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Author Topic:   Investing In Inflation
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 1 of 85 (485191)
10-06-2008 8:35 AM


Will Rogers understood how inflation works. The only thing that really goes up by inflation is inflation. Prices of goods remain relatively the same. The only difference is the number on the paper you pay for goods with. The amount of work and the amount of silver or gold you pay for the goods remains relatively constant.
I remember when I first began paying into Social Security. Then I paid 23 to 25 cents a gallon for gasoline with money backed by valuable metal such as silver and gold. I could buy a gallon of gasoline with one silver quarter. Today a silver quarter will not buy quite a gallon but is peaking at highs which approach a gallon.
Then I worked an hour for three or four silver quarters.
The link below is Howard Ruff's commentary on what is happening today. He and others have warned for many years of what is happening monetarily today.
Will Rogers: “Invest in inflation; it’s the only thing that’s going up.”
Kitco Commentator's Corner
ABE: Perhaps this could go to the coffee shop for discussion as to whether it would be wise at this time to add gold and/or silver or gold and/or silver stocks to one's portfolio and if so how to do it.
What else would it be wise to have on hand in the event of monetary hyper inflation or panacea relative to monetary crashes in the financial sector?
Are there other better alternatives of safe investment than precious metals in light of the recent financial turmoil?
Edited by Buzsaw, : No reason given.
Edited by Buzsaw, : Complete OP
Edited by Buzsaw, : Add discussion suggestions

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

Replies to this message:
 Message 3 by Modulous, posted 10-07-2008 11:36 AM Buzsaw has replied
 Message 11 by Chiroptera, posted 10-08-2008 5:33 PM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 4 of 85 (485369)
10-07-2008 7:54 PM
Reply to: Message 3 by Modulous
10-07-2008 11:36 AM


Modulous writes:
In a well run economy, yes, this is true. The value of money rises (which is good, otherwise capitalism would fall over), and the cost of living increases.
It is bad for us only when the cost of living increases faster than the value of money rises.
Inflation is not a bad thing: it is necessary in a growing economy. If inflation stops, we call it stagnation and it is as bad as too much inflation.
Sometimes, inflation can form little positive feedback systems, leading to runaway inflation. This is bad because the amount of work you need to do to buy gasoline/whatever can end up increasing on a daily basis.
Thanks for your reply, Modulous. For nearly two centuries the nation's economy grew from nothing to be the greatest on the planet with relatively insignificant inflation.
Problems began to arise primarily due to the creation of the Federal Reserve when the central banks took over creation and management of money from Congress. But things remained quite stable until 1964 when the people were conditioned by the paper money scheme to accept paper as money. This was the last year you could take your paper to the bank and bring home silver for what the paper was suppose to represent. From there we had nothing but growth of the amount of paper required to bring home a piece of silver or whatever you wanted to buy. It was then and ever since that I and a minority of conspiratist believers like Howard Ruff were warning our friends, relatives and others that some day the bubble would bust. I wrote a letter to the local editor back in the 1970s to the effect that you had to find, mine and refine the only safe and bona-fide medium of exchange, i.e. money.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3 by Modulous, posted 10-07-2008 11:36 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 5 by Modulous, posted 10-08-2008 9:01 AM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 6 of 85 (485423)
10-08-2008 11:36 AM
Reply to: Message 5 by Modulous
10-08-2008 9:01 AM


What Gold Represents Monetarily
Modulous writes:
I understand the advantages of a gold standard, but you do realize the disadvantages, yes?
Yes I do. It's like gas released from a cylinder. You can't put it back in. For it to be reinstated it would have to be done globally for it to work because if one nation implemented it all paper unbacked currencies would immediate gobble up such currency.
Modulous writes:
The paper is not meant to represent gold.
Not now, but when it did represent gold and silver the $$ was relatively stable as to it's buying power, relative, that is, to what ensued after it became unbacked.
Modulous writes:
If it does, what does the gold represent? I thought it represented a payment for goods/services? Are you suggesting that the amount of goods and services produced in the world per year is limited by the 2,500 tons of gold that can be mined?
1. The metals backed $$ once represented payment for everything purchased , i.e. goods and services.
2. During the gold standard era it was illegal for private ownership of gold bullion. There's over a hundred thousand tonnes above ground as of 1996 and modern tech has been increasing the supply.
3. I'm not advocating a return to the gold standard as it is not going to happen nationally. However the possibility of a global monetary system as the Bible prophesied 2000 years ago backed by called in global gold bullion is not beyond possibility as aspects of national economy continue to emerge globally.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by Modulous, posted 10-08-2008 9:01 AM Modulous has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by kuresu, posted 10-08-2008 2:33 PM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 8 of 85 (485464)
10-08-2008 4:32 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by kuresu
10-08-2008 2:33 PM


