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Author Topic:   where was the transition within fossil record?? [Stalled: randman]
IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 126 of 304 (253457)
10-20-2005 3:44 PM
Reply to: Message 108 by randman
10-20-2005 12:23 PM


About Rarity
I'd like to make a point about the rarity of fossils, if I may.
Any number of things can destroy a potential fossil, from disturbance while its still a corpse to geological influences like folding and faulting. As well as that, it has to eventually be brought to the surface in some way or otherwise come into contact with humans. On top of that, someone has to want to dig it out and spend a while examining it and identifying it.
So, identified, good quality fossils are rare.
Let's say for arguments sake that the chance of a fossil making it all the way to the Natural History Museum is one in a million.
Now, this is considered to be rare. That chance might change depending on the factors above - some creatures fossilise well, some don't, i.e. there are only 6 verified Archaeopteryx fossils in the world (as far as I know), but brachipods are literally ten a penny because they fossilise so well. The figure of one in a million is an average, lets say, of all the creatures that have ever been fossilised.
So why do we have so many fossils?
Well, how many million billion animals are alive in the world today? You'll have to multiply that by (the number of years life has existed on earth that can be fossilised)/(the longest known generation length in years of any living creature on earth) - this will give you a minimum ballpark figure for the number of animals that have existed, in total, over the course of the earth's history that could have become fossilised.
In the face of that, the rarity of fossilisation becomes trivial - there are simply so many animals than can become fossilised that actually finding fossils, period, is pretty easy. What's rare is finding a fossil of a particular species that lived in this timeframe in this particular area. In most cases you can just forget it - the factors involved are against you. For example, there are practically no dinosaur fossils in Ireland - because there's practically no Mesozoic rock in Ireland. So information about what dinosaurs lived in Ireland is largely unavailable, and finding a dinosaur fossil here is a rare event.
So let's look at the record. You want the "specific numbers and frequency of fossils discovered relative to what we should expect based on transitional forms that must have occurred."
Let's say a transitional form has been predicted by the ToE to occur between fossil A and fossil B that has not been found yet (fossils found = 0). There could easily be more than one, but let's keep it simple. It must have occurred, therefore we want to examine the frequency and number of fossils we expect to find. We can do this by having some idea of the total population of A, B, or the transitional.
If you have any idea how to get that information, I'd be happy to hear it. As it stands we have no other information about life in prehistoric times other than the fossil record.
(I will grant that I might be misunderstanding what exactly you're looking for, please correct me if I have.)
Now, let's leave out the ToE for a moment.
quote:
For example, just because fossilization is rare for individual members, as many have pointed out here, does not mean fossilization is rare for species as a whole. You and the other evos continually ignore this, over and over again.
We don't ignore this - but perhaps I can clarify. We cannot know if fossilisation is rare for a species as a whole because we have no way of finding out any prehistoric species' total population. The only evidence we have of them is fossils, ergo we must base our speculation on the frequency of fossilisation in that species on the number of fossils we find of that species. Yes, we may be wrong, but we have no way of knowing.
quote:
Pointing out that fossilization is rare for individual members is not germane at all to the discussion. We are not talking about whether fossilization is rare for individuals, but for species as a whole, and no evo here has ever given any scientific evidence to back up their claim for fossil rarity for species as a whole.
That's because the evidence you ask for does not exist. There is no reliable way of knowing, other than looking at the number of fossils found.
We can speculate on enviromental conditions, and other factors influencing the likelyhood of fossilisation of a member of a particular species, but it is just that - speculation. We do not know enough about the prehistoric world to draw many solid conclusions, and certainly not enough to get some actual figures.
quote:
My evidence that fossilization for species is not that rare is the simple fact some species or families of species, we see an abundance of fossils for in many different places in the world. Certainly, you are not arguing that for those species or families of species that fossilization is "rare" because their numbers indicate otherwise, that they are common.
Like I said, some species fossilise readily, like brachiopods. Some are in ideal environmental conditions. Some have not been disturbed geologically. See my explanation of rarity above - it is a relative term. Certainly you are correct that for some species, fossilisation does not appear to be rare - but we have no way of knowing without population data.
For example, brachiopods are quite common fossils. But for all we know brachiopods were as numerous as insects, and only a small handful fossilised. Conversely, they could have been quite rare but a very high percentage of them fossilised.
quote:
Why is asking for evidence of fossil rarity PER SPECIES (not individual members) something you consider a near bannable offense?
Because there is no hard evidence. It's not something we can calculate with any degree of accuracy, because it requires population data we don't have and can't get to the best of my knowledge.
I feel that perhaps this was not explained adequately by others in this thread, and I hope it's useful to you - as always I am open to corrections from either side if I've made a mistake.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 108 by randman, posted 10-20-2005 12:23 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 131 by robinrohan, posted 10-20-2005 4:04 PM IrishRockhound has not replied
 Message 134 by randman, posted 10-20-2005 4:12 PM IrishRockhound has replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 137 of 304 (253477)
10-20-2005 5:01 PM
Reply to: Message 134 by randman
10-20-2005 4:12 PM


