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EvC Forum Side Orders Coffee House Gun Control Again

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Author Topic:   Gun Control Again
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3481 of 5179 (759785)
06-15-2015 8:11 AM
Reply to: Message 3480 by Percy
06-15-2015 7:48 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
The above misses the mark of being analogous to the statement about gun risks by quite a bit. These two statements are both accurate and analogous:
  • Assuming that guns are purchased for protection, then when a gun is purchased it is more likely to injure or kill its owner and/or its owner's family and friends than be used for protection, its intended purpose.
  • Assuming that cars are purchased for transportation, then when a car is purchased it is more likely to be used for its entire lifetime for transportation, its intended purpose, than it is to injure or kill someone.
But that's not what I said, Percy. What I said (at least in the part you quoted) is that you are more likely to die in a car accident when going to pick up supper than you are to die from skipping supper that night.
Yet we all go to pick up supper.
And some of us actually do end up dying in a car accident on our way to do so.
My point is that we don't live our lives according to the golden rules of statistical probabilities. Sometimes we weigh in the probabilities, but other timesmany other timeswe simply ignore them.
So citing statistics of how likely someone is to shoot off their own foot with a gun vs. defend themselves is no more effective at deterring gun ownership than citing statistics that someone is more likely to die in a car accident picking up supper is effective at deterring people from eating supper.
Bottom line: there is more involved in the decision to own a gun than just the probabilities of XYZ.
It's worth mentioning again that over 50,000 people used to die in vehicle related accidents every year in the US, but now despite a greater population and many, many more miles driven per person, less than 30,000 people die every year. This is primarily due to improved vehicle safety features, primarily in automobiles. Guns could be made safer, too.
Absolutely. And people could be trained to use them more safely too, as they are with automobiles.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3480 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 7:48 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3483 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 8:25 AM Jon has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22502
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 3482 of 5179 (759786)
06-15-2015 8:22 AM
Reply to: Message 3476 by mikechell
06-14-2015 11:03 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
mikechell writes:
"But it turns out that a car in the family is more likely to hurt and kill the people who belong in the car than it is to hurt and kill criminals."
A car's intended purpose is not to hurt or kill criminals, nor anyone else. In other words, a car's purpose is not personal protection. Please see my Message 3480.
Cars, or rather, the people who drive cars while drunk, eating, texting and talking on a phone, are more likely to kill you than a responsible gun owner.
How are you defining the term "responsible gun owner"? Responsible gun owners would want strong guns laws that keep guns out of the hands of irresponsible gun owners, they'd want safer guns, and they'd want effective answers to the problem of how one keeps a gun available for protection while making misuse and theft very unlikely. How many "responsible gun owners" are there exactly?
Based on the discussion here I'd guess the answer is "a very tiny percentage of gun owners," so given the lack of responsible gun owners I'd have to agree with your statement that it is more likely for people to be killed by a motor vehicle driven by an irresponsible operator than by a gun wielded by a "responsible gun owner."
Also based on the discussion here it seems that to a gun nut the definition of a responsible gun owner is "me!" And the definition of an irresponsible gun owner is anyone who makes the news injuring or killing someone or ones.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Grammar.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3476 by mikechell, posted 06-14-2015 11:03 PM mikechell has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3485 by mikechell, posted 06-15-2015 9:15 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22502
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


(1)
Message 3483 of 5179 (759787)
06-15-2015 8:25 AM
Reply to: Message 3481 by Jon
06-15-2015 8:11 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Hi Jon,
I'm not sure why you think you have an effective argument there. You can decide to ignore the statistics, but the statistics clearly say that owning a gun increases your risk of being a gun victim.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3481 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 8:11 AM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3484 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 8:40 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3484 of 5179 (759789)
06-15-2015 8:40 AM
Reply to: Message 3483 by Percy
06-15-2015 8:25 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
I'm not sure why you think you have an effective argument there. You can decide to ignore the statistics, but the statistics clearly say that owning a gun increases your risk of being a gun victim.
What argument?
I am simply pointing out that real people don't live their lives by the strict standards of statistical probabilities.
The statistics that owning a gun is more likely to get you shot than protect you have as little bearing on some folks' decisions to own guns as the statistics that you're more likely to die in a car accident than starve to death skipping one meal have on the decision to go get supper, i.e., none.
Folks bringing statistics into the debate need to be honest about the relevancy of the statistics and their overall weight in the decision-making process of regular human beings.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3483 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 8:25 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3488 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 11:10 AM Jon has replied

