Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 63 (9162 total)
6 online now:
Newest Member: popoi
Post Volume: Total: 916,397 Year: 3,654/9,624 Month: 525/974 Week: 138/276 Day: 12/23 Hour: 0/0


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Please explain Cut and Run criteria in light of Afghanistan
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 48 of 191 (355747)
10-10-2006 7:38 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by kuresu
10-10-2006 7:25 PM


Re: Explain this to me.
The idea that it is about oil seems pretty strange and weak. Before the most recent invasion the Iraqi oil was being monitored by the US and UN and sales of it were being controled. It seems that there is actually less stability now then before the invasion.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by kuresu, posted 10-10-2006 7:25 PM kuresu has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 51 by iano, posted 10-10-2006 7:54 PM jar has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 99 of 191 (356131)
10-12-2006 11:59 AM
Reply to: Message 95 by anglagard
10-12-2006 7:38 AM


On Afghanistan and Iraq
Too bad because I think if we could just apply a suitable noise filter this could be an interesting and important discussion.
The invasion of Afghanistan was justified based on the claim that the Taliban were sheltering AQ and providing them with a base of operations.
While it may well be true that the Taliban did provide a base of operations to AQ, the idea of invasion as a recourse falls apart on several points.
First, a modern terrorist organization is not directly tied to some specific piece of land. You cannot occupy some point in space and by virtue of that occupation eliminate the terrorists.
Terrorist exist on the same infrastructure base as their targets. To attack their infrastructure is to attack your own infrastructure.
Afghanistan was NOT the infrastructure of the terrorists. They needed advanced communications and transportation, ubiquitous and anonymous transportation, advanced technology, advanced education facilities and an extensive and pervasive financial system.
None of those factors were availble in Afghanistan except through portable units that connected the people to the infrastructure of the west.
Invading Afghanistan was the first really stupid step in this fiasco. It accomplished nothing except waste resources. The terrorists simply moved on. Afterall, most of their planning, training, supply and financial infrastructure were not in Afghanistan but in Rome and Madrid and Berlin and Hollywood Park Florida and New York and Manila and Paris and London and Bonn and Rio and Toronto.
Another claim has been that invading Iraq was to secure the oil supply. That also seems very weak and to accept that premise places the US and Great Britain in the same moral position as Imperial Japan. It is a claim that because we need some resource and have the technological capability to take the resource, we have the obligation and right to do so. Such an argument is without any moral redemption, it is far more destructive to the Western Political and Social system than any terrorist threat. It is disgusting and reprehensible.
Edited by jar, : change subtitle

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 95 by anglagard, posted 10-12-2006 7:38 AM anglagard has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 100 by iano, posted 10-12-2006 12:45 PM jar has not replied
 Message 101 by nwr, posted 10-12-2006 12:49 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 103 of 191 (356135)
10-12-2006 1:11 PM
Reply to: Message 101 by nwr
10-12-2006 12:49 PM


Re: On Afghanistan and Iraq
jar writes:
Invading Afghanistan was the first really stupid step in this fiasco.
to which nwr replied:
quote:
I would not call it a fiasco - at least not yet. A strategic blunder for sure, but hardly a fiasco.
I would use that term, but in relation to the stated goal of eliminating the AQ threat. The key people we supposedly went there to get simply left. There was no real infrastructure base in Afghanistan, so that too remained unchanged.
The rest, the claim that somehow we are securing a supply of some needed resource is simply absurd and totally immoral. What makes it even worse is the shere stupidity of the argument. In the time we supposedly have been acting to secure the supply of oil we have seen the price climb steadily.
However, it is stil lower than the inflation adjusted prices of 1980-1982.
You can see the historical oil prices here.
Those justifications of our invasion of Iraq as an oil supply issue are no different than the Imperial Japanese justifications for their invasions of China, Korea and South-East Asia looking for raw materials or Nazi Germanys invasions of its neighbors for more land, coal and oil.
It is a disgusting and reprehensible position.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 101 by nwr, posted 10-12-2006 12:49 PM nwr has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 105 by iano, posted 10-12-2006 2:22 PM jar has not replied
 Message 106 by Silent H, posted 10-12-2006 2:29 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 107 of 191 (356151)
10-12-2006 2:46 PM
Reply to: Message 106 by Silent H
10-12-2006 2:29 PM


