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Author Topic:   Peanut Gallery
bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1223 of 1725 (624120)
07-16-2011 5:16 AM
Reply to: Message 1222 by xongsmith
07-16-2011 5:03 AM


Re: Yet more support.
xongsmith writes:
Might have missed where you dealt with:
"By inductive reasoning, this analemma predicts that any future verified scientific explanation accepted by the scientific community will always be a natural explanation. There will never be a supernatural explanation."
Apparently, you did. That is theory, not fact, therefore this (my bold):
xong writes:
This means your theory cannot be falsified.
Does not follow.
xong writes:
Sorry, dude, I am on your side - but....
It would help if you understood what you were talking about.
Your theory predicts that my theory will not be falsified (and so does mine), but we cannot conclusively know that the two theories will not be falsified, therefore they have to be regarded as falsifiable. That's all "falsifiable" means.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1222 by xongsmith, posted 07-16-2011 5:03 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1226 by xongsmith, posted 07-16-2011 6:00 AM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1228 of 1725 (624129)
07-16-2011 6:25 AM
Reply to: Message 1226 by xongsmith
07-16-2011 6:00 AM


Re: Yet more support.
xongsmith writes:
This will NEVER happen according to my analemma, which you, yourself, have concluded is a "strong" theory (unlike me in my modest persona).
Right. You theorize that it will never happen, and so do I. But we cannot state it as a fact that it will never happen. So, our theories are considered falsifiable.
xong writes:
See it yet?
Do you see it yet?

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 Message 1226 by xongsmith, posted 07-16-2011 6:00 AM xongsmith has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1229 of 1725 (624130)
07-16-2011 6:33 AM
Reply to: Message 1227 by xongsmith
07-16-2011 6:15 AM


Super-strong theory of mine.
xong writes:
No - the stronger the results of bluegenes theory as they keep coming in, the stronger his theory cannot be falsified.
Correction: The stronger the support for bluegenes' theory, the less likely it seems that it will be falsified. Or: the stronger bluegenes' theory is, the stronger xongsmith's theory is.
Neither become facts.
It works like that for all scientific theories. You are (inadvertently?) implying that I have a very strong, high confidence theory, yet still trying desperately to argue against that claim.
Why?

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 Message 1227 by xongsmith, posted 07-16-2011 6:15 AM xongsmith has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


(1)
Message 1318 of 1725 (624616)
07-19-2011 4:28 AM
Reply to: Message 1317 by xongsmith
07-18-2011 2:16 PM


Re: Xongsmith's analemma to scientific theory
Who is this anal Emma, anyway? Can you introduce me to her?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1317 by xongsmith, posted 07-18-2011 2:16 PM xongsmith has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1373 of 1725 (625073)
07-21-2011 10:13 AM
Reply to: Message 1358 by Modulous
07-21-2011 8:48 AM


Sudden mysterious misunderstandings of induction.
Modulous writes:
It seems that one response is to critically misunderstand the basic fundamentals of the theory and rail against it.
One could easily speculate that there just might be a few emotions involved, couldn't one? That a few toes of desire are being trodden on.
I think I might get similar reactions to my "all books are authored entirely by human beings" theory in certain quarters.
But no-one seems too bothered about the rabbits coming from their only known source.

This message is a reply to:
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bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1388 of 1725 (625140)
07-21-2011 3:09 PM
Reply to: Message 1387 by xongsmith
07-21-2011 2:41 PM


Re: Inductive Reasoning (Again)
xongsmith writes:
All of the supporters AND the originator are from the UK. Maybe there should be a theory of inductive reasoning that, if you are from the UK, you will support your countryman's theory out of a combination of cultural bias and national pride.
You have noticed something that may not be coincidence, but your hypothesis misses the mark. Try again. I'll give you a clue. Levels of supernaturalism are far from uniform throughout the world. Guess which country has the highest level in the "Western World".

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1387 by xongsmith, posted 07-21-2011 2:41 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
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bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1446 of 1725 (628378)
08-09-2011 8:21 AM
Reply to: Message 1445 by Chuck77
08-09-2011 5:17 AM


Chuck77 writes:
I don't get your "Analemma". Can you break it down in laymans terms?
Break down: anal Emma. She's a great lay, man, but I don't know her terms.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1445 by Chuck77, posted 08-09-2011 5:17 AM Chuck77 has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1448 by Panda, posted 08-09-2011 9:49 AM bluegenes has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1461 of 1725 (629129)
08-16-2011 2:02 AM
Reply to: Message 1460 by xongsmith
08-15-2011 7:44 PM


