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Author Topic:   myths about welfare
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 1 of 42 (259176)
11-12-2005 8:23 PM


In another thread, randman made a claim something along the lines of; that ADC payments (Welfare) was encouraging young poor inner city women to become pregnant and have children out of wedlock because of all of the great benefits they would get.
He did not back up this assertion with any reliable sources.
I posted the following referenced article explaining how his claim is actually untrue. He handwaved away this information, claiming that I was "twisting" stats, and simply repeated his original, unsupported claim.
I would ask randman to please explain exactly, and in detail, how the stats are "twisted", and also to provide evidence for his further claims that
1) there really was an increase in poor young single women becoming mothers since ADC began.
2) That this increase can conclusively be linked primarily or solely to the existence of ADC, and couldn't possibly be due to any other factors, such as a reduction of sex education in schools, reduction in the promotion or availability of birth control, etc.
bold added by me
link
Five Media Myths About Welfare
1. Poor women have more children because of the "financial incentives" of welfare benefits.
Repeated studies show no correlation between benefit levels and women's choice to have children. (See, for example, Urban Institute Policy andResearch Report, Fall/93.) States providing relatively higher benefits do not show higher birth rates among recipients.
In any case, welfare allowances are far too low to serve as any kind of "incentive": A mother on welfare can expect about $90 in additional AFDC(Aid to Families with Dependent Children) benefits if she has another child.
Furthermore, the real value of AFDC benefits, which do not rise with inflation, has fallen 37 percent during the last two decades (The Nation,12/12/94). Birth rates among poor women have not dropped correspondingly.
The average family receiving AFDC has 1.9 children -- about the same as the national average.
2. We don't subsidize middle-class families.
Much of the welfare debate has centered around the idea of "family caps"--denying additional benefits to women who have children while receiving aid. This is often presented as simple justice: "A family that works does not get a raise for having a child. Why then should a family that doesn't work?" columnist Ellen Goodman wrote in the Boston Globe(4/16/92).
In fact, of course, families do receive a premium for additional children,in the form of a $2,450 tax deduction. There are also tax credits to partially cover child care expenses, up to a maximum of $2,400 per child. No pundit has suggested that middle-class families base their decision to have children on these "perks."
3. The public is fed up with spending money on the poor.
"The suspicion that poorer people are getting something for nothing is much harder to bear than the visible good fortune of the richer," wrotecolumnist Mary McGrory (Washington Post, 1/15/95). But contrary to suchclaims from media pundits, the general public is not so hard-hearted. In aDecember 1994 poll by the Center for the Study of Policy Attitudes (CSPA),80 percent of respondents agreed that the government has "a responsibility to try to do away with poverty." (Fighting Poverty in America: A Study of American Attitudes, CSPA)
Support for "welfare" is lower than support for "assistance to the poor, "but when CSPA asked people about their support for AFDC, described as "thefederal welfare program which provides financial support for unemployed poor single mothers with children," only 21 percent said funding should be cut, while 29 percent said it should be increased.
4. We've spent over $5 trillion on welfare since the '60s and it hasn't worked.
Conservatives and liberals alike use this claim as proof that federal poverty programs don't work, since after all that "lavish" spending, people are still poor. But spending on AFDC, the program normally referred to as welfare, totaled less than $500 billion from 1964 to 1994--less than 1.5percent of federal outlays for that period, and about what the Pentagon spends in two years.
To get the $5 trillion figure, "welfare spending" must be defined to include all means-tested programs, including Medicaid, food stamps, student lunches, scholarship aid and many other programs. Medicaid, which is by far the largest component of the $5 trillion, goes mostly to the elderly and disabled; only about 16 percent of Medicaid spending goes to health carefor AFDC recipients. ("What Do We Spend on 'Welfare'?," Center for Budget and Policy Priorities)
Furthermore, the poverty rate did fall between 1964 and 1973, from 19 percent to 11 percent, with the advent of "Great Society" programs. Since the 1970s, economic forces like declining real wages as well as reduced benefit levels have contributed to rising poverty rates.
5. Anyone who wants to get off welfare can just get a job.
Many welfare recipients do work to supplement meager benefits (Harper's,4/94). But workforce discrimination and the lack of affordable child caremake working outside the home difficult for single mothers. And thelow-wage, no-benefit jobs available to most AFDC recipients simply do notpay enough to lift a family out of poverty.
Although it is almost never mentioned in conjunction with the welfare debate, the U.S. Federal Reserve has an official policy of raising interestrates whenever unemployment falls below a certain point--now about 6.2 percent (Extra!, 9-10/94). In other words, if all the unemployed women onwelfare were to find jobs, currently employed people would have to bethrown out of work to keep the economy from "overheating."

Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by RAZD, posted 11-13-2005 10:03 AM nator has not replied
 Message 3 by nator, posted 11-14-2005 6:24 PM nator has replied
 Message 5 by nator, posted 11-15-2005 10:53 AM nator has not replied
 Message 18 by Nuggin, posted 11-19-2005 11:48 PM nator has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 2 of 42 (259305)
11-13-2005 10:03 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by nator
11-12-2005 8:23 PM


bump for randman
just to keep this on top

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by nator, posted 11-12-2005 8:23 PM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 3 of 42 (259729)
11-14-2005 6:24 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by nator
11-12-2005 8:23 PM


another bump for randman

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by nator, posted 11-12-2005 8:23 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 4 by nator, posted 11-15-2005 10:41 AM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 4 of 42 (259917)
11-15-2005 10:41 AM
Reply to: Message 3 by nator
11-14-2005 6:24 PM


randman is guilty of the sin of pride
he is ignoring this thread because he doesn't want to admit he is wrong.
He is guilty of the sin of pride.[/end goad]

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3 by nator, posted 11-14-2005 6:24 PM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 5 of 42 (259920)
11-15-2005 10:53 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by nator
11-12-2005 8:23 PM


Randman,
All I am asking for is for you to post or reference the information and stats you are basing your claims upon. I am quite open to changing my opinion based upon reliable information, but unless you provide it, I can only assume you are not basing your claims upon any real data.
Please provide the data, and we can get on with the discussion.
If you don't have any reliable, reputable data, then admit it and retract your original claim.
It would be the honest thing to do.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by nator, posted 11-12-2005 8:23 PM nator has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 6 by Hal Jordan, posted 11-15-2005 3:13 PM nator has not replied
 Message 8 by randman, posted 11-16-2005 8:57 PM nator has replied

  
Hal Jordan
Inactive Member


Message 6 of 42 (259989)
11-15-2005 3:13 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by nator
11-15-2005 10:53 AM


I'd really like to know if any stats,info,evidence exists to support this claim, as well. I have heard many people say something to the effect that Randman has and despite my efforts, have not been able to obtain anything at all to back up their claims.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by nator, posted 11-15-2005 10:53 AM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 7 of 42 (260158)
11-16-2005 7:50 AM


randman is a dishonest debater
I think his fear of this thread proves it.

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4927 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 8 of 42 (260384)
11-16-2005 8:57 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by nator
11-15-2005 10:53 AM


shraf
The reason I have not responded is because I've been busy on other threads and I get the sense it would take too much effort at this time to try to deal with some basic misconceptions on your part, at least imo.
For example, the statistical analysis you presented, imo, does not address the issue. There are a myriad of reasons, mostly cultural, why one state's stats reflect certain numbers. States like Texas, Oregon, Massuchusetts and South Carolina, for example, are quite different and the poor receiving aid can be from a wide area of backgrounds.
I'll say this, in Wilmington, NC, back in the late 80s, children being borne out of wedlock among African-Americans reached an astonishing level. A black preacher friend and associate told me it was around 90%.
It was not that high prior to Aid to Depandent Children.
Having worked with people in such situations, I can say there was a disincentive for awhile to marry, and there was something within that community that is hard to prove statistically, a sense of hopelessness and resignation that the welfare life was all some could acheive.
I don't know if that is still the case, or if today's stats are different yet due to changes in the program or changes in society, but the program for some sectors of soceity had disastrous results.
If you really want this debate to go forward, then try to find an independent source for statistics, not one making a claim, and present rates of illegimaticy prior to Aid to Dependant Children in the African-American community and rates afterwards, and we can discuss the potential reasons involved.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by nator, posted 11-15-2005 10:53 AM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by nator, posted 11-17-2005 7:13 AM randman has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 9 of 42 (260514)
11-17-2005 7:13 AM
Reply to: Message 8 by randman
11-16-2005 8:57 PM


