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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

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Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9142
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.3


Message 421 of 5179 (684670)
12-18-2012 11:57 AM
Reply to: Message 419 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 11:55 AM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
See post 417.
I don't understand this attitude.
Nothing we have tried worked so lets not try anything else.
There is nothing we can do so lets not do anything.
Let bury our heads in the sand.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 419 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 11:55 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 427 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:15 PM Theodoric has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 422 of 5179 (684671)
12-18-2012 12:00 PM
Reply to: Message 418 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 11:52 AM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
And the murder rate in the US is actually four times that of the UK.
So even if you're three times more likely to be robbed or assaulted...you're four times more likely to live.
That's an invalid inference from the statistics. In fact, you're a lot less likely to survive a home invasion in the UK than in the US.
Why is it that you continue to ignore the murder rate statistic, crash?
Because it doesn't apply, here. The UK didn't reduce their murder statistics at all by allowing criminals to break into homes unfettered. It's being ignored because it's irrelevant; the UK didn't reduce their murder rate four-fold. That's the comparison between the US and the UK - not between the UK pre-gun control and the UK post-gun control.
But the UK did vastly increase their rate at which criminal prowlers menaced people in their own homes. That is comparing UK-to-UK.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 418 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 11:52 AM Rahvin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 423 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 12:06 PM crashfrog has not replied
 Message 424 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 12:11 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 425 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 12:14 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 426 by xongsmith, posted 12-18-2012 12:14 PM crashfrog has not replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9142
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.3


Message 423 of 5179 (684674)
12-18-2012 12:06 PM
Reply to: Message 422 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:00 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
In fact, you're a lot less likely to survive a home invasion in the UK than in the US.
Please show the stats and your reasoning.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts
"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 422 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:00 PM crashfrog has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 437 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 12:55 PM Theodoric has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(2)
Message 424 of 5179 (684676)
12-18-2012 12:11 PM
Reply to: Message 422 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:00 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Crashfrog writes:
That's an invalid inference from the statistics. In fact, you're a lot less likely to survive a home invasion in the UK than in the US.
Firearms were used by burglars on only 151occasions in the UK in 2011. That number has been falling year on year since 2003 (533). I feel pretty safe and getting safer every year - how about you?
Edited by Tangle, : No reason given.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 422 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:00 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 428 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:16 PM Tangle has replied

Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


(1)
Message 425 of 5179 (684678)
12-18-2012 12:14 PM
Reply to: Message 422 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:00 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Because it doesn't apply, here. The UK didn't reduce their murder statistics at all
Evidence?
It's already been shown, repeatedly, that gun bans are strongly correlated with a dramatically lower murder rate when comparing nations. You'll need to provide strong evidence to support the claim that this correlation should be disregarded. I'm afraid your bare assertion is insufficient.
allowing criminals to break into homes unfettered.
And of course that's a lie. Nothing but hyperbole. Home invasion is still a crime, and Brits can still defend their homes...they just can't do it with a firearm. You can still use a taser, or a stun gun, or a baseball bat, or pepper spray, etc. You can still call the police. If caught, the invader still goes to jail. It's not "open season" for criminals in Britain.
That's an invalid inference from the statistics. In fact, you're a lot less likely to survive a home invasion in the UK than in the US.
Evidence for this survival statistic? Again, your own bare assertion is unconvincing.
But the UK did vastly increase their rate at which criminal prowlers menaced people in their own homes.
It might help your argument if you'd stop this nonsensical translation of all "crime" to "home invasion." You make it sound like British criminals are exclusively invading people's homes, and that they're doing so without consequence, and you and I and everyone else all know that that's absolutely not true.
You do also realize, crash, that gun ownership does not and has never worked as a deterrent to prevent home invasion, right? A criminal has no way of knowing whether a given home contains a gun owner or not; most home invaders try to commit their crimes while the victims are away, so as to avoid the police or any form of confrontation. For the remainder...the possibility of a homeowner with a gun being present simply escalates the threat.

