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Author Topic:   Faith vs Skepticism - Why faith?
Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 401 of 533 (536514)
11-23-2009 2:49 PM
Reply to: Message 400 by New Cat's Eye
11-23-2009 12:19 PM


Am I really reading this? How do I know?
The great Wikipedia has a pretty good entry on Epistemology -> Epistemology - Wikipedia
The most humourous part of the above exchange to me was
Catholic Scientist writes:
Rrhain writes:
How on earth can one claim "I don't know" about something if that something hasn't been defined?
Because I can't claim that I do know. If I do 'not know', then I don't know.
You can't claim that you "do" know YET because you haven't been given the details to which the answer "I DO KNOW" or "I DO NOT KNOW" could be applied.
You run the risk, CS, of infinite regression here it seems. The logical extension of your arguments (to my thinking anyway) is that you can never really "know" anything, since everything is predicated on another piece of knowledge. My head spins. Maybe I misunderinterpreted (Bushism).
Catholic Scientist writes:
Unless, there is some neutral ground between not knowing and knowing that I'm unaware of. You say there is. What it is?
The ground between knowing and not knowing has many names in my view:
Suspicion, idea, hypothesis, inkling, hunch, guess, impression, notion.
Fill in the blank of the following sentence with any of those words:
"I don't know for sure but I have a(n) _________ on the matter."
The resultant sentence is representative of a state somewhere between "not knowing" and "knowing".
Edited by Briterican, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 400 by New Cat's Eye, posted 11-23-2009 12:19 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 403 by New Cat's Eye, posted 11-23-2009 3:33 PM Briterican has replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 402 of 533 (536522)
11-23-2009 3:20 PM
Reply to: Message 286 by RAZD
11-15-2009 12:27 PM


Re: For Briterican - another pseudoskeptic?
Razd writes:
Briterican writes:
I tried to explain why this was a fallacy, why these two conclusions (belief vs disbelief in God) are not on equal footing, and in the process I (ill-advisedly) put forward the idea that my "disbelief" was more firmly founded in logic and reason than their "belief".
Can you tell me which of these statements is more logical than the others:
* (theist): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows god/s do not exist, therefore it is logical to believe in the existence of gods,
* (atheist): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows god/s exist, therefore it is logical to disbelieve in the existence of god/s, or
* (agnostic): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows god/s exist or that they do not exist, therefore it is logical to say that we don't know.
Thanks for your comments and thank your for the welcome into the fray.
If I had to put those three definitions in order of "logic", I would place them in this order:
  • Logical: Agnostic - although in my personal opinion, a part of this definition is not accurate (the part stating that there is no evidence that God/s do not exist). I appreciate that many people feel this way and I think there is logic in the opinion.
  • Logical: Athiest - (see below)*
  • Not logical: Theist - I disagree with the first part (there is no evidence God/s do not exist), and I believe the second part is an amazingly ill-informed leap. (i.e. lets just go believe in some gods why don't we! If we don't like the ones we have to choose from, we can make some more up!).
I would expand on your definition of atheist, at least in the sense that I consider myself an atheist, as follows. My modification is italicised.
* (atheist): there is no objective empirical evidence that shows god/s exist and in fact there is a substantial amount of empirical evidence that points towards a universe that moves forward on fixed laws that do not require a controlling agency, therefore it is logical to disbelieve in the existence of god/s
Defined in that fashion, I would rank atheism above agnosticism in logical terms.
With regard to things being on "equal footing", we need to be talking about probabilities here. Someone could tell me that Zeus is in the heavens shooting lightning bolts at bad people. I cannot disprove this, and I can never say "all the evidence is in", but I can say that I have reason to suspect this proposition as highly improbable. As Dawkins points out with reference to "tooth fairy agnostic", all such notions work on probability rather than certainty. I am pretty sure the tooth fairy doesn't exist, but I cannot say with absolute certitude that this is the case. However, this does NOT mean that the probability of the tooth fairy's existence is 50/50 or "on all fours" with the probability of its non-existence.
Edited by Briterican, : Revision revision revision.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 286 by RAZD, posted 11-15-2009 12:27 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 409 by RAZD, posted 11-23-2009 6:42 PM Briterican has not replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 404 of 533 (536529)
11-23-2009 3:55 PM
Reply to: Message 403 by New Cat's Eye
11-23-2009 3:33 PM


