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Author Topic:   Faith vs Skepticism - Why faith?
Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 301 of 533 (535439)
11-15-2009 11:48 PM
Reply to: Message 299 by RAZD
11-15-2009 11:30 PM


Re: cognitive dissonance due to opinion & bad logic confronting reality
RAZD writes:
So you agree that A(Y) is illogical. This means that B(X) must also be illogical.
Umm, no? They are different statements with different logical progressions. A(X) is not equivalent to B(X), A(Y) is not equivalent to B(Y), A(Y) is not equivalent to B(X), and A(X) is not equivalent to B(Y). Why would you think they were?
Do these look equivalent to you?
A(Y) = "There is no objective empirical evidence that shows gods do exist is not true, therefore it is logical to believe that gods do exist is true."
B(X) = "There is no objective empirical evidence that shows gods do not exist is true, therefore it is logical to believe that gods do not exist is not true."
A(Y) claims that because something is not disproved, it should be considered true.
B(X) claims that because something is not proved, it should not be considered true.
These things are NOT the SAME!
RAZD writes:
Congratulations, you've chosen option C(X)=C(Y) agnostic because you can't prove that you will win, AND because you can't prove that you won't win.
Whether the odds are actually empirically figured out to be a million to one, you cannot eliminate the possibility that you will win, and thus the logical position is that you don't know.
But I also do not believe the person who claimed I will win, because their claim is unfounded and extremely unlikely to be correct. I lack belief in their claim, and so am atheistic.
RAZD writes:
None, seeing as they are not of the same form, one of them (C) valid and the other (A,B) invalid.
A and B are not of the same form.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 299 by RAZD, posted 11-15-2009 11:30 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 307 by RAZD, posted 11-16-2009 5:17 AM Phage0070 has replied

Rrhain
Member
Posts: 6351
From: San Diego, CA, USA
Joined: 05-03-2003


Message 302 of 533 (535441)
11-16-2009 12:07 AM
Reply to: Message 279 by RAZD
11-15-2009 10:07 AM


RAZD responds to me:
quote:
quote:
Then why is it on the back of my hand showing tails?
This is the answer of the pseudoskeptic that presumes to know the answers to the questions.
This is the response of someone avoiding the question. Let's try again, shall we?
Why is it on the back of my hand showing tails? Do you have evidence that this isn't a coin? It isn't on my hand? It isn't showing tails? Look, I'm picking it up, flipping it, catching it, slapping it on the back of my hand. Now it's showing heads.
Where is your evidence that what just happened didn't actually happen?
Let's take it further. Since we apparently have no actual evidence for gravity and it's only a 50/50 shot at it actually existing in the first place (after all, our theories about it are "incomplete"), why don't you and me go to a very high place and we'll toss you off to see if you plummet, hover, float away, engage in some bizarre cyclic behaviour, or any other of the infinitely varied imaginations we can come up with like you turning into a shower of rose petals and scattering in the wind.
quote:
quote:
Until you provide evidence that it needs your chocolate sprinkles, it still works without them.
Likewise you assume you know the answers to questions outside the box.
Yet again, the response (because it certainly isn't an answer) of someone doing everything he can to avoid the question.
Do tell what it is you think is outside the box? Oh, I'm sure there is something out there. After all, we don't know everything. But you seem to think you actually know something about what is outside of the box. Ergo, you must have evidence of it.
Where is your evidence, RAZD? Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
while you need to show that they do not, or cannot, exist to justify your position that you already know the answer.
Already done. The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
All I need is to be open minded to the possibility that god/s may exist to maintain my position
Nobody has said otherwise.
The issue is whether or not you are justified in maintaining that position and while being "open minded" is a pleasant trait to have, one's mind should not be so open that one's brain falls out.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.

Rrhain

Thank you for your submission to Science. Your paper was reviewed by a jury of seventh graders so that they could look for balance and to allow them to make up their own minds. We are sorry to say that they found your paper "bogus," specifically describing the section on the laboratory work "boring." We regret that we will be unable to publish your work at this time.

