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Author Topic:   The Nature of Scepticism
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1427 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 106 of 271 (691705)
02-24-2013 2:09 PM
Reply to: Message 103 by Straggler
02-24-2013 12:35 PM


Re: Gosh Straggler -- still with your pants down.
Lol. I caught you with your pants down. As I have before.
Anyway - I know from past experience that when you start engaging in these relentless and hysterical "you said I said" claims of misrepresentation that it is because the main discussion isn't going how you would like it to.
No, it's actually because you are actually posting false representations of what I actually say.
And the best way to avoid this is for you to use actual quotes of my statements rather than your near-sighted self-delusional interpretations. I've suggested this before when you make an absurd or unrealistic or false statement about my position -- that you back it up with actual quotes -- yet you never do ... apparently you prefer fantasies over reality.
If you use the phrase (or one like it) that "RAZD says ... " then you should either provide an actual quote of that or not say it.
If your own posts submitted by you to support your own position contain arguments whose wording you disagree with then you place yourself in the bizarre situation of misrepresenting yourself.
So I take from this that you stand 100% behind every single word and phrase you have ever quoted on every thread in support of your position ... ROFLOL. That'll be a great example of skepticism in action.
In addition I note that you post your fantasy hypothetical word games to get my response, but you get all squirrelly when I ask you how you react to an actual practical application of an actual quote on the actual topic of skepticism from wikipedia -- one I posted to see where you were drawing your lines in your positions.
How is that not hypocritical?
I am reluctant to respond to anything you haven't written in your own words because it appears to be only a matter of time before you start declaring "I didn't say that, you are misrepresenting me...."
Another cop-out, avoidance, etc etc -- if you use actual quotes you should not have any problem, just don't make up stuff. That's how honest debate is done. And when I quote someone, then you should refer to the quote and the author, and you shouldn't go wrong. That too is how honest debate is done.
Curiously, I actually rephrased Truzzi's list in my words at the end of Message 92, so you can feel free to actually read it this time (and quote it when you actually get around to actually answering):
Do you AGREE or DISAGREE with this characterization of skepticism?
  1. Acceptance of doubt when neither assertion nor denial has been established
  2. No burden of substantiation to take an unconvinced position
  3. Agreement that the corpus of established knowledge must be based on what is validated, but recognizing its incompleteness
  4. Even-handedness in requirement for validations, whatever their implication
  5. Accepting that a failure of a validation in itself proves nothing
  6. Continuing examination of the results of experiments even when flaws are found
It's a simple question.
Note you only need to respond to this last question to be on topic.
You didn't answer the question and you didn't stay on topic, but continued to attack me rather than address the issue. That certainly is not proper skeptical behavior as I understand it, no matter how typical it is for you.
I will only say one thing further in this post - If the form of skepticism and associated method of knowledge acquisition you are advocating ...
Why don't you either actually read what I have already said and respond to that, or if that is not sufficient, then wait and see what I am actually advocating before you start making false prophesies.
Do I need to highlight it for you? Again?
I don't want my children to be brain damaged. So in a very practical sense I do need to be able to decide if such a proposition is realistic and worthy of credence or not. If you tell me that your form of skepticism necessitates me just ignoring possible brain damage to my children then obviously it isn't something I can ever adopt in practise.
Amazing. You can't help yourself from shouting this from your garden, can you.
If you want to reply to Message 92 in your own words ...
I will get to that when you stop wasting my time -- and your thread -- by making false statements about me, stop attacking me personally rather than the argument and deal with the issue.
Start by answering just this simple question and nothing else:
Do you AGREE or DISAGREE with this characterization of skepticism?
  1. Acceptance of doubt when neither assertion nor denial has been established
  2. No burden of substantiation to take an unconvinced position
  3. Agreement that the corpus of established knowledge must be based on what is validated, but recognizing its incompleteness
  4. Even-handedness in requirement for validations, whatever their implication
  5. Accepting that a failure of a validation in itself proves nothing
  6. Continuing examination of the results of experiments even when flaws are found
You can also show good faith by editing Message 92 to take out all references to me or my beliefs and only address the issues of the topic via direct quotes. It should be good practice for you to consider as a way of making future posts: deal with the issues not the people. You just need to ask yourself if you want this thread to be about skepticism or about your delusional\perverted views of my beliefs.
Enjoy.
Edited by RAZD, : ...