randman, please address the OP
My requirements were very clearly laid out in the OP.
Please address them.
In another thread, randman made a claim something along the lines of; that ADC payments (Welfare) was encouraging young poor inner city women to become pregnant and have children out of wedlock because of all of the great benefits they would get.
He did not back up this assertion with any reliable sources.
This is still the case, randman. Please provide reliable sources to back up your original claim.
Otherwise, you should retract the claim.
I posted the following referenced article explaining how his claim is actually untrue. He handwaved away this information, claiming that I was "twisting" stats, and simply repeated his original, unsupported claim.
I would ask randman to please explain exactly, and in detail, how the stats are "twisted", and also to provide evidence for his further claims that
Please do so, randman.
1) there really was an increase in poor young single women becoming mothers since ADC began.
2) That this increase can conclusively be linked primarily or solely to the existence of ADC, and couldn't possibly be due to any other factors, such as a reduction of sex education in schools, reduction in the promotion or availability of birth control, etc.
Please provide this evidence to back up your claim, or retract it.
This message has been edited by schrafinator, 11-17-2005 07:19 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by randman, posted 11-16-2005 8:57 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 10 by randman, posted 11-18-2005 7:14 PM nator has replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4927 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 10 of 42 (261098)
11-18-2005 7:14 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by nator
11-17-2005 7:13 AM


