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Author Topic:   Just a question...
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 61 of 199 (429672)
10-21-2007 8:29 AM
Reply to: Message 36 by riVeRraT
10-18-2007 12:20 PM


quote:
It's not fair because Creationism is biased, and not science.
Well, that's not strictly accurate.
Both are biased.
Creationism is biased in favor of a preconceived conclusion found in a 2000 year old religious book.
Science is biased in favor of the evidence as observed.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 36 by riVeRraT, posted 10-18-2007 12:20 PM riVeRraT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 147 by riVeRraT, posted 10-24-2007 9:39 AM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 62 of 199 (429675)
10-21-2007 8:38 AM
Reply to: Message 46 by Hyroglyphx
10-18-2007 9:11 PM


Re: The pile-on
quote:
I then noticed about 10 people responding to his posts, which is a very typical occurrence at EvC for anyone espousing Christian, conservative, or creationist views.
Neither Purpledawn and LindaLou are Christian, conservative, or creationists.
They do, however, get "piled on" when they espouse nonsense in the form of bad arguments for poltergeists, bigfoot, and quack alternative health practices.
Bad arguments, inaccuracies or misrepresentations get pounced upon, no matter who they come from.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 46 by Hyroglyphx, posted 10-18-2007 9:11 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 63 of 199 (429676)
10-21-2007 8:45 AM
Reply to: Message 59 by itrownot
10-21-2007 1:54 AM


Re: Wish someone would present a Creation Model
quote:
I'm past doubting, jar, thanks be to God, but I know many others are not (yet) so blessed.
If you are "past doubting" then you are past learning.
You are doomed to stagnate in a dead belief.
How sad and wasteful.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 59 by itrownot, posted 10-21-2007 1:54 AM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 67 by itrownot, posted 10-21-2007 5:38 PM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 72 of 199 (429779)
10-21-2007 6:08 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by itrownot
10-21-2007 5:38 PM


Re: Wish someone would present a Creation Model
quote:
Yes, I am "past learning" about the existence of God in that I have sufficient empirical evidence of my own to satisfy all previous doubt, and I have now put that question aside.
I strongly suspect that you don't actually have emprirical evidence, but subjective evidence.
Meaning, you don't have evidence for the existence of God that is;
1) falsifiable, and
2) not falsified.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by itrownot, posted 10-21-2007 5:38 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 74 by itrownot, posted 10-21-2007 6:28 PM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 121 of 199 (430068)
10-23-2007 9:51 AM
Reply to: Message 99 by itrownot
10-22-2007 5:22 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
quote:
I couldn't predict what the next logical event should be, but when each new event occurred, the sense of it became clear in relation to previous ones in the sequence. There was a kind of elegance about it that was marvelous.
That's a classic post-hoc fallacy, plue selective thinking;
source
Selective thinking is the process whereby one selects out favorable evidence for remembrance and focus, while ignoring unfavorable evidence for a belief.
The post hoc ergo propter hoc (after this therefore because of this) fallacy is based upon the mistaken notion that simply because one thing happens after another, the first event was a cause of the second event. Post hoc reasoning is the basis for many superstitions and erroneous beliefs.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 99 by itrownot, posted 10-22-2007 5:22 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 125 by itrownot, posted 10-23-2007 5:34 PM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 126 of 199 (430203)
10-23-2007 7:23 PM
Reply to: Message 125 by itrownot
10-23-2007 5:34 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
quote:
For example, if my series of events were, let's say, a series of paint strokes, and each stroke appeared at random, but together they finally culminated in a flawlessly executed portrait of a woman, let's say the Mona Lisa, then we would be discussing the mysterious creation of a marvelous piece of art, not a classic logical fallacy.
You wrote:
quote:
I couldn't predict what the next logical event should be, but when each new event occurred, the sense of it became clear in relation to previous ones in the sequence. There was a kind of elegance about it that was marvelous.
You clearly say here that the "sense" of each unpredictable event became clear to you only after looking back at the previous sequence of events.
Such a scenario is pretty much guaranteed to be rife with bias, since the further along you get, the less likely you are to notice when things don't make sense.
We humans are hard wired to see patterns, connections, and meaning in and between events and concepts; so much so that we are very, very prone to seeing them when they aren't really there. Numerology comes to mind here.
Most of us can quite easily look back at our long or short term lives and make connections between unpredictable events that, in retrospect or even as they happen, seem amazing.
But, even if a long series of amazing events happened to you, so seamless as to be described as elegant, why on Earth does that indicate the existence of God?
Doesn't that seem rather self-centered?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 125 by itrownot, posted 10-23-2007 5:34 PM itrownot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 130 by itrownot, posted 10-23-2007 11:09 PM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 152 of 199 (430334)
10-24-2007 5:59 PM
Reply to: Message 130 by itrownot
10-23-2007 11:09 PM


Re: Confirmation Bias
quote:
Suppose, just prior to the paint strokes occurring (as described in the previous example), you had been prompted (say, by a "still, small voice") to answer the question, "What is your favorite portrait?" and you had answered unequivocally, "the Mona Lisa...THAT is my favorite portrait!" and then, suddenly, the Mona Lisa portrait mysteriously appeared only hours later, what would you say? Would you describe THAT as self-centered?
Why are you talking about a painting? What does that have to do with anything, unless it is the very thing that happened to you?
You claimed that you had no way of predicting what was coming next, but a half-finished portrait provides some pretty good clues about what will appear next. If the nose is there, for example, you have a pretty good chance of predicting where the eyes and mouth are going to be.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 130 by itrownot, posted 10-23-2007 11:09 PM itrownot has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 153 of 199 (430337)
10-24-2007 6:08 PM
Reply to: Message 144 by itrownot
10-24-2007 2:34 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
quote:
It's pointless to discuss this thing any further when I have already stated repeatedly that I wasn't trying to convince anyone,
Just so you know...
What you walk into a room of science-minded people and say "I've got emprirical evidence for the existence of God" (with no quotes around that word), don't be surprised that they challenge you.
Furthermore, when you tell them, "Well, I don't mean "empirical" the way scientists mean it, but in my own personal way.", you should also expect some discussion of that.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 144 by itrownot, posted 10-24-2007 2:34 AM itrownot has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 154 of 199 (430338)
10-24-2007 6:12 PM
Reply to: Message 147 by riVeRraT
10-24-2007 9:39 AM


