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Author Topic:   The Nature of Scientific Inquiry - Contrasted with Creation "Science"
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 14 of 265 (125730)
07-19-2004 4:21 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by Hangdawg13
07-19-2004 3:28 PM


Growth rates of coral indicate that no coral reef need be older than about 3800 years.
My wife is an invertebrate biology graduate student and she described that claim just now as "really stupid." So I guess it would be nice if you could substantiate that claim.
Its a fact that the coral ecosystem, by virtue of its mutualistic symbiosis with a certain algae, cannot live at depths beyond about 30m or so. (So the idea of coral surviving a massive flood immersion is refuted yet again.) Now, certainly, there are coral atolls thicker than 30m - going as deep as thousands of feet. The explanation for these deep reefs was realized by none other than Darwin himself - he realized that the coral began its growth in the shallow seas around a volcanic island. As the islands slowly sank beneath the sea, the rate of growth of the coral proceeded apace with the rate of the sinking, leaving thousands of feet of reef with the living coral still no deeper than 30m. (Animal Diversity, Second Edition; Hickman, Roberts, and Larson, 2000.)
There's no way that the existence of massive coral reefs, like Australia's Great Barrier Reef, can be coherent with a global flood. These reefs are evidence of slowly rising sea levels (or slowly sinking seafloors), not a global flood scenario.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by Hangdawg13, posted 07-19-2004 3:28 PM Hangdawg13 has replied

Replies to this message:
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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 23 of 265 (125856)
07-20-2004 2:21 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by Hangdawg13
07-20-2004 2:09 AM


However, I have been told dogmatically that it takes hundreds of millions of years for stalgtites and stalagmites to form, yet I know they can form in a matter of decades, so I am still skeptical of the dogmatic statements about ages of coral reefs.
Ok, but you're talking about two entirely different things. The rate of growth of these calcite formations is directly linked to the amount of water flowing through the area, so while it's true probably that most of the really spectacular formations took ages to form (judging from the rate of water flow over the formation), there's probably no reason why, under the right circumstances, you couldn't form one quickly. (Like icicles.)
Coral reefs are immeasurably more complicated than that. First off the coral polyp is itself several organisms combined in mutualistic symbiosis. Moreover the polyp is very fragile; even slight changes in temperature, oxygen content, light level, salinity, or slit density can spell doom for a coral reef.
So any condition you might propose that would "speed up" coral growth would probably actually destroy the reef. Moreover the active part of the reef has very strict limits about where it can grow; it can't live deeper than 30 meters and it can't grow any taller than the sea level at low tide. So any extreme rate of coral growth would kill the coral, again, unless the sea floor it was growing on was sinking at exactly the same prodigious rate.

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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 94 of 265 (128169)
07-27-2004 6:14 PM
Reply to: Message 93 by Robert Byers
07-27-2004 6:07 PM


I submitt this is never said and the opposite is said.
Ok, well, prove it. Show me where it says in any textbook being used in schools that "evolution is proven true beyond any doubt."
Your separating yourself (science) from society in how truth is concluded is not how society understands it.
True, but society is wrong.
I insist say evolution is the truth in the same way as the laws of gravity.
Right. The laws of gravity are as tentative as any other scientific theory. Hence, their total revision by Einstein in the 50's.
And the laws of gravity are teached as the truth.
Prove it.
How can you say they're being taught as "truth" when everyone knows Newton's "Laws" were replaced by Einstein's theory?

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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 160 of 265 (132226)
08-10-2004 1:08 AM
Reply to: Message 157 by jt
08-09-2004 11:57 PM


I meant creationism as anti-evolutionism; I am now unsure if I was using the word correctly.
You've reminded me of something that we evolutionists might lose sight of; it's possible to be a scientific anti-evolutionist.
It's just not easy. There's a vast weight of evidence to explain, no better theories to explain it, and a total lack of truly disconfirming evidence for evolution.
But it is possible to oppose evolution as a scientist. Such a person would not be a creationist. They would essentially have to hold the position "evolution is currently the most accurate theory that explains the history of life on Earth; however, I'm going to be the guy that comes up with the more accurate theory."
There's nothing unscientific about that; in fact that's a goal I think you'll find many of us are already behind.

