIDDING!
(I don't really have a mantlepiece)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 50 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 6:44 AM Legend has not replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 52 of 452 (519099)
08-11-2009 9:32 AM
Reply to: Message 48 by RAZD
08-10-2009 6:24 PM


Re: only in Canader eh?
RAZD writes:
Gun ownership just means that both sides can have guns and shoot each other, while strict gun control means that both sides cannot have guns.
That's just not true! The criminal side -by definition- aren't going to abide by any gun-control legislation. That's why they're called 'criminals' in the first place.
Gun controls means that the people who have a legitimate need for a gun (i.e. home owners for self-defense) aren't allowed to have one. It has absolutely no bearing on people who want a gun for illegitimate reasons.
RAZD writes:
Next of course is the tautological statement of the IRA propagandists - that when guns are outlawed only outlaws will have guns.
It's an old cliche but it's very true!
RAZD writes:
Myself, I trust the legal system and the police to deal with the people with guns,..
The problem is that the legal system and the police are there to deal mostly with the after-effects of violence. When you're woken up in the middle of the night by the sound of broken glass, no legal system or police will be there to protect you.
RAZD writes:
..because I prefer to live in a civilization that has outgrown the "eye-for-an-eye" and "preemptive strike" mentality.
That's very noble of you. It's a shame that such sentiments don't register with the meth-addicted juvenile who's in your house about to steal your TV or worse.
As for the "preemptive strike" mentality: countless states throughout the world have been applying it for centuries and still are, as the Iraq Invasion has shown. If you think civilisation has outgrown it, you'd better think again!

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 48 by RAZD, posted 08-10-2009 6:24 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 53 by dronestar, posted 08-11-2009 9:41 AM Legend has replied
 Message 57 by RAZD, posted 08-11-2009 9:45 PM Legend has replied

  
dronestar
Member
Posts: 1417
From: usa
Joined: 11-19-2008
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 53 of 452 (519100)
08-11-2009 9:41 AM
Reply to: Message 52 by Legend
08-11-2009 9:32 AM


Evidence FOR?
Legend writes:
As for the "preemptive strike" mentality: countless states throughout the world have been applying it for centuries and still are, as the Iraq Invasion has shown.
You're using the American invasion of Iraq as good evidence FOR "pre-emptive strikes"???
Wow. I think you may have just conceded your argument.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 9:32 AM Legend has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 54 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 11:18 AM dronestar has replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 54 of 452 (519108)
08-11-2009 11:18 AM
Reply to: Message 53 by dronestar
08-11-2009 9:41 AM


Re: Evidence FOR?
Legend writes:
As for the "preemptive strike" mentality: countless states throughout the world have been applying it for centuries and still are, as the Iraq Invasion has shown. If you think civilisation has outgrown it, you'd better think again!
dronester writes:
You're using the American invasion of Iraq as good evidence FOR "pre-emptive strikes"??? Wow. I think you may have just conceded your argument.
I'm using it as evidence that CIVILISATION HASN'T OUTGROWN THIS MENTALITY, as RAZD thinks.
If you had bothered to read the whole paragraph it would have been obvious to you too.

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 53 by dronestar, posted 08-11-2009 9:41 AM dronestar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 55 by dronestar, posted 08-11-2009 11:51 AM Legend has replied

  
dronestar
Member
Posts: 1417
From: usa
Joined: 11-19-2008
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 55 of 452 (519111)
08-11-2009 11:51 AM
Reply to: Message 54 by Legend
08-11-2009 11:18 AM


Re: Evidence FOR?
Legend writes:
I'm using it as evidence that CIVILISATION HASN'T OUTGROWN THIS MENTALITY
Hmmm.
But, besides civilization, it seems you are ALSO a PROPONENT of pre-emptive strikes? If so, it seems bringing up the catastrophic American invasion into Iraq is evidence AGAINST the strategy of pre-emptive strikes. A little confusing, yes?
Interesting topic, though, Legend. I have no idea how I would react to a break-in (fight or flight). I can calmly agree with Rhavin now, but if the time comes and my adrenaline is pumping, . . . well, . . . let's hope I never find out.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 54 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 11:18 AM Legend has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 56 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 1:27 PM dronestar has not replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 56 of 452 (519120)
08-11-2009 1:27 PM
Reply to: Message 55 by dronestar
08-11-2009 11:51 AM