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 103 by Straggler, posted 02-24-2013 12:35 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 107 by Straggler, posted 02-25-2013 4:41 AM RAZD has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 107 of 271 (691743)
02-25-2013 4:41 AM
Reply to: Message 106 by RAZD
02-24-2013 2:09 PM


Re: Gosh Straggler -- still with your pants down.
I am not going to risk brain damage to my children just to stubbornly insist on being right on an internet debate forum.
If your form of skepticism results in the conclusion that brain damage caused by the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants is a realistic possibility then, for the sake of my children's brains, I beseech you to tell me this and explain how you have arrived at that position. I can assure you that you will never have a more attentive student. My children's brains are at stake here.
If however your form of skepticism results in the conclusion that the proposition in question is not a realistic possibility then I don't see that we are disagreeing over anything but terminology.
RAZD writes:
Do you AGREE with this characterization of skepticism? It's a simple question.
It's convuluted and I certainly wouldn't word it like that but broadly speaking I wouldn't object to this stance being taken to a question such as "Does the beef lasagne in my freezer contain horse meat?" Given recent events it's a perfectly well founded possibility that the lasagne in my freezer contains horse meat but I just don't have enough information to know whether it actually does or not. I genuinely don't know. I am agnostic. (And on that agnostic basis if I wanted to avoid eating horse I would not eat that lasagne in case it does contain horse meat)
But is this a valid stance to take with regard to a proposition for which (to quote Russel from the OP) "there is no ground whatever for supposing it true"?
Should a justifiably skeptical approach result in different conclusions when considering grounded and ungrounded propositions?
Does your form of skepticism require that brain damage caused by the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants be considered a realistic possibility? I need to know. My children's brains are at stake here and that is no laughing matter.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 106 by RAZD, posted 02-24-2013 2:09 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 112 by RAZD, posted 02-25-2013 4:20 PM Straggler has replied

  
kofh2u
Member (Idle past 3842 days)
Posts: 1162
From: phila., PA
Joined: 04-05-2004


Message 108 of 271 (691765)
02-25-2013 10:39 AM


...the thing about skeptism...
The one defining thing about skeptism is the fence that one is standing on, having neither fallen off to the one side of an issue or the other.
It is the definition of open mindedness but unqualified as to the extent one demands more evidence, in some particular case or another.
NOTHING can be proven to you or I, unless we have already agreed upon some particular discipline in advance, like Mathematics, Geometry, Empiricism, etc,...
We each reserve the right to be unconvinced and insist that nothing at all has been proven to us, personally.
This makes us all skeptics to some extent, measurable by the weight of the evidence it takes to convince us otherwise.
Then, there are the fundamentalists, like the Athesits and the Creationists, for example, who from the start are bias, and intend to so remain.

  
kofh2u
Member (Idle past 3842 days)
Posts: 1162
From: phila., PA
Joined: 04-05-2004


Message 109 of 271 (691768)
02-25-2013 10:48 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Straggler
02-15-2013 1:54 PM


... Fundamentalist are rhose who refuse to acknowledge evidence...
"I wish to propose for the reader’s favourable consideration a doctrine which may, I fear, appear wildly paradoxical and subversive. The doctrine in question is this: that it is undesirable to believe a proposition when there is no ground whatever for supposing it true". - Bertrand Russell, Introduction to Sceptical Essays
Is this an accurate reflection of scepticism? Is it the approach taken by science? Is it paradoxical and subversive?
If we apply the above where does that leave claims of the mystical and superntural?
The missing postulate to this claim is that the supposed "sceptic" must already have agreed to some particular discipline of general knowledge, wherein whatever will be brought forth as "evidence" has already been established therein.
I can not use mathematics to convince a person of certain Facts if that person can not count.
I can not indisputably argue that two triangles are congruent unless one has already reasoned with me in elementary Euclidean Geometry.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Straggler, posted 02-15-2013 1:54 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 110 by Straggler, posted 02-25-2013 11:28 AM kofh2u has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 110 of 271 (691771)
02-25-2013 11:28 AM
Reply to: Message 109 by kofh2u
02-25-2013 10:48 AM