Re: About Rarity
quote:
I disagree. We can determine, for example with whales, which whale species or families of species since some whale "species" do interbreed and produce fertile offspring, and then look at the fossil record, going back in time, and see how they are represented. The reading I have done indicates every whale family is well-represented in the fossil record going back millions of years.
So you are saying that based on population data gathered for present day species, we can try to determine population data for that species in prehistoric times?
quote:
So for that time-frame, we can estimate whether whale fossilization is "rare" or how "rare" it is. Since all whale families are well-represented, it can just as easily be said, in context, that whale fossils and whale fossilization is common. Terms like "rare" and "common" by themselves are meaningless unless placed into a specific context.
Hmm, I think that is indeed what you mean. Well, let's examine the process.
We know whales are well represented across the fossil record. We also have the modern species to use as a reference for population values.
What influences the whale population today? Predation, environment, food sources, human activity. Well, human activity wasn't around back then, so we have to remove that factor from our calculations - is that possible without introducing an unacceptable margin of error?
Going back in time, we are forced to make a number of assumptions about environment, predation, and food sources for any one area. The nature of fossilisation is a massive drawback, as we have no organic tissue to work with. Again, we are introducing a high margin of error, this time because our information is very limited.
We can take the modern whale population and examine the effects of predation, food sources and environment - but this is a specific timeframe that we have direct access to. If there is a question of the magnitude of the effect of predation on whales, say, we have the tools to go out and settle that question. For a prehistoric timeframe this is not possible - we cannot quantify the percentage of whales killed by mosasaurs, for example, or of the availability of food sources. Again we return to the number of fossils preserved as a bare indication of population at the time.
In the end there are too many variables and too high a margin of error introduced. The final question we should ask here is whether this study is worth doing, considering that it cannot be used for the vast majority of fossilised animals and the final result is likely to be very inaccurate.
quote:
That's the type of analysis evos should make BEFORE THEY MAKE THEIR CLAIMS instead of making unsupported claims and demanding they be disproved.
The answer to the question is no, I believe, hence the analysis has not been done by evolutionists. I would like to point out also that evolutionsists have not demanded that their claims be disproved; as we all know, proving a negative is not possible in the realm of science.
It's all very well to ask scientists to perform an analysis you feel is important - however, your language is dismissive and rude, and your assertion of "unsupported claims" blithely handwaves away the years that those same scientists have spent in reseach and hard work. Rest assured that those "claims" are in fact well-supported, and I would challenge you to show that they have no support or retract your comment. In summary, a layman demanding anything of a scientist while belittling their work is not likely to get their cooperation.
FYI, if you would like to take up that challenge I will start a new thread to avoid off topic discussions in this one. I'm logging off for the night in the meantime.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 134 by randman, posted 10-20-2005 4:12 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 144 by randman, posted 10-20-2005 8:10 PM IrishRockhound has replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 149 of 304 (253616)
10-21-2005 7:28 AM
Reply to: Message 144 by randman
10-20-2005 8:10 PM