Re: Evidence FOR?
dronester writes:
But, besides civilization, it seems you are ALSO a PROPONENT of pre-emptive strikes? If so, it seems bringing up the catastrophic American invasion into Iraq is evidence AGAINST the strategy of pre-emptive strikes. A little confusing, yes?
Not confusing at all. I am a big proponent of pre-emptive strikes, though in the case of home invasion you can hardly call it pre-emptive as the intruder already has taken action against you by invading your house and you're just re-acting to it.
The sad affair of the Iraq Invasion has no bearing on the value of pre-emptive strike strategy, it just shows how a pre-text for violence can be founded on false evidence and outright lies.
dronester writes:
I have no idea how I would react to a break-in (fight or flight). I can calmly agree with Rhavin now, but if the time comes and my adrenaline is pumping, . . . well, . . . let's hope I never find out.
I have experienced three burglaries in the past (one aggravated) and have closely witnessed many fights (and been involved in a couple) when I used to work behind the bar at a somewhat dodgy drinking establishment. Which is why I have a healthy dose of skepticism when people idealistically talk about minimising risk, avoiding killing people and such like. The reality is that noble emotions don't even come into play in such situations. The biological response will always prevail whether that's running, fighting or staying frozen to the spot while your bowels empty themselves.
Edited by Legend, : grammar

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 55 by dronestar, posted 08-11-2009 11:51 AM dronestar has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 57 of 452 (519137)
08-11-2009 9:45 PM
Reply to: Message 52 by Legend
08-11-2009 9:32 AM


Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
Hi Legend,
That's just not true! The criminal side -by definition- aren't going to abide by any gun-control legislation. That's why they're called 'criminals' in the first place.
Curiously, your opinion on the matter is incapable of changing the facts.
The proportion of criminals who carry guns in Canada and in the UK is much lower than the US - not because of gun control, but because of legislation that makes it a more serious offense when conducted with an outlawed weapon, and because of a cultural bias in America for Cowboy Vigilante Justice in the Great American Way, still living in the 1800's mentality.
Crime in England and Wales 2007/08
quote:
• Gun crime makes up a small proportion of all violent crime: 1% of violent incidents in 2006/07 used firearms, according to the British Crime Survey, and the proportion of murders involving firearms (i.e. shootings) has remained at or below 12% since 1998/99.
Given that the chance of having a violent crime is low, and that of those violent crimes only 1% involve guns, it seems highly ridiculous to play "cowboy vigilante" and run around with guns -- in a civilized country like the UK.
My personal recollection from the previous study was that Canada was similar to the UK, but I haven't found comparable statistics to verify that, however we can do some basic comparisons. What I did find was this:
Page not found – City of Toronto
quote:
• In both Ontario and Toronto, more people visit emergency rooms with unintentional firearm injuries - in which the person discharging the firearm does not intend to hit anyone - than with intentional injuries such as assault. This demonstrates that the public safety threat from firearms does not depend on the intent of the user, but is related to the presence of the firearm itself.10
• The presence of a firearm makes it more likely that a suicide attempt or partner violence will result in serious injury or death.
More harm than good: Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
Below we have assaults, murders and murders with firearms per capita with the US, Canada and the UK extracted:
Crime Statistics > Assaults (per capita) (most recent) by country
quote:
# 6 United States:      7.56923 per 1,000 people
# 8 United Kingdom: 7.45959 per 1,000 people
# 9 Canada: 7.11834 per 1,000 people
SOURCE: Seventh United Nations Survey of Crime Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, covering the period 1998 - 2000 (United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Centre for International Crime Prevention)
So we have essentially the same number of assaults per person for similar cultures and legal systems, and where reporting of such crimes is likely to be comparable.
Crime Statistics > Murders (per capita) (most recent) by country
quote:
# 24 United States:  	0.042802  per 1,000 people
# 44 Canada: 0.0149063 per 1,000 people
# 46 United Kingdom: 0.0140633 per 1,000 people

SOURCE: Seventh United Nations Survey of Crime Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, covering the period 1998 - 2000 (United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Centre for International Crime Prevention)
So there is a cultural bias to murder in the US compared to Canada and the UK that is out of proportion with the assault per capita above. In other words in the US assaults are more likely to result in murder.