Re: ... Fundamentalist are rhose who refuse to acknowledge evidence...
So all knowledge is axiomatic as far as you are concerned?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 109 by kofh2u, posted 02-25-2013 10:48 AM kofh2u has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 117 by kofh2u, posted 02-27-2013 2:16 PM Straggler has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 434 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 111 of 271 (691778)
02-25-2013 11:55 AM
Reply to: Message 105 by kofh2u
02-24-2013 1:25 PM


Re: Too far already? Yep
kofh2u writes:
Truth is that which corresponds, directly and one-to-one with what actually Exists.
Skepticism is the practice of determining whether or not a claim does correspond directly and one-on-one to what actually exists. Without skepticism, there's no way to know if something is "true".

This message is a reply to:
 Message 105 by kofh2u, posted 02-24-2013 1:25 PM kofh2u has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 118 by kofh2u, posted 02-27-2013 2:23 PM ringo has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1427 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 112 of 271 (691848)
02-25-2013 4:20 PM
Reply to: Message 107 by Straggler
02-25-2013 4:41 AM


so back to the topic
I am not going to risk brain damage to my children just to stubbornly insist on being right on an internet debate forum.
If your form of skepticism results in the conclusion that brain damage caused by the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants is a realistic possibility then, for the sake of my children's brains, I beseech you to tell me this and explain how you have arrived at that position. I can assure you that you will never have a more attentive student. My children's brains are at stake here.
Does your form of skepticism require that brain damage caused by the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants be considered a realistic possibility? I need to know. My children's brains are at stake here and that is no laughing matter.
Still with the word games ... kind of like asking if 2+2=5 in an alternate universe ... pointless mental masturbation imho.
So there is no given way to assess whether there really is a risk or not, with the information you have provided - until some actual brain damage is manifested. One could look at brain damaged children in the area and then try to devise some kind of test (time in and proximity to your garden?) but I skeptically doubt that any kind of valid test could be devised given your parameters that would lead to informed results.
Thus I am not convinced that there is a risk at this time.
It's convuluted and I certainly wouldn't word it like that but broadly speaking I wouldn't object to this stance being taken to a question such as "Does the beef lasagne in my freezer contain horse meat?" Given recent events it's a perfectly well founded possibility that the lasagne in my freezer contains horse meat but I just don't have enough information to know whether it actually does or not. I genuinely don't know. I am agnostic. (And on that agnostic basis if I wanted to avoid eating horse I would not eat that lasagne in case it does contain horse meat)
Well, I wouldn't adopt it dogmatically, but it seems a fairly evenhanded approach to skepticism.
Curiously, I've had horse meat and thought it had nice flavor, so I would not be bothered by this issue myself. Different people have different feelings, however, so I can understand how some may be squeamish about horse, dog or cat meat. Thus I don't see any need to make a decision on this issue -- either way the lasagna should provide a good meal (and possibly less likely to give you Creutzfeldt—Jakob disease -- a reason that I don't eat beef anymore. This is not a very likely risk of brain damage, but one I just don't want to take, given that there are other options).
But is this a valid stance to take with regard to a proposition for which (to quote Russel from the OP) "there is no ground whatever for supposing it true"?
Such as whether 2+2=5?
Should a justifiably skeptical approach result in different conclusions when considering grounded and ungrounded propositions?
What do you mean by grounded?
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : )

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Straggler, posted 02-25-2013 4:41 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 113 by Straggler, posted 02-25-2013 4:56 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 113 of 271 (691849)
02-25-2013 4:56 PM
Reply to: Message 112 by RAZD
02-25-2013 4:20 PM


