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Author Topic:   Mlodinow & Hawking on Model-Dependent Realism
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 5 of 72 (588535)
10-26-2010 12:59 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by ringo
10-26-2010 12:51 PM


Models
Ringo writes:
A model is "real" only in the sense that it exists and can be observed. It is not the thing that it models. A model of a skyscraper is not a skyscraper.
If the model is made to scale and made to accurately reflect the skyscraper in every detail wouldn't it then just be a replica skyscraper?
I am not sure your skyscraper analogy is very good exactly because the perfect model of a skyscraper would be a replica skyscraper. Whereas no scientific theory or model will ever actually be that which it models.
An accurate description would seem to be the best we can hope for.
Ringo writes:
Two different models of the same thing are equally "real" but one may be an accurate model and the other may not.
Yes. And how do we determine which model best reflects reality? Ability to consistently explain all known observations and further ability to predict new observations?
That seems to be the best method we have hit upon to determine the accuracy of our models.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by ringo, posted 10-26-2010 12:51 PM ringo has replied

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Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 14 of 72 (588689)
10-27-2010 2:04 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by New Cat's Eye
10-26-2010 4:09 PM


Competing Models
CS writes:
I mean, yeah, my model of the world certainly seems real to me! But what does that have to do with anything?
Indeed. So how do you decide between competing models as to which one most accurately describes or reflects reality?
E.g. Biblical Genesis Vs Big Bang or Adam and Eve Vs evolution.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by New Cat's Eye, posted 10-26-2010 4:09 PM New Cat's Eye has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 16 by Stephen Push, posted 10-27-2010 2:29 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 17 by New Cat's Eye, posted 10-27-2010 2:52 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 18 by Coyote, posted 10-27-2010 2:54 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 15 of 72 (588691)
10-27-2010 2:13 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by 1.61803
10-26-2010 2:11 PM


"Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
Numbers writes:
6. Science should be silent on matters concerning religion.
Whose religion? All religions?
You do realise that there would probably be no such thing as science if that particular rule had been adhered to don't you? Think Galileo.
So should science stay silent om matters such as: How the universe came to exist? How man's sense of morality came to exist? The nature of consciousness? The beginnings of life? Why humans are inclined to believe in the supernatural? What actually causes religious experiences? Why humans are inclined to imbue mindless physical processes with conscious intent? Why is that we humans feel the need to ask "why" questions and seek meaning when it may well be the case that none exists?
Are these the sorts of matters that science should be silent on in your opinion?
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by 1.61803, posted 10-26-2010 2:11 PM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by 1.61803, posted 11-01-2010 11:30 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 19 of 72 (588811)
10-28-2010 12:56 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by New Cat's Eye
10-27-2010 2:52 PM


Re: Competing Models
If only you were willing to apply this same answer consistently CS.
Consistently to questions like: Why humans are inclined to believe in the supernatural? What actually causes religious experiences?
But these are for another thread I guess.....

This message is a reply to:
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Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 20 of 72 (588814)
10-28-2010 1:34 PM
Reply to: Message 16 by Stephen Push
10-27-2010 2:29 PM


Re: Competing Models
SP writes:
How about predictive ability? We can make any model explain existing observations by adding ad hoc assumptions. But when a model can be used to predict observations that are made later, the model is telling us something important about reality.
Yup - I think that is a very key point.

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 Message 16 by Stephen Push, posted 10-27-2010 2:29 PM Stephen Push has not replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 21 of 72 (588816)
10-28-2010 1:38 PM
Reply to: Message 18 by Coyote
10-27-2010 2:54 PM


Re: Competing Models
Coyote writes:
Simple: There is evidence for one, and no evidence for the other.
Well yes and no. For a long long time many people did indeed believe in the Genesis account of both universe formation and the origins of mankind. They obviously would have considered these beliefs to be evidenced.
So the question is what ultimately made one set of evidence (or one model) superior to the other?
Coyote writes:
Off topic here, but how about starting a thread Adam and Eve Vs evolution?
I probably won't because that doesn't really float my ark. But you feel free and I might join in a bit if you do.

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 Message 18 by Coyote, posted 10-27-2010 2:54 PM Coyote has not replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 23 of 72 (589649)
11-03-2010 4:47 PM
Reply to: Message 22 by 1.61803
11-01-2010 11:30 AM


Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
Numbers writes:
Science is silent on matters concerning faith.
What does that even mean?
On what subjects are you saying science should remain silent exactly? Be specific.
If science suggests that faith itself is a human psychological phenomenon then what?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 22 by 1.61803, posted 11-01-2010 11:30 AM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 24 by 1.61803, posted 11-05-2010 10:16 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 25 of 72 (590150)
11-06-2010 10:22 AM
Reply to: Message 24 by 1.61803
11-05-2010 10:16 AM


Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
Numbers writes:
While you and anyone else can certainly be of the opinion that Science can verify matters of faith.
Well science can certainly refute faith based conclusions and it demonstrably has done.
If not a faith based conclusion then from where is the conclusion (for example) that the bible is literally true and that the Earth is thus less than 10,000 years old originate?
Has science not refuted this once widely held faith based conclusion?
So when you say that "science must remain silent on matters of faith" what are you talking about if not this sort of conclusion?
Numbers writes:
I welcome anyone to explain how a methodolgy based on evidenced testable, reproduciable experiments and theories; can evidence and verify a phenomenon such as faith, that's fundamental criteria is non evidenced and subjective.
We can certainly examine the human psychological phenomenon called "faith" scientifically. Just as we can any other human emtion or psychological state.
Why wouldn't we be able to?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by 1.61803, posted 11-05-2010 10:16 AM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 26 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 11:00 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 27 of 72 (590491)
11-08-2010 12:54 PM
Reply to: Message 26 by 1.61803
11-08-2010 11:00 AM


Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
Numbers writes:
Faith is based on non evidence. Science is based on evidence.
Which would suggest that where they come to opposing conclusions the scientific conclusion would be a better bet. But what has this to do with your "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion" assertion?
Numbers writes:
Please correlate.
What has the lack of correlation between two things that cannot be correlated got to do with your assertion that "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"?
What religious matter exactly is it that science should be silent on? Can you give a specific example?
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 11:00 AM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 28 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 2:40 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 29 of 72 (590516)
11-08-2010 2:54 PM
Reply to: Message 28 by 1.61803
11-08-2010 2:40 PM


Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
Numbers writes:
Straggler writes:
What religious matter exactly is it that science should be silent on?
What scientific reference do you have that has anything to say about whether the Eastern Orthodox church and the Catholic faith will someday merge. Or if there are any good scientific references or scientific articles I can find on the Catechisms of the Holy Roman Catholic Church?
So you are simply and exclusively talking about religious institutional arrangements?
In the name of clarity - Can you confirm this is the case?
If you are simply talking about how religious institutions should arrange and organise themselves then I doubt science has any more to say on this than it does as to whether Liverpool Football Club should merge with Everton football club or whether the Kensington ladies knitting circle should merge with the Chelsea flower arranging circle.
If that is your point then (frankly) it is a fucking silly one.
And it is hardly unique to religious organisations is it?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 28 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 2:40 PM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 30 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 3:10 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 31 of 72 (590686)
11-09-2010 12:58 PM
Reply to: Message 30 by 1.61803
11-08-2010 3:10 PM


"Science should be silent on matters concerning knitting circles".
Numbers writes:
Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion"
I was talking about how the field of science is concerned with knowlege obtained by testing theorys, doing experiments and verifying knowlege......
OK. So with regard to the topic (remember that?) of different models and how one model can be considered superior we can agree that scientific knowledge meets certain standards. Right?
Numbers continues writes:
......faith is concerned with among other things spiritual inner well being, the practice of various religions and the beliefs based on dogma, religion and non evidenced materials.
How is "spiritual inner well being" different from psychology (which we can and do study scientifically)?
How are the practices of various religions not an aspect of anthropology (which we can and do study scientifically)?
And what the hell are "non evidenced materials"?
It still seems that your assertion that "Science should be silent on matters concerning religion" doesn't apply any more specifically to religion than it does to knitting circles.
"Science should be silent on matters concerning knitting circles". Well OK. I suppose so. So what?
So - What is it specifically that science should be silent upon that is unique to religion?
I am not even saying you are wrong. I just have no idea what sort of thing it is you have in mind that pertains to the topic regarding different models of reality.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 30 by 1.61803, posted 11-08-2010 3:10 PM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by 1.61803, posted 11-09-2010 3:56 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 33 of 72 (590740)
11-09-2010 6:28 PM
Reply to: Message 32 by 1.61803
11-09-2010 3:56 PM


Re: "Science should be silent on matters concerning knitting circles".
Numbers writes:
I believe it is obvious we are not able to come to agreement on this.
Because you are not making any sense.
Numbers writes:
I rephased my statement to matters of faith.
Yes in such a way that your arguments applied to the institutional organisation of knitting circles as much as they do religious institutions.
Numbers writes:
I explained my position adequately and yet you persist that science has something to say over matters of faith.
No. I am simply asking you for a specific example of what exactly you mean by "matters of faith". You have yet to supply any that:
A) Have any relevance to the topic of modelling reality
B) That don't apply equally to the institutional arrangements of knitting circles
Numbers writes:
I asked how could this be if faith by definition is based on non evidence.
Give me an example of one of these non-evidenced conclusions or models on which science must stay silent then.
Numbers writes:
Please reference the definition of Faith.
Please give an example of a specific matter unique to faith on which science must stay silent.
Numbers writes:
All that is required is one believe.
All that is required for knitting circle membership is that one like knitting. So what? what does this have to do with modelling reality?
Numbers writes:
Not a randomized, double blind, placebo controlled multi center trial.
OK. So why can't you give an example of a specific matter unique to faith on which science must stay silent?
Numbers writes:
Thus I conclude we are deadlocked.
If you cannot provide a single example of something specific that is related to the topic and on which science must stay silent then I guess so.
But as things stand you could have made your exact same point with the pronouncement that "Science should be silent on matters concerning the institutional arrangements of knitting circles".