Re: About Rarity
quote:
Rock Hound, don't be silly here. Of course, there are variables, but what we are after is just trying to see if it is reasonable to expect 99% of all whale ancestors not to leave any fossils, but for whales to be well-represented. Many of the variables average out over time and so despite being a range and estimate, it would be very useful to do such an analysis.
I note that you have ignored my point concerning your use of language. I have not called you "silly" or otherwise referred to your character; this being a reasoned discussion I will argue the point, not the person, and I request that you do the same.
You want "to see if it is reasonable to expect 99% of all whale ancestors not to leave any fossils, but for whales to be well-represented". I will repeat myself; we cannot know this with any degree of certainty, therefore why waste time and energy trying? Why would a highly inaccurate guess about the frequency of fossilisation be useful?
I would point out as well - our only source of knowledge regarding the prehistoric world is through the fossils of the creatures and the rock they are found in. Assuming "the variables average out" considering how little we know about those variables is the height of bad science.
quote:
A quick study, in fact, indicates that because whales are so well-represented that it is unreasonable to think there was a massive process of evolution leaving relatively no fossils. Predation is not that significant of a factor.
A few points here - this is bare assertation without giving a reference to the study in question. In fact, without this reference it sounds very much like you are arguing from incredulity. Also, seeing as we know nothing whatsoever about the effects of predation on prehistoric whales (to the best of my knowledge as a geologist), saying "predation is not that significant of a factor" is nothing but another bare assertation.
In summary, science does not deal in the kind of wild estimates you are suggesting, unless you can post something that would show they are not. I refer you to my previous post:
"In the end there are too many variables and too high a margin of error introduced. The final question we should ask here is whether this study is worth doing, considering that it cannot be used for the vast majority of fossilised animals and the final result is likely to be very inaccurate."
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 144 by randman, posted 10-20-2005 8:10 PM randman has not replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 169 of 304 (253807)
10-21-2005 5:43 PM
Reply to: Message 157 by randman
10-21-2005 4:08 PM