Minds are like parachutes. Just because you've lost yours doesn't mean you can use mine.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 279 by RAZD, posted 11-15-2009 10:07 AM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 330 by RAZD, posted 11-16-2009 9:20 PM Rrhain has replied

Rrhain
Member
Posts: 6351
From: San Diego, CA, USA
Joined: 05-03-2003


(1)
Message 303 of 533 (535444)
11-16-2009 2:19 AM
Reply to: Message 281 by RAZD
11-15-2009 10:47 AM


RAZD responds to me:
quote:
Obviously, you have not been paying attention.
Said the man who refuses to answer questions. I've been paying very close attention, RAZD. That's why the same questions keep coming up. Until you answer them, they'll keep getting asked.
quote:
Those who have been paying attention will know that my argument regarding subjective evidence only applies to concepts where there is either insufficient evidence for the scientific process to work or to concepts where the scientific process may not be able to produce answers.
But here's the thing: You're ignoring the evidence that we do have in order to cling to this faux-impartiality you find so dear. This fantasy you have that there is "no evidence" is precisely that: A fantasy. The very act of defining something creates evidence. You can't even have an opinion of "I don't know" if you can't describe what you're talking about.
And that brings us to the second point: Your refusal to define what you're talking about. You continually demand that people adopt a position with regard to something you can't even describe. How can anybody say, "I don't know," to something you refuse to clue them in on?
quote:
The astute ones who have been paying attention will also know that the argument has been that subjective evidence suggests possibilities, but is not much more useful than that.
And I've already responded to that. You have been paying attention, yes? Speculation and imaginations are wonderful at asking questions, but they are lousy at answering them. Why? Because they don't provide any evidence.
And yet, here you are insisting that there is a problem with the model without providing any evidence to justify your position, in direct contradiction of your claim that those who make negative assertions have to provide the evidence to justify them.
So you'll understand why you keep getting tagged as a hypocrite. You want to have it both ways. You want to throw the kibosh on other people's arguments without providing any evidence for why.
I will give you at least one point of consistency: Not only do you refuse to provide evidence for why you think other people are wrong, you also refuse to provide evidence for why you think you're right.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
Which is extremely amusing after your recent snit about being called an atheist do to the fact that all your posts are pro-atheism
You really haven't been paying attention, have you. I've also defended Judaism, Christianity, Islam, various pagan beliefs, etc. Comparative religion is a bit of a hobby. I've been studying it for most of my life (and I do mean that fairly literally...started when I was 7.) My main concern has to do with people being honest about their claims, admitting when they're going on faith and their own personal experiences rather than assuming everybody else agrees. The reason I come to the defense of atheism so often here is because it tends to be the default response of creationists: If you agree with evolution, you necessarily must be an immoral atheist who would just as soon kill you as look at you. You rarely find someone saying that the alternative to their religious position is a different religious position. No, it's either their way or atheism as if god can't create life that evolves.
Wait! That's a common phrase of mine! I'm always asking people why they seem to think that god is powerless to create life that evolves. I'm always asking people to consider the possibility that god does exist, just not in the way they think.
I must believe in god, right?
quote:
you haven't personally come out of the closet on what you actually believe.
Precisely because of your reaction: You're responding to what you think I believe, not to what I've actually said. So I will continue to keep my personal theological foundation to myself, thank you very much. It helps me to see who actually has a justification for their claims and who is simply lashing out.
quote:
What we see here is evasive behavior, typical of pseudoskeptics, when the shoe is on the other foot.
BWAHAHAHAHAHA!
There we go again! Oh, you've just proved my point, RAZD: Accuse the other person of what you're doing first so that they have to go on the defensive. Prove me wrong, RAZD: Answer the question:
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And while you're at it, define what it is you're talking about. It is logically impossible to have even an "I don't know" opinion about something that has not been and cannot be described.
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
Curiously one of the effects of cognitive dissonance is having difficulty paying attention to arguments that contradict dearly held beliefs.
Wow! You're just on a roll today, aren't you! Now, you're accusing everybody else of "cognitive dissonance" despite having multiple people repeatedly ask you the most basic of questions over and over again through literally thousands of posts and somehow the problem is they are all suffering from "difficulty paying attention to argumenst that contradict dearly held beliefs."
Absolutely stunning, RAZD. You should take this act on tour. Prove me wrong, RAZD: Answer the question:
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And while you're at it, define what it is you're talking about. It is logically impossible to have even an "I don't know" opinion about something that has not been and cannot be described.
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
The argument is that your model is incomplete.
And you've already had your response showing that your argument is insufficient. I do not need to have a complete model to know that it is functional. I don't have to know all the details about how a car runs to be able to determine that it is running and that it is not running because of a giant hamster running in a wheel placed under the hood. If you're going to insist that I must remain "agnostic" on this matter because my comprehension of the internal combustion engine is incomplete, you're going to have to explain why it is that there is an engine block under the hood, not a hamster wheel.
So let's put your money where your mouth is, RAZD. Since our theory of gravity is incomplete, that must mean we don't know a damned thing about it and it is quite possible that if you were to jump off a tall building, you would honestly expect that there is just as much of a chance of you flying off to the clouds rather than plummet to the ground.
