Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 64 (9164 total)
3 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,829 Year: 4,086/9,624 Month: 957/974 Week: 284/286 Day: 5/40 Hour: 1/4


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Immaterial "Evidence"
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 85 of 154 (522727)
09-04-2009 3:52 PM
Reply to: Message 84 by Perdition
09-04-2009 3:43 PM


Re: Inventing Gods?
My worldview, in a nutshell: "There is no reason to believe proposition A when there is no evidence for proposition A."
Your worldview is a tautology.
So, my disbelief is entirely because of the evidence (or lack thereof).
Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by Perdition, posted 09-04-2009 3:43 PM Perdition has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 87 by Perdition, posted 09-04-2009 3:59 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 86 of 154 (522728)
09-04-2009 3:58 PM
Reply to: Message 84 by Perdition
09-04-2009 3:43 PM


Re: Inventing Gods?
If it's not repeatable, again, there is no evidence that the answer provided is the correct one, so again, we are left with no reason to believe the claim.
So if I see a bird in the woods and it flys away then I have to disbelieve that I saw it because I can't repeat it... that's retarded.
For example, maybe something supernatural did happen, but it wasn't the writing down of the numbers or the feeling she had. Maybe, the universe was fundamentally predisposed to give her the winning numbers because she happened upon the perfect color of socks when she crawled into bed.
Regardless, we're left with the claim that she wrote it down the night before and new she was going to win.
So, in the absence of evidence for one proposition, there is no reason to believe it.
Tautological.
If your experiences are not repeatable and verifiable, as you claim, then again, you have no reason to believe that what you have ascribed them to is correct.
Not necessarily.
If I see a bird one time then I think I can believe that I saw it. And in practical purpose, this is exactly how people behave. Nobody denies everything until its repeated and verified.
SO again, your default state, as you claim, should be, "I'm not sure what those experiences indicate, nor am I sure they are external experiences versus internally generated ones." So, to be consistent, you're still left with agnosticism, according to your own logic.
that's not my logic...
At some point, your breaking your own logic...thus behaving irrationally. Being irrational is fine, I guess, but it should be acknowledged.
I'll acknowledge it when you show me it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by Perdition, posted 09-04-2009 3:43 PM Perdition has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 90 by NosyNed, posted 09-04-2009 8:46 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 88 of 154 (522730)
09-04-2009 4:03 PM
Reply to: Message 87 by Perdition
09-04-2009 3:59 PM


Re: Inventing Gods?
we're cross posting now because you edited while I was replying. I'm getting ready to run out the door so I'll just wait for you to reply to my other reply and then I'll combine them into one next time I get on.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 87 by Perdition, posted 09-04-2009 3:59 PM Perdition has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 89 by Perdition, posted 09-04-2009 4:07 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 91 of 154 (522880)
09-06-2009 12:45 AM
Reply to: Message 90 by NosyNed
09-04-2009 8:46 PM


Re: degrees of acceptance
Assigning different levels of acceptance is not retarded. It is exactly what we do everyday. It is the only rational behavior.
Of course.
Now, what about Mountain Lions in Missouri?: Message 9
It all about where you put those levels of acceptance.
Perdition seems to be going the "scientific only" route, which Straggler seemed to start with but has slowly allowed a little bit of leeway. I'm a bit farther to the accepting side, myself.
I don't think we can say that one specific placement of that line is THE rational one.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 90 by NosyNed, posted 09-04-2009 8:46 PM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 94 by Straggler, posted 09-08-2009 10:52 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 109 of 154 (524538)
09-17-2009 11:30 AM
Reply to: Message 107 by Modulous
09-17-2009 10:57 AM