mikechell
Inactive Member


Message 3485 of 5179 (759793)
06-15-2015 9:15 AM
Reply to: Message 3482 by Percy
06-15-2015 8:22 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Responsible gun owners would want strong guns laws that keep guns out of the hands of irresponsible gun owners, they'd want safer guns, and they'd want effective answers to the problem of how one keeps a gun available for protection while making misuse and theft very unlikely.
And you are correct. The problem lies in, "how far" do we let the government go, in deciding gun laws? There are those who think the government is all-knowing and will only do things that are "good" for the people. But they proven, again and again, that they would rather over-regulate than under-regulate. They put riders on every bill that gets passed. They can't leave a simple law alone, and before you know it ... they are taking your liberties ... not protecting them.
Case in point ... any cigarette smokers here? How many live in cities that don't allow smoking, even in outdoor public spaces? How much do you pay for your smokes ... because they decided to make you pay more taxes to light up?
We don't argue against BETTER regulations ... we argue against run-away regulating.

evidence over faith ... observation over theory

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3482 by Percy, posted 06-15-2015 8:22 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3493 by ringo, posted 06-15-2015 12:04 PM mikechell has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(5)
Message 3486 of 5179 (759794)
06-15-2015 9:18 AM
Reply to: Message 3449 by mikechell
06-14-2015 1:07 PM


Re: Okay ... off the debate horse and onto reality.
Curiously I find the juxtaposition of your comments re the Jade Helm 15 military exercise government takeover conspiracy (you forgot the tunnels under the Walmarts btw) and your comments on Open-minded Skepticism rather amusing:
Message 22: Really ... be a skeptic, as long as there is no concrete proof of the subject. In the face of absolute proof, skepticism = "Mary, Mary, quite contrary!"
Message 25: I thought being skeptical of ideas or theories IS being open minded. If you take everything at face value, THEN you don't investigate options.
Message 30: Facts are concrete ... what you believe does not change the facts. Circumstantial evidence might be interpreted incorrectly ... factual evidence cannot, no matter what you believe.
Facts and evidence of facts should change how one believes, if previous beliefs were proven wrong.
Now I do note that you have changed position - somewhat - on Jade Helm 15, but your initial take on was not skeptical - apparently you only looked deeper when the reality of the conspiracy controversy was questioned.
First off ... my apologies.
I did let myself be fooled by someone else's "research." Once I started looking into the "Walmart" part of the story for myself ... I found there was no actual pictures of military equipment in the stores. A guy, probably sleeping in the cab, with a few Humvees on the back of a flatbed, is no proof of anything.
I am still not sure what the government agencies and military are doing with Jade-Helm 15. In my 12 years as a Marine, I NEVER trained anywhere but inside the boundaries of military bases.
So, I've never been one to credit conspiracy theories and I am sorry for temporarily giving this one credence.
Let me introduce you to one of my pet concepts: the worldview cognitive dissonance bubble -- everyone has a worldview (made up of what they know and what they believe) and new information that conforms to that worldview is readily accepted into their bubble, while information that runs contrary to it is not easily accepted (if not rejected outright), Like a bubble-boy that is protected from pathogens by living in a large plastic bubble. See Cognitive Dissonance and Cultural Beliefs.
The cognitive dissonance arises when evidence contradicts beliefs. One way to "resolve" the dissonance is to reject the evidence, another much harder way is to change your belief/s.
Considering the number of entitlement programs ... and the constant drive to over-tax the very people who pay the most taxes already ... I will only trust the government when it starts reducing it's workforce and stops spending more than it takes in. Right now ... there is PLENTY to rail against in big government.
Where to start ...
The tax incentives (read give-aways) to large corporations, like oil companies, exceeds the total money spent on social programs, education and scientific research. The tax refunds to rich people in loop-holes and bush give-aways also exceeds the total money spent on social programs, education and scientific research.
The money spent on the military budget in the US exceeds that of the next 10 largest countries combined -- including Russia and China.
The people that pay the most taxes are the middle class workers. They pay for the tax cuts for the rich, they pay for the war debts, they pay for the food stamps that allow people working at poverty level jobs (like Walmart) to live (ie -- we subsidize Walmart, and all the other companies that don't pay a living wage while they pad their corporate profit pockets)
The biggest expansion of government has been under republican presidents. Clinton and Gore reduced the government workforce and left a surplus. Bush gave it away and then started two unfinanced wars that quickly put the government back in debt.
Now I'm fairly sure that you have seen things like this:
What's your take?
So, I've never been one to credit conspiracy theories and I am sorry for temporarily giving this one credence.
And yet I wonder what else you have accepted as valid information, especially regarding the availability of guns without license or background checks. The whole "they're coming to take away your guns" is a conspiracy theory. Registering guns is not a database collected as a "prelude" to coming for your guns. Background check are also not part of a scheme to take guns from legal citizens. Personally I think that the last registered owner of a gun used in a crime should be held accountable, bear some responsibility for the crime (aiding and abetting?) and I think you should be required to carry "wrongful or accidental death and injury" insurance similar to what you need to own a car.
The republican "fear" campaign is a conspiracy theory. When republicans use guns in their campaign speeches it is part of their "fear" campaign, not reality.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 3449 by mikechell, posted 06-14-2015 1:07 PM mikechell has not replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1433 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