I have the perfect place for you to test this, RAZD. C'mon down. Let's see just how agnostic you are about this "incomplete" model of gravity we have.
quote:
Saying it is incomplete does not mean that it doesn't work for the limited knowledge encompassed by the model, just that all possibilities are not necessarily included.
So what isn't included? You need to define what you're talking about, RAZD. The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
Restricting the model to only include known scientific knowledge, known at this date in time, necessarily limits the ability of the model to include new knowledge.
Why? A good model will be able to adapt to new information that comes along and change to accept it. After all, that's the way kinematics developed over the years. But as we've already discussed, the integration of new material into the model must necessarily take into account all the evidence we've already collected. Apples did not stop falling from trees waiting for Newton to figure out where Aristotle went wrong.
If you think you've found something new, why are you hesitating to share it with us? Why do you avoid describing what it is you want us to consider? Why do you refuse to provide your evidence? Especially since you've made such a bluster and show about how those who make a negative claim are just as much responsible for providing evidence as those who make positive claims.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Where is your evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
It is incapable of predicting new knowledge
(*blink!*)
You did not just say that, did you?
The entire point behind scientific theory is its ability to predict new knowledge. That's how we know we're dealing with science and not pseudo-science: It needs to be able to tell us the answers to questions we haven't asked yet.
Sometimes, those answers will be wrong and we will adjust the model to accomodate the new evidence. But notice, the evidence needs to come and you are steadfastly refusing to show the evidence to justify your claim while simultaneously demanding it of everyone else.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
like the model of hurricane behavior that failed to predict the path of a southern hemisphere hurricane because the model had not considered their possibility.
Huh? What model of hurricane behaviour doesn't consider southern-hemisphere hurricanes? I'm sure Australians would be shocked to find out that those storms weren't actually hurricanes. And those storms off the coast of southern East Africa? What were they?
Or did they not exist? It was all an hallucination? So why are they under the impression that they entered hurricane season a couple weeks ago?
quote:
Again you dodge the question, assume you know the answer, and presume that your opinion is a valid indicator of reality.
BWAHAHAHAHAHA!
Right. Pointing out that we've examined the coin and found it to be double-tailed is "dodging the question." It merely "assumes" that we've examined it because heaven knows that act of picking it up and looking at both sides was just a dream, and showing it to other people who confirmed it was naught but a drug-induced fantasy.
No wonder you're so sure there's no evidence, RAZD: You refuse to acknowledge any.
So let's put your money where your mouth is. Come with me and we'll find a very high place and I'll toss you off. Surely your agnostic approach to this "incomplete" gravitational theory we have won't make you hesitate. We'll see if you plummet to your doom, hover in mid-air, fly away into the sunset, or have some other result happen like you teleport to the middle of the Pentagon's inner courtyard. Each result is just as likely as any other since we don't have any evidence about this "gravity," right? Even worse, our theory is "incomplete" and thus there is no way we could ever possibly predict what would happen. And even worse than that, this model of gravity is absolutely incapable of speaking about "new knowledge" like what will happen when I toss you off the edge. Therefore, it's quite possible that you will dissolve into a gaseous cloud and drift away.
C'mon, RAZD. Put up or shut up.
quote:
Pseudoskepticism is like that.
There's that conservative response: Accuse the other person of what you're doing in the hopes that they become defensive. Nice try, RAZD, but you're the one doing everything he can to avoid, evade, and accuse. You have yet to provide the definition of what you're talking about let alone provide the evidence you have to justify your negative claim despite wasting literally thousands of posts screaming that people who make negative claims must provide evidence.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
More reading comprehension, or difficulty paying attention, problems I see.
Yes, and we're all very sorry about your condition, RAZD. Someday, you will realize that the "?" symbol in a sentence means a question has been asked and it is expected of you to answer it. Until then, we'll just keep asking the question:
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
Your "the model works why add sprinkles" argument reduces to the absence of evidence for god/s is evidence of absence for god/s.
Incorrect. It reduces to the "evidence of absence" because the model is based upon all the available evidence. And yet, here you are claiming that it doesn't work all the while refusing to provide the evidence to justify your claim after whining incessantly that those who make negative claims must provide evidence.
And you wonder why you keep getting tagged as a hypocrite.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
All you've done is dress it up with arguments from incredulity
What incredulity? I'm happy to examine any evidence you would deign to present. But alas, you haven't actually presented any. Despite insisting on your negative claim that the model doesn't work, you have been seemingly constitutionally incapable of providing the evidence to justify that claim in complete contradiction to your previous demand that those who make negative claims justify them with evidence.
And you wonder why you keep getting tagged as a hypocrite.
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.
quote:
and continued repetition, as if repetition makes your opinion more valid.
No, not more valid. Just more and more avoided, evaded, unanswered, and indicative that you cannot justify your position. You might be right, you just need to provide your evidence. We've been literally begging you for months and thousands of posts to provide just one shred of evidence to back up your insistence that there is a problem, but you refuse to even define what you're talking about let alone evidence to justify it.
Prove me wrong, RAZD. Answer the question:
The model works. Why do you demand chocolate sprinkles? Do you have evidence that they are required?
And thus, the merry-go-round spins again.

