Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
4 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,455 Year: 3,712/9,624 Month: 583/974 Week: 196/276 Day: 36/34 Hour: 2/14


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Just a question...
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 166 of 199 (430557)
10-26-2007 12:33 AM
Reply to: Message 165 by itrownot
10-26-2007 12:28 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
crashfrog...seriously, I get your point, it's just that your above statement is more "punny" than factual.
Did you read about the Asch conformity experiments, or not?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 165 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 12:28 AM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 168 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 2:43 PM crashfrog has replied

  
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


Message 167 of 199 (430577)
10-26-2007 2:03 AM
Reply to: Message 165 by itrownot
10-26-2007 12:28 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
Afterall, the word "fact" is a scientific term around here, just as, say, the word "empirical" is, so I'm just hoping you'll try to be more precise when using such terms. Otherwise, we're not going to understand what you're trying to say, know what I mean?
You seem to be implying that you believe Crash's statement to be false. Do you have some form of evidence to back up that assertion, or are you refuting him with bare incredulity? He's already referred to studies that demonstrate the universal ease of self-deception.
When Crash uses the word "fact," I assure you he means "this has been observed, and I have the evidence to back it up." This is very different from the way you use the word "empirical," which apparently to you means something completely different from its normal definition when enclosed in quote marks.

Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 165 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 12:28 AM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 169 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 2:56 PM Rahvin has not replied

  
itrownot
Member (Idle past 6019 days)
Posts: 71
Joined: 10-15-2007


Message 168 of 199 (430651)
10-26-2007 2:43 PM
Reply to: Message 166 by crashfrog
10-26-2007 12:33 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
crashfrog, I read about the Asch conformity experiments 35 years ago, and I still remember them. I also know that any good experiment can be misapplied to draw invalid conclusions from it. You are pulling your own leg here.
Experimentation is a wonderful tool for gaining knowledge, but the tendency of some to exaggerate the test results is not limited to the experimenters themselves--often others, particularly those outside the field, will use certain test results inappropriately, exaggerating the actual test results, whether knowingly or unknowingly, to suit their own prejudical purposes, and THAT IS a fact. We ought to guard ourselves against this, hence my query to you. Message 158 by nator is a good post to reread, as Feynmen's caution applies equally to crashfrog and itrownot alike. Feynmen's principle was clearly more formulated to offer some pretty good advice, it seems, than it was to delineate a scientifically rigorous statement of fact, much like a modern technical version of Shakespeare's "to thine own self be true."
Why can't you just admit that, crashfrog? We all step over the line at times and say things imprecisely--or is that just me?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 166 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 12:33 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 170 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:03 PM itrownot has replied
 Message 176 by sidelined, posted 10-26-2007 5:10 PM itrownot has replied

  
itrownot
Member (Idle past 6019 days)
Posts: 71
Joined: 10-15-2007


Message 169 of 199 (430655)
10-26-2007 2:56 PM
Reply to: Message 167 by Rahvin
10-26-2007 2:03 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
rahvin, please refer to my reply to crashfrog for my comments regarding crashfrog's use of the term "fact". On the contrary, crashfrog is applying the term loosely, if only because he's included the word "always" in his statement. If he has the evidence to back it up his original statement, he hasn't shown it--he's only trying to snow us over with the Asch conformity shuck & jive. It is NOT "always easier to fool yourself"--anyone who has fooled someone at some time or other knows that by simple inspection. Am I being a nitpicker? Of course--that's what we do here in order to understand one another.
Edited by itrownot, : Edited for clarity
Edited by itrownot, : typo

This message is a reply to:
 Message 167 by Rahvin, posted 10-26-2007 2:03 AM Rahvin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 171 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:06 PM itrownot has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 170 of 199 (430656)
10-26-2007 3:03 PM
Reply to: Message 168 by itrownot
10-26-2007 2:43 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
Message 158 by nator is a good post to reread, as Feynmen's caution applies equally to crashfrog and itrownot alike.
I never said that it was not.
Were you under the impression that I meant you specifically, itrownot, were the easiest person to fool? Like, out of all human beings, you're the most gullible?
I hardly believe that. You're the easiest person for you to fool. I'm the easiest person for myself to fool. I think you simply misunderstood what I was saying.
I'm simply asking you to accept the results of the Asch conformity experiment, and other experiments, that show that our own personal experiences can't be taken at face value, particularly when they contradict consensus reasoning and science. The easiest person to fool is yourself.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 168 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 2:43 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 172 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 3:14 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 171 of 199 (430657)
10-26-2007 3:06 PM
Reply to: Message 169 by itrownot
10-26-2007 2:56 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
If he has the evidence to back it up his original statement
My original statement that undiscernable self-deception is possible and common? Again, the Asch conformity experiment is the evidence. More than one-third of the participants in that trial experienced a visual hallucination simply as a result of other people disagreeing with them.
That's a fact. The Asch conformity experiment happened, that's a fact. Self-deception is possible, common, that's a fact. Exactly what are you objecting to being referred to as a "fact"? After all these posts I still don't have an idea.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 169 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 2:56 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 174 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 3:18 PM crashfrog has replied