Re: On Afghanistan and Iraq
I'm not sure we are all that far apart.
AbE: The stated goal and reason though for invading Afghanistan was the capture on Bin Ladin and the other AQ members.
End of insert
I question, and questioned at the time whether conventional military responses were reasonable or even feasable as a way of getting to those AQ assets in Afghanistan.
Fighting terrorism is a new paradigm. It is not the same old Nation State scenario, and closer to crime fighting in requirements. It is far more like fighting the Mafia in the US or Italy than classic military operations.
Unfortunately, in Afghanistan many of the advantages technology might provide were negated by the insular character of the countryside. We were the proverbial bull in the china shop, and could do little that was not immediately communicated to the terrorists.
Afghanistan was in a state of chaos because we had let it drift after it served our purpose against the soviets.
Agreed. But not sure how invading the country again can be seen as constructive.
While that is true, that's largely due to poor investment in pursuing that goal. I'm not sure if you've kept up with what went on there, but intelligence is that we really missed them by not having enough forces in there, and especially allocated to Tora Bora.
Sure. I agree. Piss poor planning and execution.
BUT...
to really be effective the terrorists needed to be in the developed countries. As long as they were sitting in camps in Afghanistan they were little threat. What was or could be accomplished by pursuing them incountry?
Edited by jar, : add part on stated goal

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 106 by Silent H, posted 10-12-2006 2:29 PM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 109 by Silent H, posted 10-12-2006 3:29 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 110 of 191 (356165)
10-12-2006 3:44 PM
Reply to: Message 109 by Silent H
10-12-2006 3:29 PM


Re: On Afghanistan and Iraq
Justice, symbolism, as well as practical matters of disrupting the organization and possibly capturing intel on operations outside Afghanistan.
And how is a conventional military operations with all of the incumbent baggage such as newsmen the only option for that?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 109 by Silent H, posted 10-12-2006 3:29 PM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 112 by Silent H, posted 10-12-2006 5:50 PM jar has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 116 of 191 (356189)
10-12-2006 8:33 PM
Reply to: Message 114 by RAZD
10-12-2006 7:59 PM


Yup, control oil. LOL
Well, looks like I am once again making a fool of myself.
Edited by jar, : retract really dumb statement.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 114 by RAZD, posted 10-12-2006 7:59 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 117 by RAZD, posted 10-12-2006 9:21 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 118 of 191 (356197)
10-12-2006 9:36 PM
Reply to: Message 117 by RAZD
10-12-2006 9:21 PM


Re: Yup, control oil. LOL
One possible reason it was "in the plans" might be the following:
In April 1993, the Iraqi Intelligence Service attempted to assassinate former President Bush via car bomb during a visit to Kuwait.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 117 by RAZD, posted 10-12-2006 9:21 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 121 by RAZD, posted 10-13-2006 10:03 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 122 of 191 (356411)
10-13-2006 10:08 PM
Reply to: Message 121 by RAZD
10-13-2006 10:03 PM


Re: Yup, control oil. LOL
But that pre-dates your supposed cause.
Are you sure? I thought the assassination attempt was in 1993 while your source says:
wrote a blueprint for regime change as early as September 2000.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 121 by RAZD, posted 10-13-2006 10:03 PM RAZD has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 126 of 191 (356574)
10-14-2006 11:06 PM
Reply to: Message 125 by Hyroglyphx
10-14-2006 10:41 PM


Re: No hindsight, no foresight
I think this comes from how the the Clinton Adminstration refused to engage terrorism head-on. It was criticized long befgore the Republicans ever entered office. Take for example, Somalia. The US lost, I believe, 17 Special Operators while trying to bring a terrorist to justice. But when the going got rough, the Clinton admin tucked tail and whimpered away with its tail between their legs, thus strengthening the resolve of the West's enemies.
Ah yes. I think it definitely was Clinton. I remember in 1983 when he tucked his tail between his legs and whimpered away from Lebanon.
Wait, was that Clinton or was that the absolutely worst President in the last 100 years? What was his name? Some third rate 'B' movie actor IIRC.
The US went into Somalia for valid reasons, humanitarian reason, to bring in food and health care. Frankly, I do not know if we could have done anything other than what we did. The US tried.
BUT...
the President of the US did not lie to Congress and the American people about why we were going there.
The President of the US did decide that the cost was too high to continue and so pulled the troops out.
That is not the case in the Iraq Invasion.
In the case of the Iraq Invasion the President of the US lied to Congress and to the American People about the connect between Iraq and AQ, the likelyhood of WMDs.
The President has not made it and cannot make it a primarily humanitarian mission.
The infrasturcture we may rebuild is simply the infrastructure we destroyed either during the First Gulf War, the period between the wars when we maintained sanctions against Iraq or during the Second Gulf War.
Somalia was an effort of honor.
Iraq is an effort of shame.
The question should be:
"is there any way that the US can salvage any honor from our presence in Iraq and is there anyway we can repay the debt owed to the Iraqi peoples and to the US citizens?"

