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Author Topic:   polonium halos
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1423 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 226 of 265 (499525)
02-19-2009 12:20 AM
Reply to: Message 221 by Phydeaux
02-18-2009 11:21 AM


Re: Will you recognize when your argument is falsified?
Hi Phideaux,
I placed a one pixel sized red dot in the center from which I started every time. In the uranium halo the radiocenter containing lead is actually visible. As long as I start from the same spot, and measure in the same general direction it should be close enough to being correct. This was confirmed by the matching of the po-218 ring.
No it just shows that that one line happens to obtain that result. To validate it you need to start from that same spot and measure lines in several directions. You have not done that, while my circles have, in effect measured lines all around the circumference, and hence my circles are more robust than your single line in accuracy. If you change the "center" of your line slightly you can get very different results because it will change the ratios between the circles.
The results for the Po-210 ring in polonium halos is 19.8 μm. The results for the radon ring in uranium halos was 20.5 μm. I think it is silly that we are arguing over our measurements of a picture, when we have published results from scientist whom had better equipment. From Gentry's article in science 1974:
So when I match each of those published polonium radii, AND have a ring that just HAPPENS to be within the margin of error for where he says the 222Rn ring is, is just luck eh?
When I take the same process from a 238U halo that ALSO matches his published results for every ring, and superimpose it over the "polonium" halo an IT just HAPPENS to match precisely where he says the 222Rn ring as well as match each of the polonium rings is ALSO just luck eh?
Why does that happen, Phydeaux? How do you explain it?
All I see so far is denial.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
 Message 221 by Phydeaux, posted 02-18-2009 11:21 AM Phydeaux has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 227 by Phydeaux, posted 02-19-2009 11:53 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied
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Phydeaux
Junior Member (Idle past 5221 days)
Posts: 13
Joined: 11-17-2009


Message 227 of 265 (499606)
02-19-2009 11:53 AM
Reply to: Message 226 by RAZD
02-19-2009 12:20 AM


Re: Will you recognize when your argument is falsified?
No it just shows that that one line happens to obtain that result. To validate it you need to start from that same spot and measure lines in several directions. You have not done that, while my circles have, in effect measured lines all around the circumference, and hence my circles are more robust than your single line in accuracy. If you change the "center" of your line slightly you can get very different results because it will change the ratios between the circles.
Well, first of all you didn't line up the circles correctly:

Click to enlarge
Line up the circles incorrectly, and you get the wrong calibration. Also, the ring sizes very in size in the published results; this can make calibrating the ring sizes much more of a guessing game. Plus, this halo doesn't have a visible radiocenter like the uranium halo has; this is much harder to measure.
I tried calibrating the distance between the rings of 214 and 218 to 11, which is a pretty consistent in the published reports, and got 3.9 between 218 and 210, but I think trying to calculate the ring size of this halo in this way is a bad idea. We need to know the actual size, not the size we calibrated to make it work.
Edited by Phydeaux, : code correction.
Edited by Phydeaux, : Same thing

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Replies to this message:
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Admin
Director
Posts: 13013
From: EvC Forum
Joined: 06-14-2002
Member Rating: 1.9


Message 228 of 265 (499679)
02-19-2009 6:23 PM
Reply to: Message 226 by RAZD
02-19-2009 12:20 AM


Paging RAZD
Please check your email, or respond to Message 22. Thanks!

--Percy
EvC Forum Director

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1423 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 229 of 265 (499701)
02-19-2009 8:51 PM
Reply to: Message 227 by Phydeaux
02-19-2009 11:53 AM


later
I'll get back to you on the weekend. I only have time to hit the highspots tonight, so I have to triage replies
Edited by RAZD, : sub

This message is a reply to:
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lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4734 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 230 of 265 (499830)
02-20-2009 11:17 PM
Reply to: Message 227 by Phydeaux
02-19-2009 11:53 AM


Not Done Lurking
This topic has been of interest to me for some time. It's the only question ever put to me by a creationist that wasn't obviously flawed. I'm still not sure I'm fully up to speed so I don't want to let it go. This is a bump.
Well, first of all you didn't line up the circles correctly:
You'll find that image 222rnhalo1v2ym1.jpg the right hand image with the misaligned circles is originally from Message 205, where RAZD said this about it:
I've also redone the image to move the 23.5 circle to the outer limits of the discoloration there in order to make the inner circles smaller:And I still get 20.24 for the 222Rn band, within the margin of error for 222Rn and still too big for 210Po; and I still get 19.07 for the 210Po band, within the margin of error for 210Po; but the outer ring is 34.08 -- small for this band, when the first version above is a better fit to the published data. Thus the first picture is a better overall fit to the outer rings.
Clearly it was originally a test piece rejected for the better fit of this image:
which RAZD used in all instances following with the exception of Message 215 where he picked the argument back up after a longish pause. I'll bet you he used the wrong image and your argument's for nought.
Razd's method for finding the ring sizes is much more accurate the yours. It's much easier to find the peak of a Gaussian distribution then the edge. Especially since there ain't one.

