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Author Topic:   Non-scientific evidence
Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 8 of 98 (559680)
05-11-2010 3:27 AM
Reply to: Message 4 by New Cat's Eye
05-10-2010 8:35 PM


Re: What is "scientific evidence"?
Catholic Scientist writes:
Every time we dropped that weight in the physics lab (as a random example), it fell at 9.8 m/s2... reliably.
Perhaps I could give another way of looking at things; what you described is still data. Reliable data does not guarantee reliable conclusions, in the sense that we could conclude the weights are falling at 9.8 m/s2 because that is how hard the invisible gnomes pull things toward their underground burrows.
This would of course be an unreliable conclusion, as from it we might infer that if the moon also has invisible gnomes they would pull with similar vigor.
In a more broad sense however, it isn't particularly important that scientific theories are correct strictly speaking. If we adapted the hoarding gnome theory of gravitation to reliably match observations by positing weaker and stronger gnomes based on the amount of material in the particular body (or perhaps just more gnomes can live in larger celestial bodies), then the ridiculousness of the gnomes is largely irrelevant.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-10-2010 8:35 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-11-2010 11:10 AM Phage0070 has replied

Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 13 of 98 (559746)
05-11-2010 12:01 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by New Cat's Eye
05-11-2010 11:10 AM


Re: What is "scientific evidence"?
Catholic Scientist writes:
From the OP:
quote:
I would like to offer this thread as an opportunity for anyone who wishes to show what "non-scientific evidence" might be, to offer examples, and to demonstrate how it can be shown to be reliable.
I took that to mean we were talking about the data and not the conclusions.
RAZD writes:
I'm not sure the scientific method with validated evidence necessarily results in reliable conclusions.
I was referring to what RAZD said, which in retrospect probably wasn't particularly relevant to the OP:
How does that inference show the previous conclusion to be unreliable?
... Because future observations are very likely to contradict the gnome theory? Reliable data about Earth's gravitation does not guarantee that our conclusions about that gravity will also turn out to be reliable. An example of an unreliable prediction of the gnome theory would be the possibility of sifting for gravity gnomes, to collect them for our own use.
Catholic Scientist writes:
Why? What about that further inference reduces the ridiculousness? Is that shown in any way?
I didn't say it reduced the ridiculousness, I said that the ridiculousness was largely irrelevant to its reliability. A theory of invisible greedy gnomes that makes predictions exactly in line with our current understanding of gravitation will be exactly as reliable as that current theory. The point I was making is that the usefulness of scientific theories lies primarily in their reliable predictive power, not in the philosophical explanations behind them.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-11-2010 11:10 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-11-2010 12:22 PM Phage0070 has replied

Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 14 of 98 (559747)
05-11-2010 12:05 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by dwise1
05-11-2010 11:22 AM


Re: So Where is Dr. Sing? This Thread is for Him.
dwise1 writes:
So at Dr. Sing's request, Woodsy started this thread. Which Dr. Sing has yet to visit.
Ehh, give him a break. After all he is trying to prove the existence of God while providing valid reasoning and reliable sources.
Somehow I think "a couple of days" might be a tad optimistic of a time frame.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by dwise1, posted 05-11-2010 11:22 AM dwise1 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 24 by dwise1, posted 05-11-2010 3:46 PM Phage0070 has replied

Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 18 of 98 (559753)
05-11-2010 12:46 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by New Cat's Eye
05-11-2010 12:22 PM


Re: What is "scientific evidence"?
Catholic Scientist writes:
I'm confused. Our conclusion from the experiment was that gravity caused the objects to accelerate at 9.8 m/s2. The data was the distance and the time measured from the falling object. What conclusions about gravity are you talking about? And what's the data?
How can those conclusions be shown to be reliable?
That Earthly data combined with observations of several other celestial objects leads us to make the prediction that the force of gravity is proportional to the amount of mass in the object. These conclusions can, and have, been shown to be reliable when examining newly observed bodies.
Thus the reliability of our conclusion about the link between mass and gravitation is proven.
Catholic Scientist writes:
An example of an unreliable prediction of the gnome theory would be the possibility of sifting for gravity gnomes, to collect them for our own use.
I'm sorry, but I honestly am not getting the point you are making. How do you show that's unreliable?
I'm sorry, but I am having a hard time understanding what you are getting at. Are you making some point about my needing to hold your hand through every conclusion?
Humans sift a lot of soil for a variety of reasons. Nobody has ever sifted up a concentration of gravity gnomes, in contradiction of prediction of the gnome theory. Thats an example of an unreliable prediction of the gnome theory. Because I have shown an example of how the predictions of the gnome theory are unreliable, we can by extension conclude that the gnome theory itself is unreliable. This is because it leads to unreliable predictions.
Have I covered that step to your satisfaction or should I go over it in more detail?
Catholic Scientist writes:
So how does that tie into the OP's request for a demonstration of the reliability of non-scientific evidence and/or conslusions?
Are you saying that it can't be done for scientific evidence either?
This doesn't tie in directly to the OP's request. Instead it ties into your response to RAZD's response to the OP, which is why I replied to your response to RAZD's response to the OP, rather than to the OP. This is why I quoted your response to RAZD, because that is what I intended my reply to address.
At no point did I suggest that scientific evidence cannot be demonstrated to be reliable. I also specifically pointed out that the reliability of scientific conclusions (distinct from evidence remember) is their primary benefit, and largely independent of their accuracy in other respects.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-11-2010 12:22 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 20 by New Cat's Eye, posted 05-11-2010 1:30 PM Phage0070 has not replied

Phage0070
Inactive Member


Message 25 of 98 (559784)
05-11-2010 4:09 PM
Reply to: Message 24 by dwise1
05-11-2010 3:46 PM


Re: So Where is Dr. Sing? This Thread is for Him.
dwise1 writes:
If a line of reasoning results in a logical contradiction, then that line could be disproven.
I'm not sure that logical consistency can be counted on, considering it has not been shown to be true of the supernatural. Considering our data set is so small (nil) we shouldn't jump to conclusions.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by dwise1, posted 05-11-2010 3:46 PM dwise1 has not replied

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