I'm in love with anal Emma.
xongsmith writes:
Any objective scientific evidence of any phenomena will be always explained as a natural process and never be explained as a supernatural process.
A strong theory IMO, but not a fact (we cannot go into the future and conclusively prove it).
xsmith writes:
The only known scientific explanation of any phenomenon is a natural explanation.
A fact that supports my theory and yours.
xongsmith writes:
All scientifically known phenomena we have observed in the entire history of scientific investigation & study have been explained & described as natural.
Dubious phrasing, as it seems to imply that everything observed has been explained. Stick to the point that every good explanation of anything so far has been natural, and that's correct.
xsmith writes:
Just as rabbit DNA is only known to come from rabbit DNA, scientific explanations of every phenomenon known are only known to come from descriptions of natural processes.
Which strongly supports the theory that there's no actual supernatural beings outside our heads, and that they are natural figments of our imagination.
xongsmith writes:
This analemma can be falsified by providing a single instance of objective scientific evidence accepted in the scientific community that describes a phenomenon or process as supernatural.
That would also be a falsification of my theory. Your theory supports mine.
xongsmith writes:
Arguments that a supernatural scientific description can exist are not applicable here.
Correct. That would be an unsupported claim. We don't know for sure whether they can exist or not (like elves). What is applicable is the point that we cannot know the future, therefore we cannot declare that a supernatural scientific explanation is completely impossible. That's why both of our theories are regarded as falsifiable.
xongsmith writes:
By inductive reasoning, this analemma predicts that any future verified scientific explanation accepted by the scientific community will always be a natural explanation. There will never be a supernatural explanation.
My theory also predicts that.
Thanks for your support.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1460 by xongsmith, posted 08-15-2011 7:44 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1462 by xongsmith, posted 08-16-2011 3:07 AM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1463 of 1725 (629140)
08-16-2011 3:35 AM
Reply to: Message 1462 by xongsmith
08-16-2011 3:07 AM


Re: I'm in love with anal Emma.
xongsmith writes:
This is why your theory cannot be falsified.
This is where you're going wrong. You can theorize that my theory will not be falsified on the basis of the observations that you've made. But you cannot demonstrate it as a fact.
My theory itself theorizes that it will not be falsified.
So your theory, if well supported, supports my claim that my theory is strong.
To put it another way, the fact that the natural is the only known source of anything makes a theory that ascribes a phenomenon to its only known natural source a strong one.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1462 by xongsmith, posted 08-16-2011 3:07 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1464 by xongsmith, posted 08-16-2011 3:56 AM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1465 of 1725 (629143)
08-16-2011 4:21 AM
Reply to: Message 1464 by xongsmith
08-16-2011 3:56 AM


Re: I'm in love with anal Emma.
xongsmith writes:
On the contrary - the stronger my theory becomes, the less your theory can be falsified and thus it crumbles under the scientific microscope.
Nope. You cannot claim to have proved the future, and if you did, my theory would have become a fact.
The stronger yours, the stronger mine.
Last time we discussed this (on one of Straggler's spin off threads), I gave you a link to a paper by a scientist who disagrees strongly that science cannot deal with supernatural propositions in principle.
The fact that science has never established the existence of a supernatural being outside our minds can hardly be used against my theory, can it? Think about it.
And have a good read of this, again.
It appears that plenty of scientists have not signed up to the agreement that you suggest they have. They just haven't found anything supernatural outside our imaginings!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1464 by xongsmith, posted 08-16-2011 3:56 AM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1466 by xongsmith, posted 08-16-2011 4:46 AM bluegenes has not replied
 Message 1471 by AZPaul3, posted 08-16-2011 2:32 PM bluegenes has not replied
 Message 1472 by xongsmith, posted 08-20-2011 5:45 AM bluegenes has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1481 of 1725 (630239)
08-23-2011 7:43 AM
Reply to: Message 1478 by Chuck77
08-22-2011 7:15 AM


Santa the Anagrammatical Imposter
Chuck77 writes:
Santa never healed anyone did he? Is anyone claiming they are going to heaven because of santa? There is only one truth not 5000 truths. Santa isn't the one truth.......
Don't be so sure, Chuck. The devil can't resist anagrams, and he wants the hearts and minds of our children.
The Great Imposter

This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


(2)
Message 1659 of 1725 (632935)
09-11-2011 11:09 AM
Reply to: Message 1654 by Chuck77
09-11-2011 1:27 AM