Re: so back to the topic
Compared to the potential for long term brain damage to my children neither horse meat nor scoring points in an internet debate forum concern me.
Is brain damage caused by the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants a realistic possibility? Does your approach allow me to come to a rational conclusion regarding this matter?
RAZ writes:
So there is no given way to assess whether there really is a risk or not, with the information you have provided - until some actual brain damage is manifested.
Obviously I don't want to wait to see if my children have been brain damaged before taking preventative action.
So what would you advise that I do in order to avoid this? Should I evacuate them to their grandmothers flat where there is no garden in which ethereal elephants will congregate?
RAZ writes:
Still with the word games ... kind of like asking if 2+2=5 in an alternate universe ... pointless mental masturbation imho.
Dude if you don't want to partake in mutual mental masturbation why are you even participating in a thread whose entire purpose is to consider propositions for which (to quote Russel from the OP) "there is no ground whatever for supposing true"?
RAZ writes:
What do you mean by grounded?
We should certainly get back to this once we have decided what to do about my potentially-being-brain-damaged kids.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 112 by RAZD, posted 02-25-2013 4:20 PM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1427 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 114 of 271 (691864)
02-25-2013 8:58 PM
Reply to: Message 92 by Straggler
02-23-2013 9:24 AM


not convinced
Unless you have changed your position such that you now consider ethereal elephants to be a realistic possibility I maintain that there is no real difference between us in terms of the level of credence given to this particular proposition.
Message 112: So there is no given way to assess whether there really is a risk or not, with the information you have provided - until some actual brain damage is manifested. One could look at brain damaged children in the area and then try to devise some kind of test (time in and proximity to your garden?) but I skeptically doubt that any kind of valid test could be devised given your parameters that would lead to informed results.
Thus I am not convinced that there is a risk at this time.
And I remain unconvinced that there is a determinable risk at this time. If brain damage begins to be manifest, however, then this would change the equation and I would be open-minded towards revisiting the issue.
Unless you have changed your position such that you now treat your favoured ideas as skeptically as you treat ethereal elephants it is indisputable that your approach is inconsistent.
I am not convinced that my personal beliefs\opinions (political, spiritual, etc) are absolutely true (and I've told you this before), nor am I convinced that they present any risk to myself or others.
I am not convinced that democratic socialism is absolutely better than corporate fascism, though I like to think so, ... but what do you measure to determine "better" -- subjective happiness?
I am not convinced that removing assault type guns from American hands will eliminate school massacres, but I like to think it will reduce mass death numbers, and I personally don't see a down side to doing it.
I am not convinced that aliens have visited this planet, though I like to think so. I am perfectly willing to let people spend time and money researching this issue if they want to, and I will be happy to read their results.
I am not convinced that sasquatch exists, though I like to think so. I am perfectly willing to let people spend time and money researching this issue if they want to, and I will be happy to read their results.
( ... Could sasquatch sightings actually be of aliens in "gilly" suits? I don't know ... but it amuses me to think so ... )
This is the area of opinions, rather than conjectures that can be verified at this time.
This is the area where world views are more dominated by opinions\biases\beliefs than by conclusions based on evidence ... which gets back to the issue of what is reality.
Do you have a sports team that you "favor" over other sports teams? Music group? Artist? Why?
I can assure you that I have never physically uttered those words in my garden or indeed anywhere else.
LOL. This is your metaphysical garden, posts in this and other threads in this and other forums; its where you plant seeds of debate that grow into good arguments or die.
But if I have put forward that specific scenario here once or twice it is only because I find the notion of ethereal elephants subjectively appealing. I would quite like it if such things did exist (minus the brain damage thing). I could have talked about immaterial iguanas, spectral squirrels, incorporeal antelopes, your favoured idea, the ideas favoured by various established religions or indeed any other such unknowable entities. In each case the same approach would be taken to reach the same conclusion.
You should read The Unicorn in the Garden by James Thurber -- I think you would enjoy it.
When I use the term agnostic I use it to describe a state of being unable to decide whether a possibility which has grounds as realistic is actually true or not. So - For example - I am agnostic as to whether I have ever eaten horse when I thought I was eating beef. Given recent events it's a perfectly well founded possibility. But I just don't have enough information to know whether I actually have eaten horse in beef products or not. I genuinely don't know.
