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Author | Topic: Gun Control Again | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jon Inactive Member |
The above misses the mark of being analogous to the statement about gun risks by quite a bit. These two statements are both accurate and analogous:
But that's not what I said, Percy. What I said (at least in the part you quoted) is that you are more likely to die in a car accident when going to pick up supper than you are to die from skipping supper that night. Yet we all go to pick up supper. And some of us actually do end up dying in a car accident on our way to do so. My point is that we don't live our lives according to the golden rules of statistical probabilities. Sometimes we weigh in the probabilities, but other timesmany other timeswe simply ignore them. So citing statistics of how likely someone is to shoot off their own foot with a gun vs. defend themselves is no more effective at deterring gun ownership than citing statistics that someone is more likely to die in a car accident picking up supper is effective at deterring people from eating supper. Bottom line: there is more involved in the decision to own a gun than just the probabilities of XYZ.
It's worth mentioning again that over 50,000 people used to die in vehicle related accidents every year in the US, but now despite a greater population and many, many more miles driven per person, less than 30,000 people die every year. This is primarily due to improved vehicle safety features, primarily in automobiles. Guns could be made safer, too. Absolutely. And people could be trained to use them more safely too, as they are with automobiles.Love your enemies!
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Percy Member Posts: 22502 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
mikechell writes: "But it turns out that a car in the family is more likely to hurt and kill the people who belong in the car than it is to hurt and kill criminals." A car's intended purpose is not to hurt or kill criminals, nor anyone else. In other words, a car's purpose is not personal protection. Please see my Message 3480.
Cars, or rather, the people who drive cars while drunk, eating, texting and talking on a phone, are more likely to kill you than a responsible gun owner. How are you defining the term "responsible gun owner"? Responsible gun owners would want strong guns laws that keep guns out of the hands of irresponsible gun owners, they'd want safer guns, and they'd want effective answers to the problem of how one keeps a gun available for protection while making misuse and theft very unlikely. How many "responsible gun owners" are there exactly? Based on the discussion here I'd guess the answer is "a very tiny percentage of gun owners," so given the lack of responsible gun owners I'd have to agree with your statement that it is more likely for people to be killed by a motor vehicle driven by an irresponsible operator than by a gun wielded by a "responsible gun owner." Also based on the discussion here it seems that to a gun nut the definition of a responsible gun owner is "me!" And the definition of an irresponsible gun owner is anyone who makes the news injuring or killing someone or ones. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Grammar.
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Percy Member Posts: 22502 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.9
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Hi Jon,
I'm not sure why you think you have an effective argument there. You can decide to ignore the statistics, but the statistics clearly say that owning a gun increases your risk of being a gun victim. --Percy
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Jon Inactive Member |
I'm not sure why you think you have an effective argument there. You can decide to ignore the statistics, but the statistics clearly say that owning a gun increases your risk of being a gun victim. What argument? I am simply pointing out that real people don't live their lives by the strict standards of statistical probabilities. The statistics that owning a gun is more likely to get you shot than protect you have as little bearing on some folks' decisions to own guns as the statistics that you're more likely to die in a car accident than starve to death skipping one meal have on the decision to go get supper, i.e., none. Folks bringing statistics into the debate need to be honest about the relevancy of the statistics and their overall weight in the decision-making process of regular human beings.Love your enemies!
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mikechell Inactive Member |
Responsible gun owners would want strong guns laws that keep guns out of the hands of irresponsible gun owners, they'd want safer guns, and they'd want effective answers to the problem of how one keeps a gun available for protection while making misuse and theft very unlikely. And you are correct. The problem lies in, "how far" do we let the government go, in deciding gun laws? There are those who think the government is all-knowing and will only do things that are "good" for the people. But they proven, again and again, that they would rather over-regulate than under-regulate. They put riders on every bill that gets passed. They can't leave a simple law alone, and before you know it ... they are taking your liberties ... not protecting them. Case in point ... any cigarette smokers here? How many live in cities that don't allow smoking, even in outdoor public spaces? How much do you pay for your smokes ... because they decided to make you pay more taxes to light up? We don't argue against BETTER regulations ... we argue against run-away regulating.evidence over faith ... observation over theory
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1433 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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Curiously I find the juxtaposition of your comments re the Jade Helm 15 military exercise government takeover conspiracy (you forgot the tunnels under the Walmarts btw) and your comments on Open-minded Skepticism rather amusing:
Message 22: Really ... be a skeptic, as long as there is no concrete proof of the subject. In the face of absolute proof, skepticism = "Mary, Mary, quite contrary!"
