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Author Topic:   Land Mammal to Whale transition: fossils Part II
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 252 of 288 (234279)
08-17-2005 10:06 PM
Reply to: Message 251 by randman
08-17-2005 9:15 PM


misconceptions abound.
Based on my numbers here, it looks like we should expect fossils of every major transition. Remember that one fossil makes that 100% for that species.
You expect a single organism to be an intermediate transition between two species?

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 255 of 288 (234285)
08-17-2005 10:13 PM
Reply to: Message 253 by MangyTiger
08-17-2005 10:06 PM


Re: 100,000,000 species?
Then, if we could ballpark an approximate average population size for each of those species, multiply the two together and divide the total number of known fossils by that product we would have the beginning of a idea of the rate of (found) fossils.
Just for fun let's assume that the population size is the same order of magnetude as the number of fossils found to date. That makes the rate of fossilization 1 in 100,000,000.
(Ignoring the bias of fossils towards species that lived in the specific places where we are finding fossils ...)

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

This message is a reply to:
 Message 253 by MangyTiger, posted 08-17-2005 10:06 PM MangyTiger has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 256 by NosyNed, posted 08-17-2005 10:31 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 259 of 288 (234683)
08-18-2005 9:23 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by randman
08-09-2005 6:11 PM


Re: replying to fossilzation process here
Just a note:
randman, msg 15, re the spectrum analogy writes:
1. The spectrum is generated by a single quanta of light, correct, and the frequencies do not evolve into another, but the light photon instantly includes all frequencies at once, and is thus the antithesis of evolution.
Is false.
FROM: Photons as light quanta (click)
A photon is a quantum of light. Our picture of light up to this point has been that of a wave, and wave-like characteristics are indeed clearly demonstrated by interference and diffraction effects. However, light is absorbed and emitted one photon at a time. The energy of a photon is related to the frequency of the light wave by Planck's constant:
E = hf
So each quanta has a specific frequency.
This is not to say that the analogy is a good one (there are problems with what represents generations and interelated species of frequencies).
But in order to see the whole spectrum you need to have photons with different energy for the different frequencies.
The reason that the analogy is poor is not related to what randman claimed in any way.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

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Replies to this message:
 Message 260 by Yaro, posted 08-18-2005 10:57 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 264 of 288 (234738)
08-19-2005 7:31 AM
Reply to: Message 256 by NosyNed
08-17-2005 10:31 PM


Re: 100,000,000 species?
nosyned writes:
Have you read over the last day or so of this thread?
At the time of this response I had read most, but not all, of the thread. I have now done that.
I see no difference to what I have now read and my impression of the trend on this thread at the time of this post: the fossil evidence is rare, the claim that there should be more fossils of transitionals is fraught with misconceptions and erroneous thinking.
The rate of change in species is not constant, but depends on the degree of saturation of the ecosystem as well as the ability of organisms to fit different niches.
I used to have a link (now broken) of an almost complete (like 98%) record of the evolution of forams for over 65 million years.
A section I have saved from the original site is:
Counting both living and extinct animals, about 330 species of planktonic forams have been classified so far, Arnold said. After thorough examinations of marine sediments collected from around the world, micropaleontologists now suspect these are just about all the free-floating forams that ever existed.
By being so small, the fossil shells escaped nature's grinding and crushing forces, which over the eons have in fact destroyed most of the evidence of life on Earth. The extraordinary condition of the shells permits Parker and Arnold to study in detail not only how a whole species developed, but how individuals physiologically developed from birth to adulthood.
"The forams may not be representative of all organisms, but at least in this group we can actually see evolution happening. We can see transitions from one species to another," Parker said.
"We've literally seen hundreds of speciation events," Arnold added. "This allows us to check for patterns, to determine what exactly is going on. We can quickly tell whether something is a recurring phenomenon -- a pattern -- or whether it's just an anomaly.
Adherents of Darwin's theory of gradualism, in which new species slowly branch off from original stock, should be delighted by what the FSU researchers have found. The foram record clearly reveals a robust, highly branched evolutionary tree, complete with Darwin's predicted "dead ends" -- varieties that lead nowhere -- and a profusion of variability in sizes and body shapes. Moreover, transitional forms between species are readily apparent, making it relatively easy to track ancestor species to their descendants.
Note two things:
One of these scientists was a grad student of Gould, and he showed the information to SJG, who then commented that it did look like gradualistic evolution (and not punk-eek) in this species (does not refute it occuring in other species).
The other is that (information not in the above quote) at the 65mya extinction event there was also a massive die-off of the forams, and subsequent rapid speciation diversity until saturation was again achieved at which point it slowed down to the steady state of speciation.
This is randmans biggest problem: the initial evolution into the ocean environment would be similar in nature to the post-extinction unsaturated environment, while extant whales are living in a saturated environment, and comparing them is fraught with several logical errors.
ps -- if anyone can provide an updated link to the work by Parker and Arnold it would be appreciated.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