Now if I was genuinely agnostic about a cause of brain damage to my children, if I honestly didn't know whether they were being brain damaged or not, I would take preventative action just in case. The reason I haven't taken any action with regard to brain-damaging-ethereal-elephants is because I am not agnostic towards this proposition beyond the trivial agnosticism of lacking philosophical certainty. I don't believe that brain damage from ethereal elephants is a realistic possibility and I would describe this stance as atheistic.
I think your over-exuberant use of the term "agnostic", applying it both to things you really do believe in and things you really don't (e.g. ethereal elephants), is the result of you trying to mask the inconsistency of your approach to favoured and non-favoured ideas.
And yet I really do not have sufficient information to enable me to decide (your definition), and I remain unconvinced (my definition) as a result.
Nor do I feel that a decision is necessary (original version):
question
                    |
        is there sufficient valid
     information available to decide
       |                        |
      yes                       no
       |                        |
   decide based               is a
   on empirical             decision
  valid evidence            necessary?
      (A)                  /         \
                         yes          no ... but ...
                         /            |             |
                      decide         why          make a
                     based on       decide       decision
                    inadequate      at this       anyway
                     evidence        time?       based on
                     = guess        = wait      = opinion
                       (B)            (C)          (D)
Now if you really feel that a decision is necessary, then you end up at (B) and make a guess based on your worldview opinions\biases\etc rather than on verifiable objective evidence.
For example, from Message 112 again:
Curiously, I've had horse meat and thought it had nice flavor, so I would not be bothered by this issue myself. Different people have different feelings, however, so I can understand how some may be squeamish about horse, dog or cat meat. Thus I don't see any need to make a decision on this issue -- either way the lasagna should provide a good meal (and possibly less likely to give you Creutzfeldt—Jakob disease -- a reason that I don't eat beef anymore. This is not a very likely risk of brain damage, but one I just don't want to take, given that there are other options).
So I go to (B) and make a decision\guess based on my worldview opinions\biases\etc rather than on verifiable objective evidence, and decide not to eat any more beef.
If I said I was ignostic about brain-damage-inducing-ethereal-elephants I would be lying. Because I have considered the possibility and decided that there is no realistic danger of brain damage occurring.
So you could say that you went to (B) rather than (D) ... that you felt you needed to make a decision, and then decided there was no realistic risk due to your personal world view. But it's still a guess rather than an evidence based decision, yes?
I haven't laid out any precepts and I have yet to even mention objective empirical evidence in this thread.
Ah, you are posting quotes that are not your argument, I understand.
Oh but wait, you give your beliefs a free ride here because you aren't skeptical of your position.
Actually I have said that a skeptical approach should itself be subject to skeptical analysis. Message 51
Message 51: Certainly skeptics should question the validity of such an approach....
Ultimately I think you'll find that skepticism becomes part of pragmatism.
It is justified on the basis that a questioning and lacking-belief approach demonstrably yields practical results and makes relentless adherence to pointless superstition unnecessary.
Someone who was entirely unskeptical or genuinely agnostic with regard to every conceivable un-evidenced scenario (there might be brain damage inducing ethereal elephants congregating in my garden or there might not, I have no way of deciding either way) would spend their entire existence in a sort of Pascals wager state of avoidance of the terrible consequences of non-belief (going to hell, having brain damaged children etc. etc.)
Pragmatically speaking skepticism is necessary.
Straggler the pragmatical skeptic.
But that's not you being skeptical of your position, it is you saying that we should all question our approach and then patting yourself on the back for being "pragmatic" and "lacking-belief" and then claiming that it results your preferred position ... LOL. That's a "free ride" post if I ever saw one.
One problem with your use of "unable" for "genuinely agnostic" is that it has connotations of someone all in a dither, even when they have evidence rather than just someone who has insufficient information.
Someone who is "unconvinced" on the other hand is not so handicapped. Setting the question aside and waiting for more information to become available before deciding is not any sort of Pascal's wager, but a rather pragmatic approach to situations where there is insufficient information and no real need to rush to a decision.