Re: Creation Of Money
kuresu writes:
I dare say. The individual states do not have the power to print their own monies. Banks don't have that power either.
That's irreverent to this. I never said they did. That was relegated to Congress under the Constitution. The problem with the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 is that this power was relegated from Congress to private central banks, i.e. the Federal Reserve Banks (privately owned) and now rather than Congress creating money, we, the taxpayers must pay private central banks interest to do what Congress was suppose to do for the cost of the paper. The bankers who hold our money empower and enrich themselves by this privilege. That's how I understand the system. Correct me if I'm mistaken.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by kuresu, posted 10-08-2008 2:33 PM kuresu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by kuresu, posted 10-08-2008 5:17 PM Buzsaw has replied
 Message 10 by Chiroptera, posted 10-08-2008 5:31 PM Buzsaw has replied
 Message 12 by Modulous, posted 10-08-2008 7:20 PM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 13 of 85 (485490)
10-08-2008 8:46 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by kuresu
10-08-2008 5:17 PM


Re: Parsing Slipping Points
kuresu writes:
buzsaw writes:
I'm not advocating a return to the gold standard as it is not going to happen nationally. However the possibility of a global monetary system as the Bible prophesied 2000 years ago backed by called in global gold bullion is not beyond possibility as aspects of national economy continue to emerge globally.
kerusu writes:
I dare say. The individual states do not have the power to print their own monies. Banks don't have that power either.
way to miss the point. You said you weren't advocating a return to the gold standard because it wouldn't happen nationally.
Well, if the return to gold happens, it has no choice but to happen nationally because states can't form their own currency separate of the USD.
I was pointing out that you slipped. You probably meant to say "globally", not "nationally". That you went into a diatribe against the Fed act of 1913 just shows your inability to understand you said something wrong.
Reread carefully and this time, thoughtfully and you will see who slipped. (embolding added to make it easy for you.}

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by kuresu, posted 10-08-2008 5:17 PM kuresu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 17 by kuresu, posted 10-09-2008 5:44 AM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 14 of 85 (485493)
10-08-2008 9:07 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by Chiroptera
10-08-2008 5:31 PM


Re: Creation Of Money
Chiroptera writes:
But conservatives think this is good, right? I thought that conservatives think that the government can't do anything right, and that private enterprise does everything better. Like Social Security and health care. And education. And prisons. And everything else that the conservatives have been trying to privatize.
Jesus put it in proper perspective. "Render to God what is God's and to Caesar that which is Caesar's." Government should be limited to what the Constitution advocated. Woodrow Wilson, liberal Democrat and Co, on Christmas eve, 1913 after most had left, ignored the Constitution and signed off what belonged to the government of the people to the few wealthy bankers to enlarge their already bulging coffers with the folk's money.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by Chiroptera, posted 10-08-2008 5:31 PM Chiroptera has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 18 by subbie, posted 10-09-2008 7:55 AM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 15 of 85 (485507)
10-09-2008 12:12 AM
Reply to: Message 12 by Modulous
10-08-2008 7:20 PM


Re: Creation Of Money
Modulous writes:
Without the Federal Reserve, there would be many many problems. Bank runs would happen more often as people panicked and withdrew all of their money at once. One way to achieve this is to have 'Elastic currency'
Why then did the nation function quite efficiently as pre-eminent leader during the Industrial Revolution for 137 years before the Federal Reserve Act was signed?
Currency that can, by the actions of the central monetary authority, expand or contract in amount warranted by economic conditions.
That's what's nice about the gold standard, in that fluctuation in the currency value was not a major problem. Foundational precious metal limited the expansion and contraction of currency so as to keep economic conditions relatively stable.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Modulous writes:
Buzsaw writes:
problem with the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 is that this power was relegated from Congress to private central banks
Not quite. There were two different schools of thought: some wanted the flexibility and greatness of the market to oversee money rather than have the government do it...others wanted the government to get involved for accountability and to keep the interest of the people involved. In the end the Federal Reserve is placed into private hands as a not for profit organization, with heavy government regulation (unless of course, somebody becomes a massive deregulator which gives more and more power to these financial institutions). I assume you are a big fan of government regulation in this case.
For example, if a bank starts loaning out a lot of money that cannot be paid back...the Federal Reserve is obligated to step in. With deregulation it becomes less likely they can/will. As those loans fail to be paid, the economy goes sour.
The Federal Reserve is considered 'Independent within the Government'. Whether or not that is a good model is open for debate: we have the Bank of England which performs the same function but is owned by the state. I would have thought someone such as yourself, would prefer it be private rather than the socialist
Keep it simple. Let Congress (Caesar) do their thing, as the founders advocated and let the banks do theirs, serving the folks. Congressional oversight, in the interest of the people at large should manage the currency, relative to the amount created and it's oversight relative to major monetary problems which may arise. OTOH when private interests are placed in charge, the tendency is for private interests to enrich and empower themselves, as appears to be what happens.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by Modulous, posted 10-08-2008 7:20 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by Modulous, posted 10-09-2008 9:19 AM Buzsaw has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 16 of 85 (485508)
10-09-2008 12:23 AM
Reply to: Message 11 by Chiroptera
10-08-2008 5:33 PM