(3)
Message 3487 of 5179 (759796)
06-15-2015 9:55 AM
Reply to: Message 3450 by mikechell
06-14-2015 1:12 PM


Re: Okay ... off the debate horse and onto reality.
... . I look at a government that is constantly spending money like it makes a profit on something. It doesn't. It's only "income" is taxes. ...
Correct. The ones that are making a profit from government are the ones that spend a few billion to buy politicians to get trillions in return -- your tax dollars going to rich people and corporations, either by tax cuts, tax loopholes (often now written by the corps) and the like or by going to poor working people to subsidize their sub-poverty wages while the corporations record record profits.
Forced charity ... it doesn't work, it's never worked and it won't work in our future.
Ummm, wrong. Several nations with strong socialist programs actually show that it works. There are also scientific studies that show providing a minimum living base improves life for all -- even the rich. And we also have the examples of places that have instigated a $15/hr minimum wage and are now showing an improved economy from the bottom up.
Compare Wisconsin and Minnesota. Objective empirical data: republican Gov Scott Walker and democrat Gov Mark Dayton, each elected about the same time. Scott went whole hog with the republican pogram of cutting taxes, cutting benefits, cutting schools, busting unions etc etc etc -- and has made record inroads into state debt. Mark went whole hog with the democrat pogram of minimum wage, increased benefits, school funding etc and raising taxes on the rich, and has a surplus now when he inherited debt.
Don't take my word for it:
http://www.minnpost.com/...h governor has the better economy
In the economic game, Minnesota is pulling away from Wisconsin
Minnesota or Wisconsin: Which economy is doing better?
So I would say that the data shows that if you do the opposite of whatever the republicans propose you will do better.
... So it keeps demanding more money for programs it can't afford to pay for.
Typical republican talking point used to get gullible people to let them strangle social programs while they feed their corporate hogs. The problem is not so much what the programs are but what your priorities are and how do you pay for them.
I don't trust any of the crooks in Washington, D.C. at this time ... they're all corrupt. That is reality ... not paranoia.
Then don't vote for them. Get involved in primaries and get vocal.
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmerican☆Zen☯Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3450 by mikechell, posted 06-14-2015 1:12 PM mikechell has not replied