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 Message 157 by jt, posted 08-09-2004 11:57 PM jt has replied

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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 198 of 265 (132640)
08-11-2004 1:37 AM
Reply to: Message 174 by jt
08-10-2004 8:27 PM


In that case, there could be no scientific explanation for the existence of life.
Nonsense. If God participates in the natural world, he becomes part of it, and amienable to scientific investigation. By definition, the supernatural cannot cause action in the natural world.
If you disagree, we need to pin down what "supernatural" means. I made a thread to do just that (in the Is It Science area) but so far nobody's participated. I'd love to have your input, though.
If that situation (creation happened) is possible
Presuming for a moment that it happened that way, how would you propose to prove it? There's no other way to substantiate the occurance of events except via the scientific method; all other methods are indistinguishable from falsehood.

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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 218 of 265 (134082)
08-15-2004 1:41 PM
Reply to: Message 217 by jt
08-14-2004 9:32 PM


By the way, are you still interested in the mythical bible thread?
I am. I'm working on my reply in that thread now.
If your answer is "yes" or "probabably," why do you think so?
Because of the scientific method, or, at least, a generalized version of the same methodological naturalism that underpins it - the existence of a real man named "Julius Caesar" is the simplest explanation for a series of unrelated documents that mention him by name.

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 Message 217 by jt, posted 08-14-2004 9:32 PM jt has replied

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 Message 219 by jt, posted 08-16-2004 6:56 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 234 of 265 (134657)
08-17-2004 11:02 AM
Reply to: Message 219 by jt
08-16-2004 6:56 PM


It is the simplest explanation for a whole slew of data which I have, as close to scientifically as possible (as well as I can), analyzed.
By definition, though, a hypothesis/conjecture that includes God isn't the simplest explanation. In fact including God is the textbook example of violating the principle of parsimony.
I guess I have to say that if you believe creationism is the "simplest" explanation, then you don't truly understand what "simplest" means, or what sort of untestable baggage "God" brings to the table.

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 Message 219 by jt, posted 08-16-2004 6:56 PM jt has replied

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 Message 238 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 2:45 AM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 242 of 265 (134942)
08-18-2004 12:14 PM
Reply to: Message 238 by jt
08-18-2004 2:45 AM


In that case I disagree with you definition.
Then look up "parsimony" and we'll discuss it.
If there are sentient fish in a lake, and one of them bites a hook and is pulled out of the lake, the remaining fish will be unable to find the reason within the lake.
But the world outside the lake is not fundamentally inaccssable to the them. After building a "dry-suit", they might easily discover a race of fishermen preying on their most gullible.
It does not matter what baggage an idea brings to the table, as long as it has less baggage than the other ideas.
And God brings the most baggage of all, by definition.

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 Message 238 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 2:45 AM jt has replied

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 Message 246 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 5:26 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 247 of 265 (135029)
08-18-2004 5:32 PM
Reply to: Message 246 by jt
08-18-2004 5:26 PM


Occam's razor is that "one must not needlessly multiply entities." "Entities" being a part of an explanation for something. Do you agree with that definition of it?
Yes, perfectly.
God, being an essentially infinite entity, is the largest possible violation of that principle of parsimony.
When you bring in God, which you never have to do, you've needlessly multiplied entites by infinity.
By which definition of what?
By definition of God. Any time you're bringing in an infinite entity to solve a finite problem, you've violated parsimony to the greatest degree possible.

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 Message 246 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 5:26 PM jt has replied

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 Message 249 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 6:23 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 250 of 265 (135045)
08-18-2004 6:27 PM
Reply to: Message 249 by jt
08-18-2004 6:23 PM


But multiplying entities is only a mistake if it is done needlessly, but bringing God into the picture, from my vantage point, is not needless.
It must be, however. Even if we grant for a moment that natural phenomenon cannot account for whatever you're expecting God to account for, why can't it be accounted for by additional natural laws? Or supernatural laws? Or even a lesser divine being? Or even the supreme God of another religion?
There's nothing in the least needful about the Judeo-Christian God. That's considerably surplus to requirements.
I believe that there is no naturalistic explanation, so I need a supernatural explanation and am not violating occam's razor to use one.
Well, for one thing, simply because there is no naturalistic explanation that you know of doesn't mean that a supernatural explanation is required. If you believe that no naturalistic explanation can ever explain it, that's a proof I'd like to see.
But, more importantly, there's perhaps an infinite number of simpler supernatural explanations as well. For instance, supernatural physics.