Re: Time To Buy Stocks?
Chiroptera writes:
Actually, I'm thinking that this is now the time to get into stocks, now that they have dropped so much. Buy low, then sell high, and all that.
I agree, but not before careful research and keeping in mind that the bottom may be down the road a spell. I would say, perhaps, begin to accumulate sound companies with good price/earnings ratio.
Perhaps call options on sound companies would be a relative safe strategy at this time so as to limit loss to the price of the option and so as to maximize the amount of gain in the event of a rebound by controlling a large block of a given stock.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by Chiroptera, posted 10-08-2008 5:33 PM Chiroptera has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 20 of 85 (485529)
10-09-2008 9:25 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by kuresu
10-09-2008 5:44 AM


Re: Parsing Slipping Points
Nationally can be applied relatively to globally or applied to being relative to states. My usage clearly was relatively to globally as I have taken the time to reiterate.
Are you here to harass or are you here to contribute constructive dialog?

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by kuresu, posted 10-09-2008 5:44 AM kuresu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 21 by kuresu, posted 10-09-2008 10:35 AM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 25 of 85 (485591)
10-09-2008 9:02 PM
Reply to: Message 21 by kuresu
10-09-2008 10:35 AM


Re: Parsing Slipping Points
Duh. Not national but perhaps globally. Nothing to do with states in my message in question. I was relating nationally to globally and not relating it to states in my message. Get it? Kuresu, if you don't get it, bloviate on to yourself but this is not the free for all. I've got other things to do.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 21 by kuresu, posted 10-09-2008 10:35 AM kuresu has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 26 of 85 (485596)
10-09-2008 11:14 PM
Reply to: Message 18 by subbie
10-09-2008 7:55 AM


Re: Creation Of Money
subbie writes:
After most of whom had left what?
Oh, this will be good. Pray tell, what provision of the Constitution did the Federal Reserve Act violate?
Answer to Subbie's questions:
In December 1913 while many members of Congress were home for Christmas, the Federal Reserve Act was rammed through Congress and was later signed by President Wilson. At a later date, Wilson admitted with remorse, when referring to the “Fed” . . “I have unwittingly ruined my country”
We didn’t have nor did we need an income tax until we got the bankers. The income tax was only needed to pay interest to the bankers for our money that they loan to our government. Yes, you read that right, the Fed, mostly on paper and computer, creates money or pays the treasury a small printing fee for currency, and then loans this money to our government. Our taxes pay them interest on this loan that cost the FEDS virtually nothing to make, what a sweetheart of a deal they have going for them.
As of March 6, 2006, the national debt stands at 8.2 trillion dollars. The American taxpayers have paid the FED banking system $173,875,979,369 [that's billions] in interest on that debt in just five short months, from October, 2005, through February, 2006. No con artist or group of con artists in history has ever perpetrated a scam that even approaches the scope of this one.
/

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 18 by subbie, posted 10-09-2008 7:55 AM subbie has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 28 by Modulous, posted 10-10-2008 3:12 PM Buzsaw has not replied
 Message 29 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 5:33 PM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 27 of 85 (485634)
10-10-2008 8:54 AM


Commodity Options
One strategy for cashing in on a possible rebound in stocks is to buy S&P future calls on the commodity market. You can buy them for the short term or long term. Like other commodities, you can control large blocks of stocks, again, limiting possible loss to the cost of the option. Also you can buy calls on stocks you sell so if the stock rebounds after you sell you can redeem some, all or even more than you lost when you sold. Adversely you can buy stocks and hold puts on the ones you buy.
Had folks kept some relatively cheap out of the market future puts on the stocks they held or on the S&P index, they would have protected themselves from loss from the crash.
This strategy would likely be more for folks holding a lot of stocks or mutual funds etc related to the market.
As well, options have always been available on currency, like puts on the $$ would protect from inflation of the $$. I'm not sure, but there may be a ban in place on shorting the $$ at this time.
This is also another strategy for getting into the precious metals market without buying the metals themselves. One can buy gold or silver calls which may offset further stock losses.
Be advised that I'm not advising anyone to get into the commodity market without previous study and professional advice, especially when buying the futures themselves rather than options where loss is limited.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

Replies to this message:
 Message 34 by Phat, posted 10-11-2008 2:29 AM Buzsaw has replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 30 of 85 (485717)
10-10-2008 9:45 PM
Reply to: Message 29 by subbie
10-10-2008 5:33 PM