Re: tod und verzweiflung
Think about being on a jury.
If the jury says "There is no evidence that this man committed the murder therefore he didn't do it." that is quite different from the jury saying "There is no evidence that this man committed the murder therefore we cannot convict him of the crime."
In the latter case, the jury isn't saying the man didn't commit murder whereas in the former case they are.
I'm not saying the supernatural/divine/etc doesn't exist, I'm just saying that there is no evidence that indicates it does with any degree of confidence whatsoever so I have no reason to believe that it does.
Now, when the question is asked: "Did he do it?" (not 'can we convict him')
What is your answer? Yes, no, or I don't know?
So, let's go to the murder case. Here is the evidence that X murdered Y:
Everybody in the village believes that X killed Y (ie., Consensus gentium)
This belief is based on a 'gut feeling' and intuition.
Somebody heard a voice that said that X killed Y.
We all agree that it is possible that X murdered Y - but we cannot convict them based on this evidence can we?
Straggler's position goes one step further. We also consider that X is a black man with no family in the village and that Y is a young white daughter of the mayor and that the village is insular and racist (in the 1890s in the US deep south, say).
Even with this extra evidence, when the question is asked: "Did he do it?"
What is your answer? Yes, no, or I don't know?
We all agree that it is possible that X murdered Y - but we cannot convict them based on this evidence can we?
Nope. And I don't know that god exists, but I think that he does.
Is there any kind of evidence in favour of the supernatural that if we translated it into a murder case would result in you being comfortable with convicting someone of a serious crime?
Not convicting, but it could make me think that he did do it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Modulous, posted 09-17-2009 10:57 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 115 by Modulous, posted 09-17-2009 1:08 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 110 of 154 (524540)
09-17-2009 11:35 AM
Reply to: Message 94 by Straggler
09-08-2009 10:52 AM


Re: degrees of acceptance
I don't think we can say that one specific placement of that line is THE rational one.
Yes we can. The one that is overwhelmingly the most evidenced at the expense of the other mutually exclusive alternative. The human invention of gods and the ongoing ability of humans to invent gods is a deeply evidenced fact. The actual existence of gods remains utterly unevidenced by any form of evidence that is demonstrably superior to biased guessing in terms of reliability.
The rational conclusion with regard to any given god concept is therefore a degree of atheism. You continue to deny this but have failed to give a reasoned argument as to why this position is flawed.
One flaw is in the assumption that because we cannot distinguish something from a guess then it is equivalent to a guess.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 94 by Straggler, posted 09-08-2009 10:52 AM Straggler has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 111 by Rahvin, posted 09-17-2009 12:55 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 114 of 154 (524554)
09-17-2009 1:07 PM
Reply to: Message 111 by Rahvin
09-17-2009 12:55 PM


Re: degrees of acceptance
All we've been trying to say is that, when you cannot demonstrate that a model has greater accuracy than random guessing, there is no rational reason to have confidence that it is in fact more accurate.
And I disagree with that notion.
If the confidence comes from my directly experiencing it, then my inability to repeat the experience to determine its accuracy doesn't necessitate that I abandon that direct experience.
That's what we mean when we say "no better than random guessing." We aren't saying "this model is definitely bullshit,"
I dunno. If that were true, then it wouldn't be claimed that atheism is the rational choice over agnosticism.
We're saying that "if you have confidence that your model is accurate but cannot demonstrate that accuracy to be greater than random guessing, then your confidence is not based on evidence and as such is irrational."
And I think that's wrong.
If I see something once, I can have rational confidence that I did see it even though I cannot demonstrate the accuracy to be better than random guessing.
And to say that because I cannot demonstrate it, then it isn't evidence is to go the route that only things scientific are evidence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 111 by Rahvin, posted 09-17-2009 12:55 PM Rahvin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 120 by Rahvin, posted 09-17-2009 3:11 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied
 Message 122 by Straggler, posted 09-18-2009 3:32 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 116 of 154 (524556)
09-17-2009 1:11 PM
Reply to: Message 113 by Rahvin
09-17-2009 12:59 PM


Re: tod und verzweiflung
The accuracy of any given concept of the divine is evidencially equivalent to all other concepts of the divine - when you cannot test, cannot repeat, and cannot independently verify, how could you ever claim that you rationally think that one concept of the "divine" that may actually exist is more accurate than any other?
When one of the concepts is a made-up satire, like the IPU, you can rationally doubt that it is as accurate as a legitimately believed divine concept.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 113 by Rahvin, posted 09-17-2009 12:59 PM Rahvin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 118 by Rahvin, posted 09-17-2009 2:56 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied
 Message 119 by Straggler, posted 09-17-2009 3:02 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 123 of 154 (524743)
09-18-2009 10:58 AM
Reply to: Message 122 by Straggler
09-18-2009 3:32 AM