Rrhain

Thank you for your submission to Science. Your paper was reviewed by a jury of seventh graders so that they could look for balance and to allow them to make up their own minds. We are sorry to say that they found your paper "bogus," specifically describing the section on the laboratory work "boring." We regret that we will be unable to publish your work at this time.

Minds are like parachutes. Just because you've lost yours doesn't mean you can use mine.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 281 by RAZD, posted 11-15-2009 10:47 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

AdminModulous
Administrator
Posts: 897
Joined: 03-02-2006


Message 304 of 533 (535445)
11-16-2009 2:31 AM
Reply to: Message 292 by Buzsaw
11-15-2009 7:04 PM


Exodus thread
Unfortunately the Exodus Video I thread, the the most important thread of mine ever got deleted.
It seems to be buggy - and thus possibly difficult to find, but not deleted. "THE EXODUS REVEALED" VIDEO

This message is a reply to:
 Message 292 by Buzsaw, posted 11-15-2009 7:04 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 312 by Buzsaw, posted 11-16-2009 11:52 AM AdminModulous has seen this message but not replied

Iblis
Member (Idle past 3923 days)
Posts: 663
Joined: 11-17-2005


Message 305 of 533 (535449)
11-16-2009 3:09 AM
Reply to: Message 294 by onifre
11-15-2009 7:45 PM


Re: The Logical Basis for Possibilities
Where is the evidence that there IS an outside the universe at all?
What evidence are you using to posit such a non-evidenced domain?
No fair! You firmly agree with the idea of realms outside the observed universe (other branes) in the pseudo-science threads. But in the pseudo-skepticism threads you deny the possibility of any such thing?
This is the work of imagination.
No such domain like "outside the universe" should even be entertained as existing, when the sole reason for proposing such a thing is blind speculation.
This seems to get more to the heart of it. It's no fair positing such a concept without very sound non-philosophical reasons for wanting it to be there. Have I got that right?
Fine. But the cat's out of the bag now, there apparently are such domains. Seeing as how they are there, they are available for anyone to use, not just the people who found them first.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 294 by onifre, posted 11-15-2009 7:45 PM onifre has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 319 by Straggler, posted 11-16-2009 2:17 PM Iblis has not replied
 Message 322 by onifre, posted 11-16-2009 3:47 PM Iblis has not replied

Rrhain
Member
Posts: 6351
From: San Diego, CA, USA
Joined: 05-03-2003


Message 306 of 533 (535450)
11-16-2009 3:16 AM
Reply to: Message 284 by tis---strange
11-15-2009 11:24 AM