How The Unconstitutional Federal Reserve Swindles The Folks
The Federal Reserve is unconstitutional. I highly recommend a read of the whole page here which walks you through precisely how central bank systems empower the few bankers and impoverish the folks. By their power to raise and lower interest rates they position themselves to control the economy for their own profit, being in the insider position to prepare for the ups and downs of the markets and cash in.
I guarantee that you will be enlightened by a reading of this page if you're not aware of how the Fed Reserve which is private bankers gets rich. This is what enriched the Rockefellers, the Rothchilds and the Warburgs etc at the expense of the folks.
Article 1, Section 8 of the US Constitution specifically says that Congress is the only body that can "coin money and regulate the value thereof." The US Constitution has never been amended to allow anyone other than Congress to coin and regulate currency.
Ask your representative, in light of that information, how it is possible for the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, and the Federal Reserve Bank that it created, to be constitutional. Ask them why this private banking cartel is allowed to reap trillions of dollars in profits without paying taxes. Insist on an answer.
Thomas Jefferson said, "If the America people ever allow private banks to control the issuance of their currencies, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all their prosperity until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."
This UTube clip is also good.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 5:33 PM subbie has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 10:57 PM Buzsaw has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 31 of 85 (485721)
10-10-2008 10:24 PM
Reply to: Message 29 by subbie
10-10-2008 5:33 PM


Re: Creation Of Money
subbie writes:
Thus, you were simply wrong when you said "most" had left. In addition, the claim that the Act was rammed through Congress is inconsistent with the facts, and the claim from Elliot Lake News that "many" had left is shown to be irrelevant to the passage of the Act.
The House had passed the bill on the 22nd of Dec with a number absent but not enough to have blocked House passage. However the Senate did not have a majority of support for it. On Christmas Eve, as I understand it, a surprise vote was held with members of the Senate absent for the holidays (more than enough to block the passage) Had the other Senators been present the consensus is that it would not have passed the Senate.
The numbers absent etc were on another site. I believe there were 43 Senators which would be a minority present, voting aye. It appears that roughly half of the naysayers were absent for the holidays.
The link on my previous message answers your Constitutional question.
How does the Fed support itself?
In order to remain independent of the U.S. government, the Federal Reserve totally supports itself. It generates its income for the most part from interest. This interest comes from many sources, including:
* Government securities that it acquires through open market operations
* Foreign currency investments
* Bank/depository institution loans that the Fed makes using the discount rate
The Fed is also paid fees for services it provides such as funds transfers (Fedwire), check processing, and automated clearinghouse (ACH) operations. (ACH options are electronic alternatives to the paper-based check system. Examples include automatic payroll deposits and electronic bill paying.)
Any money the Fed has left over after it pays all of its expenses are sent to the U.S. Treasury. Since the Federal Reserve System began in 1914, about 95 percent of the Reserve Banks' net earnings have ended up being paid into the Treasury.
I would remove the word, support, and insert the word, enrich, in Wiki's first paragraph here.
I believe the Fed gets 94% if I understand correctly. Do you have any idea how much that 6% that the bankers get after their meager expenses of creating the money? After expenses it's still astronomical. Their interest rate manipulative power works to expand and contract the money supply etc. Anyhow, read the link in my last message and you get an idea of how they rob the folks.
Information about the income and expenses of the Federal Reserve Board can be found in the Board of Governor's Annual Report.
subbie writes:
In addition, I've been unable to locate any credible source for the quote from Wilson. It certainly doesn't sound like anything that any former President would say, so I'm skeptical, but can't rule out the possibility that he did say it.
The UTube link in my last message has it in it.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 5:33 PM subbie has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 11:12 PM Buzsaw has replied
 Message 43 by Modulous, posted 10-12-2008 10:28 AM Buzsaw has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 35 of 85 (485755)
10-11-2008 9:00 AM
Reply to: Message 33 by subbie
10-10-2008 11:12 PM


Re: Creation Of Money
Subbie, it's time for you to stop hurling personal insults at your counterpart and do some supportive evidence yourself. I've produced some facts which you're denying. It's up to you to refute some of those facts with some support of your own position in some of these areas. You're the one challenging them. I see we're a percentage point off on the profit the banks get from the nearly free money they create from paper and the printing press. Do you realize how much that amounts to? Cite your source that my percentage figure is wrong and yours is right.
You didn't directly refute my assertion that the Constitution relegated Congress the power to create money. Your stuff did not refute that fact.

BUZSAW B 4 U 2 C Y BUZ SAW.
The immeasurable present eternally extends the infinite past and infinitely consumes the eternal future.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 33 by subbie, posted 10-10-2008 11:12 PM subbie has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 36 by Straggler, posted 10-11-2008 11:16 AM Buzsaw has replied
 Message 41 by subbie, posted 10-11-2008 9:55 PM Buzsaw has not replied

  
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