Re: degrees of acceptance
Can you explain to me on what basis you continue to deny that a degree of "human invention is the most likely explanation" atheism is not justified over "It's 50-50 I just don't know" agnosticism with regard to any given objectively unevidenced god concept?
I don't even know what you're talking about anymore. Now that you've both italicized and bolded the word 'degree' and turned agnosticism into the flip of a coin, I don't think we're talking about the same thing, or maybe we are more than we think.
When you limit athesim to being just a degree of it qualified with a likelyhood, then I don't think we talking about the position that god does not exist... it basically becomes agnosticim in the sense of: "I don't know but I doubt it." This still falls into the agnosticism that I think is more rational and logical than the atheism that claims that god does not exist. And I don't think that agnosticism has to be a 50-50 thing either. In addition to including the "I don't know but I doubt it" it also includes "I don't know but probably." So really, when you say that:
'a degree of "human invention is the most likely explanation" atheism IS justified over "It's 50-50 I just don't know" agnosticism'
then actually I agree. But its a strawman of my position.
In my position atheism answers the question "Does god exits?" with "No." and agnosticism covers the non-no answers all the way up to the "yes" that makes the person theist. It is not just the 50-50 "teeter-tottering on the fence" position where as leaning any amount one way makes it either atheism or theism.
In this sense, your position of "human invention is the most likely explanation" is justified over 50-50 agnosticism, but it remains agnosticism and it is more rational/logical than a blatant "no, god doesn't exist" atheism that I have been referring to.
Does that clear it up?
Now, this also places me, when limited to rational and logical explanations, as an agnostic as well. I don't know that god exists. But given all this "immaterial evidence", I'm leaning towards the 'he probably does' side of the fence. Its just that I'm comfortable being irrational and allowing for faith to let me cross that line into theism. But you seem to not want to allow for those reasons for me to lean to that side to count for anything and I think they should so there's a major disagreement.
You, on the other hand, seem to want to remain rational/logical. I don't think you can rationally/logically get to the "no, god doesn't exist" atheism but I do think that your "I doubt it" atheism is justified, just that I don't think its properly called 'atheism'. Although, maybe in the sense that you don't believe that god does exist it is rightfully called atheism, but I don't think you've rationally crossed the line into active disbelief in god.
You've used the fact that specific descriptions of god have been shown to be false to get a likelyhood for a god in general but I don't think it follows.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 122 by Straggler, posted 09-18-2009 3:32 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 125 by Modulous, posted 09-18-2009 11:15 AM New Cat's Eye has not replied
 Message 138 by Straggler, posted 09-19-2009 3:21 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 131 of 154 (524779)
09-18-2009 2:55 PM



Replies to this message:
 Message 132 by Rahvin, posted 09-18-2009 3:02 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 141 of 154 (525210)
09-22-2009 12:56 PM
Reply to: Message 138 by Straggler
09-19-2009 3:21 PM


