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Author Topic:   People are being booted out of their jobs at 50
Percy
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Posts: 22479
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.0


Message 61 of 81 (206784)
05-10-2005 1:25 PM


Recent Article in Fortune
The full article can be found at PERMANENT VACATION? 50 and Fired, but here are a few relevant excerpts:
[text=black]The Bureau of Labor Statistics survey of "displaced workers" (people who lost their jobs for any reason other than for cause) offers a concise litany of the ways middle-aged people get screwed. In the most recent survey, which covers 2001 through 2003, 55- to 64-year-old displaced workers were less likely to find new jobs than 25- to 54-year-olds (57% vs. 69%), and more likely to drop out of the workforce altogether (20% vs. 11%). Of the lucky castoffs who get rehired, older folks take a much bigger pay cut than the young’uns. A 2003 survey by DBM, an outplacement firm, found that only 32% of workers over 57 earned the same or higher pay at their new employer, versus 42% of 38-to-56-year-olds (and 60% of 21-to-37-year-olds).
...
Some employers assume that people north of 50 are marking time, or lacking in energy and up-to-date skills. In a survey of 428 HR managers by the Society for Human Resource Management, 53% said older workers "didn’t keep up with technology," and 28% characterized them as "less flexible."
...
But another reason is a profound, age-neutral economic transformation. These people had the bad luck to reach their peak earning years during an economic perfect storm. There was the recent recession and its aftermath, of course. Beyond that, there are some forces that have been building for a while, such as the bottom-line demands of Wall Street and the steady rise in health costs. Other pressures have developed more recentlyfor example, the proliferation of excellent, inexpensive engineers and systems analysts and whatnot in China and India. All those factors have hastened the demise of the safe, secure white-collar job.
...
The most devout adherents of the cult of youth are arguably in Silicon Valley, where older workers can be forgiven for feeling blacklisted. "When the [Internet] explosion happened, all these young people were drawn in who were willing to work for six or seven days a week for little pay and a lot of stock options," says Paul Kostek of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers-USA. "A lot of people who were older and had families said, ‘Do I want to take this risk?’" Tech veterans who sat out the bubble bacchanalia couldn’t regain positions even after sobriety returned, according to Kostek, a former president of the trade group and an engineer at Boeing. The bubble may have burst, but the industry’s belief in the virtues of inexperienced, inexhaustible, inexpensive youth remained. "Technology has taken the position that if you’ve got gray hair, you’re not up to speed," Kostek says. Think he’s exaggerating? A November survey of 983 IEEE-USA members, median age 49, found that 42% were unemployed.
...
The business logic is cold but inescapable: Peter Cappelli, a professor at the Wharton School, says the executive recruiters he talks to don’t want older people who have tenured compensationnot when they can hire younger, cheaper people. "It makes economic sense," he says. "It’s just hard on the employees. They were hugely valuable yesterday, because they performed valuable specific skills. And now they’re tossed on the general labor market, where they’re suddenly not worth much."
...
There aren’t enough people in the baby-bust cohort to replace all the aging boomers. From 2002 to 2012, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that the number of 35- to 44-year-olds in the labor force will decline by 3.8 million, while the number of available 55- to 64-year-olds will increase by 8.3 million. Ken Dychtwald, the demographer, figures that businesses must roughly double their number of older employees over the next decade. "The managers trying to move everybody in their 50s out the door are taking their companies off a demographic cliff," he says.
(This is a point Asgara raised - I hope it comes to pass. --Percy)
...
But a broader upsurge in demand for older workers is still several years away.
[/text]
--Percy

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22479
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.0