Who knows what went through Eric's head (before his spine did). But Eric didn't consider himself a man of faith. He thought his conclusions to be subjectively evidenced knowledge garnered from a valid epistemology. Tragically this didn't work out too well for poor Eric.
And, curiously, his failure does not show any other world view to be "true" or "valid" -- just that his was invalidated, yes?"
You seem to have no problem telling those who age the Earth in thousands rather than billions of years that they are incontrovertibly wrong elsewhere.
Why so coy now?
Not really true, though is it, this claim of yours? Do you really need me to go over this again with you?
quote:
Age Correlations and An Old Earth, Version 2 No 1: The challenge for the creationist is not just to describe how a single method can be wrong, but how they can all be wrong at the same time and yet produce identical results - when the errors in different systems should produce different random results.
Message 2: Minimum age of the earth > 8,000 years based on this data.
Message 3: Minimum age of the earth > 10,434 years based on this data.
Message 4: Minimum age of the earth > 12,405 years based on this data.
Message 5: Minimum age of the earth = 35,987 years based on this data..
Message 6: Minimum age of the earth > 40,000 years based on this data.
Message 7: Minimum age of the earth > 250,000 years based on this NEW data.
Message 8: Minimum age of the earth > 900,000 years based on this data. ...
This is not me saying how old the earth "really" is (getting back to what is "reality" and how do we know ...), but that this is what the objective empirical information - aka data - shows, and that the task is for the creationists to show how correlation between these systems occurs with such seeming accuracy.
Remember this discussion of the word "know"?
We know that the world is over 4 billion years old.
Indeed, we know with certainty that the evidence, test methods and information we currently have show the earth to be over 4 billion years old.
We do NOT know with certainty how much older it actually is.
We know we can be wrong sometimes, even about things which we have high confidence in. Therefore we could be wrong about the age of the world.
We are likely to be wrong about how much older than 4 billion years it is, based on the evidence, test methods and information we currently have, and the fact that new information can change this.
We almost know how old the earth is (according to the evidence, test methods and information that we currently have).
Remember this confidence scale?
The RAZD\Straggler Concept Scale (rev 1 proposed changes)
  1. No Confidence Concepts
    1. No evidence, or the evidence is inconclusive, conjecture involved, hypothetical arguments,
    2. No logical conclusions possible, but opinion possible
  2. Low Confidence Concepts
    1. Unconfirmed or subjective supporting evidence, opinion also involved, untested and possibly untestable, but no known objective empirical evidence pro or con, nothing shows the concept per se to be valid or invalid
    2. Conclusions regarding possibilities for further investigation, and opinions can be based on this level of evidence,
  3. Medium Confidence Concepts
    1. Based on some objective empirical evidence, but may also have contradictory or anomalous (unreconciled) evidence, known to be testable or testable in theory, a scientific hypothesis where testing is incomplete, or that has not (yet) provided any new predicted evidence or information, or that is still in development,
    2. Conclusions regarding possible reality can be made tentatively, methods to test and falsify such concepts can be developed to measure the possibility of their being true\false.
  4. High Confidence Concepts
    1. Validated and confirmed objective supporting evidence, empirically tested, and no known contradictory evidence
    2. Conclusions regarding probable reality can be made, repeated attempts to falsify such concepts can lead to high confidence in their being true.
  5. Extreme Confidence Concepts
    1. Well established as a scientific law or scientific fact, or concepts proven to be true.
    2. It is considered or widely accepted to be a fact.
This table shows how we can have different levels of positive confidence in concepts. We are also able to have equally negative confidence regarding inverse or alternative concepts that are contradicted by the same information and evidence.
... and I still want to know if you AGREE or do you DISAGREE that these changes are improvements ... perhaps in the next thread ...
Want to continue collaborating on that scale?
Note that your hypothetical word games are "0. No Confidence Concepts" ... yes?
Would the age of the earth be a "III. High Confidence Concept" ?
The fact that society has agreed something is irrelevant. Eric could have been a deeply charismatic man who managed to persuade the entire world that he was as special as he knew himself to be. But reality's assessment of Eric's epistemology and the validity of his conclusions remains all the same.
And yet consilience is about agreement.
So how do we tell which world view/s are more consilient with reality? What is reality and how do we know?
Question: Why do scientists concern themselves with evidence, why don't they use revelation?
Probably because, with their world views, they think it provides information about realty ... which gets us back to this question again.
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : ...