Re: Absence of Evidence - Common Ground At Last
Any more? I am utterly astonished, given your participation at EvC over the years conversing with numerous atheists, that you have been operating under the complete misapprehension that atheism requires absolute certainty.
No, not absolute certainty, but certainty yes. If you weren't certain then you'd be agnostic, no?
Position 6 on the scale starts with "I don't know".
From Message 34
quote:
The key difference is that those of faith are necessarily 1s whilst those that call themselves atheists would more likely describe themselves as 6.999999999Rs as they would generally accept that absolute certainty about anything requires the sort of faith that they oppose!!
6.99999R = 7.0
Its certainty that isn't absolute.
By your definitions I am an agnostic with regard to the actual existence of the Immaterial Pink Unicorn. By your definitions Richard Dawkins himself is merely an agnostic with regard to the existence of gods. Personally I think you need to re-evaluate your terminology.
Does god exist?
Yes, no, or I don't know?
Me? I don't know, but I think he does, so I'm gonna go with 'yes', ie #2
If you say 'no', then you're an atheist. If you say 'I don't know but no', then while you're counting as a "degree" of atheism, you also count as agnostic.
Finally. Based on the objective evidence alone, the only evidence with any degree of demonstrable reliability, human invention IS the most rational answer and a degree of atheism is thus the rational conclusion. We seem to have at last found common ground.
But its an uncertain degree of atheism that can just as rightly be called agnosticism, IMHO. And this is different from a 6.9999R.
BTW, where is this demonstrated reliability?
Using the objective evidence that countless cultures have independently found enough reason to believe in god(s), we could argue that it is more likely that there actually is god(s) than all of those cultures being completely mistaken, so the rational conclusion based on the objective evidence is a degree of theism over 50-50 agnosticism
I don't know anybody whose a 50-50 agnostic as everyone has leaned one way or the other. And those leanings can be rationally justified either way. I think you're wrong that you're particular leaning is the one rational one.
Common ground which does not incorporate the flawed notion that atheism (using mine, Mod's and Dawkins use of the term rather than your certainty based one) equates to "absence of evidence is evidence of absence".
Since you're bringing up old shit, how about this one: Message 29
quote:
I am "atheistic" about fairies living at the botttom of my garden.
This "atheism" towards fairies is based on the absence of evidence. Logically speaking should I be agnostic about fairies?
Would you say that you are agnostic about fairies?
I believe that any given god concepts (and associated visions, voices etc. etc.) are more likely products of the human mind than actual real entities. Is that not a degree of active disbelief?
No, I don't think weighing a likelyhood and leaning slightly to one side is being certain of a position.
And I don't think that weighing the likelyhood can lead to enough certainty to take an active position.
You've used the fact that specific descriptions of god have been shown to be false to get a likelyhood for a god in general but I don't think it follows.
That is a rather simplistic and inaccurate misrepresentation. My position is as much about the ongoing ability and proclivity of humans to invent ever less refutable supernatural explanations for very human reasons as it is about the fact that this has been demonstrated to be the case time and time again throughout history. That we have a well proven track record of inventing falsified god concepts is (some of the) evidence in favour of that argument. It is not the argument itelf.
You're still making the illogical leap from 'some gods being shown to be invented' to 'gods don't exist', if you're going to take that argument to certainty.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 138 by Straggler, posted 09-19-2009 3:21 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 142 by Straggler, posted 09-22-2009 1:24 PM New Cat's Eye has replied
 Message 144 by onifre, posted 09-22-2009 3:37 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 143 of 154 (525227)
09-22-2009 2:39 PM
Reply to: Message 142 by Straggler
09-22-2009 1:24 PM


Re: Absence of Evidence - Common Ground At Last
I am a 6 on the Dawkins scale. By your definitions it appears that I, along with Dawkins and Modulus, am an agnostic. In my case at least an agnostic who believes that the likelihood of any given god concept actually existing as opposed to being a human invention is very low. An agnostic who believes this based on the objective evidence available rather than "absence of evidence is evidence of absence".
Well, I see this as a different position than: "Atheism (as opposed to agnosticism) is the only rational position when the objective evidence is evaluated".
No, I don't think weighing a likelyhood and leaning slightly to one side is being certain of a position.
Nor do I and nor does anyone else. But I think caling a Dawkins an agnostic would defy most people's definitions of the term.
I had a whole thread on the definition of atheism: Message 1. I found this post to: Message 71 for more back story if you care to read it.
I can appreciate that the meanings of words change and that my definition could be getting outdated.
And those leanings can be rationally justified either way. I think you're wrong that you're particular leaning is the one rational one.
Well it is the objectively evidenced one. I thought you had agreed that based on the objective evidence alone a degree of "probably human invention" disbelief was rationaly justified?
Yes, but I'm calling that agnosticism and it fits in with what I have been advocating the whole time.
You're still making the illogical leap from 'some gods being shown to be invented' to 'gods don't exist', if you're going to take that argument to certainty.
Nope. I can only say this so many times in so many ways.
Straggler writes:
No. I am not making an illogical IF SOME THEN ALL statement as you imply. I am making an evidence and reliability based statement. I am pointing out that if you have someone who after thousands of proclamations on a particular subject has a 100% failure record then you would be an idiot to put money on them making an accurate statement regarding that subject any time soon. Especially if you have other objectively evidenced reasons to think that they will continue to make such inaccurate but sincere proclamations for reasons that have nothing to do with external reality and everything to do with their own innate and internal needs. Especially if with every proclamation the claim in question gets ever more sophisticatedly undefinable and immune from refutation. Message 67
Then you're wrong that "thousands of proclamations on a particular subject has a 100% failure record", but that is not for this thread.
CS writes:
Does god exist?
Very probably not.
I can accept that as a logical and rational answer to the question (although I could equally accept 'probably so' as well).
It fits within the agnosticism that I have been claiming should be the position since the beginning.
Edited by Catholic Scientist, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 142 by Straggler, posted 09-22-2009 1:24 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 147 by Straggler, posted 09-22-2009 5:38 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

