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Member (Idle past 4217 days) Posts: 2347 From: United States Joined: |
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Author | Topic: If it can be, how can the "Absence of Evidence" be "Evidence of Absence?". | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Huntard Member (Idle past 2322 days) Posts: 2870 From: Limburg, The Netherlands Joined: |
kbertsche writes:
Might I enquire as to where Barrow and Tipler observed a universe with different laws and came to the conclusion that life there is impossible? Did they observe every universe with different laws?
Peg is correct. Much has been written on this. E.g. Barrow and Tipler "The Cosmological Anthropic Principle." The fundamental parameters of the universe must have very precise values for life to exist.
And you know this how?
This is not seriously disputed by the experts.
Actually, I think you'll find that they won't claim that there is absolutely no other way life could arise in a universe with different laws.
What is debated is the cause of the apparent fine-tuning.
THere is no fine-tuning. Like I said, it seems so perfect because we evolved to fit those laws.
Is it due to a god (as lifelong atheist Anthony Flew finally decided)?
Argument from authority.
Is it forced by some underlying, unifying law that has not yet been discovered? Or is it the ineviteble result of a nearly infinite number of parallel, random universes (the "multiverse" scenario)?
Perhaps. Do you know? Then why claim one thing as how it must be? I hunt for the truth I am the one Orgasmatron, the outstretched grasping handMy image is of agony, my servants rape the land Obsequious and arrogant, clandestine and vain Two thousand years of misery, of torture in my name Hypocrisy made paramount, paranoia the law My name is called religion, sadistic, sacred whore. -Lyrics by Lemmy Kilmister of Motorhead
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NosyNed Member Posts: 9004 From: Canada Joined: |
Peg is correct. Much has been written on this. E.g. Barrow and Tipler "The Cosmological Anthropic Principle." Peg is incorrect. From: Ethical storm brews over embryonic stem cell lines | New Scientist (this is only a popular science mag and may be behind a pay wall) Here are some excerpts from this:
quote: quote: quote: quote: This has, apparently, been published in the Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics.
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Wounded King Member Posts: 4149 From: Cincinnati, Ohio, USA Joined: |
That is very interesting. The apparent failure of the 'change one variable' approach is remiscent of what we frequently see in molecular evolution debates where ID/creationists fail to understand that there are a plethora of possible protein conformations that can perform particular functions and an even larger set of possible DNA sequences that can produce such functional conformations. For proteins you could easily subtitute 'intelligent life' and for DNA 'universal constants'.
Presumably it is normally accompanied by the assumption that the variables must be such that human life like our own could evolve, which is apparently Peg's position. TTFN, WK
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kbertsche Member (Idle past 2158 days) Posts: 1427 From: San Jose, CA, USA Joined: |
quote:These are simply philosophical speculations of a scientist, perhaps because he wants to avoid the implications of fine-tuning. You can find similar comments from a number of scientists. Likewise, you can easily find comments from prominent scientists claiming the opposite, e.g. Stephen Hawking writes:
The laws of science, as we know them at present, contain many fundamental numbers, like the size of the electric charge of the electron and the ratio of the masses of the proton and the electron. The remarkable fact is that the values of these numbers seem to have been very finely adjusted to make possible the development of life.Paul Davies writes:
It seems as though somebody has fine-tuned nature’s numbers to make the Universe. The impression of design is overwhelming. ("The Cosmic Blueprint")
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Huntard Member (Idle past 2322 days) Posts: 2870 From: Limburg, The Netherlands Joined: |
Right....
Would you mind providing the sources of these quotes, or are you afraid we'll find out they're quotemines then? I hunt for the truth I am the one Orgasmatron, the outstretched grasping handMy image is of agony, my servants rape the land Obsequious and arrogant, clandestine and vain Two thousand years of misery, of torture in my name Hypocrisy made paramount, paranoia the law My name is called religion, sadistic, sacred whore. -Lyrics by Lemmy Kilmister of Motorhead
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NosyNed Member Posts: 9004 From: Canada Joined: |
Your quotes are not backed up by anything at all. The work I referred you to is not simply speculations. They have actually worked on the issue and calculated the results.
In the article they do comment that no one seems have done the calculations before. If that is correct then anything that you supply are "simply philosophical speculations". ABEIn addition, I think you'll find that Hawking is saying "seem" to be fine-tuned while also pointing out that it is entirely possible that no tuning at all is possible. The constants may have to be that way. If you assume the constants are tunable you are partially assuming what you are trying to demonstrate. Davis may very well have said what you are quoting. His philosophy would, I think, lead him to support such an idea. But if he does without demonstrating it then he is, indeed, merely speculating unlike those that I referred you to. Edited by NosyNed, : added a bit
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kbertsche Member (Idle past 2158 days) Posts: 1427 From: San Jose, CA, USA Joined: |
quote:These are from a list of quotes that I've collected. A Google search finds attributions of the Hawking quote to A Brief History of Time (1988), p. 125, and the Davies quote to The Cosmic Blueprint (unknown edition) p 203. I don't have the books handy to check them. Feel free to verify that these references are correct and that they are not mis-representing the authors. Here are two more quotes for you to consider and verify if you wish:
Freeman Dyson writes:
The more I examine the universe and the details of its architecture, the more evidence I find that the universe in some sense must have known we were coming. (Disturbing the Universe, 1979, p. 250)Fred Hoyle writes:
Would you not say to yourself, "Some super-calculating intellect must have designed the properties of the carbon atom, otherwise the chance of my finding such an atom through the blind forces of nature would be utterly minuscule." Of course you would . . . A common sense interpretation of the facts suggests that a superintellect has monkeyed with physics, as well as with chemistry and biology, and that there are no blind forces worth speaking about in nature. The numbers one calculates from the facts seem to me so overwhelming as to put this conclusion almost beyond question. ("The Universe: Past and Present Reflections." Engineering and Science, November, 1981. pp. 8—12)
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Huntard Member (Idle past 2322 days) Posts: 2870 From: Limburg, The Netherlands Joined: |
See Ned's post for answers to your quotes. Are you going to point to some actual evidence of what you assert, or are you just going to throw quotes at us?