Genesis 2
17 But of the ponderosa pine, thou shalt not eat of it; for in the day that thou shinniest thereof thou shalt sorely learn of thy nakedness.
18 And we all live happily ever after.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 227 by Phydeaux, posted 02-19-2009 11:53 AM Phydeaux has replied

Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1423 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 231 of 265 (499833)
02-20-2009 11:49 PM
Reply to: Message 230 by lyx2no
02-20-2009 11:17 PM


Re: Not Done Lurking
Thanks lyx2no2,
Razd's method for finding the ring sizes is much more accurate the yours. It's much easier to find the peak of a Gaussian distribution then the edge. Especially since there ain't one.
This is a point that is obvious to you, me and cavediver, but it isn't obvious to creationists, because (a) they don't usually know about Gaussian or any other kinds of distributions, and (b) the authority they use states he measures edges.
The problem, as you point out, is that when you look closely, there is no edge. Part of this is due to inclusion size, and part of it is due to variations in penetration in a non-homogeneous material. I also suspect, but haven't confirmed, that the α-energy is not a fixed quantum number, but shows some variation in testing around a peak value.
which RAZD used in all instances following with the exception of Message 215 where he picked the argument back up after a longish pause. I'll bet you he used the wrong image and your argument's for nought.
Actually, I used the worst example from my testing as it still showed that there had to be 222Rn in the halo: it shows damage at a distance that does not fit the "polonium only" model. I am planning to do a more thorough job this weekend, but don't know how much time I will have for it.
Enjoy.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


• • • Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click) • • •

This message is a reply to:
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Phydeaux
Junior Member (Idle past 5221 days)
Posts: 13
Joined: 11-17-2009


Message 232 of 265 (499843)
02-21-2009 1:19 AM
Reply to: Message 230 by lyx2no
02-20-2009 11:17 PM


Re: Not Done Lurking
"Razd's method for finding the ring sizes is much more accurate the yours. It's much easier to find the peak of a Gaussian distribution then the edge. Especially since there ain't one"
What? I see an edge. How can you find the center of coloration if there is no edge? I realize that some of the alpha particles may have went further than others, but you can't really see the damage they caused. Most of them gathered forming a pretty sharp ring. The ring is about 11 pixels thick. If you measure from Razd's circle to the edge of that part I pointed about before it's about 11 pixels. (and yes I measured it on the new picture you gave me) If you measure from the edge of the 210 ring to Razd's 210 circle it's about 11 pixels. Obviously some inconsistencies there.
Edited by Phydeaux, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 233 by anglagard, posted 02-21-2009 3:52 AM You replied

     
anglagard
Member (Idle past 855 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 233 of 265 (499851)
02-21-2009 3:52 AM
Reply to: Message 232 by Phydeaux
02-21-2009 1:19 AM


What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
Phydeaux writes:
What? I see an edge. How can you find the center of coloration if there is no edge? I realize that some of the alpha particles may have went further than others, but you can't really see the damage they caused. Most of them gathered forming a pretty sharp ring. The ring is about 11 pixels thick. If you measure from Razd's circle to the edge of that part I pointed about before it's about 11 pixels. (and yes I measured it on the new picture you gave me) If you measure from the edge of the 210 ring to Razd's 210 circle it's about 11 pixels. Obviously some inconsistencies there.
Yup, no knowledge of Gaussian distribution here.
Click on the highlighted phrase above or remain ignorant (and a source of amusement).
Edited by anglagard, : include original message

Read not to contradict and confute, not to believe and take for granted, not to find talk and discourse, but to weigh and consider - Francis Bacon
The more we understand particular things, the more we understand God - Spinoza

This message is a reply to:
 Message 232 by Phydeaux, posted 02-21-2009 1:19 AM Phydeaux has replied

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Phydeaux
Junior Member (Idle past 5221 days)
Posts: 13
Joined: 11-17-2009


Message 234 of 265 (499852)
02-21-2009 4:01 AM
Reply to: Message 233 by anglagard
02-21-2009 3:52 AM


Re: What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
"It is often called the bell curve because the graph of its probability density resembles a bell."
And how does that differ from what I said:
"I realize that some of the alpha particles may have went further than others, but you can't really see the damage they caused."
I know all the alpha particles are not all lined up in one spot, but the curve is pretty steep. Meaning there is an edge. Sure there may be an uncertainty of .1 m, but nothing like there is measuring from the center of the ring.
Edited by Phydeaux, : No reason given.

