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Author Topic:   Two types of science
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 6 of 184 (715800)
01-09-2014 10:57 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by marc9000
01-05-2014 4:04 PM


tree rings and the age of the earth
Hi marc9000,
Let me focus on one aspect of your topic while I let others take care of the rest.
... The purpose of this thread is to show that some science, such as ... age of the earth speculation, ... have a much smaller "body of techniques" available to study them, than do current day applications of science, such as medical study, or any present day workings with present day materials.
When working in present day time and activity, all 5 human senses can be used to do all the empirical testing, measuring, and falsifying required by the scientific method to come to conclusions that can overcome personal beliefs and worldviews.
I will start with three trees growing in the Sierra Nevada, White mountains in California, all Bristlecone Pines:
http://www.rmtrr.org/oldlist.htm
quote:
Notes on dates:
* tree is still living as of 2012; age given is additional years since it was first sampled when this is known.
** tree is dead; age is at time of death.
Tree speciesage typeIDLocationCollector(s), Dater(s), Reference
Pinus longaeva5062*XD-White Mountains, California, USAEd Schulman, Tom Harlan
Pinus longaeva4845*XD"Methuselah"White Mountains, California, USAEd Schulman, Tom Harlan
Pinus longaeva4844** XDWPN-114,"Prometheus"Wheeler Peak, Nevada, USACurrey 1965

Can you tell me what process of scientific information gathering cannot be used to count the rings in these three trees, to measure the thicknesses of the rings in these trees, to determine the patterns of ring thickness as a function of ring count, and to compare these patterns for each of the three trees?
Can you tell me what process of scientific information gathering cannot be used to determine that these are annual rings and thus conclude that the earth has been in existence at least as long as these trees have been alive, undisturbed by any cataclysmic event?
I conclude that the earth is at least 5,064 years old this year based on this objective empirical evidence.
Message 3: ... . If you won't promote it that's fine, but it may indicate that what Boulder-dash opened this thread with could have some merit. ...
If you don't reply, that's fine, but it may indicate that you have no answer to this set of questions.
I await your reply.


Edited by RAZD, : splg
Edited by RAZD, : .

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by marc9000, posted 01-05-2014 4:04 PM marc9000 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 14 by marc9000, posted 01-09-2014 7:51 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 9 of 184 (715808)
01-09-2014 11:23 AM
Reply to: Message 7 by NoNukes
01-09-2014 11:09 AM


SN1987A
Perhaps I'll bother taking on the other half of your object, namely the use of indirect evidence to study the past, but I'm sure someone else will do just as well with it as I.
And you can start with determining the distance to SN1987A.
How Good Are Those Young Earth Arguments?: Supernova SN1987A and the Speed of Light

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 35 of 184 (715930)
01-10-2014 8:33 AM
Reply to: Message 14 by marc9000
01-09-2014 7:51 PM


Re: tree rings and the age of the earth
... Make them as detailed or concise as you like (I prefer concise myself) and I'll apply some other sources of knowledge to them, and we'll see how it all goes. ...
I'll try to keep it concise.
Can you tell me what process of scientific information gathering cannot be used to count the rings in these three trees, to measure the thicknesses of the rings in these trees, to determine the patterns of ring thickness as a function of ring count, and to compare these patterns for each of the three trees?
Can you tell me what process of scientific information gathering cannot be used to determine that these are annual rings and thus conclude that the earth has been in existence at least as long as these trees have been alive, undisturbed by any cataclysmic event?
I don't think the 5,064 figure conflicts with the book of Genesis, or any western worldview for that matter, so in this case you,ve demonstrated actual science.
Not sure how a book or a worldview should be a test for scientific information gathering, but ok -- onward:
So doing this pattern matching we find that each of the three living trees have the same pattern of ring width vs ring count. But that's not all:
There are also dead Bristlecone pines, some still standing that have over 7000 tree rings, still preserved by the high and dry climate at the top of these mountains. We don't know from just looking at them when they died: it could be 50 years ago (minimum - they were found in 1960) or 100 years ago ...
So is there any problem with applying the same process of scientific information gathering to count the rings in these additional standing dead trees, to measure the thicknesses of the rings in these trees, to determine the patterns of ring thickness as a function of ring count, and then to compare these patterns for each of the three trees ... any by this process determine when these standing dead trees died by matching their patterns with the three living trees ... ?
... let's say for the sake of argument that the tree ring pattern for a 7,000 ring dead standing tree matches rings from the living trees at the 60th tree ring and also for each ring back to the the earliest ring of the 5,064 (2014) year old living tree ... so the tree ring count would then reach back 7,060 years into the past.
So is there any problem with applying the same process of scientific information gathering to determine that these are also annual rings in the standing dead trees and thus conclude that the earth has been in existence at least as long as these trees have been standing, undisturbed by any cataclysmic event ... back to 5,037 BCE at least?
Again, based on this objective empirical evidence, I conclude that the earth is at least 7,060 years old this year (2014) .
If you don't reply, that's fine, but it may indicate that you have no answer to this set of questions.
Again I await your reply.