tis---strange responds to me:
quote:
What, if the new concept is a concept of something you never have thought about before?
The same process: You ask first for a definition of what is being talked about. You can't have an opinion, even an "I don't know" opinion, about something you can't even describe.
quote:
You say, we have a standard position of everything we do not have a model of, being it does not exist.
Incorrect. It isn't a question of a model. It's a question of whether or not this proposed object has any effect upon anything.
F'rinstance, I'm all the way in San Diego. I have very little, if any effect upon anything that happens in Antarctica. Now, does this mean I don't exist? Well, for most intents and purposes, I'm functionally equivalent to not existing but here's the thing: I could have an effect if I wanted to.
There is a difference between having the ability to affect something and not doing so and being incapable of having an effect.
The definitions of these phantom objects that RAZD refuses to define seem to be of the latter type: Incapable of having any effect. If we could get a definition, it might allow us to determine if this phantom object could have an effect and thus develop ways to investigate, but so far, RAZD has been stubborn. We have no idea what it is that he's talking about so we can't even hold his precious "I don't know" opinion about it.
quote:
I think of my model of incomplete by default.
As do I. Any observational model is necessarily incomplete because there is no way to observe everything. But just because it is incomplete doesn't mean there is nothing we know. As I mentioned to RAZD: The fact that I don't know all the details about the internal combustion engine doesn't mean I don't know that my car doesn't run from having a giant hamster run on a wheel.
quote:
If I find something new, undiscribed, I will at least consider the possibility of it being part of the model until I have a reason not to.
Of course, but that's because you have evidence. It may not be the best evidence in the world, but you do have something to go off of. RAZD is insisting that you don't have any.
quote:
I do not think of any of my models as being real.
Neither do I. That's why I call it a "model," not "reality." As you're new, I know you haven't any past experience with me, but I am fully aware of the difference between the actual universe and our observations of the universe. This has to do with how science functions: It is an observational process. We can never observe absolutely everything and thus, our model of how things work can never be said to be "true" in the strictest sense of the word. The best that we can ever hope for is "consistent with all observations we have made."
Thus, we might actually be spot on perfect with our description of how things work, but we will never be able to know that for certain because there is always an observation that has yet to be made that could conceivably show it to be wrong. This is the strength of science: It allows itself to be modified to conform to new information that comes along. It's why overturning the dominant paradigm in science results in triumph and you win the Nobel Prize. Science loves having new information come along that brings new questions with it because it means there are more fascinating things to learn.
But my point is, unless you have some sort of reason to think that our model isn't working, then where is the justification to claim that it doesn't? Oh, on a certain philosophical level, I'm sure we're wrong because, as mentioned above, we can't observe everything. But that fact cannot override that so far, we seem to be doing things right.
This goes to RAZD's original claim, which I heartily agreed with and expressed my concern that I suspected he was actually trying to say something else since I couldn't think of anybody who would disagree: Negative claims require just as much evidence of validity as positive claims.
Of course. Burden of proof is always on the one making the claim. If that claim happens to be negative rather than positive, so what? The model indicates that if I were to take RAZD to a very high place and toss him off the edge, he'd start falling under the influence of gravity. If someone is going to make the negative claim that no, he won't, then he's going to need to provide the evidence that justifies that claim because so far, we've not seen any contradictions to our gravitational model.
Now, I don't think our gravitational model is perfect. In fact, given what we've seen about galactic motions, I know it isn't. But just because I know that my model isn't perfectly accurate and is "incomplete" (to use RAZD's term), that doesn't mean I don't "know" that when I toss him off the edge, he is going to plummet to his doom rather than transform into a bird and fly away. I have no reason to think that RAZD is special and has powers and abilities far beyond those of mortal men.
Thus, despite all the problems with the model, it still works and those who insist upon the negative claim that it doesn't and demand chocolate sprinkles must provide the evidence as to why said sprinkles are required.
quote:
But I would not say that this position is the 'right' one at all
Neither would I. A model is just a model. We hope it's accurate and we work very hard to make it accurate by constantly pouring in observations to increase its accuracy. But the best we'll ever get is an "accurate" model, not a "right" one.

Rrhain

Thank you for your submission to Science. Your paper was reviewed by a jury of seventh graders so that they could look for balance and to allow them to make up their own minds. We are sorry to say that they found your paper "bogus," specifically describing the section on the laboratory work "boring." We regret that we will be unable to publish your work at this time.

Minds are like parachutes. Just because you've lost yours doesn't mean you can use mine.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 284 by tis---strange, posted 11-15-2009 11:24 AM tis---strange has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 308 by tis---strange, posted 11-16-2009 7:49 AM Rrhain has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 307 of 533 (535454)
11-16-2009 5:17 AM
Reply to: Message 301 by Phage0070
11-15-2009 11:48 PM


your next option.
Hi Phage0070,
Umm, no? They are different statements with different logical progressions. A(X) is not equivalent to B(X), A(Y) is not equivalent to B(Y),
They make the same logical error. This is where your blind spot is.
The absolute theist and the absolute atheist are both logically invalid positions.
Do these look equivalent to you?
A(Y) = "There is no objective empirical evidence that shows gods do exist is not true, therefore it is logical to believe that gods do exist is true."
B(X) = "There is no objective empirical evidence that shows gods do not exist is true, therefore it is logical to believe that gods do not exist is not true."
You are mixing them up again, rather than following the logic.
"person A: there is no objective empirical evidence that shows Y is not true, therefore it is logical to believe that Y is true,"
with Y = notX becomes
"person A(Y): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows X is true, therefore it is logical to believe that X is not true,"
which compares to
"person B(X): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows X is true, therefore it is logical to believe that X is not true,"
Notice how these are different from what you said.
A and B are not of the same form.
A(Y) and B(X) are of the same form. A and B are both invalid forms of logical conclusion, because they assume the part = the whole.
The absolute theist and the absolute atheist are both logically invalid positions.
Now see if you can determine which of these positions is logically valid and which is not:
  • person D: there is no objective empirical evidence that shows X is not true, therefore it is logical to consider the possibility that X is true, and
  • person E: there is no objective empirical evidence that shows X is true, therefore it is logical to consider the possibility that X is not true,
Apply what you have learned, with Y = notX:
  • person D: there is no objective empirical evidence that shows Y is not true, therefore it is logical to consider the possibility that Y is true, and
  • person E: there is no objective empirical evidence that shows Y is true, therefore it is logical to consider the possibility that Y is not true,
What do you conclude?
But I also do not believe the person who claimed I will win, because their claim is unfounded and extremely unlikely to be correct. I lack belief in their claim, and so am atheistic.
This still is mistaking the part for the whole, except that you are not an absolute atheist on the concept of winning.
If they were truly completely unfounded and extremely unlikely, you would not buy the ticket. The fact that you bought a ticket shows that you do not lack belief in the possibility of winning. You don't know for sure, you believe winning is possible, but you are inclined to believe you will not win. There are two parts, one where you will win and one where you will lose.
You are an atheistic agnostic.
Enjoy.
Edited by RAZD, : reworded C & D slightly
Edited by RAZD, : clrty
Edited by RAZD, : changed C to D and D to E so not to confuse with C agnostic