Re: randman, please address the OP
Sorry Shraf, but you started a new thread and goaded me to reply, when I was no longer interested in the topic. I stated why I consider your source for statistical analysis to be false.
Now you want me to provide the statistics, and I am busy on other threads. If you wanted a real discussion, you would answer my request here.
If you really want this debate to go forward, then try to find an independent source for statistics, not one making a claim, and present rates of illegimaticy prior to Aid to Dependant Children in the African-American community and rates afterwards, and we can discuss the potential reasons involved.
I don't think it's unreasonable if we are to develop this thread, to ask you present some statistics on rates of illegimaticy, and then we can discuss various theories as to why or why not this became a problem.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by nator, posted 11-17-2005 7:13 AM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by nator, posted 11-19-2005 12:41 PM randman has replied
 Message 12 by nator, posted 11-19-2005 3:48 PM randman has not replied
 Message 28 by nator, posted 11-21-2005 9:18 AM randman has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 11 of 42 (261273)
11-19-2005 12:41 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by randman
11-18-2005 7:14 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
quote:
Sorry Shraf, but you started a new thread and goaded me to reply, when I was no longer interested in the topic. I stated why I consider your source for statistical analysis to be false.
This thread IS NOT ABOUT MY CLAIMS.
Where are your statistics to back up YOUR CLAIM?
You are the one claiming that ADC caused poor single women to have more babies, so BACK IT UP, PLEASE, OR WITHDRAW.
For the love of all that is good and happy, would you please just respond honestly to an OP? Are you completely incapable?
I would ask randman to please explain exactly, and in detail, how the stats are "twisted",
You did not provide any detail at all about how my stats were "twisted", but That's OK if it's too much for you. I am mostly interested in the following:
and also to provide evidence for his further claims that
1) there really was an increase in poor young single women becoming mothers since ADC began.
2) That this increase can conclusively be linked primarily or solely to the existence of ADC, and couldn't possibly be due to any other factors, such as a reduction of sex education in schools, reduction in the promotion or availability of birth control, etc.
THIS IS YOUR CLAIM, randman.
Why do you refuse to support it with evidence? Surely, you are basing your claim upon some kind of reliable evidence, like government statistics, not just the opinion of "some black preacher in this one town"?
I would be very interested learning such information, and examining such a source, so that if your claim is correct, I want to change my thoughts on this matter. But you refuse to back up YOUR CLAIM.
Why?
This message has been edited by schrafinator, 11-19-2005 12:48 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by randman, posted 11-18-2005 7:14 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 13 by randman, posted 11-19-2005 4:23 PM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 12 of 42 (261306)
11-19-2005 3:48 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by randman
11-18-2005 7:14 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
quote:
Sorry Shraf, but you started a new thread and goaded me to reply, when I was no longer interested in the topic.
I'd just like to point out that this is not really an excuse to not withdraw the claim, randman.
You don't get to make an unsupported factual claim, then just say "I'm bored" when someone asks you to back it up.
Or, rather, you can, but it is considered good debating form to then withdraw the claim you don't feel like supporting it.
This message has been edited by schrafinator, 11-19-2005 03:49 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by randman, posted 11-18-2005 7:14 PM randman has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4927 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 13 of 42 (261309)
11-19-2005 4:23 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by nator
11-19-2005 12:41 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
Randman, you made a claim.
All of this other falderall and blustering about by you will not distract me.
You are welcome to withrdaw the claim if you do not care to persue this any longer.
If you choose to let the claim stand, then support it with a reputable source of information. What I would like you to back up with reliable statistics or facts are the following:
1) there really was an increase in poor young single women becoming mothers since ADC began.
2) That this increase can conclusively be linked primarily or solely to the existence of ADC, and couldn't possibly be due to any other factors, such as a reduction of sex education in schools, reduction in the promotion or availability of birth control, etc.
Let me please remind you that I have a real interest in your sources of information. I do not want to be mistaken about this issue, so if you have reliable sources, I would very much like to examine them so I can come to a better informed position.
This message has been edited by AdminSchraf, 11-19-2005 04:39 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by nator, posted 11-19-2005 12:41 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 14 by nator, posted 11-19-2005 4:47 PM randman has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 14 of 42 (261312)
11-19-2005 4:47 PM
Reply to: Message 13 by randman
11-19-2005 4:23 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
Randman, I am really, really sorry, but I accidentally hit "edit" instead of "reply" when trying to respiond as Schrafinator to your post, it automatically switched me to Admin mode and I overwrote your post with mine.
While I still mean everything I wrote in my post to you, I apologize profusely for losing your post. I hope you still have it in a temporary text file somewhere and can repost.
Again, I am very sorry.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 13 by randman, posted 11-19-2005 4:23 PM randman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by randman, posted 11-19-2005 5:18 PM nator has not replied

  
randman 
Suspended Member (Idle past 4927 days)
Posts: 6367
Joined: 05-26-2005


Message 15 of 42 (261317)
11-19-2005 5:18 PM
Reply to: Message 14 by nator
11-19-2005 4:47 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
No, I don't, and it was very long. As far as I am concerned the thread is over.
If you want to talk about this, the only way I will entertain a discussion is if the topic is brought up a new thread, and you do some work to show, just look in offificial gov statistics, what the rates of illegimacy have been over the years, and particularly concerning the African-American community.
Then, we can discuss the issue with some real data from a non-biased sourse.
If you don't think that's reasonable, I am sorry, but at this point, it's not going to move me. I am not dodging you. I just am uninterested in discussions that appear to be designed to go nowhere, be unfruitful, attacks on me, or whatever.
I love to discuss issues, and if you are serious about the issue and thus take the steps I mention, I will be glad to jump in on a new thread.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 14 by nator, posted 11-19-2005 4:47 PM nator has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 16 by Zhimbo, posted 11-19-2005 5:32 PM randman has not replied
 Message 17 by Zhimbo, posted 11-19-2005 6:05 PM randman has not replied
 Message 32 by mikehager, posted 11-21-2005 4:59 PM randman has not replied

  
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