The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it.
- Francis Bacon
"There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers
A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus
"...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds of
variously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the
outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 422 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:00 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 431 by xongsmith, posted 12-18-2012 12:29 PM Rahvin has not replied
 Message 432 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:29 PM Rahvin has not replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.5


Message 426 of 5179 (684679)
12-18-2012 12:14 PM
Reply to: Message 422 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:00 PM


what to do
Hey crash, all arguments aside for the moment - do you believe there is or is not a gun problem in the USA?
I look at your Message 19 and think so. I look even more at your Message 307 and think so.
But if not, bye bye. But I somehow think you do think there is a problem. Therefore, assuming you do, what do you think would be cool to do now to implement the points you make in Message 307?
Does this get back to the filibustering issue in the Senate?
Your friend,

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 422 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:00 PM crashfrog has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 427 of 5179 (684680)
12-18-2012 12:15 PM
Reply to: Message 421 by Theodoric
12-18-2012 11:57 AM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
I don't understand this attitude.
I don't understand it, either. You implicitly understand that people want drugs and don't particularly care if they're legal, that you don't get enforcement of drug laws "for free" but rather at a steep human cost, demand for drugs drives a vast, underground importation network, and that the War on Drugs has been a manifest failure.
But then we talk about guns instead of drugs - also something people want and are willing to pay a premium for - and suddenly you think exactly the reverse: the people who wouldn't be dissuaded by the law against murder will be dissuaded by the law against getting weapons; enforcement of gun laws comes at no cost of imprisonment, expansion of the prison industry, police murder, government overreach, misuse of asset forfeiture laws; perfect interdiction of weapons coming in from Mexico to fill the "guns vacuum"; that we can enact a "War on Guns" with basically no problems at all.
I don't follow that. It's amazing to me to see the people who complain about the encroachment of "law and order" government power into our schools and private lives, who complain about the enormous human cost of mandatory sentencing and "zero tolerance", who complain about how all politicians are "tough on crime" but nobody ever stops to think about the rights of those we're getting tough on, turn around on a goddamned dime and evince such utter faith in the power of government not to completely misuse the exact same rights they've already misused, because now we're getting rid of guns instead of drugs, and that's totally different, right?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 421 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 11:57 AM Theodoric has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 430 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 12:25 PM crashfrog has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 428 of 5179 (684681)
12-18-2012 12:16 PM
Reply to: Message 424 by Tangle
12-18-2012 12:11 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Firearms were used by burglars on only 151occasions in the UK in 2011.
Robbers don't need a gun if they're protected by civil law as they rifle through your house.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 424 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 12:11 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 433 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 12:39 PM crashfrog has replied

Tempe 12ft Chicken
Member (Idle past 357 days)
Posts: 438
From: Tempe, Az.
Joined: 10-25-2012


Message 429 of 5179 (684682)
12-18-2012 12:22 PM
Reply to: Message 417 by Theodoric
12-18-2012 11:51 AM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
Theodoric writes:
Yes it is fairly easy to do. Lots of gun enthusiasts reload. You can also regulate this. There are consumables. Gun powder, bullets and primers are needed for each new cartridge or shell. Brass and shell casings are reloadable but there is a limit to number of times they can be reloaded. If you can regulate cartridges you can regulate powder, bullets and primers.
Three things which can be easily smuggled into the United States from Mexico (or elsewhere, living in Arizona a lot of the drug trafficking I hear of comes from Mexico, hence my predilection for mentioning that country), so it will create a market for these three things to come over because it will profitable. I will agree that the casings do not last for an unlimited number of reloads, although these also can be smuggled....
...or even better found. I go camping up north in the National Forest a lot and there are simply shell casings laying around everywhere in the woods.
Theodoric writes:
Also, your reloader, typically, isn't the type of guy that is buying a gun to create mayhem and violence. Some I am sure will. This would do what regulation on ammo would do, make it more difficult to acquire the amount of ammo needed to cause mayhem.
I agree that the majority of reloaders are not potential risks. However, if there is a motivated individual who wants to wreak havoc, we need to realize that banning guns and ammo will not stop him or her from acquiring what they need. Crash keeps mentioning the War on Drugs and it is a good analogy. The market exists and so some sort of smuggling will occur to ensure that these products are never removed.
Now, what we are left with is an unarmed populous with those motivated individuals still able to find access to the products they need to make ammo and fire it. Not sure that this is what we need instead of better regulation and holding individuals responsible for the damage that is caused by a gun that they legally own.
Theodoric writes:
No
My fault for simplifying it far too much.
Also, a quick question for the thread about this topic. I was attempting to find statistics on how many crimes are committed with stolen guns and I could not find anything I felt was super reliable. I found percentages ranging from 60% to 90%. Even if it is at the low end of this spectrum, wouldn't proper locked storage go a long way toward diminishing this statistic?
ABE - Now I have even found Stats from California that say stolen guns are as low as 4%....so it really seems that there is no good spot for this information. This one was from a gun crime report from the Attorney General's office though.
PS - If someone can find a better site for stats on this, please let me know.
Edited by Tempe 12ft Chicken, : No reason given.
Edited by Tempe 12ft Chicken, : Added a new percentage that was found.