quote:
Sure, cladistics and stratigraphical studies are PART OF a comprehensive analysis, but they do nothing to explain the absence of the vast majority of transitional forms. You are completely ignoring the debate here and trying to bring up a separate issue altogether.
You are ignoring my points regarding fossil rarity and the value of attempting to determine fossilisation frequency, despite the fact that you brought these issues up first.
quote:
I went on to explain and will do so again, repeating my answers and contrary to your false accusations, not dodging your questions, that cladistics do nothing as far as speaking of the method of evolution or creation, nada.
You have apparently dodged the questions I have put to you, to whit: why produce a study on fossilisation frequency despite its seeming inaccuracy and uselessness.
quote:
The simple fact is many evolutionary sequences, such as the land mammal to whale theoritical evolution, we do not see the vast majority of whale traits emerging. The fossil record does not show that.
The fossil record is limited to skeletal remains, therefore we do not expect to see the majority of whale traits emerging - because no soft tissue is preserved. The fact of this is irrelevent to the discussion, unless you wish to clarify.
quote:
For example, if you were to look at the features that are supposedly whale-like in Pakicetus, that warranted some evos calling the fully land mammal, Pakicetus a cetacean or whale, what you find is that there were some similarities in teeth and the beginning of an expanded aural cavity.
Again, see my earlier point - if this is an early whale ancestor, and no soft tissue features are preserved, exactly what are we supposed to see?
quote:
On that basis, Pakicetus is said to be a whale ancestor.
Is that reasonable? Unless you are predisposed to accept Pakicetus as a whale ancestor, it does not seem reasonable to me. Other creatures also have the same similar teeth pattern, which could just as easily have been created of convergently evolved that way. Same goes for the increased cranial cavity. It is thought to be a precursor to whale skulls, but hey, it could just as easily not be.
You seem to suggest that scientists are, as we say in Ireland "pulling guesses out of their arse". On the contrary, clear and specific research has been done on Pakicetus.
From here:
The skull of Pakicetus was all that was known until 2001, but much of the dentition and braincase were preserved and displayed the mixture of apomorphic and plesiomorphic characters within this taxon. The sagittal crest is lamboidal, and high, as in Upper Eocene archaeocetes. The auditory bulla is massive, and is formed exclusively of the ectotympanic, as in other whales. Nevertheless, the auditory bullae are not isolated by sinus systems in Pakicetus but rather communicate with the squamosal, basiocciptial, and paroccipital. In modern whales, the auditory bullae articulate only with the periotic. There is a marked fossa for the tensor tympanii, strongly suggesting that Pakicetus retained a functional tympanic membrane. The middle ear does not appear to be vascularized, as in other whales. The molars are distinctly similar to those of mesonychids, including the morphology hypoconids, identical to those of mesonychids.
The Pakicetus material was recovered in association with unambiguously terrestrial organisms, and thus this animal spent at least some portion of its life on land. Gingerich et al. (1983) speculated that Pakicetus was an amphibious predator, hunting in the water and returning to rest on land. The degree to which Pakicetus was capable of swimming and diving is not entirely discernible. The lack of requisite modifications of the middle ear and auditory bullae in Pakicetus strongly suggest that it was not capable of any significant diving activity.
Identifying Pakicetus as a transitional and a whale ancestor was not something done overnight, nor was it a mere guess based on superficial similarities.
quote:
The evidence is so scant as to be farcical, but with a straight face such creatures are presented as transitional.
The extent of your hand-waving away the peer-reviewed research of so many palaeontologists on the basis of your incredulity is farcical, amounting to wilful ignorance.
quote:
Well, what about the other whale features? Why don't we see them evolving or present in semi-aquatic mammals? Evos like to draw pics trying to create similarities, but basically the vast majority of whale features just appear fully formed and suddenly in the fossil record.
And again, another bare assertation with no reference. I must point out that the onus is on you to support your statements; we are not in the business of doing your work for you.
quote:
But let's say cladistic studies indicate a strong connection for a nested heirarchy.
That still does nothing to prove ToE. It could just as easily be strong evidence of Intelligent Design, or directed evolution by an Intelligent Agent.
That's the point you fail to grasp. Your evidence or comprehensive analysis supports ID perhaps more so than ToE.
The bold emphasis is mine. Yet again, you present us with unsupported statements.
You are the one claiming it may support ID. You are the one saying the evidence shows something other than the currently accepted view. Therefore the onus is on you to present your ideas, and show us how the evidence fits ID better than the ToE. Recall that I said science is not in the business of proving a negative; we will not try to disprove your hypothesis. You must either support what you say or accept that it will be disregarded.
And repeating yourself is not considered a valid form of support.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 157 by randman, posted 10-21-2005 4:08 PM randman has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 171 by Parasomnium, posted 10-21-2005 5:57 PM IrishRockhound has replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 175 of 304 (253952)
10-22-2005 5:41 AM
Reply to: Message 171 by Parasomnium
10-21-2005 5:57 PM


Re: Mindset
Today, because of the triumph of reason and logic over religiously-derived nonsensical ideas, we no longer burn witches at the stake. Maybe I'm being naive, but I still have some hope that today's equivalent, creationism, can be overcome by reason and logic too.
As it stands my points and those of others in this thread have gone unchallenged so far. This does not reflect well on creationism; that in order to avoid losing a debate, it simply stops participating.
Randman, I hope this is not the case?

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 171 by Parasomnium, posted 10-21-2005 5:57 PM Parasomnium has not replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 190 of 304 (254132)
10-23-2005 6:36 AM
Reply to: Message 188 by randman
10-23-2005 12:56 AM


Whatever happened to manners?
Randman, I do not recall you ever stating that you did not accept the 6000 year figure in this thread. Seeing as you debate with the apparent intention of overthrowing the ToE, it is not unreasonable for someone to assume that you may accept that figure, like so many other creationists.
It would be so easy for you to simply point out that this was not the case, and clarify your position for the benefit of all involved here. Instead you resort to being condescending and rude.
quote:
In typical fashion, you either ignore or did not or cannot comprehend criticism of ToE, but instead are responding to your preconceived notions of what you think such criticism is.
How blithely you throw around accusations of people ignoring your posts, when I have already asked for a response from you and have apparently been ignored.
I also find your attitude - that someone trying to debate with you cannot comprehend your criticism, rather than accept that you may in fact be wrong - to be incredibly insulting. If you have to resort to snide comments in your responses, you are failing in this discussion.
Where are your manners, Randman?