Message 62 of 81 (206788)
05-10-2005 1:38 PM
Reply to: Message 60 by paisano
05-10-2005 11:32 AM


paisano writes:
I think this overstates the case somewhat.
More of the most significant accomplishments in almost any field are performed by the young than by any of the other older age groups. This would not be true if people in their 50s were really the equal of people in their 20s.
If anything it understates it.
In some fields (medicine, law, PhD level science or even engineering) one is not even fully trained until the late 20's or early 30's. Granted, a 52-year old cardiologist would be less capable of the 30-hour rotations of residency than a 26-year old fresh medical school graduate. However, which would you choose to perform bypass surgery on yourself ?
You know what happens to doctors in private practice as they get older? Their practices dry up as their client list passes away and new patients feel more comfortable with younger doctors (not young doctors, just younger doctors). And you know what happens to doctors in group practices as they get older? If they find themselves out of a job, they have just as hard a time getting hired as older people in many other professions. Their original training becomes less and less relevant with the passage of time. Some keep up better than others, but most group practices would rather hire young hotshots just out of residency.
Granted that IT is a field which bears a closer resemblance to NFL football than the fields mentioned above. However, in terms of semantic knowledge, isn't there some carryover from older to newer programming languages in what constitutes good design and development practice ? Are you saying the ability to churn out code for hours on end is the sole or primary competitive factor ?
Of course there's carryover when changing areas. But to stick with your NFL analogy, who do you think will make a better running back: the aging veteran cornerback, or the young stud running back just out of college. Now add to this that the veteran would make twice as much as the rookie.
I don't understand how there can be any discussion on the matter. Age discrimination is real. And it's real because of the declining productivity that comes with age. Experience helps a great deal in making up the difference, but not forever.
--Percy
This message has been edited by Percy, 05-10-2005 01:39 PM

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Minnemooseus
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Posts: 3945
From: Duluth, Minnesota, U.S. (West end of Lake Superior)
Joined: 11-11-2001
Member Rating: 10.0


Message 63 of 81 (206796)
05-10-2005 2:28 PM


Oldsters overpaid?
I haven't been following this topic very closely, so I hope I'm not out of place here.
Available work force, both with essentially equal abilities and performance output:
1) 25 year old, getting $40,000 per year in wages and benifits.
2) 50 year old, getting $100,000 per year in wages and benifits.
While I do believe that company loyality should be rewarded by supporting seniority rights and a certain amount of higher pay, in the above job environment might not the 50 year old be in the situation of being "flat out overpaid"? Might it not be reasonable (albeit painful) for them to take a pay cut?
Of course, same considerations should be given to upper management. If a company can have a great CEO for $200,000 per year, why should they be paying a no better one $4,000,000 per year?
ContraMoose

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22479
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.0


Message 64 of 81 (206812)
05-10-2005 3:50 PM
Reply to: Message 63 by Minnemooseus
05-10-2005 2:28 PM


Re: Oldsters overpaid?
Moose writes:
Available work force, both with essentially equal abilities and performance output:
1) 25 year old, getting $40,000 per year in wages and benifits.
2) 50 year old, getting $100,000 per year in wages and benifits.
And in my industry the figures are much higher. The overhead above salary for things like benefits, facilities infrastructure, computing infrastructure, general services and so forth is at least $100,000/employee. This has a fortunate dilutive effect, since the actual cost comparison for a $40,000 employee versus a $100,000 employee is $140,000 versus $200,000.
By the way, I'm not complaining about age discrimination. I wish it didn't exist, I certainly wish I was younger, but it's a challenge I, and many others with me, have to face. We all slow down at different rates. While each individual is different, as a group the stereotype that older workers are less energetic, less flexible and less current in their skills is absolutely true. As time passes by we'll almost all eventually drop out of the work force, and along the way many of us will be forced to accept lower paying jobs, and this will be accompanied by declines in our living standards as governed by income and planning for retirement. It would be nice if companies continued to pay us what we used to be paid, but I don't see how they have any responsibility to do this.
--Percy

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Phat
Member
Posts: 18298
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.1


Message 65 of 81 (206935)
05-11-2005 4:47 AM
Reply to: Message 57 by nator
05-10-2005 8:14 AM