Re: Am I really reading this? How do I know?
The sentence is "I don't know for sure but..."
Why the need to make everything black or white, yes or no, on or off? You say "You simply cannot know if an undefined concept exists or not." I'm just not sure where you're headed with this.
If I might stick to the issue of the ground between "not knowing" and "knowing" - do you really insist that there is no in-between?
When you are born you "don't know" how to walk. At some point you "DO know" how to walk - but you didn't just switch from one to the other. You moved along a gradual slope leading from "not knowing" to "knowing".
I'm not going to argue semantics, but to break knowledge down to a binary level (yes or no) seems to ignore the gradual development of knowledge both within an individual, and within our species as a whole.
Edit - I think I might be making a mistake referenced on the Wikipedia page for Epistemology in that I have used a "knowing-how" example, rather than a "knowing-that" example. If you comment is specific to "knowing-that", then I can accept the notion that this could break down to a yes/no situation, but is it not the conjecture that happens subsequent to the acquisition of any piece of knowledge that leads to the attaining of more knowledge? And thus, can these digital bits of knowledge be added up into bytes, and thus the rise from bits to bytes represents the gradual curve of knowledge?
Edited by Briterican, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 403 by New Cat's Eye, posted 11-23-2009 3:33 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 405 by New Cat's Eye, posted 11-23-2009 4:06 PM Briterican has not replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 464 of 533 (537178)
11-27-2009 11:27 AM
Reply to: Message 462 by RAZD
11-27-2009 12:34 AM


Re: The third level of logical evaluations of the positions
Razd writes:
I had hoped that Briterican would reply to Message 409, so that we could discuss the logical basis behind the probability claims. It is rather amusing that nobody is discussing the actual logic of these positions, but are more interested in just claiming that their position is logical.
Apologies that I have not replied. You have given this topic a great deal of input for which I am grateful, even if I don't fully agree with some of what you've said.
Although it might be logical to say that:
there is no objective empirical evidence that shows Y is not true, therefore it is logical to consider the possibility that Y is true
But "possibility" carries with it an element of probability. It is "possible" that the keyboard I am typing on right now will suddenly metamorphose into a butterfly and fly off not allowing me to finish this senten........" (crap where'd my keyboard go?). HOWEVER, the probability of this is incredibly low. I base that probability estimate on the fact that there has never been a recorded incident of this occurring in the history of keyboards.
In the same vein of thought, I consider the probability that the Flying Spaghetti Monster created the universe as being infinitesimally small, though I have no basis on which I can flatly announce that probability to be zero. Therefore, I find it unrealistic to come to the conclusion that there is a 50% probabillty that he exists and a 50% probability that he doesn't - i.e. the two possiblities (FSM exists / FSM does not exist) are NOT on equal footing. I consider the probability that the FSM does NOT exist to be dramatically greater than the probability that he does exist.
Replace FSM in the above argument with whatever flavour of God you like, and (in my opinion) the argument still holds true.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 462 by RAZD, posted 11-27-2009 12:34 AM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 467 by RAZD, posted 11-27-2009 1:26 PM Briterican has replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 469 of 533 (537204)
11-27-2009 2:55 PM
Reply to: Message 467 by RAZD
11-27-2009 1:26 PM


Re: The third level of logical evaluations of the positions
RAZD writes:
The form of your argument is invalid, so the conclusion does not follow from the premises. It may be true, but it is not shown to be a logical conclusion.
The only way around this problem, is to show that there is objective empirical evidence that shows one position or the other is invalid, evidence that contradicts the opposing position. This would involve showing that one of the premises is false.
Rrhain writes:
...you have conveniently ignored the most salient point:
Briterican writes:
there is a substantial amount of empirical evidence that points towards a universe that moves forward on fixed laws that do not require a controlling agency
You have based your argument on a premise that there is no evidence when the reality of the situation is that there are literally mountains of evidence.
It is this evidence that sways me to a 6 on Dawkins's scale, which you've criticised as flawed but nonetheless referenced often.
RAZD writes:
Briterican writes:
Therefore, I find it unrealistic to come to the conclusion that there is a 50% probabillty that he exists and a 50% probability that he doesn't - i.e. the two possiblities (FSM exists / FSM does not exist) are NOT on equal footing. I consider the probability that the FSM does NOT exist to be dramatically greater than the probability that he does exist.
In other words you have used your personal opinion to judge the probability of one possibility relative to another. This is the inevitable position of claiming something not supported by logic.
There is no personal opinion involved. I base my probability estimate on two things:
  • The available evidence from the fields of cosmology and biology support a universe that moves forward on fixed laws without intervention from a controlling agent.
  • There is no recorded evidence of the existence of the FSM or any evidence to support the contention that he created the universe last Thursday (again, substitute the god(s) of your choice).
I don't think I'm arguing with your mathematics, and I agree that possibility makes no judgment of likelihood. If your argument addresses only possibility, and not probabilty, then I suspect your maths follow. But I don't believe you can apply this sort of binary logic to the ideas of theist/atheist/agnostic.
RAZD writes:
If something is possibly true, then it is also possibly false, with no means to judge which is more likely. A coin in the air is possibly heads and possibly tails, and no way to judge which is more likely until it actually lands.
I am woefully underequipped to argue with you on the level of mathematics, but I feel as though probability theory is being left out altogether in the discussion, whereas it makes sense to me for it to play a prominent role.
There is a possibilty that God exists. That leads you to the conclusion that there are only two possible states: True and False. You therefore aver that these two possible states are equally likely. It is the coin flipping argument above. If, however, I had empirical evidence that the coin had a minor flaw resulting in an imbalance causing it to land on heads more often than tails, it would be logical for me to bet on heads. I could still lose, but probability would be on my side. It is in this way that scientific evidence (from the fields of cosmology and biology) has tipped the balance so that someone arguing from a position of skepticism does so on a firmer foundation than those arguing from a position of faith.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 467 by RAZD, posted 11-27-2009 1:26 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 479 by RAZD, posted 11-28-2009 6:32 PM Briterican has replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 504 of 533 (537712)
11-30-2009 1:36 PM
Reply to: Message 479 by RAZD
11-28-2009 6:32 PM