This message is a reply to:
 Message 32 by 1.61803, posted 11-09-2010 3:56 PM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 34 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 10:05 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 35 of 72 (590873)
11-10-2010 10:17 AM
Reply to: Message 34 by 1.61803
11-10-2010 10:05 AM


Science should be silent on matters concerning frogs
So now you are saying that science should stay silent on the causal relationship between rain and frogs?
Numbers writes:
A increase in frogs after the rains. Is knowlege of science required for these people to get the information they need to survive?
What does your latest example have to do with you assertion that science should remain silent on matters of faith?
What are these matters of faith that science should remain silent on? Be specific.
Numbers writes:
I hope you dont have a stroke after reading my post.
I am in more danger of dying of laughter.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 34 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 10:05 AM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 36 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 10:50 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 37 of 72 (590914)
11-10-2010 2:13 PM
Reply to: Message 36 by 1.61803
11-10-2010 10:50 AM


Re: Science should be silent on matters concerning frogs
Numbers writes:
Now "Science is silent on matters concerning faith".
Well now that you have (sort of) provided something concrete to work with let’s see.
Numbers writes:
A scientist would be hard pressed to show through rigorous scientific research that frog gods do not exist.
If your sole and single point is to say that science cannot disprove the existence of gods then why don’t you just say that and be done?
Numbers writes:
A scientist would be hard pressed to show through rigorous scientific research that frog gods do not exist.
A scientist studying a causal relationship between rain and frog prevalence wouldn’t be doing anything other than seeking a predictively verifiable naturalistic explanation for the observed correlation between rain and increased frog numbers.
A predictively powerful naturalistic explanation would arguably make the role of said frog god rather redundant. Many of a more rational disposition may well consider the frogmeister to have been effectively refuted to all practical intents and purposes by such an explanation. History certainly suggests that this will be the case. Why do you think nobody now considers Thor to be the cause of thunder and lightening? Why do you think creos and IDists get so excited by abiogenesis and the origins of the universe? The theistically inclined indisputably love a good gap.
But more to the point we can study the beliefs of people from a psychological and anthropological perspective and gain an insight into why they invoke the explanations that they do. Even come to evidence based conclusions regarding the very things that cause people to have faith in things like frog gods.
Numbers writes:
Now "Science is silent on matters concerning faith".
Well as I have described above science in fact has a great deal to say about the source of the frog god as a concept and the viability of the frog god as an explanation for the observed phenomenon under consideration. So I dispute your assertion as applied to your example.
Numbers writes:
That is why there are physcians who have faith and belief in God. Hard as that may seem to you to believe.
I don’t know why you think I would find that hard to believe. I think the instinct to invoke the unknowable in the form of supernatural beings as an explanation for things is a very powerful human trait.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 36 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 10:50 AM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 38 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 3:10 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 40 of 72 (590995)
11-11-2010 8:36 AM
Reply to: Message 38 by 1.61803
11-10-2010 3:10 PM


Re: Science should be silent on matters concerning frogs
Numbers writes:
Stragler writes:
Well as I have described above science in fact has a great deal to say about the source of the frog god as a concept and the viability of the frog god as an explanation for the observed phenomenon under consideration. So I dispute your assertion as applied to your example.
Irrelevant.
The fact that science isn't silent on the "matter of faith" example that you supplied is quite blatantly very relevant to the question of whether science must be silent on matters of faith as applied to the example you have provided.
Numbers writes:
Science can as I described in not so many words, literally, show evidence for the frog god phenomenon that otherwise requires none.
This sentence makes no sense. What is the "frog god phenomenon" if not the causal relationship which science was able to find a naturalistic explanation for or the concept of the frog god himself which again science can study the causes and origins of?
Either way science isn't silent.
Numbers writes:
Furthermore the redundancy of a frog god is not taking into account cultral and religious importance.
Are you saying science must stay silent on any matters where it's conclusions may conflict with culturally important and religiously accepted ones?
If so Galileo and others disagree.
Numbers writes:
Thus it is as I stated before the role of science is to further humanitys knowlege through evidenced based diciplines and not hocus pocus.
The role of science is to "further humanitys knowlege through evidenced based diciplines" whether this brings it into conflict with "hocus pocus" or not.
It remains a mystery why you think science "must remain silent" on any of the matters you have raised or even what a "matter of faith" is exactly.
Should science have advocated a heliocentric model based on evidence in the face of massive religious opposition to this idea? Or was this "culturally important" enough to demand that science must stay silent?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 38 by 1.61803, posted 11-10-2010 3:10 PM 1.61803 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 41 by 1.61803, posted 11-11-2010 10:27 AM Straggler has replied

  
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