Schraff writes:
Now, there is the economic issue of companies wanting to pay people less, but they may often be pushing out very valuable workers who really do a better job overall than their younger replacements. Older workers have interpersonal and leadership skills and experience that young workers have yet to develop.
Many, many, many companies underestimate the detrimental long-term effect of high turnover on their service to customers, internal morale and willingness of their staff to care about the company, lack of cohesion and a sense of team/family among the staff, and new-worker training costs.
Methinks it all has to do with the rising costs of healthcare. When I was younger, I abused myself daily and woke refreshed the next day. Now I take care of myself and get plenty of sleep yet my Doctor bills are quite extravagent.
This message has been edited by Phatboy, 05-11-2005 11:01 AM

"It is as impossible for man to demonstrate the existence of God as it would be for even Sherlock Holmes to demonstrate the existence of Arthur Conan Doyle."
---
"Religion points to that area of human experience where in one way or another man comes upon mystery as a summons to pilgrimage."
---
"People are prepared for everything except for the fact that beyond the darkness of their blindness there is a great light. They are prepared to go on breaking their backs plowing the same old field until the cows come home without seeing, until they stub their toes on it, that there is a treasure buried in that field rich enough to buy Texas. They are prepared for a God who strikes hard bargains but not for a God who gives as much for an hour's work as for a day's. They are prepared for a mustard-seed kingdom of God no bigger than the eye of a newt but not for the great banyan it becomes with birds in its branches singing Mozart. They are prepared for the potluck supper at First Presbyterian but not for the marriage supper of the lamb".
Frederick Buechner

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nator
Member (Idle past 2190 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 66 of 81 (207004)
05-11-2005 8:43 AM
Reply to: Message 58 by Percy
05-10-2005 10:22 AM


quote:
I'm not going to research this, I don't have time now, but I don't think this is true. If the research says this is so then it's wrong.
You don't know what the research says, and even if I can present you with lots high quality evidence that contradicts what your personal opinion, based upon anecdotal evidence, is, you plan to refuse to accept it.
How very creationist of you, Percy. I am truly shocked.
quote:
Wait till you're 50 yourself and see if you still believe this. Decline in memory begins by age 40 and probably earlier.
I have noticed no decline in my memory, and I am 37.
Now, I could be tested and find out that I do have a decline in memory. Since in this discussion you seem to value anecdotal, personal evidence much more than controlled studies, I get to say that you are wrong based upon my own impression that I have not experienced any memory decline.
quote:
Most people become aware of this because they experience increased difficulty remembering names, and they note an increase in what is usually termed absentmindedness. The ability to learn new things is definitely less by age 40 than in your 20s, the cognitive ability to solve problems declines, and short term memory declines. It is common for people to make greater and greater use of lists and other types of reminders as they grow older. And this is all accompanied by a decrease in both physical and mental energy.
...and all of these things tend to be very, very heavily biased by confirmation bias.
I don't have time this morning to go through your whole list and present you with research that shows you where you are wrong, although I might not bother if you are just going to declare it all bogus.
Are you interested in looking at any of the research, or not?
quote:
The evidence for this is all around us. More of the most significant accomplishments in almost any field are performed by the young than by any of the other older age groups.
Remember, I am not talking about genious-level cognitive abilities, nor performance requiring peak physical condition.
I am talking about members of the general population that never make any big splash in any mental or physical arena.
quote:
This would not be true if people in their 50s were really the equal of people in their 20s. Older people are not just the same as younger people except they like to spend more time at home in front of the TV.
According to the research on basic cognitive abilities, there are no appreciable differences.
I guess you are just going to ignore that evidence?
quote:
I'll use myself for another example. As you might guess from this website, I like to program. When I was in my 20s I could program around the clock. When I was in my 30s I could program 14 hours a day. When I was in my 40s I could program 10 hours a day. Now in my 50s I can program about 8 hours a day. The limits are due to mental fatigue. Do you think it's leveled off? I don't.
What about this scenario involves "basic cognitive abilities?"