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 188 by randman, posted 10-23-2005 12:56 AM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 205 by randman, posted 10-23-2005 4:56 PM IrishRockhound has replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 243 of 304 (254342)
10-23-2005 9:52 PM
Reply to: Message 205 by randman
10-23-2005 4:56 PM


Re: Whatever happened to manners?
quote:
It's hard to maintain manners in such blatant misrepresentation and obfuscation by evos. Sorry if I responded too much in kind, but anyone that has read my posts enough to feel they can post an intelligent reply and make the kind of judgements you made would be aware that I did not claim a 6000 year old earth.
I have read your posts, and I concluded that it was a reasonable assuption on the part of the evolutionists here given that you are arguing the creationist angle, and did not state openly that you do not accept a 6000 year old earth - this being the most common creationist stance.
Please note as well that I made no judgements regarding your stance. So far, I have argued only what you have posted, and your comments in that respect do not apply to me.
You are not being misrepresented. You had only to correct them on a single faulty assuption; and there is no obfuscation at work here. If anything, you are the one clouding the discussion at hand by dragging it away from the points raised by mark24 and I which are still being ignored. I also feel that the volume of snide comments has been greater on your part than on others - however, I am annoyed at the rising level of rudeness being displayed by the evolutionists side. I expect all involved here to keep to a high standard of polite behaviour - no exceptions.
quote:
Frankly, this is one of the biggest problems with evos. Educated people that reject ToE understand it often far more than evos themselves, but evos generally have no idea what the basis of their critics are and so continually argue with straw men of their own creation.
You continually accuse evolutionists of ignorance, yet ignore or evade the questions and points put to you by them? So far, the evolutionists you have so derided have posted examples and links to support their points, and you have not. You have accused them of propaganda, when all you have done is spout creationist dogma. You have demonstrated by your statements, especially this one "Whatever the label and whatever propaganda you guys want to spout, there is clearly no spectrum of life, but discrete groups separated one from another. That's why a cat and dog cannot mate for example" that you do not understand earth history or the core of the ToE - and you are not willing to educate yourself, as despite attempted corrections (with support I might add) you still repeat the same incorrect assertations.
You glibly speak of the rarity of fossils here - "All of the elaborate thinking, imagination and twisted logic just cannot get around the fact that if evolution occurred as you guys claim, we would see an abundance of fossils for the process, and we don't. We see a statistically neglible amount of fossils that could possibly, with a lot of imagination and faith in ToE, be considered transitional" without having addressed my points regarding the very same topic in one of my previous posts.
You talk about evidence - "I prefer to go with the evidence, and the evidence to date suggest ToE models are wrong. The notion that the fossil record is not needed to support evolution, as if we would not see the process more documented, is totally unsubstantiated by evos" when you have posting little or nothing to support your myriad statements, and the evolutionists here have posted a wealth of material to support theirs.
You deny evidence when it is posted - you stated that "Life is not a spectrum because only discrete groups can interbreed, or reproduce" when RAZD showed you a series of species where this was not the case.
You dismiss questions put to you as irrelevent rather than trying to answer them - as mark24 asked a series of pertinent questions regarding your ideas of the probability of fossilisation, you stated "The reason being is over geologic time, even though there is no evidence for the answers to these questions for the vast majority of species evos claim since in reality there is no evidence the species ever existed in the first place, but we can look at known facts and do comparisons".
Despite my requests you continue to make snide and insulting comments, most having to do with evolutionists being ignorant or "brainwashed". You have replied to posts with rudeness and contempt rather than reasoned, enlightened debate.
I have noted that you responded to mark24 "If you want a real discussion, preface your post stating that and begin to deal with specifics of what I posted, showing you understand the points raised and why you disagree."
This is hypocritical of you unless you return to my post regarding fossil rarity and finally address the points I raised. And I will not accept a weak apology such as the one I am responding to; in the light of your recent posts I find it utterly meaningless.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 205 by randman, posted 10-23-2005 4:56 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 244 by randman, posted 10-24-2005 1:04 AM IrishRockhound has replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 253 of 304 (254540)
10-24-2005 7:01 PM
Reply to: Message 244 by randman
10-24-2005 1:04 AM