Crime Statistics > Murders with firearms (per capita) (most recent) by country

quote:
#  8 United States:  	0.0279271  per 1,000 people
# 20 Canada: 0.00502972 per 1,000 people
# 32 United Kingdom: 0.00102579 per 1,000 people
SOURCE: Seventh United Nations Survey of Crime Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, covering the period 1998 - 2000 (United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Centre for International Crime Prevention)
And there is a higher cultural bias to murder with guns in the US than in Canada or the UK.
The source of information for each of these sets of statistics is the same, so there is no question of not having comparable information. From these results we can compare assaults, murders and murders with guns in these countries:
  • Number of assaults about the same in each country.
  • Number of murders about 3 times higher in the US than in Canada and the UK.
  • Number of murders by firearms about 5.5 times higher in the US than in Canada, and about 28 times higher in the US than in the UK.
  • Proportion of murders committed with guns is 65% in the US, 34% in Canada and 7.3% in the UK.
Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
That's very noble of you. It's a shame that such sentiments don't register with the meth-addicted juvenile who's in your house about to steal your TV or worse.
Like I've said -- I have had three occasions where things have been stolen from me. The problem for you is that I would not have been able to use a gun if I had one: I wasn't there, so gun ownership would not have prevented those crimes.
The problem is not the "meth-addicted juvenile" about to steal things to feed his habit - it is that the juvenile has become a meth-addict, and having guns or not having guns will not solve that problem. What it does is give gun owners a panacea to pat themselves over the head about being a good citizen able to render justice in the Great American Way rather than deal with the actual problem.
Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
As for the "preemptive strike" mentality: countless states throughout the world have been applying it for centuries and still are, as the Iraq Invasion has shown.
Because it is "popular" therefore it is "right"? sorry that is the appeal to popularity logical fallacy. Just because Schrubbia was able to lie his way into his little private Armageddon war of choice does not mean it was right. The price paid by Iraqii civilians is still not justified, even now that we know there was no imminent threat and that the "WMD" were all lies from the administration. All that the massive application of firepower has accomplished is vast wholesale murders of innocent civilian, and even still the problems are not resolved - and will not be resolved at the point of a gun.
Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
If you think civilisation has outgrown it, you'd better think again!
And yet the US warmongers had a very hard time assembling the "coalition of the coerced" and find anyone willing to go along with their preemptive strike on the insubstantial (and that falsified) evidence, so yes - civilization has by and large outgrown it. Other nations have come to realize that ...
... Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
Enjoy.
Edited by RAZD, : added
Edited by RAZD, : last stat comparison added
Edited by RAZD, : symbols corrected

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by Legend, posted 08-11-2009 9:32 AM Legend has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 58 by Legend, posted 08-12-2009 6:54 AM RAZD has replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 58 of 452 (519169)
08-12-2009 6:54 AM
Reply to: Message 57 by RAZD
08-11-2009 9:45 PM


Guns don't kill people, people kill people.
Legend writes:
The criminal side -by definition- aren't going to abide by any gun-control legislation. That's why they're called 'criminals' in the first place.
RAZD writes:
Curiously, your opinion on the matter is incapable of changing the facts.
..ugh? I'm only stating the facts not trying to change them. Fact: Gun-control legislation only manages to disarm the law-abiding citizens, not the criminals. Fact: Despite the UK having arguably the strictest gun control laws in the world, gun crime has been steadily rising on a yearly basis.
These are the facts whether you like it or not. if you think these aren't correct now is a good time to show why.
RAZD writes:
The proportion of criminals who carry guns in Canada and in the UK is much lower than the US - not because of gun control, but because of legislation that makes it a more serious offense when conducted with an outlawed weapon, and because of a cultural bias in America for Cowboy Vigilante Justice in the Great American Way, still living in the 1800's mentality.
I'm glad we both agree that gun controls don't work. I also agree with you that harsher sentencing for gun possession and -more importantly- the gun and gang culture explains why more US criminals carry guns than Uk/Canadian ones.
So....? what is your point? Is that supposed to be consolation for when you're confronted by a gun-totting criminal in the Uk or Canada? Will the fact that it was less likely to happen make your shooting easier to accept or less painful?
RAZD writes:
Given that the chance of having a violent crime is low, and that of those violent crimes only 1% involve guns, it seems highly ridiculous to play "cowboy vigilante" and run around with guns -- in a civilized country like the UK.
Nonsense. Carrying a gun is no more playing "cowboy vigilante" than wearing you car seatbelt is playing "Formula 1 racing pilot". They're both means of protecting yourself should something dreadful happen.
quote:
” In both Ontario and Toronto, more people visit emergency rooms with unintentional firearm injuries - in which the person discharging the firearm does not intend to hit anyone - than with intentional injuries such as assault. This demonstrates that the public safety threat from firearms does not depend on the intent of the user, but is related to the presence of the firearm itself.10
” The presence of a firearm makes it more likely that a suicide attempt or partner violence will result in serious injury or death.
Until you can compare these figures and odds with the odds of preventing or defending yourself with a gun against assault or robbery they don't say much to me other than that some people should be more careful. But we knew that already.
RAZD writes:
So there is a cultural bias to murder in the US compared to Canada and the UK that is out of proportion with the assault per capita above. In other words in the US assaults are more likely to result in murder.
And there is a higher cultural bias to murder with guns in the US than in Canada or the UK.
Yes and yes. What's your point again?
RAZD writes:
* Number of assaults about the same in each country.
* Number of murders about 3 times higher in the US than in Canada and the UK.
* Number of murders by firearms about 5.5 times higher in the US than in Canada, and about 28 times higher in the US than in the UK.
* Proportion of murders committed with guns is 65% in the US, 34% in Canada and 7.3% in the UK.
Guns don't solve problems, people solve problems.
That's a nice mantra but what have you actually shown other than the US is a much more violent society? Which we knew already.
RAZD writes:
I have had three occasions where things have been stolen from me. The problem for you is that I would not have been able to use a gun if I had one: I wasn't there, so gun ownership would not have prevented those crimes.
You *just don't know that!* You don't know if the burglar would still have proceeded if there was a high probability of you being in the house and armed. Maybe the burglar didn't worry much about whether you'd be in or not as chances were you weren't going to be armed. You just don't know. What you do know is that most people won't pick a fight they have a good chance of losing. Any burglar thinking rationally won't burgle a house where there's a possibility of armed resistance.
RAZD writes:
The problem is not the "meth-addicted juvenile" about to steal things to feed his habit - it is that the juvenile has become a meth-addict, and having guns or not having guns will not solve that problem.
Yes that is the problem, but here we're talking about prevention not cure. We're talking about dealing with the symptoms not fighting the cause. We're discussing what to do when confronted by the intruder in your home, not about the ills of western society.
RAZD writes:
What it does is give gun owners a panacea to pat themselves over the head about being a good citizen able to render justice in the Great American Way rather than deal with the actual problem.
What it does is give gun owners the safety and peace of mind that they're doing all they can to protect themselves, their family and their property. It gives them the sense of equality and fairness of playing on the same level field as the criminals.
Legend writes:
As for the "preemptive strike" mentality: countless states throughout the world have been applying it for centuries and still are, as the Iraq Invasion has shown.
RAZD writes:
Because it is "popular" therefore it is "right"? sorry that is the appeal to popularity logical fallacy.
...ugh?! who said that? I just showed you that pre-emptive strikes are still popular, despite what you claimed. I never said that they are 'right' because they are popular. I'd guess you must have read some other poster's post.
Legend writes:
If you think civilisation has outgrown it [pre-emptive strikes], you'd better think again!
RAZD writes:
And yet the US warmongers had a very hard time assembling the "coalition of the coerced" and find anyone willing to go along with their preemptive strike on the insubstantial (and that falsified) evidence, so yes - civilization has by and large outgrown it. Other nations have come to realize that ...
Yet here we have the most advanced nation on the planet applying a pre-emptive strike with the direct participation of another G8 nation and the implicit approval of countless others. So, no, I don't think that civilisation has outgrown pre-emptive strikes, regardless of how hard it was to assemble the coallition.
RAZD writes:
Guns don't solve problems, people solve problem
That's very wise. Next time you find an armed intruder in your house make sure to mention it to him.