Lesson for children and slow adults.
Chuck77 writes:
He actually NEEDS to demonstrate that what he says is true just like a Tornado doesn't neccesarily prove the existance of the SN. How can he test this? He Can't.
There's zero empirical support for the hypothesis that SBs cause tornadoes, or cause anything else for that matter. Are you presenting tornadoes as evidence against my theory?
I'll try to explain.
Currently, it is a very strong theory that the chimps are our closest living relatives.
Someone could make the suggestion that there could be a branch species which diverged from our lineage since the chimps that is still surviving deep in some forest somewhere; perhaps Erectus or another earlier hominid. Hypothetically, that's not impossible.
However, the suggestion (or a stronger claim by someone that they firmly believed or knew such a species to be extant) would not in itself weaken the "chimp" theory in any way. It would be necessary to find good supporting evidence of the existence of such a creature to weaken the theory, and it would be necessary to actually establish its existence to falsify the "chimp" theory.
RAZD has been making "suggestions" that would contradict my theory. You have claimed to know of the existence of a specific supernatural being (rather like someone claiming to know that the mysterious hominids in the example above exist). What neither of you can do is establish your alternative "hypotheses" or claims with good empirical evidence. I can't find any supportive empirical evidence for them either. Neither can any other participant on this thread.
What I'm pointing out here is that contradicting claims can be made against any scientific laws and theories. They are of no use as a basis for criticizing a theory or law unless they have proper empirical support.
Human invention remains the only source of the ideas and descriptions that we have in our heads of supernatural beings knowable to all of us and known to science. While that remains the case, I have a very strong theory.
The very fact that both you and RAZD have made numerous posts expressing strong personal desires to criticize the theory, but have completely failed to offer any empirical evidence of the existence of SBs outside human minds makes my point for me.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1654 by Chuck77, posted 09-11-2011 1:27 AM Chuck77 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1672 by Chuck77, posted 09-12-2011 5:30 AM bluegenes has replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


(2)
Message 1660 of 1725 (632937)
09-11-2011 11:12 AM
Reply to: Message 1657 by RAZD
09-11-2011 9:46 AM


Re: Still Delusional
RAZD writes:
That is the way of the pseudoskeptic.
Name calling (and unsubstantiated counterclaims) does not weaken or falsify theories.
Edited by bluegenes, : grammar

This message is a reply to:
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bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1674 of 1725 (633039)
09-12-2011 7:31 AM
Reply to: Message 1672 by Chuck77
09-12-2011 5:30 AM


Another lesson for children and slow adults.
Chuck77 writes:
I think RAZD is waiting for the Theory to be supported just as the chimp theory is supported. With evidence.
A theory that attributes something to its only known source certainly is supported by the evidence, and is very strong. Suggesting that magicians might occasionally produce rabbits ex nihilo from hats does not weaken the theory that all rabbits are born from other rabbits unless evidence can be provided to support the suggestion. Asking someone to prove that every single rabbit in the world today wasn't produced out of a hat would just be demonstrating your ignorance of how science works. (See also Adequate's flying pig link above).
It's no good attempting to criticize my theory unless you can make a good evidence based case for a source of supernatural beings other than human invention.
Chuck77 writes:
Yes, me and you are in the same boat, I get that. RAZD is the one thinking logically, not you or me.
Absolutely wrong. I am theorizing, and I can demonstrate that humans can and do invent supernatural beings, and that that's their only currently known source. You are claiming to know something as a fact, and you cannot demonstrate the existence of a single SB that has an actual existence outside our minds. As for RAZD, he doesn't understand inductive theories, and anyone who does understand them can tell that from his posts on the GD thread.
Chuck77 writes:
You mispoke. What you mean to say is this:
I meant exactly what I said. And in addition, if you want to criticize something presented as an inductive theory, you need to learn what those are before you do it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1672 by Chuck77, posted 09-12-2011 5:30 AM Chuck77 has not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2496 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


(3)
Message 1722 of 1725 (633929)
09-17-2011 7:46 AM


The only known source.
One of the interesting things about the theory that "all supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination" is the kind of emotional reactions it produces. Normally, when we theorize that certain phenomena (in this case the ideas or concepts of supernatural beings that we all have in our minds) come from their only known source, the theory is treated as virtual fact or law. Why the difference with SBs? Do some people have a personal emotional attachment to the idea of one or more supernatural beings actually existing outside our minds?
Inductive theories are constructed a bit like this:
1) Humans can and do invent supernatural beings.
2) Human invention is the only source of supernatural beings known or currently knowable to all of us (or "currently known to science").
3) Therefore the inductive theory: "All supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination".
This can only be a theory, not a conclusively proven fact, because it does not automatically follow from the first two statements, as would be the case in a deductive syllogism; a logical proof.
Science explores the unknown, and therefore has to use inductive reasoning as well as deductive.
Almost all of the criticism of the theory has come from people who clearly do not understand the inductive laws and theories of science, and how they work. The worst criticism comes when people demonstrate that they think that strong scientific theories cannot be established without falsifying unsupported speculative "hypotheses" that contradict them.
For example: Humans have subjective experiences which involve real externally existing supernatural beings.
This involves a hypothetical alternative source of SBs other than our own invention. But it doesn't support a claim that my theory is weak unless it can be supported by good evidence. The suggestion alone is just as useless as suggesting that fairies actually do exist in some English gardens. And, like the fairies, it is not supported by the "some people believe it" argument.
So far, the absurdity and pathetic weaknesses of the arguments put forward against the theory I've proposed just serve to illustrate what a strong theory it is.

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