Respond to the points raised
quote:
The vast majority of species, especially in the context here of whale evolution from land mammals, can only and do only breed with other's in thier species.
So what? The fact that there are even a few examples show your previous statement is incorrect, and you repeating it is useless.
quote:
That's a fact that I have repeatedly brought up, despite your claims I bring up no facts of examples, but irregardless, you and the other evos here refuse to accept this basic fact. My secondary point for any lurkers is that I have no doubt you and other evos would accept this fact if an evo was arguing it for evolution.
More snide comments, and not entirely coherent either...
quote:
It has been my experience that evolutionists can disbelieve the same facts when arguing against their critics that they later espouse and apparently do so without any hint of self-contradiction, just as you display.
An insulting anecdote does not in any way count as support. I have pointed out where I feel there are flaws in your arguments, and supported my points with quotes from your posts. Why can you not do the same, instead of endlessly repeating the same empty accusations?
quote:
Sorry to be rude but that sort of thinking stikes me as the sort of distorted illogic that accompanies brainwashing.
You are entitled to your opinion - but be careful not to present it as fact.
quote:
Clearly, most mammalian species are not some sort of fuzzy spectrum in terms of reproduction, but in general only reproduce within their own species. It is true, especially among whales, that sometimes across what are labelled different genera, reproduction takes place, but the argument there concerning wholphins and ligers generally is made in support of creationism than in evo arguments, and despite these notable exceptions, the vast majority of species cannot reproduce across genera, and I don't know of any though I could be wrong that can reproduce successfully across the family level.
Unsupported assertation, without any relevent links presented as evidence. This is your opinion, not fact - present it as such.
quote:
So whatever your imaginations, the facts of sexual reproduction are the same and so in analysing how many forms it would take to evolve a land mammal to a whale, the issues of some exceptions like ring species is not germane in the slightest in the discussion.
You have not answered the point, the reason ring species were brought up - that ring species are a spectrum in space between two species that cannot breed, and transitionals are a spectrum in time. You have not offered anything other than your own incredulity to address this point.
quote:
The failure of evos here to see and admit that is telling.
Even more telling is your continued refusal to respond to the points raised by evolutionists, to whit: my post regarding rarity of fossilisation, and mark24's questions regarding transitionals.
Answer them or face the loss of credibility on your part.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 244 by randman, posted 10-24-2005 1:04 AM randman has not replied

IrishRockhound
Member (Idle past 4461 days)
Posts: 569
From: Ireland
Joined: 05-19-2003