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
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This message is a reply to:
 Message 301 by Phage0070, posted 11-15-2009 11:48 PM Phage0070 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 316 by Phage0070, posted 11-16-2009 12:43 PM RAZD has replied

tis---strange
Junior Member (Idle past 5272 days)
Posts: 14
From: Oslo, Norway
Joined: 11-11-2009


Message 308 of 533 (535472)
11-16-2009 7:49 AM
Reply to: Message 306 by Rrhain
11-16-2009 3:16 AM


Incorrect. It isn't a question of a model. It's a question of whether or not this proposed object has any effect upon anything.
F'rinstance, I'm all the way in San Diego. I have very little, if any effect upon anything that happens in Antarctica. Now, does this mean I don't exist? Well, for most intents and purposes, I'm functionally equivalent to not existing but here's the thing: I could have an effect if I wanted to.
There is a difference between having the ability to affect something and not doing so and being incapable of having an effect.
The definitions of these phantom objects that RAZD refuses to define seem to be of the latter type: Incapable of having any effect. If we could get a definition, it might allow us to determine if this phantom object could have an effect and thus develop ways to investigate, but so far, RAZD has been stubborn. We have no idea what it is that he's talking about so we can't even hold his precious "I don't know" opinion about it.
Ok, so you say that anything existing has the possibility to have an effect? Meaning that anythin not having an effect, does not exist (per definition of the word "existing")?
I guess that makes sense.
I do, else, agree totally with your position. Especially on the point that you can not have a position (edit: in this post) on anything not well defined.
Edited by tis---strange, : Just making clear...

This message is a reply to:
 Message 306 by Rrhain, posted 11-16-2009 3:16 AM Rrhain has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 309 of 533 (535475)
11-16-2009 7:55 AM
Reply to: Message 284 by tis---strange
11-15-2009 11:24 AM