The theory of evolution by cumulative natural selection is the only theory we know of that is in principle capable of explaining the existence of organized complexity. - Richard Dawkins
Creationists make it sound as though a 'theory' is something you dreamt up after being drunk all night. - Issac Asimov
If you removed all the arteries, veins, & capillaries from a person’s body, and tied them end-to-endthe person will die. - Neil Degrasse Tyson
What would Buddha do? Nothing! What does the Buddhist terrorist do? Goes into the middle of the street, takes the gas, *pfft*, Self-Barbecue. The Christian and the Muslim on either side are yelling, "What the Fuck are you doing?" The Buddhist says, "Making you deal with your shit. - Robin Williams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 417 by Theodoric, posted 12-18-2012 11:51 AM Theodoric has not replied

Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4039
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.2


(3)
Message 430 of 5179 (684683)
12-18-2012 12:25 PM
Reply to: Message 427 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:15 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
I don't understand it, either. You implicitly understand that people want drugs and don't particularly care if they're legal, that you don't get enforcement of drug laws "for free" but rather at a steep human cost, demand for drugs drives a vast, underground importation network, and that the War on Drugs has been a manifest failure.
It is orders of magnitude easier to produce drugs than it is to manufacture firearms and ammunition. Many drugs just grow out of the ground, no effort needed. For others, a "lab" can be constructed in an average kitchen with minimal cost and using ingredients easily available.
Firearms and ammunition require far more specialized materials. Yes, there would be an immediate "black market." It already exists. But reducing the legal availability makes it more difficult to acquire guns and ammo...and without a method of production as simple as planting a pot clone in some soil or making a meth lab or swilling up some bath tub hooch, a simple ban will actually be able to create the attrition that substance prohibition has never been capable of.
I don't follow that. It's amazing to me to see the people who complain about the encroachment of "law and order" government power into our schools and private lives, who complain about the enormous human cost of mandatory sentencing and "zero tolerance", who complain about how all politicians are "tough on crime" but nobody ever stops to think about the rights of those we're getting tough on, turn around on a goddamned dime and evince such utter faith in the power of government not to completely misuse the exact same rights they've already misused, because now we're getting rid of guns instead of drugs, and that's totally different, right?
Nobody here has even once suggested that we should pattern a firearms ban on the "war on drugs." Not once. Except you.
Bans don;t need to take that form. We don;t need those kinds of searches, and we don't need "zero tolerance" or mandatory sentencing.
Once again: you should probably stop arguing against straw men that exist only in your own mind. Doing so does not help your argument. At all.
ABE
perfect interdiction of weapons coming in from Mexico to fill the "guns vacuum"
You do know that most of the guns in Mexico come from the US, right?
Edited by Rahvin, : No reason given.

The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it.
- Francis Bacon
"There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers
A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus
"...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds of
variously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the
outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 427 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:15 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 435 by NoNukes, posted 12-18-2012 12:45 PM Rahvin has not replied
 Message 440 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:57 PM Rahvin has not replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.5