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 Message 58 by Percy, posted 05-10-2005 10:22 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 67 by Percy, posted 05-11-2005 10:11 AM nator has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22479
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.0


Message 67 of 81 (207057)
05-11-2005 10:11 AM
Reply to: Message 66 by nator
05-11-2005 8:43 AM


Hi Schraf,
I don't need to convince you the research you're describing is wrong. As the Rolling Stones said, time is on my side. Whether it's next year or a decade or two from now, the effects of aging, both physical and mental, will eventually accumulate to the point where they become apparent to you.
Keep in mind that this thread is about age discrimination. My position is that there is a valid justification for age discrimination, that in general people's ability to perform, both mentally and physically, declines gradually with age. If research into cognition versus age doesn't indicate this decline then either something is wrong with the research, or the decline in mental ability is due to some mental aspect that the research isn't measuring.
Perhaps it helps to more clearly characterize this decline in mental ability. It isn't related to a loss of mental skills. For example, I'm as good at math as I ever was. And I'm better at problem solving now in my areas of expertise because I can now draw upon years of experience.
But my ability to learn new things has declined. Young people are much more adept at moving into newly opened technical areas than older people. One area where this effect is clearly seen at a young age is language learning. The ability to learn new languages declines dramatically and early with age. I'm sure the research confirms this, and it is declines in this and related kinds of mental ability that I'm talking about.
--Percy

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nator
Member (Idle past 2190 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 68 of 81 (207257)
05-11-2005 10:57 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by Percy
05-11-2005 10:11 AM