Re: The third level of logical evaluations of the positions
bluegenes writes:
It's a mistake to think that we can discover reality by mathematical logic alone. That's why we do science. Maths and logic are useful tools in science. Your "X" in mathematical logic can exist in a theoretical evidential void. But in reality, no proposition that human beings make does exist in such a void.
This is a good summation of how I feel about your mathematics. They look great on paper, and your elimination of probability from the equation makes everything fall into place neatly, but doesn't really move us any closer to reality. Having said that, I realise that is not your intention, and that your intention has been to show that agnostic is the position most defensible in terms of logic, to which I feel that you have successsfully presented a viewpoint that I cannot disagree with, in the terms it is presented.
RAZD writes:
As we have seen that "literally mountains of evidence" melts away every time we talk about evidence that god/s do not, or cannot, exist, and that the "scientific evidence (from the fields of cosmology and biology)" etc etc is not a predictor of god/s not being responsible for the "fixed laws" that cause all that evidence to be as it is.
Fair point, at least in terms of the ultimate origin question. I DO feel strongly that science demonstrates that these fixed laws hold firm and are not subject to the whimsical fancy of "miracles". Where the faithful see a miracle, many of us see a missing or inadequate explanation. Although the accumulated evidence of mankind does not abrogate the possibility of a divine creator having kicked off the whole process in the first instance, I feel strongly that the same evidence DOES strongly indicate that said creator is no longer "on the scene", guiding everything like the ultimate choreographer.
RAZD writes:
ps - using terms like FSM, IPU, Last Thursdayism, etc. don't bother me, I just find it somewhat childish, like schoolyard mockery.
Childish? Possibly, but no more so than scriptures themselves in their depictions of a jealous God's tantrums (usually resulting in genocide).
Mockery? Good That's the meaning I intend. I am confident that the mocking of ridiculous origin myths using equally ridiculous made-up origin myths is a good way to get believers to take a step back and evaluate their own reasons for believing.
Edited by Briterican, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 479 by RAZD, posted 11-28-2009 6:32 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 511 by RAZD, posted 11-30-2009 11:32 PM Briterican has not replied
 Message 517 by Straggler, posted 12-01-2009 7:33 AM Briterican has replied

Briterican
Member (Idle past 3976 days)
Posts: 340
Joined: 05-29-2008


Message 520 of 533 (537891)
12-01-2009 2:48 PM
Reply to: Message 517 by Straggler
12-01-2009 7:33 AM


Re: The third level of logical evaluations of the positions
Straggler writes:
The accumulated evidence of mankind doesn't abrogate the possibility of the universe having been magicked into existence by pixies, being hatched from the ethereal egg of a celestial chicken, being a matrix style ploy to kep our minds enslaved by evil robots or any other such unevidenced possibility.
Why do we give deities any more rational consideration than any of these other possibilties? And doesn't the accumulated evidence of mankind suggest that a natural, as opposed to a supernatural, explanation is more likely as an eventual answer to any question pertaining to reality?
This addresses an important aspect that isn't reflected in the possibility based argument put forward by RAZD and mirrors my opinion that people arguing from an evidence-based position are on firmer logical ground than those arguing from a faith-based position: Faith vs Skepticism - I vote Skepticism. I think you and I agree. Unfortunately, "more likely" and "firmer logical ground" don't fit into RAZD's formula.
I'm interested in the deist viewpoint only in the sense that I feel like it is incomplete. Although willing to accept that the universe moves forward on fixed laws, they leap away from naturalistic explanations only at the moment of origin... I ask, why? To their credit, they don't seem to get bogged down in too many details about the Supreme Being, only that there is/was one (I hope RAZD will set me straight if I got my notion of Deist wrong).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 517 by Straggler, posted 12-01-2009 7:33 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 521 by Straggler, posted 12-01-2009 2:53 PM Briterican has not replied

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