another side of the mountain
Hi tis---strange, enjoying the debate?
I think we agree on that the concepts we use in science and in our daily life all have a certain amount of evidence for or against them. I think we agree on that we can not "proove" any of these concepts, but that a lot of them have so much evidence for them that we need to consider them as "as good as true", others are less certain.
I'd agree with that. These are level III concepts, tested and validated, and considered tentatively true.
RAZD's Concept Scale
  1. Zero Confidence Concepts
    1. No evidence, subjective or objective,
    2. No logical conclusions possible, but opinion possible
  2. Low Confidence Concepts
    1. Unconfirmed or subjective supporting evidence, opinion also involved, but no known contradictory evidence, nothing shows the concept per se to be invalid
    2. Conclusions regarding possibilities for further investigation, and opinions can be based on this level of evidence,
  3. High Confidence Concepts
    1. Validated and confirmed objective supporting evidence, and no known contradictory evidence
    2. Conclusions regarding probable reality can be made, repeated attempts to falsify such concepts can lead to high confidence in their being true.
The question I ask myself, is what happens when we get confrontet with a new concept?
Of course we compare with our existing model, if it conflicts, we need strong evidence that it is more correct then our previous model.
Until we get confirming or invalidating empirical evidence all you have to go on is subjective opinion, based on your worldview of reality: an opinion. This means that it is considered a level II concept.
Curious, you only look for confirming evidence if the concept conflicts with your model (worldview)?
We will also look at the consequences of the concept, and compare them to reality, if the agree, we assign the concept a higher truth value.
So if it confirms\conforms to what we already believe, you don't ask questions?
One needs to be careful of confirmation bias and cognitive dissonance when looking at new concepts. Personally I think an open-minded skepticism is best: skeptical of new concepts until validated but open minded enough to consider them possible.
What, if the new concept is a concept of something you never have thought about before?
I think we disagree in this point. You say, we have a standard position of everything we do not have a model of, being it does not exist.(meaning, the model discribes every known part of reality there is. Please correct me if I am wrong)
I think of my model of incomplete by default. If I find something new, undiscribed, I will at least consider the possibility of it being part of the model until I have a reason not to.
A new concept is necessarily a level I concept initially. If you don't do any investigation\analysis it remains a level I concept.
Here your position is more logical than Rrhain's, because he is making the logical fallacy of assuming that the part represents the whole, while you are undecided and open minded. You can compare different opinions about the new concept and still be undecided, but now you have added some subjective information to the mix while still remaining essentially undecided, because the subjective information is not sufficient to consider this a level II concept as yet.
I think you also have a different definition of reality than me. I do not think of any of my models as being real. I only know that reality (the thing discribed by the model) interacts very similar to the model. But that doesn't mean that the model is reality. (does that makes any sense?)
Very much so. The map is not the mountain. The map can describe the mountain in many ways, but it is not the actual mountain.
But I would not say that this position is the 'right' one at all, it is only my understanding of reality.
I think you've got a good handle on it.
Notice that when people make comments about others without substantiating it with actual quotes:
quote:
Message 306Of course, but that's because you have evidence. It may not be the best evidence in the world, but you do have something to go off of. RAZD is insisting that you don't have any.
They most likely are making unfounded claims based on their opinion rather than on facts, although it is rather amusing to see that Rrhain thinks I could be superman. Personally I prefer getting what people are insisting on from the source rather than second hand.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 284 by tis---strange, posted 11-15-2009 11:24 AM tis---strange has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 310 by tis---strange, posted 11-16-2009 8:04 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied
 Message 311 by bluegenes, posted 11-16-2009 11:30 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

tis---strange
Junior Member (Idle past 5272 days)
Posts: 14
From: Oslo, Norway
Joined: 11-11-2009


Message 310 of 533 (535476)
11-16-2009 8:04 AM
Reply to: Message 309 by RAZD
11-16-2009 7:55 AM


Re: another side of the mountain
Curious, you only look for confirming evidence if the concept conflicts with your model (worldview)?
Well, I would expect that a concept is either identical to my worldview, or in some way different, thereby being conflicting or completly different from anything I have thought about before. If it is identical, I have some kind of evidence for it already (since it is part of my model), else I will look/ask for evidence. I should have made that clear...
So if it confirms\conforms to what we already believe, you don't ask questions?
That depends on how "new" it is. If somebody presented me with newtonian mechanics, I would know how to place it in my worldview, since I have considered it before. But this is of course an idealized model(sic!) of how I form my opinions, in praxis I would almost certanly always ask questions about the concept until I understand enough to place it in my model.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 309 by RAZD, posted 11-16-2009 7:55 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2505 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 311 of 533 (535501)
11-16-2009 11:30 AM
Reply to: Message 309 by RAZD
11-16-2009 7:55 AM


High confidence science.
RAZD writes:
III High Confidence Concepts
a) Validated and confirmed objective supporting evidence, and no known contradictory evidence
b) Conclusions regarding probable reality can be made, repeated attempts to falsify such concepts can lead to high confidence in their being true.
"Supernatural beings are human inventions."
No shortage of validated and confirmed objective supporting evidence, especially for those of us who understand what mutually exclusive means.
We could start here:
Forbidden
There's certainly no known contrary evidence.
Falsification would be establishing the existence of any supernatural being of any kind or genera, and plenty of attempts have been made to do this, consistently without success. Anything would do. A fossilized centaur, for example, or a captured leprechaun, or strong indirect evidence of such creatures. The field is enormous, with countless beings believed in, or having been believed in in the past, not to mention any that humans have never thought of.
The theory can make very specific predictions, like "RAZD will not present any positive evidence for the existence of his deity on EvC."
The level of confidence is so high that many of us would bet a lot of money on this.
This is one of at least two strong theories that supports the position that gods are very unlikely.
It's worth noting that arguments like "you cannot demonstrate that all extant individual organisms have come from other organisms" does not weaken the strong theory that "all extant organisms come from other organisms".
The same kind of thing, "you cannot demonstrate that all individual supernatural beings are inventions," is no good here. Once the evidence of biological reproduction and human invention of supernatural beings has been established, the burden of evidence is on skeptics to demonstrate exceptions to the rule.
Edited by bluegenes, : wrong word
Edited by bluegenes, : punctuation