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 125 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-14-2006 10:41 PM Hyroglyphx has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 127 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 1:01 AM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 130 of 191 (356643)
10-15-2006 9:03 AM
Reply to: Message 127 by Hyroglyphx
10-15-2006 1:01 AM


Re: No hindsight, no foresight
"If Saddam rejects peace and we have to use force, our purpose is clear. We want to seriously diminish the threat posed by Iraq's weapons of mass destruction." -- President Bill Clinton, Feb. 4, 1998.
But there is NO idication that Saddam rejected peace.
"(Saddam Hussein) will use those weapons of mass destruction again, as he has 10 times since 1983." -- Sandy Berger, national security adviser to President Clinton, Feb. 18, 1998.
But he didn't. And we never found any.
"We urge you, after consulting with Congress, and consistent with the U.S. Constitution and laws, to take necessary actions (including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction program." -- Letter to President Clinton, signed by Sens. Tom Daschle and John Kerry, among others, Oct. 9, 1998.
Please point out where that says or evenm impies invading Iraq?
"Saddam Hussein has been engaged in the development of weapons of mass destruction technology which is a threat to countries in the region and he has made a mockery of the weapons inspection process." -- Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Dec. 16, 1998.
Again, please point out where that says or implies invasion.
I can continue down the lists but all you have is the classic tactic of quotemining, the 30 second spot for the non-thinkers and ignorant.
There is no such thing as strictly humanitarian efforts.
That might be an interesting discussion if it had ANYTHING to do with what I said and you even quoted what I said.
jar writes:
The President has not made it and cannot make it a primarily humanitarian mission.
NJ writes:
No, the US will be no more in a decade or two.
Well, I think it will take somewhat longer than that but I do agree that the current crop of conservatives, particularly the religious right are well on the way to destroying the US.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 127 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 1:01 AM Hyroglyphx has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 132 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 1:37 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 133 of 191 (356731)
10-15-2006 5:27 PM
Reply to: Message 132 by Hyroglyphx
10-15-2006 1:37 PM