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Replies to this message:
 Message 235 by anglagard, posted 02-21-2009 4:18 AM You replied

     
anglagard
Member (Idle past 855 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 235 of 265 (499854)
02-21-2009 4:18 AM
Reply to: Message 234 by Phydeaux
02-21-2009 4:01 AM


Re: What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
Phydeaux writes:
And how does that differ from what I said:
"I realize that some of the alpha particles may have went further than others, but you can't really see the damage they caused."
I know all the alpha particles are not all lined up in one spot, but the curve is pretty steep. Meaning there is an edge. Sure there may be an uncertainty of .1 m, but nothing like there is measuring from the center of the ring.
It differs because in English and mathematics 'center' and 'edge' are not the same.
Sheesh, if we have to start at this basic a level of understanding, I don't see how anything productive can happen for some time.
I'll be back if I have something to contribute after you have worked out the difference between center and edge, and why it is important to measure the mean and not the illusive and undefined edge when discussing large amounts of data points that scatter around a mean in the normal curve.
Edited by anglagard, : added "illusive and undefined"

Read not to contradict and confute, not to believe and take for granted, not to find talk and discourse, but to weigh and consider - Francis Bacon
The more we understand particular things, the more we understand God - Spinoza

This message is a reply to:
 Message 234 by Phydeaux, posted 02-21-2009 4:01 AM Phydeaux has replied

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Phydeaux
Junior Member (Idle past 5221 days)
Posts: 13
Joined: 11-17-2009


Message 236 of 265 (499855)
02-21-2009 4:24 AM
Reply to: Message 235 by anglagard
02-21-2009 4:18 AM


Re: What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
I'll be back if I have something to contribute after you have worked out the difference between center and edge, and why it is important to measure the mean and not the edge when discussing large amounts of data points that scatter around a mean in the normal curve.
I'll look further into it. First I wanted to say that I realize it would be preferable to measure from the center, but how can know what is the center from this photograph? Btw, why are we using this photograph? It is definitely not the one with the clearest rings.

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Replies to this message:
 Message 237 by JonF, posted 02-21-2009 9:06 AM You replied
 Message 255 by RAZD, posted 02-22-2009 2:01 AM You have not replied

     
JonF
Member (Idle past 186 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 237 of 265 (499893)
02-21-2009 9:06 AM
Reply to: Message 236 by Phydeaux
02-21-2009 4:24 AM


Re: What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
how can know what is the center from this photograph?
The centroid of the densest portion of the ring. Sheesh.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 236 by Phydeaux, posted 02-21-2009 4:24 AM Phydeaux has replied

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Phydeaux
Junior Member (Idle past 5221 days)
Posts: 13
Joined: 11-17-2009


Message 238 of 265 (499905)
02-21-2009 9:48 AM
Reply to: Message 237 by JonF
02-21-2009 9:06 AM


Re: What is that first thing they teach in statistics?
But don't you see the problem with this? There is practically no way to see the densest part of the ring. Coloration is uniform over a wide area.
Edited by Phydeaux, : No reason given.

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NosyNed
Member
Posts: 9003
From: Canada
Joined: 04-04-2003


Message 239 of 265 (499907)
02-21-2009 10:05 AM
Reply to: Message 238 by Phydeaux
02-21-2009 9:48 AM


center
But don't you see the problem with this? There is practically no way to see the densest part of the ring. Coloration is uniform over a wide area.
Sure, with these pics to work with it is imperfect. Any method of measuring is. But two things:
1) It is the right way to do it.
2) It is better than trying to measure to the edge in any case.

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lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4734 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 240 of 265 (499909)
02-21-2009 10:13 AM
Reply to: Message 238 by Phydeaux
02-21-2009 9:48 AM


The Lord Equal Darkness
Coloration is uniform over a wide area.
coloration is not uniform; your discrimination is.
Someone somewhere in a speciation topic has a nice gradient diagram running from red to yellow. The question being where does red end and yellow begin. Imagine curling the image into a ring. The eye almost automatically finds the center of either the red or the yellow areas by equalizing the orange to either side. Conversely, the eye seems to fight against one if one tries to locate the center of either orange band. And no two people will be able to agree on this as different people have different sensitivities to these colors. Everyone, however, has exactly the same sensitivity to these colors as themselves, so everyone balances the orange bands of opposite side equally, therefore picking the same middles for the red and yellow bands.
(At least a part that statement has the potential of not being redundant.)
AbE: I forgot what my after thought was.
Edited by lyx2no, : To make myself look daft.

Genesis 2
17 But of the ponderosa pine, thou shalt not eat of it; for in the day that thou shinniest thereof thou shalt sorely learn of thy nakedness.
18 And we all live happily ever after.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 238 by Phydeaux, posted 02-21-2009 9:48 AM Phydeaux has replied

Replies to this message:
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