Science is biased in favor of the evidence as observed.
quote:
That was the most ridiculous thing you've ever said.
Well that was a completely meaningless, worthless statment unless you take the trouble to explain why you think it was the most ridiculous thing I've ever written.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 147 by riVeRraT, posted 10-24-2007 9:39 AM riVeRraT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 159 by riVeRraT, posted 10-25-2007 8:57 AM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 158 of 199 (430409)
10-25-2007 6:13 AM
Reply to: Message 157 by itrownot
10-25-2007 2:52 AM


Re: Confirmation Bias
I think crash was paraphrasing one of my favorite Feynman quotes:
“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool.”
The most difficult bias to detect is bias we ourselves have.
This makes sense, since if we could spot our own biases, they wouldn't be biases anymore.
Individual bias is one of the things the scientific method corrects for.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 157 by itrownot, posted 10-25-2007 2:52 AM itrownot has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 164 of 199 (430483)
10-25-2007 6:06 PM
Reply to: Message 159 by riVeRraT
10-25-2007 8:57 AM


quote:
bias: A bias is a prejudice in a general or specific sense, usually in the sense for having a preference to one particular point of view or ideological perspective.
Yes.
Science is biased in favor of empirical evidence.
That's obvious, isn't it?
I think you are getting caught up in the common misconception that bias is always a bad thing, which is isn't, of course.
I am, for example, biased in favor of ethical business practices as opposed to unethical practices.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 159 by riVeRraT, posted 10-25-2007 8:57 AM riVeRraT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 188 by riVeRraT, posted 10-27-2007 1:04 PM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 191 of 199 (430818)
10-27-2007 7:48 PM
Reply to: Message 187 by riVeRraT
10-27-2007 1:02 PM


quote:
Mator said, back in message 61 "Science is biased in favor of the evidence as observed. "
The evidence as obsevered is unbiased.
Evidence itself isn't biased. Evidence are just events or facts that are what they are.
It is only subsequent conclusions drawn from the evidence, or the way the evidence was gathered or analysed that can be biased.
When comparing "different ways of knowing about reality" as LindaLou had put it, it is very clear that science is biased in favor of the evidence when determining what we know. This is in contrast to philosophy or religion, which use sophistry of revelation to claim they know something about reality.
Again, bias isn't always a negative thing. I am biased in favor of strong flavors as opposed to delicate ones, for example. Is that bad?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 187 by riVeRraT, posted 10-27-2007 1:02 PM riVeRraT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 192 by riVeRraT, posted 10-28-2007 1:21 AM nator has replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 193 of 199 (430901)
10-28-2007 7:09 AM
Reply to: Message 192 by riVeRraT
10-28-2007 1:21 AM


quote:
I still say, you cannot say, science is biased on unbiased evidence.
Did you mean "based" on unbiased evidence?
If so, then you're wrong, I think. Evidence itself has no bias. Evidence is just the facts. It is things like the length of a tail, the structure of a molecule, the height of a sine wave. The measurement, interpretation, or method of gathering of that evidence, for example, can be biased, though.
quote:
The evidence is the root, and if that is unbiased, then so is science.
I agree that evidence is the root, but no evidence is ever biased.
Bias is what happens when people try to describe nature. Nature is the evidence.
If you don't agree, then perhaps you can explain to me how evidence itself, rather than the measurement or interpretation of that evidence, can be biased.
How can a sine wave or molecule be biased?
quote:
Remember, science is only as good as us, and if we were to find a better way of doing science tomorrow, we would do it, so science itself is not biased on anything.
Sure it is.
Science is biased in favor of empirical evidence. This is a good bias for it to have. Remember, science did not always have such a strong bias in favor of empiricism. It used to allow all sorts of religious and social "evidence".
Creationism, by contrast, is biased in favor of revelation. This is fine for religion but terrible for making discoveries about the natural world.
quote:
Science can adapt much better BASED on unbiased evidence over things like religion, and your taste buds, which change over time.
Please explain how evidence itself can be biased.
quote:
And I wouldn't use the word biased the way you used it to describe what flavors you like. I think that is an incorrect way of using the word.
I know you think that.
quote:
Bias is usually used to describe an unfair, or subjective view on things, not what flavors you like.
And that is an incorrect, or at least incomplete and limited, definition of bias.
This is a short article from the Skeptical Inquirer that explains a little about "good" and "bad" bias.
quote:
You just like them, you are not biased towards them.
That's bias, riverrat.
quote:
Thats just the way I see it, and reading the definition in wikipedia kind of confirms that for me.
Well, the Wikipedia definition isn't a particularly good one, I'm afraid.
Edited by nator, : No reason given.
Edited by nator, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 192 by riVeRraT, posted 10-28-2007 1:21 AM riVeRraT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 194 by riVeRraT, posted 10-30-2007 11:17 AM nator has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2197 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 199 of 199 (432198)
11-04-2007 1:36 PM
Reply to: Message 198 by riVeRraT
11-02-2007 11:08 AM


If you had said the same thing as Percy, the same way he said it, I would have fallen over in a dead faint.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 198 by riVeRraT, posted 11-02-2007 11:08 AM riVeRraT has not replied

  
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