Message 255 of 304 (254577)
10-24-2005 9:18 PM


A Review
I have grown tired of Randman's repeated statement - that he has made his points regarding the whale transitionals, and they have not been addressed. He also seems to think he has addressed the points of others and supported his own.
I have taken it upon myself to review his participation in this thread, and lay the matter to rest.
He entered the debate at this post. First unsupported assertations:
"We see all sorts of species or basic types of creatures, particularly in whales, with numerous fossils for them, but we just don't see the transitionals."
"The fact is a comprehensive and logical view of the fossil data is that either species did not evolve, or that some other mechanism is involved to explain evolution than is presented by evos."
Relevent responses:
-> nwr with an explanation of how whales could have evolved
-> Modulous with a point about fossil rarity and why it is irrelevent to the ToE
Post 53
Unsupported assertations:
"The problem is that within the lines of theorized evolution, say of whale evolution, we would expect to see most of the significant new features occuring in fairly large and well-established groups, according to your scenario, but we don't."
Relevent responses:
-> nwr explaining that the ToE does not in fact predict such a thing.
Post 58
Randman explains his position:
"I would suggest that the predictive aspect of ToE needs more precision with respect to the fossil record, specifically that if you are going to claim ToE predicts such and such, then there should be predictions of specific quantities of fossils of species relative to specific traits."
Relevent responses:
-> robinrohan pointing out that fossilisation is hit-and-miss
-> Modulous pointing out that the ToE does not predict this
-> Modulous suggesting that he do such an analysis, if he believes it's that important
-> BuckeyeChris pointing out that random mutation plus natural selection (i.e. the core of the ToE) says nothing about fossilisation
-> NosyNed pointing out that Randman was apparently basing his comments on personal incredulity
Post 61
Randman makes assumptions about what is scientifically possible:
"Over time, millions and millions of years, the differences in the hit or miss affair would average out some, right? What we know is that a whole bunch of features would have to had evolved if ToE is true. We can do anatomical comparisons to whales with their nearest land mammals, and quantize the number of differences that exist and new features that would have to develop, right?"
Unsupported assertations:
"You guys claim ToE has made an accurate prediction relavent to the fossil record. Imo, that is a false claim. Looking at the fossil record comprehensively, it appears to me to be very, very strong evidence against evolution."
"But irregardless, since evos to date have refused to actually tackle the rigorous process I outline above to make a comprehensive prediction within a range, the best we can say is evos are ignoring the fossil record as a whole, and claims it is supportive of evolution have not been rigourously supported by a comprehensive study of the data which includes estimates of the number of fossilized forms we should expect to find."
Relevent responses:
None
Post 68
Randman presents his opinion regarding Darwin and evolutionists:
"Darwin in fact did predict the fossil record should show ToE, and went on to say it was a means of falsifying ToE. So from a layman's perspective, it appears to me that since the fossil record now negatively falsifies ToE that evos claim it was never important in the first place."
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous saying that Darwin did not predict this, and supplied quotes from Darwin as support
Post 69
NosyNed asks why the ToE is expected to predict fossil frequency; Randman responds:
"I already did that. Read the following paragraphs in the post. If one is to make a claim about the fossil evidence, then it must be considered in toto with a comprehensive analysis, not just picking out piecemeal some species that can be a "token transitional" while ignoring the fossil record as a whole."
It has already been pointed out at this stage that the ToE does not predict fossil frequency, only that IF fossils are found they will fit the pattern of common descent.
Relevent responses:
None
Post 71
Randman makes the claim that such a study would be evidence in support of the ToE, and the onus is on evolutionists to do it.
"Furthermore, the claim that the fossil record supports ToE is an evo claim so evos should have to back up their claim with such studies, but to date, I have never seen any comprehensive studies along these lines."
Again, it has been pointed out that the ToE makes no predictions about fossilisation, in which case such a study would not support it.
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous points out that no evolutionist has made any claim about fossilisation predicted by the ToE - it merely states that fossils found will fit the ToE, and to date none have been found that do not. He also points out that the data needed to make the predictions suggested by Randman is not available, nor would the study be significant.
Post 72
Randman suggests that the discussion be confined to whale evolution
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous agrees
Post 76
Unsupported assertations:
"The fossil record should be considered in toto, and a comprehensive view of the fossil record does not show macro-evolution occurring."
"The evo explanation is that it can be considered consistent with ToE due to massive fossil rarity..."
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous pointing out that the record shows that life changed over the course of earth history (i.e. evolution), and the ToE ONLY predicts that fossils will be consistent with it.
Post 83
Unsupported assertations:
"Every fossil uncovered, when considered in toto, is totally inconsistent with the ToE."