Dr Adequate
Member (Idle past 312 days)
Posts: 16113
Joined: 07-20-2006


Message 3488 of 5179 (759802)
06-15-2015 11:10 AM
Reply to: Message 3484 by Jon
06-15-2015 8:40 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
I am simply pointing out that real people don't live their lives by the strict standards of statistical probabilities. [...] Folks bringing statistics into the debate need to be honest about the relevancy of the statistics and their overall weight in the decision-making process of regular human beings.
Most "real people" also ignore endogenous retroviruses when making their minds up about creationism and evolution, but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3484 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 8:40 AM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3489 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 11:45 AM Dr Adequate has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 3489 of 5179 (759805)
06-15-2015 11:45 AM
Reply to: Message 3488 by Dr Adequate
06-15-2015 11:10 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums.
Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas.

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3488 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 11:10 AM Dr Adequate has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3492 by Dr Adequate, posted 06-15-2015 11:58 AM Jon has seen this message but not replied

ringo
Member (Idle past 440 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 3490 of 5179 (759807)
06-15-2015 11:50 AM
Reply to: Message 3455 by Jon
06-14-2015 2:38 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Jon writes:
The bartender's responsibility is the same as the responsibility of someone who tries to enforce a contract signed by someone clearly intoxicated...
Correct.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3455 by Jon, posted 06-14-2015 2:38 PM Jon has seen this message but not replied

ringo
Member (Idle past 440 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 3491 of 5179 (759808)
06-15-2015 11:53 AM
Reply to: Message 3458 by Jon
06-14-2015 4:01 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Jon writes:
Nobody who buys a gun for protection thinks it will end up killing their own child.
Exactly. Nobody who fires a shotgun out the window thinks he'll hit anybody. When people don't think about the consequences of their actions, society needs to protect itself from their stupidity.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3458 by Jon, posted 06-14-2015 4:01 PM Jon has not replied

Dr Adequate
Member (Idle past 312 days)
Posts: 16113
Joined: 07-20-2006


Message 3492 of 5179 (759811)
06-15-2015 11:58 AM
Reply to: Message 3489 by Jon
06-15-2015 11:45 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas.
Then what is your point? You are presented with a set of facts. You reply that most people ignore the facts. Did you simply intend this as a non sequitur?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3489 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 11:45 AM Jon has seen this message but not replied

ringo
Member (Idle past 440 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 3493 of 5179 (759812)
06-15-2015 12:04 PM
Reply to: Message 3485 by mikechell
06-15-2015 9:15 AM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
mikechell writes:
But they proven, again and again, that they would rather over-regulate than under-regulate.
In the US, guns are clearly under-regulated.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3485 by mikechell, posted 06-15-2015 9:15 AM mikechell has not replied

NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 3494 of 5179 (759815)
06-15-2015 12:14 PM
Reply to: Message 3469 by Jon
06-14-2015 10:22 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
If we all based everything we did on statistical probabilities, we'd sit at home all day doing nothing.
This is of course nonsense. Based on your analysis, we might well spend the day playing Russian roulette.
Of course the gains and risks are important.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3469 by Jon, posted 06-14-2015 10:22 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3496 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 12:49 PM NoNukes has not replied

NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 3495 of 5179 (759816)
06-15-2015 12:22 PM
Reply to: Message 3476 by mikechell
06-14-2015 11:03 PM


Re: Another one bites the dust.
But it turns out that a car in the family is more likely to hurt and kill the people who belong in the car than it is to hurt and kill criminals.".
Seriously. I thought Jon was the naive poster boy on EvC. Aren't you actually defending guns as useful for defense? If so it would seem to be a problem if they actually hurt the people they were defending more often than they served as a defense.
Everybody with a gun thinks they are a responsible gun owner. Nearly every time a toddler gets killed or shoots someone, the local sheriff is waxing away about how responsible the parents are.
Overall, guns kill more innocent people in the home than they do criminals in the home. Statistically it is pretty clear that we'd be better served with fewer of them in homes.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3476 by mikechell, posted 06-14-2015 11:03 PM mikechell has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 3497 by Jon, posted 06-15-2015 12:52 PM NoNukes has not replied

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