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This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 39 by herebedragons, posted 01-10-2014 11:16 AM RAZD has replied
 Message 70 by marc9000, posted 01-11-2014 9:01 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 36 of 184 (715933)
01-10-2014 9:22 AM
Reply to: Message 31 by Son Goku
01-10-2014 3:56 AM


What is detected and what is measured.
Anyway, cosmological theories have been tested with Neutrino and meson detectors, not just telescopes.
What our eyes and our instruments detect are particles emitted by the stars in the same way those particles are emitted by the sun.
The Hubble Telescope detects light with photon sensors and can "see" frequencies that the human eye cannot detect.
Heat can also be detected by humans and heat detectors, and they can detect the heat of the sunlight hitting the earth.
These instruments have the advantage of being able to quantify the intensity of heat\light particles, record those intensities and allow us to compare them with different stars or galaxies.
These particles are objective empirical evidence that we observe directly. Their direction gives an idea of the location for the source. And these measurements and angular references are repeatable and testable.
Thus we can collect and record the photons that come from SN1987A, and we can measure the angle between the star core and the ring, and we can measure the time delay between light bursts from the star nova event directly, and from the ring when 'lit up' by the bursts and then traveling to earth. This information gives us all the information needed to determine the distance to this star.
Edited by RAZD, : clrty

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 41 of 184 (715965)
01-10-2014 12:51 PM
Reply to: Message 39 by herebedragons
01-10-2014 11:16 AM


Re: tree rings and the age of the earth
Well, the typical response is that 7,000 is a lot less than billions and billions.
Yet billions of years is not necessary to show that 10,000 years is invalid.
And this evidence shows that no cataclysmic event disturbed the growth of those trees during that time. No flood reached that location in this time.
What puzzles me is that most YECs allow for an age of up to 10,000 years. But if the Biblical chronology is infallible and it suggests an age of 6,000, then an actual age of even 7,000 would mean the chronology is in error. But maybe it allows for an error of +/- 67% (which would be the error if the actual age was 10,000 years).
It would seem that the output is different for different people using the same input, so their model is of questionable value.
And when you get OECs using the same basic model but getting vastly different results it would seem that the model has no predictive value.

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 52 of 184 (716031)
01-11-2014 7:08 PM
Reply to: Message 48 by marc9000
01-11-2014 6:54 PM


Re: Same stuff, different day
Just curious marc9000
Here is a link about a recent conflict going on in Kansas, that seems to be somewhat typical of other states from recent times.
That seems to be a Christian group attacking school education programs, rather than some atheist agenda\conspiracy attacking Christians.
Message 51: ... Christians in the U.S. who question science don't want their own religious rituals established in science, they want to get the atheism out.
Ah, so it would be okay to use the buddhist approach: all is illusion.
Edited by RAZD, : ..
Edited by RAZD, : ...

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 75 of 184 (716062)
01-11-2014 9:36 PM
Reply to: Message 58 by Dr Adequate
01-11-2014 7:32 PM


Re: Other sources of knowledge
Without purpose and a plan, anything complex had to have come together by pure randomness.
Don't be silly.
The plan of living organisms is to survive ... they expend a lot of resources to follow that plan.
The purpose of living organisms is to reproduce as often as possible ... this too is pursued with the expenditure of a lot of resources.