  
itrownot
Member (Idle past 6019 days)
Posts: 71
Joined: 10-15-2007


Message 172 of 199 (430659)
10-26-2007 3:14 PM
Reply to: Message 170 by crashfrog
10-26-2007 3:03 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
sorry, crashfrog, but I do understand what you've written quite well. There's nothing personal about it in either direction, but whatever suits the goose, will suit the gander.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 170 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:03 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 173 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:17 PM itrownot has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 173 of 199 (430660)
10-26-2007 3:17 PM
Reply to: Message 172 by itrownot
10-26-2007 3:14 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
I still don't understand what you're objecting to. Can you make an effort to be clearer?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 172 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 3:14 PM itrownot has not replied

  
itrownot
Member (Idle past 6019 days)
Posts: 71
Joined: 10-15-2007


Message 174 of 199 (430661)
10-26-2007 3:18 PM
Reply to: Message 171 by crashfrog
10-26-2007 3:06 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
crashfrog, my point to you is rather simple. Reiterating my comment to rahvin (Message 169): It is NOT "always easier to fool yourself"--anyone who has fooled someone at some time or other knows that by simple inspection. Am I being a nitpicker? Of course--that's what we do here in order to understand one another.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 171 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:06 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 175 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:21 PM itrownot has replied
 Message 177 by Rahvin, posted 10-26-2007 5:12 PM itrownot has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 175 of 199 (430662)
10-26-2007 3:21 PM
Reply to: Message 174 by itrownot
10-26-2007 3:18 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
It is NOT "always easier to fool yourself"--anyone who has fooled someone at some time or other knows that by simple inspection.
To the contrary. Just because it's possible to fool another person doesn't mean that one can't be fooled, oneself.
Indeed, when another person tells us something, we usually apply a much greater degree of skepticism than we do to information received from our own senses. Indeed, no amount of external testimony can usually convince us that something we're seeing is false; in the Asch conformity experiment, the brain appears to subconsciously address that disparity by actually changing what is being seen.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 174 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 3:18 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 178 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 5:32 PM crashfrog has replied

  
sidelined
Member (Idle past 5930 days)
Posts: 3435
From: Edmonton Alberta Canada
Joined: 08-30-2003


Message 176 of 199 (430680)
10-26-2007 5:10 PM
Reply to: Message 168 by itrownot
10-26-2007 2:43 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
itrownot
Feynmen's principle was clearly more formulated to offer some pretty good advice, it seems, than it was to delineate a scientifically rigorous statement of fact, much like a modern technical version of Shakespeare's "to thine own self be true."
Actually it is aimed precisely at scientific rigour. The quote states
"The first principle is that you must not fool yourself--and you are the easiest person to fool."
It is a single sentence derived from a talk Feynman gave entitled Cargo Cult Science. A website where it can be read in its entirety is located here Gas Resources – gasresources.net

"A man's ethical behavior should be based effectually on sympathy, education, and social ties; no religious basis is necessary. Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear of punishment and hope of reward after death."
Albert Einstein

This message is a reply to:
 Message 168 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 2:43 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 181 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 8:25 PM sidelined has not replied

  
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


Message 177 of 199 (430681)
10-26-2007 5:12 PM
Reply to: Message 174 by itrownot
10-26-2007 3:18 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
crashfrog, my point to you is rather simple. Reiterating my comment to rahvin (Message 169): It is NOT "always easier to fool yourself"--anyone who has fooled someone at some time or other knows that by simple inspection.
You'll find that "common knowledge" and the like are typically wrong. As I said, you you have anything other than your own personal incredulity to back up your assertion?
Am I being a nitpicker? Of course--that's what we do here in order to understand one another.
No, you're just poor with logic. Saying "nuh uh! It's really easy to fool other people! Just ask anybody who'se done it!" is an argument from incredulity, and lacks the weight of evidence. Crash posted, as a single example, a study where individuals fooled themselves into believing something completely false, without their own knowledge, and with incredible ease.
Do you see the difference? Do you see why Crash get's to use the word "fact," and you get to use the word "anecdote?"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 174 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 3:18 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 184 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 9:10 PM Rahvin has not replied