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 Message 256 by NosyNed, posted 08-17-2005 10:31 PM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 268 by randman, posted 08-19-2005 11:36 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 274 of 288 (234917)
08-19-2005 6:59 PM
Reply to: Message 268 by randman
08-19-2005 11:36 AM


forams
That's an explanation for why there could be rapid evolution followed by much slower evolution
Concession #1, thanks.
but that's not an explanation for why we don't see the fossils.
It would be interesting to go back to Arnold and Parker and see if they have data on the numbers of each species and be able to compare the ones during the rapid diversity period with the others in the more static\steady development. Then you could look at the ratio of total members in a short-lived (as a species) small number transitional group (SST) with those in a long-lived (as a species) large number mature population group (LLM), and then you could begin to get an idea of an approximation of an estimate of the relative possibility of finding a fossil from an SST population compared to a LLM population. Without that you don't have any reason to expect finding any fossils from an SST group, because we don't even have any reason to expect finding any fossils from a specific LLM group (due to the very small proportion of specimens that become fossils).(1)
But there is some additional inferences that can be made from the data presented: 330 different species in over 65 million years, with "just about all the free-floating forams that ever existed" being represented in a record that "clearly reveals a robust, highly branched evolutionary tree, complete with Darwin's predicted 'dead ends' -- varieties that lead nowhere -- and a profusion of variability in sizes and body shapes" and this clearly refutes your claim that:
randman, msg 262 writes:
We see species that must have dozens if not hundreds or thousands of species left out of the evolutionary sequence, and then a whole new species way, way down the line.
Because it is a longer period than the one you were concerned with and there were only 330 total found. While I would not presume to say that whales must also have only 330 species, you have not shown any conditions that would require a massive increase in a shorter length of time and in the same environment.
Furthermore note that the Cretaceous Extinction Event 65 mya affected:
Cretaceous Period End (click)
About 60-80 percent of all species, including dinosaurs, marine reptiles, and flying reptiles go extinct
The large marine dinosaurs went extinct, leaving the {eco-nitch\opportunity} for large marine organisms (other than sharks and fishes) open for newcomers. This continued until the whale ancestors moved in and became the first species able to expand to fill this nitch. One could say that it is surprising that it didn't happen sooner (It is also possible that it did happen sooner and they just haven't been found yet).
Enjoy.
(1) paragraph edited. Recovered original wording after rebooting from lock-up.
This message has been edited by RAZD, 08*19*2005 09:05 PM

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

This message is a reply to:
 Message 268 by randman, posted 08-19-2005 11:36 AM randman has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 276 of 288 (234946)
08-19-2005 9:00 PM
Reply to: Message 275 by nwr
08-19-2005 8:39 PM


Re: only 2 issues
I can't find a single instance where an already large branch managed to transform itself into a different branch
Perhaps you need to get out more ...
As I recall there are trees (Pacific NW esp) that have fallen and branches become trees in their own right (what -- macro branching???). What was a branch with a horizontal orientation becomes a tree with a vertical orientation and grows new branches going in directions that would not happen on the original branch (horz orientation). Over time the original {branch} character is buried in the new {tree} character to an unrecognizable extent.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

This message is a reply to:
 Message 275 by nwr, posted 08-19-2005 8:39 PM nwr has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 277 of 288 (234948)
08-19-2005 9:26 PM
Reply to: Message 260 by Yaro
08-18-2005 10:57 PM


Re: Enough With the Spectrum thing Already.
yaro writes:
I simply meant that the changes between species would look something like the spectrum.
And it does, especially with quanta of light (photons) of different energies being like individuals in the course of evolution. But that's as far as this analogy can go.
I don't give a hoot about the physics of the thing eaither, so leave your quanta and electromagnetism at the door.
So you used as an analogy something you don't (fully) understand? Evolution is quatasized in individuals of species.
Man, way to overanalize an analogy.
I'm sorry people have felt it necissary to beat it to death.
Careful, I'm a card carrying equine necro-sadist ...
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
{{{Buddha walks off laughing with joy}}}

This message is a reply to:
 Message 260 by Yaro, posted 08-18-2005 10:57 PM Yaro has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 279 of 288 (257386)
11-06-2005 10:58 PM


Fossil Record Completeness
Don't know where else to put this, but it does tie in to randmans rants on the {existence\non-existence} of fossils in the record ...
Reasons for lack of fossils, from: How Complete Is The Fossil Record? (click)
Any creature which lives in an erosion area is extremely unlikely to get buried, so we don't find fossils of mountain goats. Any creature which lives in a deposition area can easily be buried, and it may leave a fossil, particularly if the area is anoxic. Unless, of course, it is a jellyfish, with no hard parts.
Next, there's the issue of scavengers and rot. Forests have both, plus forests tend to have acidic soil. So, most of our fossils of forest dwellers are because they foolishly tried to ford a raging river. ... Foxes and squirrels don't migrate. So, the fossil record of forest dwellers is absolutely terrible, and highly biased towards big herd animals.
You may have heard that volcanic ash can bury creatures. That does happen, near the eruption site, but acid rain from the eruption dissolves bones over an even wider area. The meteorite that killed the dinosaurs caused a worldwide acid rain, so there is a worldwide foot-thick rock layer with no fossils.
... we coined the word Dinosaur 60 years before we found the first T. Rex. By now we have 22 fairly complete skeletons, but only one single footprint. We only have one complete stegosaur and no complete Triceratops. It was estimated in 1998 that half of all known dinosaur species were found in the preceding 20 years. If our luck holds, the species count will eventually double again. Three quarters of the known Cretaceous bird species were discovered in the 1990's. Basically, this was possible because the situation was terrible, and it still is. Apparently 99% of extinct dinosaur and bird species left no fossils whatsoever.
It helps if you don't mind studying plankton or fish or whales. It helps if you want to learn whatever the record teaches, rather than learn a completely detailed history. And in that case, then the fossil record can be superb. A huge broad picture is clear, and hundreds of specific transitions are there to see.
"specific transitions" links to
Smooth Change in the Fossil Record
in the original article.
This has the article on the foraminifera transitions that I was looking for a while ago (old link broken), so this is a good find for me .
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.

Replies to this message:
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 Message 283 by randman, posted 12-29-2005 12:58 PM RAZD has not replied

  
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