So let's change direction
Well, let's try to stick somewhat close to the topic. And once again, may I ask you to actually read what I write and to stop making up your own versions of what I have said.
No where did I say strictly humanitarian. I just plain did not use the word strictly so bringing that up is just another red herring.
I asked you to point to where a quote said or implied invasion. Here is the quote.
"We urge you, after consulting with Congress, and consistent with the U.S. Constitution and laws, to take necessary actions (including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction program." -- Letter to President Clinton, signed by Sens. Tom Daschle and John Kerry, among others, Oct. 9, 1998.
You replied:
NJ writes:
I think "air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction program" is the part that implies invading Iraq.
You may well think so but it is VERY clear from reading it that invasion is NOT implied. It is VERY clear and limited, "(including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites)".
The other stuff, for example the picture, is also simply an attempt at misdirection.
The quote said that Saddam would use the WMDs again, again. That is the key word.
You have even quoted it several times now.
"(Saddam Hussein) will use those weapons of mass destruction again, as he has 10 times since 1983." -- Sandy Berger, national security adviser to President Clinton, Feb. 18, 1998.
The facts though are that he did NOT use them again, because he didn't have them.
No one has argued that he did not use them in the past.
But he did not use them again.
Finally, I said:
jar writes:
Well, I think it will take somewhat longer than that but I do agree that the current crop of conservatives, particularly the religious right are well on the way to destroying the US.
to which you replied:
quote:
I think it has to do with the infiltration of secular humanism. Afterall, its the secular behavior that Wahhabi Islam abhors, not the people of the book.
It may well be secular states that Wahhabi Islam abors, but I don't see any direct threat to the continuation of the US from them. I do see a major threat from those particularly in the current crop of conservatives (both Christian and Republican) that are supporting the errosion of those key freedoms that make the US somewhat different.
The question now is where do we go from here. The Current Crop of Christian Conservatives (CCCC for short) have gotten us into a mess in Afghanistan, Iraq and at home. The US has pretty much just cut and run from Afghanistan, leaving our allies like Great Britain in the lurch as you saw in the news article I showed you.
The time has coming IMHO for some basic changes.
First we should be talking with Kurds in the North, Shia in the South, and Sunni in the center.
We should make them an offer.
In return for partition of the State of Iraq into three autonomous zones (see the maps already drawn up and that have even been published here) the US will immediately begin removing all troops from Iraq.
The US will place an order for oil at 10% above opec price provided that the oil is generated in the Kurdish and Shia areas and payment made through the Sunni central zone.
The Sunni zone will be responsible for the maintenance and security of the oil transportation facilities as well as the infrastructure for government and commerce in all three areas.
At the same time the US should grant Most Favored Nation status to the Palestinians, offer tuition free education at any US College to all Palestinians, offer $300,000,000.00 per year for a minimum ten year stretch to the Palestinians to be earmarked for infrastructure improvements to include roads, bridges, air port facilities, port facilities, schools, hospitals and medical facilities.
We should offer similar terms to Lebanon and to Syria.
Edited by jar, : change sub-title

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 132 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 1:37 PM Hyroglyphx has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 134 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 7:09 PM jar has replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 135 of 191 (356757)
10-15-2006 7:32 PM
Reply to: Message 134 by Hyroglyphx
10-15-2006 7:09 PM


Sorry NJ but you just went on my ignore list.
NJ writes:
You said that Saddam didn't kill his own people nor we find WMD's.
Once again you have misrepresented what I have said.
I will continue to read your postings on occasion and should I become convinced that you can read what folk say, may consider responding to you again.
Edited by jar, : No reason given.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 134 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-15-2006 7:09 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 138 of 191 (356766)
10-15-2006 8:07 PM
Reply to: Message 136 by nwr
10-15-2006 7:53 PM


Re: So let's change direction
It was more than that. The quote supplied specifically talked about air or missle strikes against specified sites. Here is the quote once again:
"We urge you, after consulting with Congress, and consistent with the U.S. Constitution and laws, to take necessary actions (including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction program." -- Letter to President Clinton, signed by Sens. Tom Daschle and John Kerry, among others, Oct. 9, 1998.
There is absolutely nothing in there that even remotely implies that invasion is called for. The fact that "take necessary actions" was then qualified by adding "(including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites)" shows that invasion was not included.
The question is though, "Where do we go from here?"
We are in Iraq and Afghanistan.
How do we get out without it becoming even worse than it is?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 136 by nwr, posted 10-15-2006 7:53 PM nwr has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 140 by nwr, posted 10-15-2006 9:07 PM jar has not replied

  
jar
Member (Idle past 415 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 149 of 191 (357033)
10-17-2006 11:06 AM
Reply to: Message 148 by petrophysics1
10-17-2006 8:11 AM


Re: There is no "GWOT"
Jar,
I noticed you have bumped your pet project “Exploring the Grand Canyon, from the bottom up” for me. Is there some reason you think I owe you my geologic expertise on that thread? What do you think my response should be to that thread ,to someone who has acted in a way, IMO, to put my son and my relative at greater risk in doing their job, a job that needs to be done?
I do not think you owe ME anything.
I do though believe that the reading public deserves to know the facts about things such as how the Grand Canyon was formed. I also believe that is true of every situation, including why your son and your relatives are in danger.
I would also be interested to learn why you think I have acted to increase the risk to them. I am not at all sure that this is the thread to explore that issue but I am more than willing to discuss it either here or in some other venue.
As to what I think the proper resonse should be in the GC thread, IMHO it would be to provide what knowledge or expertise you have. How could I think anything else?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 148 by petrophysics1, posted 10-17-2006 8:11 AM petrophysics1 has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024