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 Message 249 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 6:23 PM jt has replied

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 Message 251 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 6:57 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 252 of 265 (135069)
08-18-2004 7:08 PM
Reply to: Message 251 by jt
08-18-2004 6:57 PM


Are you agreeing that under some circumstances the inclusion of a supernatural entity in an explanation is not in violation of occam's razor?
I'm not convinced that things can happen in the universe that couldn't be described by natural models.
I don't know that that's the case, however. So, potentially, the circumstances could exist, maybe. (Let's just say I'm "tentative." )
Out of all the explanations I have heard, all of them fall down except for one supernatural one, which I therefore tentatively hold.
Well, I think you're betting on the wrong horse. Even if all our current naturalistic models are insufficient or inaccurate (and I'm not at all granting this to be the case, because I'm convinced that evolution is as accurate a model as the evidence allows), the historical odds suggest that the accurate explanation is going to be the naturalistic model. It always has been, so far.
So betting that a supernatural explanation is going to turn out to be right isn't a good bet. So far nobody who's made that bet has won.
What exactly is supernatural physics?
Laws operating in a higher or superior order to the natural universe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 251 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 6:57 PM jt has replied

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 Message 253 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 7:50 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 254 of 265 (135088)
08-18-2004 7:53 PM
Reply to: Message 253 by jt
08-18-2004 7:50 PM


If something actually is supernatural, it is impossible to prove it is supernatural, so nobody wins that bet.
Well, that's hardly my problem. I'm not one of the ones going around stating that the supernatural exists and is the only way to explain certain things.
And here's the more important question - if a natural model is accurate and predictive, and we can never know if it's right or not (not being able to know if reality is "real" being a fundamental limitation of knowledge about the universe), does it matter?
In other words does it matter if the supernatural explanation is the "right" one if we can never know which is right, and the natural (but "wrong") explanation is just as predictive and useful, if not more so?

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 Message 253 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 7:50 PM jt has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 255 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 7:59 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 256 of 265 (135144)
08-19-2004 1:28 AM
Reply to: Message 255 by jt
08-18-2004 7:59 PM


The other explanation could be used to make predictions and stuff, but not believed.
Nobody does believe it. That's the essence of scientific tentativity.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 255 by jt, posted 08-18-2004 7:59 PM jt has replied

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 Message 257 by jt, posted 08-19-2004 11:06 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 258 of 265 (135653)
08-20-2004 11:55 AM
Reply to: Message 257 by jt
08-19-2004 11:06 PM


That doesn't change my point.
I think it does, though.
You're on a mission to prove that the theory of evolution is not "true", but nobody who supports the theory believes that it is "true", because truth cannot be known. For all we know, evolution merely describes the behavior not of real things, but of software in the Matrix or whatever. (Thank god for a movie that summed up Cartesian Doubt in one little word. )
In other words, you're overreaching in trying to know something you can't. The rest of us are going to stick with what we can know; which theory provides the most accurate and parsimonious explanation/predictions of data.
That's the theory of evolution. If you disagree, that's fine, but it'd be nice if you could support your position.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 257 by jt, posted 08-19-2004 11:06 PM jt has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 259 by jt, posted 08-20-2004 2:00 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 263 of 265 (135772)
08-20-2004 7:12 PM
Reply to: Message 259 by jt
08-20-2004 2:00 PM


I understand that according to scientific method, you cannot prove a theory/hypothesis, you can only falsify it. But I am not trying to prove a theory, I am trying to falsify one, so I don't see my mistake.
You understand correctly, and as long as that's your goal, that's fine.
But falsifiying evolution doesn't falsify all possible naturalistic explanations, nor does it prove creationism or the existence of God.
I'm not saying you think that, though.
I agree that it is possible that we know nothing of the real world, and that everything is an illusion, but I don't see how that applies here.
Where it applies is, if the origin of life is not naturalistic, then it's not knowable.
I just drafted an opening post for a thread involving genetics/cellular biology, and will be posting it soon-ish.
I did see that, and while it's not a thread I have the expertise to participate in, I do look forward to watching it unfold.

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