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 92 by Straggler, posted 02-23-2013 9:24 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 115 by Straggler, posted 02-26-2013 4:42 AM RAZD has replied
 Message 116 by Straggler, posted 02-26-2013 6:52 AM RAZD has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 115 of 271 (691883)
02-26-2013 4:42 AM
Reply to: Message 114 by RAZD
02-25-2013 8:58 PM


Re: not convinced
Compared to the potential for long term brain damage to my children neither epistemological musings nor scoring points in an internet debate forum concern me. The question of whether practical action needs to be taken to avoid my children becoming brain damaged needs to be resolved before we can move on.
RAZ writes:
And I remain unconvinced that there is a determinable risk at this time.
I am not interested in how personally convinced you are that there is any determinable risk.
I have only two criteria that you need concern yourself with:
[1] I want to safeguard my children from suffering brain damage.
[2] I want to act in a manner that is rational.
Thus I am in effect asking you what positions and actions qualify as rational if we apply your open-minded approach to the proposition in question.
RAZ writes:
No evidence, or the evidence is inconclusive, conjecture involved, hypothetical arguments. No logical conclusions possible, but opinion possible.
On your own scale this is where brain damage caused by ethereal elephants would come. Yes?
  • Opinion 1: Brain damage due to the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants congregating in the garden is a realistic proposition and action should be taken to avoid damage to my children's brains (i.e. I should evacuate my children to a gardenless place)
  • Opinion 2: Brain damage due to the inaudible trumpeting of ethereal elephants congregating in the garden is not a realistic proposition and there is no need to take any practical action to avoid it.
    Does your open-minded approach allow us to distinguish between opinion 1 and opinion 2 in terms of either one being any more or less rational than the other?
    Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.
    Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.
    Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

  • This message is a reply to:
     Message 114 by RAZD, posted 02-25-2013 8:58 PM RAZD has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 159 by RAZD, posted 04-14-2013 6:55 PM Straggler has replied

      
    Straggler
    Member
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 116 of 271 (691884)
    02-26-2013 6:52 AM
    Reply to: Message 114 by RAZD
    02-25-2013 8:58 PM


    Confidence Scale
    Once we have established what the rational course of action is with regard to safeguarding my children from brain damage we can ponder the following:
    The RAZD Concept Scale
    1. No Confidence Concepts
      1. No evidence, or the evidence is inconclusive, conjecture involved, hypothetical arguments,
      2. No logical conclusions possible, but opinion possible
    2. Low Confidence Concepts
      1. Unconfirmed or subjective supporting evidence, opinion also involved, untested and possibly untestable, but no known objective empirical evidence pro or con, nothing shows the concept per se to be valid or invalid
      2. Conclusions regarding possibilities for further investigation, and opinions can be based on this level of evidence,
    3. Medium Confidence Concepts
      1. Based on some objective empirical evidence, but may also have contradictory or anomalous (unreconciled) evidence, known to be testable or testable in theory, a scientific hypothesis where testing is incomplete, or that has not (yet) provided any new predicted evidence or information, or that is still in development,
      2. Conclusions regarding possible reality can be made tentatively, methods to test and falsify such concepts can be developed to measure the possibility of their being true\false.
    4. High Confidence Concepts
      1. Validated and confirmed objective supporting evidence, empirically tested, and no known contradictory evidence
      2. Conclusions regarding probable reality can be made, repeated attempts to falsify such concepts can lead to high confidence in their being true.
    5. Extreme Confidence Concepts
      1. Well established as a scientific law or scientific fact, or concepts proven to be true.
      2. It is considered or widely accepted to be a fact.
    Where, on this scale, can we place ourselves with regard to the confidence we have in the validity of the scale itself?