Randman asks "You claim we should not expect to see more transitions due to fossil rarity, but offer no real studies to explain why such a rare event produces "common fossils" such as whale fossils which commonly appear in marine sediment layers."
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous points out that without knowing the original number of animals, such studies are impossible, and the ToE does not predict the volume of transitionals.
-> mark24 asks for support of his assertation.
Post 85
Randman discusses a vague methodology with robinrohan for such a study, and repeats himself:
"But here's the thing, such a quantitative comprehensive analysis should have been conducted and should be conducted before evos make claims of the fossil record being congruent with ToE."
This is after it has been pointed out that the ToE makes no such predictions and such a study would not be supporting of it.
Relevent responses:
None
Post 89
Unsupported assertations:
"Basilosaurus seems to have thousands of fossilized remains as it was fairly common in Mississippi and Lousiana, but whole specimens are much more rare."
Randman repeats himself:
"The point of claiming fossil rarity for evos is to claim it is very rare for a species to leave any fossils at all, and thus they claim the fact we don't see fossils for the vast majority of species, even the vast majority that must have evolved in the land mammal to whale evolution, is consistent with the ToE."
It has been pointed out that the ToE and evolutionists make no claims regarding fossil rarity - only that fossils found will be consistant.
Relevent responses:
-> Thor pointing out that finding many Basilosaurus fossils simply means that Basilosaurus lived in areas where fossilisation was relatively easy.
-> Modulous repeats himself; not all transitional fossils are seen, those that are, are consistant with the ToE - and asks for support for assertations.
Post 90
Randman responds to mark24:
"I've already answered in detail, and you completely ignore it and offer not one comment on the points I raised.
Sorry, but if you want a conversation, I suggest you read my posts detailing exactly the type of comprehensive analysis which would need to be done to consider if the numbers and type of fossils do or do not support ToE."
Relevent responses:
-> mark24 pointing out that he had in fact offered many comments which were not addressed, specifically to do with the correlation of the fossil record to cladograms.
Post 102
Randman responds to schrafinator regarding Gould and Etheridge's work (punctuated equilibrium, I assume).
Unsupported assertations:
"They used facts that creationists had used for decades but which evos steadfastly denied were true because creationists used these facts as evidence against ToE. Gould and Etheridge were able to use these same facts to support the evo paradigm, and only then were they admitted by the evo community at large, which is very, very telling imo."
Relevent responses:
-> Paulk asks for support for assertation
Post 104
Randman responds to Admin.
Unsupported assertations:
"I repeat myself because not once has the issue I raised been addressed."
"It's the same point, over and over again, yep, but only because there is abject refusal by evos to tackle it in any meaningful manner."
"I spent lots of time addressing many of those issues, but honestly, why should the evos not have to address the issues I have raised here?"
"Is it not reasonable to expect evolution proponents to back up their claims on "fossil rarity", which is given as an explanation for why the vast majority of species that supposedly lived leave absolutely no trace whatsoever. If fossilization is so rare, then why do many species leave so many fossils in so many different parts of the world?"
Again, at this point is has been repeated many times that neither the ToE nor evolutionists are making any claims on fossil rarity.
Relevent responses:
-> mark24 repeats himself; the ToE does not make claims about fossil rarity. He also explains the reasoning behind the rarity of fossils and asks for support for assertation.
Post 108
Unsupported assertations:
"The answer evos give is fossil rarity, but then again, as you can see by some references to fossil rarity for individual members, that has not been addressed, as you claim that it has."
mark24 wrote a long and detailed post on fossil rarity, which was ignored.
"For example, just because fossilization is rare for individual members, as many have pointed out here, does not mean fossilization is rare for species as a whole. You and the other evos continually ignore this, over and over again."
"We are not talking about whether fossilization is rare for individuals, but for species as a whole, and no evo here has ever given any scientific evidence to back up their claim for fossil rarity for species as a whole."
Again... the same point - ToE and evolutionists make no claim regarding fossil rarity.
Relevent responses:
-> Modulous pointing out that this claim of fossil rarity has been answered again and again and...
-> At this point I entered the discussion, and explained how it is impossible to do the studies he is suggesting because there is no population data to base it on.
------------------------------------------
I'm going to stop here, as from this point on I am involved.
I believe this answers the question - Randman does not support his statements, ignores responses, ignores requests for supporting evidence, and misrepresents evolutionists and the ToE. He is wilfully ignorant of earth history, the ToE, and fossilisation, and convinced that his view on them is the only correct one.
As to his manners, I leave that to you to decide.
As of this post I am leaving the discussion, as I do not believe any more productive debate can occur here. I recommend that all involved post their final statements, and allow the admins to close the topic.
The Rock Hound

"Those who fear the darkness have never seen what the light can do."

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