  
New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 148 of 154 (525423)
09-23-2009 10:50 AM
Reply to: Message 147 by Straggler
09-22-2009 5:38 PM


Re: Please!
My views on faith and atheism have changed considerably as a result of taking part on this board over the years.
Mine too.
Maybe I am genuinely not the immovable zeaout some would wish to paint me as.
Uhhh, I seem to get 'indignant', as you say, when you ignore what I've put my time into writing that I feel challenges your position just for you to repeat your same position back at me. You do seem zealously static at some times.
Your definition of agnostic seems to include absolutely everyone.
I'm recalling two different poeple in those thread I linked to. One claimed to be an actual 7 and the other was arguing against allowing for a doubt of god's non-existance. They don't fit into my definition of agnostic.
But call me whatever you want.
Cool, I'll remember that in the future
I think you are equating "failure record" to "refutation".
If it doesn't show that the god doesn't exist, then how does it show that the god doesn't exist?
However if "failure record" is shorthand for "once genuinely believed entities being superceded by modern understanding to the point of a high degree of atheistic disbelief and redundancy in all practical terms" then I maintain that my position stands.
That sounds like just a change in understanding, not really a "failure". And I think I'm missing how that gets transfered into there not being gods.
Back in the day, people believed that gods we're behind all sorts of things. Lets use Apollo pulling the sun across the sky with his charriott. Now, we know that there is no charriott pulling the sun across the sky, so you're saying that that description of a god has failed. But that doesn't show that there aren't any gods behind all sorts of things. And proving specifically that he isn't using a charriott doesn't show that Apollo doesn't exist, or even that he isn't infuencing the sun, although we do know that he's not using a charriott to do it. There still exists the possibility that Apollo exists and influences the sun, but that the specific of him using a charriott was human invention.
And I realize that's very godofthegapsy... (and I'm not trying to argue for the actual existence of Apollo)
But I think that there are some fantastic things going on 'behind the scenes' of our existences and I've been lead to believe this by what I feel are very real glimpses of those things. I even think that some of the older religions were on the right track, although a lot of their specifics were off. And even for myself, I'm sure some of the specifics I add to those glimpses are faulty too. But I think across all cultures, we have been on to something real and actual.
Now, what you're saying is that disproving those specifics also disproves the whole idea, or at least it allows you to assign a probability of the actuality of the idea. But I don't think it translates over like that. I think you've created a false dichotomy in assuming the mutual exclusiveness of the actual existence of god and people's invented specifics about him.
I mean are you not effectively atheistic (by the Dawkins scale rather than yours) to fertlity gods, fire spirits and the thousands of other such entities? Really?
Really, I am not effectively atheistic to them.
However, a lot those ancient ideas on the specifics are obviously way off, and also people seem to ascribe magic to things they simply do not understand (thinking fire here), too some 'lesser' cultures sorta went off the deep end. Hell, people are just plain wrong about a lot of stuff, you're right there. But I think you're overstepping the bounds of where the actual evidence against it allows for.
Look CS I am tired. I also think you are a person I would wanna hang out and have a beer with. But we are never ever gonna agree on ths stuff.
Sure, no problem. I don't dislike you or anything. I'd rather debate with people I don't agree with though. There's no fun in agreeing, and disagreement leads to much more learning.
As long as nobody is falsely asserting that I hold an irrational atheistic position because I believe that "absence of evidence is evidence of absence" or because I believe that "IF SOME THEN ALL" is a valid logical argument then I basically have no problem with them.
Can we agree on that and just be friends now? Please............!
Yes.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 147 by Straggler, posted 09-22-2009 5:38 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 149 by Straggler, posted 09-23-2009 2:30 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024