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 114 by RAZD, posted 02-25-2013 8:58 PM RAZD has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 160 by RAZD, posted 04-14-2013 7:03 PM Straggler has replied

      
    kofh2u
    Member (Idle past 3842 days)
    Posts: 1162
    From: phila., PA
    Joined: 04-05-2004


    Message 117 of 271 (692051)
    02-27-2013 2:16 PM
    Reply to: Message 110 by Straggler
    02-25-2013 11:28 AM


    Re: ... Fundamentalist are those who refuse to acknowledge evidence...
    So all knowledge is axiomatic as far as you are concerned?
    The knowledge is not axiomatic, but the field of the inquiry that presents a fact as knowledge is always axiomatic.
    All knowledge is contingent upon the axiom(s) inherent in the particular discipline wherein there is evidence to support that knowledge.
    For instance, the evidence of an Algebraic solution depends upon the Twelve Field POSTULATES.
    The eight basic axioms of Geometry must be agreed to as, assumed they are true, before the Proof of a geometric fact (knowledge) can be established.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 110 by Straggler, posted 02-25-2013 11:28 AM Straggler has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 119 by Straggler, posted 02-27-2013 4:17 PM kofh2u has replied
     Message 122 by Eli, posted 02-27-2013 7:20 PM kofh2u has not replied

      
    kofh2u
    Member (Idle past 3842 days)
    Posts: 1162
    From: phila., PA
    Joined: 04-05-2004


    Message 118 of 271 (692054)
    02-27-2013 2:23 PM
    Reply to: Message 111 by ringo
    02-25-2013 11:55 AM


    Absolute Truth is an oxymoron...
    kofh2u writes:
    Truth is that which corresponds, directly and one-to-one with what actually Exists.
    ringer:
    Skepticism is the practice of determining whether or not a claim does correspond directly and one-on-one to what actually exists. Without skepticism, there's no way to know if something is "true".
    Whether one knows what is true or not is irrelevent to the existence of Truth.
    Truth exists in the absence of man, himself.
    Truth is the Ideal which corresponds to what is real and actually exists.
    Truth is the son of the ever unfolding next Frame of Reality that sires that truth is its wake.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 111 by ringo, posted 02-25-2013 11:55 AM ringo has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 123 by ringo, posted 02-28-2013 11:12 AM kofh2u has replied

      
    Straggler
    Member
    Posts: 10333
    From: London England
    Joined: 09-30-2006


    Message 119 of 271 (692069)
    02-27-2013 4:17 PM
    Reply to: Message 117 by kofh2u
    02-27-2013 2:16 PM


    Re: ... Fundamentalist are those who refuse to acknowledge evidence...
    Kof writes:
    The knowledge is not axiomatic, but the field of the inquiry that presents a fact as knowledge is always axiomatic.
    So all methods of knowledge acquisition are axiomatic as far as you are concerned?
    Kof writes:
    All knowledge is contingent upon the axiom(s) inherent in the particular discipline wherein there is evidence to support that knowledge.
    How does one select one's axioms? Are all axioms equal or are some more equal than others?
    Kof writes:
    For instance, the evidence of an Algebraic solution depends upon the Twelve Field POSTULATES.
    I don't think anyone is arguing that mathematics is anything but axiomatic.
    Kof writes:
    The eight basic axioms of Geometry must be agreed to as, assumed they are true, before the Proof of a geometric fact (knowledge) can be established.
    Are there any limits on what we can assume as our axioms?
    If two different sets of axioms result in two mutually exclusive conclusions regarding reality how do you decide which conclusion best reflects reality?
    Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 117 by kofh2u, posted 02-27-2013 2:16 PM kofh2u has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 120 by Phat, posted 02-27-2013 5:03 PM Straggler has replied
     Message 126 by kofh2u, posted 02-28-2013 8:24 PM Straggler has replied

      
    Phat
    Member
    Posts: 18310
    From: Denver,Colorado USA
    Joined: 12-30-2003
    Member Rating: 1.1


    Message 120 of 271 (692080)
    02-27-2013 5:03 PM
    Reply to: Message 119 by Straggler
    02-27-2013 4:17 PM


    Re: ... Fundamentalist are those who refuse to acknowledge evidence...
    Straggler writes:
    how do you decide which conclusion is best reflects reality?
    Perhaps you don't. Perhaps determination of reality is not ultimately our decision.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 119 by Straggler, posted 02-27-2013 4:17 PM Straggler has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 121 by Straggler, posted 02-27-2013 5:05 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied

      
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