quote:
I don't need to convince you the research you're describing is wrong. As the Rolling Stones said, time is on my side. Whether it's next year or a decade or two from now, the effects of aging, both physical and mental, will eventually accumulate to the point where they become apparent to you.
Well sure, eventually they will. Two decades from now I'll be almost 60.
But that's not what we're talking about, is it?
Unless I am mistaken, you are claiming that people at 40 are significantly impaired at basic cognitive abilities compared to 20 year olds. Things like short term memory, problem solving (didn't you say you were great at problem solving, though?), the ability to learn new things, etc.
The consensus of the scientific Cognitive Psychology community is that your assesment just isn't accurate.
The differences between groups are very small compared to variation within groups.
quote:
Keep in mind that this thread is about age discrimination. My position is that there is a valid justification for age discrimination, that in general people's ability to perform, both mentally and physically, declines gradually with age.
...but not at the age you are claiming.
There is very little difference between 40 year olds and 25 year olds on basic cognitive tasks. A statistically significant difference, yes, but a very small one.
Let me repeat; there is enormous variation within groups compared to between groups.
Here's a nice graph:
Here's what Zhimbo has to say on the matter:
Sorry for the poor quality - this is an enlargement from a scan of a copy...the red line is mine. Figure taken from Baltes & Lindenberger, 1997, Psychology and Aging, v12, 12-21.
The scale is "Intellectual Ability Composite"; it's based on 5
subscales (perceptual speed, reasoning, memory, knowledge, and fluency) from a total of 14 standardized tests. This is from a large ongoing study of aging; the study is an ongoing longitudinal study but this data is cross-sectional. All subscales show similar overall patterns, so the composite is formed from consistent subscales, and isn't some freakish average of wildly different curves.
This is, in my opinion, representative of the mainstream view of
cognitive aging. There is evidence for continual decline in nearly all cognitive measures throughout adulthood, but the decline is VERY
shallow when it starts and then the decline gradually accelerates.
Past 70 or so (which I've marked with a red line) is definitely well
into the decline, although there is certainly still large variation
even at this age.
For instance compare the left half of the graph with the right. From
the left half, one might be tempted to conclude that there's no
meaningful variation of intellectual ability with age at all.
Now, these aren't measures of on-the-job performance. I'm less
familiar with attempts at "real world" measures of performance and
competence, although I believe they're out there. My actual impression- long since removed from actual reading of the empirical literatue -is that lab tests of cognition exagerrate differences between age groups, as deficits can often be offset by experience and/or compensatory strategies.
quote:
If research into cognition versus age doesn't indicate this decline then either something is wrong with the research, or the decline in mental ability is due to some mental aspect that the research isn't measuring.
You are absolutely correct that the research could not taking something into account.
But couln't it be the case that your anecdotal, personal impressions of yourself and the people around you are maybe not 100% accurate and are probably pretty strongly influenced by confirmation bias, since I doubt you are rigorously following any sort of experimental protocol in your recording of the "subjects" in your "observations"?
I mean, what are you basing your claims on other than anecdotal evidence? There are all sorts of reasons why people in the 40-50 age group would begin to do poorly at work. For example, people who have smoked, eaten poorly and been sedentary their whole lives start to get chronic health problems, men often get divorced at this time in their lives and also tend to get depressed and isolated after divorce, etc.
All of these things have nothing to do with chronological age-related metal decline but may be correlated with that particular age group's work performance.
quote:
Perhaps it helps to more clearly characterize this decline in mental ability. It isn't related to a loss of mental skills. For example, I'm as good at math as I ever was. And I'm better at problem solving now in my areas of expertise because I can now draw upon years of experience.
OK.
quote:
But my ability to learn new things has declined. Young people are much more adept at moving into newly opened technical areas than older people.
But, why do you think you know this, really?
Is it just your general impression combined with your personal report, or is there some more reliable, more carefully gathered data to support your gut feeling?
I mean, how is this any different from someone saying, "Oh, Christian marriages are much more successful and less prone to divorce than any other kind.", and then when we show them research and statistics that shows that Christians actually have the same or higher divorce rate than other groups, they just say, "The research is wrong."?
quote:
One area where this effect is clearly seen at a young age is language learning. The ability to learn new languages declines dramatically and early with age. I'm sure the research confirms this, and it is declines in this and related kinds of mental ability that I'm talking about.
Yes, the research clearly indicates that after adolescence, it becomes much more difficult to learn new languages.
The problem you have with this claim is that language aquisition is pretty much unique WRT cognitive function.
We don't learn anything else the same cognitive way that we learn language. It's also not that learning languages is just "harder" past adolescence; the way a person's brain learns language past adolescence is fundamentally different.
There are no other abilities that are cognitively similar to language aquisition, so your reference to other abilities is not valid.

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 Message 67 by Percy, posted 05-11-2005 10:11 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 69 by jar, posted 05-11-2005 11:05 PM nator has replied
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jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 69 of 81 (207259)
05-11-2005 11:05 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by nator
05-11-2005 10:57 PM


Which is more important, reality, legality or the beliefs of the hiring agency?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

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nator
Member (Idle past 2190 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 70 of 81 (207271)
05-11-2005 11:41 PM
Reply to: Message 69 by jar
05-11-2005 11:05 PM


"Important" in what regard?

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 Message 69 by jar, posted 05-11-2005 11:05 PM jar has replied

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 Message 71 by jar, posted 05-11-2005 11:48 PM nator has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 71 of 81 (207272)
05-11-2005 11:48 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by nator
05-11-2005 11:41 PM


In the issue of working and getting hired as you age.
Do my actual capabilities matter as much as what those capabilities are perceived as being by the hiring authority?
Does legality actually play much if any of a role?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

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nator
Member (Idle past 2190 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 72 of 81 (207334)
05-12-2005 8:19 AM
Reply to: Message 71 by jar
05-11-2005 11:48 PM


quote:
Do my actual capabilities matter as much as what those capabilities are perceived as being by the hiring authority?
Well, sure. If you can actually do the job just as well or better than as someone 10 or 20 years younger than you, but the hiring authority erroniously believes that all people your age are in significant mental decline, that's not good.
Of course, remember that there are lots of other factors, such as physical and mental health, etc., which could significantly affect someone's hireability/work performance and are associated with someone's age group but are unrelated to age-related mental decline.
This is also true WRT the descision to get rid of an employee due to their getting older.
quote:
Does legality actually play much if any of a role?
I think that discrimination based upon false information is always something best avoided if at all possible.
Just as it is illegal to refuse to hire or fire women because "they all get PMS", it should be illegal to fire or not hire older workers because "they all are significantly behind younger workers in basic cognitive abilities."