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 57 by RAZD, posted 08-11-2009 9:45 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 59 by Huntard, posted 08-12-2009 7:16 AM Legend has replied
 Message 104 by RAZD, posted 08-14-2009 8:48 PM Legend has replied

  
Huntard
Member (Idle past 2323 days)
Posts: 2870
From: Limburg, The Netherlands
Joined: 09-02-2008


Message 59 of 452 (519171)
08-12-2009 7:16 AM
Reply to: Message 58 by Legend
08-12-2009 6:54 AM


Re: Guns don't kill people, people kill people.
I'm sorry, I can't follow your logic.
You agree that America is a much more violent society than Canada or the UK. Yet you say it is ok for a much more violent society to have easy access to guns? Wouldn't it be better to take away guns from a violent society?

I hunt for the truth

This message is a reply to:
 Message 58 by Legend, posted 08-12-2009 6:54 AM Legend has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 60 by Legend, posted 08-12-2009 7:30 AM Huntard has replied

  
Legend
Member (Idle past 5034 days)
Posts: 1226
From: Wales, UK
Joined: 05-07-2004


Message 60 of 452 (519174)
08-12-2009 7:30 AM
Reply to: Message 59 by Huntard
08-12-2009 7:16 AM


Re: Guns don't kill people, people kill people.
Huntard writes:
You agree that America is a much more violent society than Canada or the UK. Yet you say it is ok for a much more violent society to have easy access to guns? Wouldn't it be better to take away guns from a violent society?
In an idealistic scenario where all guns are instantly removed from the land, then you would arguably have a point.
The reality is that guns can never just disappear. Criminals will continue to use them regardless of any laws and legislation. All gun controls do is tilt the playing field in the favour of the criminals. I support levelling the playing field so that criminals and home-owners alike have equal access to the same tools.

"We must respect the law, not let it blind us away from the basic principles of fairness, justice and freedom"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 59 by Huntard, posted 08-12-2009 7:16 AM Huntard has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 61 by Huntard, posted 08-12-2009 8:17 AM Legend has replied

  
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