So, how about some evidence that a universe with different laws then ours can not harbour life? I hunt for the truth I am the one Orgasmatron, the outstretched grasping handMy image is of agony, my servants rape the land Obsequious and arrogant, clandestine and vain Two thousand years of misery, of torture in my name Hypocrisy made paramount, paranoia the law My name is called religion, sadistic, sacred whore. -Lyrics by Lemmy Kilmister of Motorhead
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kbertsche Member (Idle past 2158 days) Posts: 1427 From: San Jose, CA, USA Joined: |
quote:If this work is so wonderful, why aren't they publishing in a more prominent journal (Astrophysical Journal, Phys Rev, Nature, or Science)? quote:Do you label Hawking's comments as "simply philosophical speculations" not based on calculations? Or Hoyle's? Or Dyson's? Or Smoot's, below? George Smoot writes:
(Note: I know George, and I am sure that that these comments are based on both calculation and observation.)
In order to make a universe as big and wonderful as it is, lasting as long as it iswe’re talking fifteen billion years and we’re talking huge distances herein order for it to be that big, you have to make it perfectly. Otherwise, imperfections would mount up and the universe would either collapse on itself or fly apart, and so it’s actually quite a precise job. And I don’t know if you’ve had discussions with people about how critical it is that the density of the universe come out so close to the density that decides whether it’s going to keep expanding forever or collapse back, but we know it’s within one percent. (quoted by Fred Heeren, Show Me God: What the Message from Space Is Telling Us About God Day Star Publications, 2000, p. 168)
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Parasomnium Member Posts: 2224 Joined:
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Let's try a thought experiment.
Let's suppose that a certain finite set of parameters completely defines a universe. Let's further suppose that we can flip coins or throw dice to determine the values of these parameters, thereby defining an example of a possible universe. If we do this a number of times, we end up with a set of possible universes, some of which are suitable for life in some form or other, and which may or may not actually contain life, while others are utterly hostile to any form of life whatsoever, and are thus completely devoid of it. From the point of view of life form X in one of the universes that contains life it might seem that it is extremely fortunate that its universe is exactly right for it. However, we on the outside know that its universe is just one of many possible universes, the parameters of which were determined in a random procedure. And we are not surprised to find that the only universes where these thoughts are expressed are the universes where life is possible in the first place. Obviously, we are also not surprised that we hear nothing from universes where life is impossible. Of course, in reality we don't know how the parameters of our universe have been determined, but we are in the same position as life form X in the example above. This means that, from our experience of finding ourselves in our life-friendly universe, we cannot draw the conclusion that our universe is finely tuned for our existence, because we know a random set of parameters might equally well result in the same experience. Any comments? Edited by Parasomnium, : grammar Edited by Parasomnium, : another stupid language mistake Edited by Parasomnium, : No reason given. Edited by Parasomnium, : No reason given. "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science." - Charles Darwin. |
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Coyote Member (Idle past 2133 days) Posts: 6117 Joined:
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You must be expecting, then, for creatures to evolve in some manner other than "finely tuned" to their environment?
You must be expecting something like that else why would you be so astonished that evolution and natural selection have resulted in creatures that are finely tuned to existing conditions? Fine tuning is what evolution does! And it does it so well that it seems like creatures were "designed" to fit their environment. That's the way nature works. Religious belief does not constitute scientific evidence, nor does it convey scientific knowledge.
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kbertsche Member (Idle past 2158 days) Posts: 1427 From: San Jose, CA, USA Joined: |
quote:The context of my remarks (and Peg's?) is not evolution. I was discussing cosmological and physical parameters and was quoting experts in these fields.
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NosyNed Member Posts: 9004 From: Canada Joined: |
Do you label Hawking's comments as "simply philosophical speculations" not based on calculations? Or Hoyle's? Or Dyson's? Or Smoot's, below? Yes, you have yet to mention that any of them have done anything other than speculate. In fact, Hawking makes clear he is speculating and also speculates that there may be no fine tuning possible at all because there may be no tuning possible at all. But we don't know (yet).
(Note: I know George, and I am sure that that these comments are based on both calculation and observation.) It would be interesting to know where he published them. You should also note that the previously referenced work points out that varying one "constant" at a time isn't the only possibility and if your friend George did that then he didn't demonstrate that the other work is wrong at all.
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Coyote Member (Idle past 2133 days) Posts: 6117 Joined: |
The context of my remarks (and Peg's?) is not evolution. I was discussing cosmological and physical parameters and was quoting experts in these fields.
Same difference. Species evolved to match existing conditions. If conditions were different, species would have evolved differently, no? And then, wonder of wonders, they would be "fine tuned" for those other conditions! "Fine tuning" is nothing more than god of the gaps apologetics mixed liberally with personal incredulity. Religious belief does not constitute scientific evidence, nor does it convey scientific knowledge.
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cavediver Member (Idle past 3670 days) Posts: 4129 From: UK Joined: |
But fundamentally, they don't really explain why it behaves this way. No, GR explains precisely why gravitation behaves the way it does. GR lies at a much deeper level than simple gravitation. Furthermore, GR fits into a even deeper framework of the nature of reality, when seen together with the other quantum fields. What Peg wrote in the context of gravity is complete, although oft-repeated, nonsense.
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