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22479
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.0


Message 73 of 81 (207379)
05-12-2005 10:26 AM
Reply to: Message 68 by nator
05-11-2005 10:57 PM


Hi Schraf,
Like I said before, time is on my side. If you don't accept what I'm saying about the reality versus the research you're citing I only have to bide my time - you'll inevitably come over to my point of view. But I did want to correct one or two things.
Unless I am mistaken, you are claiming that people at 40 are significantly impaired at basic cognitive abilities compared to 20 year olds.
I'm not making any claims of amounts of decline by specific ages, and there are wide variations among individuals. Whenever the decline in mental ability begins, and I think that physiologically as measured by post-mortem inspection of the brain it begins to be apparent in at least some individuals in their 20's, it progresses gradually and inevitably. It affects learning more than anything else, but other aspects of mental function are also affected. Accumulated learning and experience are compensating factors. The impact of the declines on job performance varies widely according to required mental skills.
This means that you have to balance where you say this:
Schraf writes:
There is very little difference between 40 year olds and 25 year olds on basic cognitive tasks. A statistically significant difference, yes, but a very small one.
Against where Zhimbo says this:
Zhimbo writes:
Now, these aren't measures of on-the-job performance.
Research into health and nutrition and psychological issues faces difficult hurdles in reaching hard conclusions. And removing the subjective elements from considerations about obesity, for example, is much easier than for something with no physical component whatsoever like cognitive skills.
All I'm saying is that age discrimination is not without justification because the changes that come with age are very real. To once again use myself as an example, as a high techie I consider myself one of the lucky ones. Most of the friends I graduated with were long ago pushed over the side and are no longer in high tech, and for the most part they've had to accept much lower paying jobs. Somehow or other I've managed to stay on board, and I'd like to think that it's because I've been able to maintain a high performance level. But even so, I've noticed a marked decline in mental function as measured by my ability to do my job, and especially as measured against the ability of the young guns just out of school who continue to get better and better.
So getting back to your research, let's say I took whatever tests were given that yielded that graph you presented. I bet I'd peg the top level (right along with you and many other people here). It's probably a safe bet those tests can't measure anything about how well I might perform in my current job. And I'm sure the same is true about many other job categories.
If I were a plumber or an electrician I would probably be claiming I haven't suffered any mental decline at all, because I do these things better now than I ever did, and I certainly don't notice any decline in any other aspect of my life outside my job. In fact, outside of my job I feel smarter than ever before. But if things had worked out differently and I ended up in a field not so mentally demanding such that I never noticed any decline, that would not mean it wasn't there. The challenge for the researchers is to find ways to objectively measure what we already know to be true.
--Percy

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 Message 68 by nator, posted 05-11-2005 10:57 PM nator has replied

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nator
Member (Idle past 2190 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 74 of 81 (207405)
05-12-2005 11:28 AM
Reply to: Message 73 by Percy
05-12-2005 10:26 AM


quote:
The challenge for the researchers is to find ways to objectively measure what we already know to be true.
That's it.
The world is going to end.
Percy is a Creationist.

This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 75 of 81 (207904)
05-13-2005 9:20 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by nator
05-11-2005 10:57 PM


nice graph
I can't help noticing that the 'smartest' 85 year olds are about as smart as the 'dumbest' 25 year olds ... but I also note that is NOT saying much for the "smarts" department
another thing that could be skewing your graph is that the 'dumbest' eliminate themselves from the later groups (and from the reproduction pool) in some rather darwineskian ways

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

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