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Author | Topic: Gun Control Again | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22499 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9
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crashfrog writes: Do you think that a gun ban would produce an instant reduction? Of course it should be immediate, if your position is that illegal things are harder to get. I expect that his (extremely obvious) position is that illegal things are harder to get but not harder to keep if one already has them, and that it takes time for guns to pass out of the hands of those who already have them. --Percy
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 7.7 |
That's funny. Gallup is saying that gun ownership is back up to its highest point since 1993, and is nearing its peak from 1960.
From here. The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. - Francis Bacon "There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus "...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds ofvariously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.
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Theodoric Member Posts: 9197 From: Northwest, WI, USA Joined: Member Rating: 3.2
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So as always you can't answer the question.
People speeding down the highway put you at risk. So you should be able to execute them to? Drunk drivers put you at risk. Going to execute them?Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts "God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1494 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined:
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I expect that his (extremely obvious) position is that illegal things are harder to get but not harder to keep if one already has them, and that it takes time for guns to pass out of the hands of those who already have them. Where do they pass to, though? That's what I don't follow. If I sell my gun, that doesn't change the amount of guns in society. I mean, I thought we covered this like 200 messages ago. Nobody had any response so I thought we were in agreement. Even if you make guns impossible to get you still have just as many guns as there were before you did. If you want to actually reduce gun ownership, you have to be taking guns, but gun control proponents are adamant that they don't want to do that.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 7.7
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Because what, they evaporate? Even if you made guns literally impossible to make, you'd still have just as many guns as you would year after year, minus the ones that, I don't know, fell down between the couch cushions or something. Voluntary surrender. Expenditure of all ammunition. Breakage. You name it.
Guns are a durable good. Emphasis on the durable, a lot of Americans own rifles manufactured just after the Revolutionary War. They can still be fired even to this day. ...Right. What percentage of Revolutionary War firearms are still around and in firing condition today? Because just saying "many are still around" is just another meaningless anecdote. Not useful data. You can't predict the rate of attrition from it, which means you can't actually tell one way or the other from your simple statement whether guns increase or decrease.The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. - Francis Bacon "There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus "...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds ofvariously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1494 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
That's funny. Gallup is saying that gun ownership is back up to its highest point since 1993, Which would imply that there are less guns now than before 1993. Which would be consistent with an overall decline in the ownership of guns. Look, I'm not making these figures up, they're from Gallup as reported by the Washington Post. Your figures are also from Gallup because we're using the same numbers, but for some reason you think I'm lying? I don't follow that.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1494 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
People speeding down the highway put you at risk. The highway is patrolled by highway cops. No cops patrol the inside of my home. Again, you're the one not answering the question - why should a criminal's choice to commit a crime be allowed to place me at risk? Be specific.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1494 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
Voluntary surrender. Expenditure of all ammunition. Breakage. You name it. That all seems pretty rare; less rare than the rate of people smuggling in guns, manufacturing them by hand in secret, etc? I mean it could be but you're not giving me any reason to believe that it is. It wasn't in Australia, for instance, where gun ownership continued to decline at the same rate it already was. It wasn't in the US, under the Federal Assault Weapons ban, which had no effect at all on gun ownership (or shootings.) Again these are things I'm not prepared to simply accept on your say-so. I'm prepared to look at the evidence but you need to actually present some.
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Tempe 12ft Chicken Member (Idle past 363 days) Posts: 438 From: Tempe, Az. Joined:
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Rahvin writes: What percentage of Revolutionary War firearms are still around and in firing condition today? Asking for a percentage would really require that we know exactly how many guns were forged during that time period. However, it took me less than ten seconds to find a list of 68 working guns on one site from the Revolutionary War and Civil War.
Revolutionary War, Civil War Antique Guns and Firearms I am sure that I can find more, but a percentage, that is a ridiculous request without more knowledge. Also, if you are in the market for a Kentucky Long Rifle, this site has about 70 of them.
Antique Kentuckey Rifles Edited by Tempe 12ft Chicken, : Added second link Edited by Tempe 12ft Chicken, : No reason given.The theory of evolution by cumulative natural selection is the only theory we know of that is in principle capable of explaining the existence of organized complexity. - Richard Dawkins Creationists make it sound as though a 'theory' is something you dreamt up after being drunk all night. - Issac Asimov If you removed all the arteries, veins, & capillaries from a person’s body, and tied them end-to-endthe person will die. - Neil Degrasse Tyson What would Buddha do? Nothing! What does the Buddhist terrorist do? Goes into the middle of the street, takes the gas, *pfft*, Self-Barbecue. The Christian and the Muslim on either side are yelling, "What the Fuck are you doing?" The Buddhist says, "Making you deal with your shit. - Robin Williams
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 7.7 |
I am sure that I can find more, but a percentage, that is a ridiculous request without more knowledge. That's rather the point. Crashfrog has no idea how well firearms survive from the Revolutionary War. He can't, because the data required to calculate such a thing does not exist. Therefore he cannot claim that the existence of some Revolutionary guns demonstrates the "durability" of firearms. He's making claims based on anecdote, not data. He doesn't know, he cannot know, but he's pretending he does. Hell, Revolutionary firearms were far less complicated than modern guns. I don't think the comparison would be valid even if he did have the data.The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. - Francis Bacon "There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus "...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds ofvariously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.