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 77 of 184 (716064)
01-11-2014 10:05 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by marc9000
01-11-2014 9:01 PM


Dendrochronology and the age of the earth
7060 years? Not a problem, you’re two for two. But you've only made a progression of 2000 years, it will take you.....let’s see.....2 1/4 million more messages to get to 4.5 billion years at that rate? Is that right? Sorry, I plan on summarizing before you have time for that. Could you step up the process a little bit?
Just establishing the groundwork. Glad you agree that matching tree rings from the dead standing trees to the tree rings from the living trees produces valid, testable, reproducible chronologies.
And this evidence shows that no cataclysmic event disturbed the growth of those trees during that time. No flood reached that location in this time.
How could the tree rings tell you if those trees (alive or dead) were simply surrounded by water for a period of 40 days?
Easy: there is also a lot of dead wood lying on the ground. This wood would have floated away if there had been a flood.
The pieces of dead lying on the ground wood can also be measured, and the pattern of ring thickness with ring count determined as was done for the living trees and the dead standing trees.
So is there any problem with applying the same process of scientific information gathering to count the rings in these pieces of dead lying on the ground wood, to measure the thicknesses of the rings in these wood pieces, to determine the patterns of ring thickness as a function of ring count, and then to compare these patterns for each of the three living trees and the dead standing trees ... and by this process determine when these dead lying on the ground pieces fit into the chronology by matching their patterns with the three living trees and the dead standing trees ... ?
When we do this, the pieces fit into a chronology that overlaps the rings from the living trees and the dead standing trees and other pieces of dead lying on the ground wood with plenty of overlap and plenty of corroboration from other pieces also matching for the same ring count... so the tree ring count would then reach back to 6,700 BCE, or 8,714 years into the past (2014)..
So is there any problem with applying the same process of scientific information gathering to determine that these are also annual rings in the pieces of dead lying on the ground wood and thus conclude that the earth has been in existence at least as long as these trees and pieces of dead lying on the ground wood have been there, undisturbed by any cataclysmic event ... back to 6,700 BCE at least?
The name for this field of science is dendrochronology. It is testable, reproducible and falsifiable.
Again, based on this objective empirical evidence, I conclude that the earth is at least 8,714 years old this year (2014) .
If you don't reply, that's fine, but it may indicate that you have no answer to this set of questions.
Again I await your reply.
(I'm not as interested in replying to the rest, so I'm stopping here for conciseness)

we are limited in our ability to understand
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 102 of 184 (716296)
01-14-2014 2:10 PM
Reply to: Message 101 by AZPaul3
01-14-2014 1:45 PM


Re: Data Inputs
Can you show us any knowledge of value ever given to human society by one of your other sources of knowledge? ...
The beneficial effect of religious intolerance on world peace would be a good start ...
... oh wait.

we are limited in our ability to understand
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 104 of 184 (716302)
01-14-2014 3:00 PM
Reply to: Message 103 by AZPaul3
01-14-2014 2:16 PM


Re: The Army of the Unknowns
As for Nukes on the other hand ... If you get blind with rage let me know. Apparently I've been there recently and I have an app for that.
Connecting to AppStore
quote:
Description
The best way to get anger under control and to stop hurting loved ones is to carry your anger management program with you. The iPhone Anger App from Personal Power Path.com is with you at all times, especially when you need it the most.

we are limited in our ability to understand
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 107 of 184 (716337)
01-14-2014 8:35 PM
Reply to: Message 106 by ramoss
01-14-2014 7:54 PM


Re: Data Inputs
I find that the Kruger-Dunning effect tends to be strong in the people who claim to have Busted someone.
Oh snap! You are so busted as an intellectual elitist snob, ramoss
Amazing how well this describes politics in general, the GOP on Bengazi, the budget and 'Bama, and the Tea Party on anything (and I certainly hope they are 'on' something ... ..)

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 123 of 184 (716359)
01-15-2014 7:15 AM
Reply to: Message 108 by marc9000
01-14-2014 9:11 PM


Re: falsification
Sorry, must comment:
... Evolutionists demand proof that NO Darwinian pathway could have formed it, requiring an impossible, infinite search. ID is actually more falsifiable than evolution.
No, marc9000 -- that is what ID claims is true, they set themselves up. All anybody need do is ask for substantiation of that claim. Science is founded on evidence.
Sure it does. If it could be shown that complex, orderly biological systems like the bacterial flagellum could have been formed by ONE CERTAIN gradual Darwinian process, then ID would be falsified ...
Which has been done.
Edited by RAZD, : .