Message 431 of 5179 (684684)
12-18-2012 12:29 PM
Reply to: Message 425 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 12:14 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Rahvin argues:
You do also realize, crash, that gun ownership does not and has never worked as a deterrent to prevent home invasion, right? A criminal has no way of knowing whether a given home contains a gun owner or not; most home invaders try to commit their crimes while the victims are away, so as to avoid the police or any form of confrontation. For the remainder...the possibility of a homeowner with a gun being present simply escalates the threat.
You shoot your own foot here! The fact of 300 million guns in a country of 360 million means that the potential home robber would intelligently have TO WAIT until the gun-talented people in the house are gone (like on vacation). Or else he's already berserk and doesn't care to live so much. He NOT going to take a chance that this house is unarmed, like he would in Britain, perhaps. He might be totally wrong in his calculations, but he will still calculate to NOT try. That is all that matters. An NRA sticker on the window - regardless of whether there are any actual guns inside - may be all he needs to move on down the street to the next house he has been casing.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 425 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 12:14 PM Rahvin has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 432 of 5179 (684685)
12-18-2012 12:29 PM
Reply to: Message 425 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 12:14 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
It's already been shown, repeatedly, that gun bans are strongly correlated with a dramatically lower murder rate when comparing nations.
But that's nonsense. It's been shown that the US has a high rate of murder regardless of what gun control laws are in place, because of our high rate of homicides of all types, with all weapons. The US has a higher rate of stranglings than the UK; is that because the UK bans hands, neckties, and piano wire?
You can still use a taser, or a stun gun, or a baseball bat, or pepper spray, etc.
Tasers, electronic "stun guns", and pepper spray are illegal in the UK. So I guess you'd better use a bat - but don't hit that guy too hard, or he might sue.
Evidence for this survival statistic?
Already provided. Burglars in the UK are four times as likely to invade your home with you present as they are in the US, thus placing your life at risk.
It might help your argument if you'd stop this nonsensical translation of all "crime" to "home invasion."
I'm not now, nor have I ever translated "all crime" to "home invasion." It was pointed out - by you, I think - that the English find the American "obsession" with access to firearms "insane." I'm simply responding with what we find insane about England - that being menaced by burglars in your own home is now accepted as normal, no big deal, certainly nothing so objectionable as killing a person!
Insane. Absolute insanity, and I wonder why you can't see it. If you can't be safe in your home, where can you be safe?
You do also realize, crash, that gun ownership does not and has never worked as a deterrent to prevent home invasion, right?
But that's exactly wrong, exactly according to your "country to country" comparison (which, yes, I did previously reject as invalid. This is for purposes of argument.) By exactly the same measure you claim that the UK gun ban reduced murders four-fold, one has to conclude that the UK gun ban made home-invasion burglary with the occupants present four times more likely.
Now, country to country, that makes no sense. But even comparing the UK pre-ban to the UK post-ban, banning guns and overturning your "castle" laws emboldened burglars to storm homes with the occupants inside, placing them at considerable peril. Sorry, that absolutely happened.
A criminal has no way of knowing whether a given home contains a gun owner or not; most home invaders try to commit their crimes while the victims are away, so as to avoid the police or any form of confrontation.
Yes - except in the UK where they know they'll encounter no resistance.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 425 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 12:14 PM Rahvin has not replied

Tangle
Member
Posts: 9504
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 433 of 5179 (684686)
12-18-2012 12:39 PM
Reply to: Message 428 by crashfrog
12-18-2012 12:16 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
Crashfrog writes:
Robbers don't need a gun if they're protected by civil law as they rifle through your house.
I see you're dancing around the issue again. Never mind, it looks pretty.
In the UK we protect every individual as best we can in all circumstances.
Victims of crime have an absolute right to defend themselves and their property and may use reasonable force to do so. Reasonable force may include killing the robber with a weapon. And to make sure that everybody really understands that, we've just (unnecessarily) changed the law to say it explicitly.
There is an assumption in UK law that the victim of crime always has the benefit of the doubt and it's highly, highly unusual for a victim to be charged with an offence whilst protecting himself or his property.
It's even less usual to be found guilty if a case actually gets as far as to trial (do you think juries think any differently about this that you or I do?).
And in the extremely rare occasions where a victim has blatantly committed a crime himself and ultimately been found guilty by a jury, the penalty is usually a suspended sentence. ie he walks out of court.
You're exaggerating as usual.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 428 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:16 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 434 by crashfrog, posted 12-18-2012 12:43 PM Tangle has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1489 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


(1)
Message 434 of 5179 (684687)
12-18-2012 12:43 PM
Reply to: Message 433 by Tangle
12-18-2012 12:39 PM


Re: Hey you Brits: Your GUN Crime is UP, not down
In the UK we protect every individual as best we can in all circumstances.
Well, yes. For instance you protect criminals in the act of crimes.
That's the issue, here. Not that homeowners aren't afforded equal protection under your law, but that criminals are. The notion that criminals have a right to safety, to not being assaulted, as they invade homes and put others at risk is insane. It's the insane notion that criminals should be expected to bear the physical risk of their crimes.
And in the extremely rare occasions where a victim has blatantly committed a crime himself and ultimately been found guilty by a jury, the penalty is usually a suspended sentence. ie he walks out of court.
I guess, except for all the cases I googled where the homeowner who assaulted a burglar got a longer, harsher sentence than the invader he'd assaulted.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 433 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 12:39 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 436 by Rahvin, posted 12-18-2012 12:52 PM crashfrog has replied
 Message 438 by Tangle, posted 12-18-2012 12:56 PM crashfrog has replied

NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 435 of 5179 (684688)
12-18-2012 12:45 PM
Reply to: Message 430 by Rahvin
12-18-2012 12:25 PM


Re: And so the pendulum swings again.
It is orders of magnitude easier to produce drugs than it is to manufacture firearms and ammunition.
This may not be true for very much longer. There are lots of efforts going on here to produce guns using 3D printer technology.
The 3D-printed gun: When is high-tech too hot to handle? - ExtremeTech

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
The apathy of the people is enough to make every statue leap from its pedestal and hasten the resurrection of the dead. William Lloyd Garrison.
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
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