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Tangle Member Posts: 9510 From: UK Joined: Member Rating: 4.8
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Well I have no idea about burglary stats, never having looked for them before, but I see that in the USA in 2009, there were an estimated 2,199,125 burglaries according to the FBI
Burglary - Crime in the United States 2009 In the UK last year there were 453,000Crime statistics for England & Wales: what's happening to each offence? | News | theguardian.com [I have excluded attempted burglary from the UK numbers as they also seem to be excluded from the US numbers] The UK population is about 63m, the US population is about 310m. So if we pro-rata by population, based on UK numbers the US burglary rate should be 453,000*310/63=2.2m or roughly what it actually is. Maybe we should look at households as they are what are burgled, not people. US household units in 2011 132mUK households in 2011 26m So 453,000*132/26= 2.3m or roughly what it actually is. So where do your numbers come from?Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android
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Theodoric Member Posts: 9197 From: Northwest, WI, USA Joined: Member Rating: 3.2
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Emphasis on the durable, a lot of Americans own rifles manufactured just after the Revolutionary War. They can still be fired even to this day. You really should learn to not speak with so much hyperbole.A lot of Americans do not own rifles manufactures just after the Revolutionary war. Some do. Most pieces from that period are in Museums. Actual good quality originals are extremely rare. Anything you see out of a museum is most likely a replica. Anything that old probably cannot be safely fired. Unless it was meticulously cared for there is going to be deterioration of the steel and wood. Before shooting anything that old I would have a very competent gunsmith, that is familiar with their construction, closely examine it.Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts "God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1494 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
Crashfrog has no idea how well firearms survive from the Revolutionary War. I never claimed to. That's a ridiculous thing that you asked for, not me.
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Tempe 12ft Chicken Member (Idle past 363 days) Posts: 438 From: Tempe, Az. Joined:
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Rahvin writes: That's rather the point. Crashfrog has no idea how well firearms survive from the Revolutionary War. He can't, because the data required to calculate such a thing does not exist. Therefore he cannot claim that the existence of some Revolutionary guns demonstrates the "durability" of firearms. He's making claims based on anecdote, not data. He doesn't know, he cannot know, but he's pretending he does. Hell, Revolutionary firearms were far less complicated than modern guns. I don't think the comparison would be valid even if he did have the data. Yes, you are correct he cannot calculate a percentage. However, I think that finding 138 guns for sale in working condition by checking only two sites does kind of imply that guns are made to be pretty durable. It is by no means conclusive evidence but it could show us that at least 138 guns could be sitting around from our current manufacture in 238 years, and that is only based on two websites. Edited by Tempe 12ft Chicken, : No reason given.The theory of evolution by cumulative natural selection is the only theory we know of that is in principle capable of explaining the existence of organized complexity. - Richard Dawkins Creationists make it sound as though a 'theory' is something you dreamt up after being drunk all night. - Issac Asimov If you removed all the arteries, veins, & capillaries from a person’s body, and tied them end-to-endthe person will die. - Neil Degrasse Tyson What would Buddha do? Nothing! What does the Buddhist terrorist do? Goes into the middle of the street, takes the gas, *pfft*, Self-Barbecue. The Christian and the Muslim on either side are yelling, "What the Fuck are you doing?" The Buddhist says, "Making you deal with your shit. - Robin Williams
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 7.7 |
I never claimed to. That's a ridiculous thing that you asked for, not me. What? Here are your words. YOU brought up Revolutionary firearms. Not me.
Because what, they evaporate? Even if you made guns literally impossible to make, you'd still have just as many guns as you would year after year, minus the ones that, I don't know, fell down between the couch cushions or something. Guns are a durable good. Emphasis on the durable, a lot of Americans own rifles manufactured just after the Revolutionary War. They can still be fired even to this day. The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion (either as being the received opinion or as being agreeable to itself) draws all things else to support and agree with it. - Francis Bacon "There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." - John Rogers A world that can be explained even with bad reasons is a familiar world. But, on the other hand, in a universe suddenly divested of illusions and lights, man feels an alien, a stranger. His exile is without remedy since he is deprived of the memory of a lost home or the hope of a promised land. This divorce between man and his life, the actor and his setting, is properly the feeling of absurdity. — Albert Camus "...the pious hope that by combining numerous little turds ofvariously tainted data, one can obtain a valuable result; but in fact, the outcome is merely a larger than average pile of shit." Barash, David 1995.
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