hurricanes are predictable disasters
They are predictable in the sense that we know ahead of time if one is coming, but they are very unpredictable in regards to the damage they do. There have been hurricanes that did much less damage than we thought they would, and then there are other storms that did much more.
Here's an example. A few years ago a little tropical storm called Allison moved into Houston. It was nothing--a little rain and wind. It moved through and headed North and then stopped. By now it was not even a tropical storm any more--just a "remnant."
Then it came back, over night. Nobody paid much attention. 20 inches of rain, 50,000 homes and businesses flooded, 25 dead. Over a billion dollars of damage.
I've had people tell me--who don't live in places where there are tropical storms--that hurricanes were "overrated." I guess they won't be saying that anymore.