  
itrownot
Member (Idle past 6019 days)
Posts: 71
Joined: 10-15-2007


Message 178 of 199 (430682)
10-26-2007 5:32 PM
Reply to: Message 175 by crashfrog
10-26-2007 3:21 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
So, if I happen to fool you into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve, then it would have been easier, according to your loosely formulated logic, for me to fool myself into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve. This is in effect what you are saying when you say "ALWAYS easier." Yours was a preposterous statement unless given to be understood within a specific context. That's exactly what I was contending about my past statement concerning my use of the word "empirical"--I was using the term "empirical" more generally as a word and in a particular context, but nobody could accept that. Now you want me to accept your use of the term "fact" outside of its strict meaning as a term.
You refuse to admit the obvious mistake, perhaps because it's embarassing for your argument's sake, so you keep dancing around it in a vain effort to justify it. Oh, well.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 175 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 3:21 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 179 by crashfrog, posted 10-26-2007 5:40 PM itrownot has not replied
 Message 180 by Rahvin, posted 10-26-2007 7:20 PM itrownot has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 179 of 199 (430683)
10-26-2007 5:40 PM
Reply to: Message 178 by itrownot
10-26-2007 5:32 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
So, if I happen to fool you into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve, then it would have been easier, according to your loosely formulated logic, for me to fool myself into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve.
Sure. To fool me, you actually had to use some kind of physical device or surreptitious physical contact to simulate the sensation of a spider on my arm.
To fool yourself, all your brain had to do was imagine it happening. You can't get into my brain and make it supply false sensations, but you can certainly make your own do it. It's what's going on every night when you dream. It's what's going on in Pentecostal churches. It's what's going on during hypnosis. (It's why you can't hypnotize the unwilling.)
This is in effect what you are saying when you say "ALWAYS easier."
I've defended my statement, Itrow. People are skeptical of other people's reported experiences in a way they're not about their own sensory experiences. "Seeing is believing." The problem is when you see things that aren't there, and it's a lot easier to get yourself to see something that isn't there than it is to get someone else to do it.
And the evidence of psychology defends this view. Hell, the great lengths that religion has gone to in the past to enforce conversion among the unwilling defends this view.
You refuse to admit the obvious mistake, perhaps because it's embarassing for your argument's sake, so you keep dancing around it in a vain effort to justify it.
I still don't understand what you think is a mistake. I suspect you're harping on this point to conceal your abject failure to defend your own "evidence" for the existence of God, the evidence that was supposedly so convincing but, yet, completely failed to materialize. Funny, that.
Edited by crashfrog, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 178 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 5:32 PM itrownot has not replied

  
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


Message 180 of 199 (430687)
10-26-2007 7:20 PM
Reply to: Message 178 by itrownot
10-26-2007 5:32 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
So, if I happen to fool you into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve, then it would have been easier, according to your loosely formulated logic, for me to fool myself into thinking there's a spider crawling up your sleeve. This is in effect what you are saying when you say "ALWAYS easier." Yours was a preposterous statement unless given to be understood within a specific context.
No, his was an accurate statement. As an example of people fooling themselves outside of religion, take a look at clouds. People "See" things in the all the time...but they aren't really there. Our brains are hardwired to detect patterns - often patterns that don't actually exist.
Saying Crash's statement was "preposterous" is yet again an argument from incredulity. His use of the word "always" was merited - self-delusion happens every day. It doesn't take effort to delude oneself - rather, it takes a LOT of effort to critically examine one's own views and perceptions to avoid self-deception.
That's exactly what I was contending about my past statement concerning my use of the word "empirical"--I was using the term "empirical" more generally as a word and in a particular context, but nobody could accept that. Now you want me to accept your use of the term "fact" outside of its strict meaning as a term.
Except you're still wrong. And Crash is still right. You used the word "empirical" incorrectly. Crash did not use the word "fact" incorrectly.
You refuse to admit the obvious mistake, perhaps because it's embarassing for your argument's sake, so you keep dancing around it in a vain effort to justify it. Oh, well.
Odd. I was going to say something along those lines to you.

Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 178 by itrownot, posted 10-26-2007 5:32 PM itrownot has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024