This message is a reply to:
 Message 309 by RAZD, posted 11-16-2009 7:55 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 312 of 533 (535503)
11-16-2009 11:52 AM
Reply to: Message 304 by AdminModulous
11-16-2009 2:31 AM


Re: Exodus thread
AdminModulous writes:
Buzsaw writes:
Unfortunately the Exodus Video I thread, the the most important thread of mine ever got deleted.
It seems to be buggy - and thus possibly difficult to find, but not deleted. "THE EXODUS REVEALED" VIDEO
Thanks for checking, but it appears that the only thing left is one message; the OP. Everything else appears to be gone, unless there is some way to bring up the thread.
ABE: It's interesting that the OP survived but the beef is gone; like, where's the beef?
Edited by Buzsaw, : As noted.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 304 by AdminModulous, posted 11-16-2009 2:31 AM AdminModulous has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 313 by Iblis, posted 11-16-2009 12:02 PM Buzsaw has not replied

Iblis
Member (Idle past 3923 days)
Posts: 663
Joined: 11-17-2005


Message 313 of 533 (535505)
11-16-2009 12:02 PM
Reply to: Message 312 by Buzsaw
11-16-2009 11:52 AM


Re: Exodus thread
Click here Buz
Message 14
The database glitch has boggled the connection between the first post and the rest of them, but there really only seem to be about 12 posts that I can't get at. All the stuff you want from Lysimachus and your guests is essentially intact.
Edited by Iblis, : AbE

This message is a reply to:
 Message 312 by Buzsaw, posted 11-16-2009 11:52 AM Buzsaw has not replied

Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 314 of 533 (535508)
11-16-2009 12:10 PM
Reply to: Message 294 by onifre
11-15-2009 7:45 PM


Re: The Logical Basis for Possibilities
onifre writes:
Where is the evidence that there IS an outside the universe at all?
Hi Onifre.
1. There is no possible model. Balloons, etc have outside ofs.
2. Everything observable which is finite has an outside of.
Edited by Buzsaw, : clarify
Edited by Buzsaw, : Fix edit one which was to add the word, finite.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 294 by onifre, posted 11-15-2009 7:45 PM onifre has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 318 by onifre, posted 11-16-2009 1:01 PM Buzsaw has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 93 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 315 of 533 (535511)
11-16-2009 12:28 PM
Reply to: Message 282 by RAZD
11-15-2009 10:56 AM


Santa Strikes Back
When a grown man is unable to proclaim his disbelief in Santa Claus without contradicting himself I am not sure how much more needs to be said................
Are you a Message 268? Can you prove that common notions of Santa Claus "do not, or cannot, exist"? Are you agnostic about Santa? Or are you going to concede that a high degree of confidence in the non-existence of an undetectable irrefutable entity is possible on the basis of human invention alone?
RAZD writes:
I don't have problems. You do: you have not demonstrated any evidence to justify a level III, Dawkins scale 6.9999, claim that gods do not, or cannot, exist.
Your ongoing need to misrepresent the position of your opponents simply demonstrates the paucity of your own arguments. I have told you numerous times that with regard to gods I am a 6 on the Dawkins scale. It isn't my problem that your anti-atheist arguments only work against non-existent statements of logical certitude.
However with regard to Santa Claus 6.9999 may well be a more accurate reflection...... How about you?
Straggler writes:
Hades. Valhalla. Olympus. Hell. Islamic notions of paradise. The domain of the Hindu gods. The domain in which the Immaterial toilet goblins exist. The domain in which the fifty two and a half pixies that set the universe in motion dwell. The Immaterial Pink Unicorn domain, the Ethereal Yellow Squirrel domain, The Christian heaven, Mookoo's domain, Wagwah's domain, the domain in which the immaterial green turtle wades through the invisible aether with the universe on its back held in place by the incorporeal god chewed bubble-gum, Santa Claus's magic domain, The Easter Bunny's intangible chocolate domain, your deity's domain, the tooth fairy's domain, the garage dragon's domain.............etc. etc. etc.etc. ad-infinitum.
The possibilities are limited only by human imagination
Nice straw man list.
You forgot the domain outside the known universe.
Actually I included "your deity's domain" in my list. All of the above domains are arguably "outside the known universe". What makes your one any more likely to exist than any of the others?
RAZD writes:
Why do you assume that it doesn't?
I'm not assuming anything. I said that ALL the domains I listed were possibilities. I just don't see why you think your one is any more likely than any of the others.
Why do you?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 282 by RAZD, posted 11-15-2009 10:56 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

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