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(1)
Message 124 of 184 (716360)
01-15-2014 7:18 AM
Reply to: Message 110 by AZPaul3
01-14-2014 9:22 PM


Re: The Army of the Unknowns
Its like a poe.

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 145 of 184 (716546)
01-18-2014 9:08 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by marc9000
01-11-2014 9:01 PM


Re: tree rings and the age of the earth
From your lack of response to Message 77 I am going to assume that your response is similar to your previous responses:
7060 years? Not a problem, you’re two for two. But you've only made a progression of 2000 years, ...
And we are now at a point where the earth is at least 8,714 years old this year (2014), another small step in the overall process .
The next step is to look at other dendrochronologies, now that we have established the valid scientific basis for this process of scientific information gathering and determination from the evidence available.
For instance there is an oak dendrochronology from Ireland that extends back to 7980 BCE, or 9930 BP (before 1950), slightly longer than the Bristlecone Pine chronology.
And there is a second oak dendrochronology from Germany that extends back to 10,429 BP (before 1950) or 8489 BCE.
Again, a modest increase in the overall age for the earth to accommodate such growth and history documented in the tree rings.
Note that at 8489 BCE we are 10,502 years into the past (there is no year zero) from 2014 CE.
How could the tree rings tell you if those trees (alive or dead) were simply surrounded by water for a period of 40 days?
Again, we see a continuous record from dead and living samples of wood, from three different locations on the earth. The period of submersion would have been much longer than just the 40 days and nights, as there were some 150 days after the end of the rain ceased before the purported flood dissipated to the point where the purported ark found land.
Trees don't live underwater for long.
Repeatable and testable, but are they falsifiable at those great distances?
Repeatable, testable and falsifiable. It is science after all.
Again, based on this objective empirical evidence, I conclude that the earth is at least 10,502 years old this year (2014) .
If you don't reply, that's fine, but it may indicate that you have no answer to this set of questions - or that you concur with them.
Again I await your reply.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 158 of 184 (716669)
01-20-2014 8:17 AM
Reply to: Message 150 by marc9000
01-19-2014 7:51 PM


Re: tree rings, the age of the earth, and a sad lack of curiosity
You went from standing trees to "dead wood lying on the ground". I've seen dead wood on the ground completely disintegrate in only a few years. I'm not interested in scientific guesses about it thousands of years later.
Curiously the environment there is very dry and it is so high that there are few organisms. Comparing that to swampy areas is a mistake. Deserts have been known to preserve mummies, and this is little different. How do you suppose fossils of old wood develop?
The fact that patterns match is all that matters, it is the same process that was used on the standing dead trees. Wouldn't you expect that trees older than the dead standing trees would have fallen over?
Not really, the following from message 77 caused me to lose interest;
Ah, grabbing an excuse to avoid dealing with the information. Typical creo move. Let me repeat:
Repeatable and testable, but are they falsifiable at those great distances?
Repeatable, testable and falsifiable. It is science after all.
Again, based on this objective empirical evidence, I conclude that the earth is at least 10,502 years old this year (2014)
Why does it seem that a lot of creos get hung up at this age level?
Repeatable, testable and falsifiable means that it is not just assumption or "scientific guesses" marc9000, it is data collection, facts tabulated into a coherent form. Something you can do, a child can do, a computer can do. Computers can't guess.
If it were guesswork then testing that should show errors from bad guesses correct?
Wouldn't that testing and identification of numerous errors show that the system is flawed?
Repeatable, testable and falsifiable. It is science after all.
Again, based on this objective empirical evidence, I conclude that the earth is at least 10,502 years old this year (2014)
And this is still only the beginning. Running away won't change the age of the earth.
And as I've said before, if you don't reply, that's fine, but it may just indicate that you have no answer to this set of questions, something that is also implicit in your response
Not really, the following from message 77 caused me to lose interest;
Because that is the kind of thing people say when they have no response but don't want to admit it (even to themselves).
You aren't even curious about the testing and falsification ... that's kind of a sad lack of curiosity imho.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
Rebel American Zen Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
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