Message 25: I thought being skeptical of ideas or theories IS being open minded. If you take everything at face value, THEN you don't investigate options.
Message 30: Facts are concrete ... what you believe does not change the facts. Circumstantial evidence might be interpreted incorrectly ... factual evidence cannot, no matter what you believe.Facts and evidence of facts should change how one believes, if previous beliefs were proven wrong. Now I do note that you have changed position - somewhat - on Jade Helm 15, but your initial take on was not skeptical - apparently you only looked deeper when the reality of the conspiracy controversy was questioned.
First off ... my apologies. I did let myself be fooled by someone else's "research." Once I started looking into the "Walmart" part of the story for myself ... I found there was no actual pictures of military equipment in the stores. A guy, probably sleeping in the cab, with a few Humvees on the back of a flatbed, is no proof of anything. I am still not sure what the government agencies and military are doing with Jade-Helm 15. In my 12 years as a Marine, I NEVER trained anywhere but inside the boundaries of military bases. So, I've never been one to credit conspiracy theories and I am sorry for temporarily giving this one credence. Let me introduce you to one of my pet concepts: the worldview cognitive dissonance bubble -- everyone has a worldview (made up of what they know and what they believe) and new information that conforms to that worldview is readily accepted into their bubble, while information that runs contrary to it is not easily accepted (if not rejected outright), Like a bubble-boy that is protected from pathogens by living in a large plastic bubble. See Cognitive Dissonance and Cultural Beliefs.
The cognitive dissonance arises when evidence contradicts beliefs. One way to "resolve" the dissonance is to reject the evidence, another much harder way is to change your belief/s.
Considering the number of entitlement programs ... and the constant drive to over-tax the very people who pay the most taxes already ... I will only trust the government when it starts reducing it's workforce and stops spending more than it takes in. Right now ... there is PLENTY to rail against in big government. Where to start ... The tax incentives (read give-aways) to large corporations, like oil companies, exceeds the total money spent on social programs, education and scientific research. The tax refunds to rich people in loop-holes and bush give-aways also exceeds the total money spent on social programs, education and scientific research. The money spent on the military budget in the US exceeds that of the next 10 largest countries combined -- including Russia and China. The people that pay the most taxes are the middle class workers. They pay for the tax cuts for the rich, they pay for the war debts, they pay for the food stamps that allow people working at poverty level jobs (like Walmart) to live (ie -- we subsidize Walmart, and all the other companies that don't pay a living wage while they pad their corporate profit pockets) The biggest expansion of government has been under republican presidents. Clinton and Gore reduced the government workforce and left a surplus. Bush gave it away and then started two unfinanced wars that quickly put the government back in debt. Now I'm fairly sure that you have seen things like this:
What's your take?
So, I've never been one to credit conspiracy theories and I am sorry for temporarily giving this one credence. And yet I wonder what else you have accepted as valid information, especially regarding the availability of guns without license or background checks. The whole "they're coming to take away your guns" is a conspiracy theory. Registering guns is not a database collected as a "prelude" to coming for your guns. Background check are also not part of a scheme to take guns from legal citizens. Personally I think that the last registered owner of a gun used in a crime should be held accountable, bear some responsibility for the crime (aiding and abetting?) and I think you should be required to carry "wrongful or accidental death and injury" insurance similar to what you need to own a car. The republican "fear" campaign is a conspiracy theory. When republicans use guns in their campaign speeches it is part of their "fear" campaign, not reality. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1433 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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... . I look at a government that is constantly spending money like it makes a profit on something. It doesn't. It's only "income" is taxes. ... Correct. The ones that are making a profit from government are the ones that spend a few billion to buy politicians to get trillions in return -- your tax dollars going to rich people and corporations, either by tax cuts, tax loopholes (often now written by the corps) and the like or by going to poor working people to subsidize their sub-poverty wages while the corporations record record profits.
Forced charity ... it doesn't work, it's never worked and it won't work in our future. Ummm, wrong. Several nations with strong socialist programs actually show that it works. There are also scientific studies that show providing a minimum living base improves life for all -- even the rich. And we also have the examples of places that have instigated a $15/hr minimum wage and are now showing an improved economy from the bottom up. Compare Wisconsin and Minnesota. Objective empirical data: republican Gov Scott Walker and democrat Gov Mark Dayton, each elected about the same time. Scott went whole hog with the republican pogram of cutting taxes, cutting benefits, cutting schools, busting unions etc etc etc -- and has made record inroads into state debt. Mark went whole hog with the democrat pogram of minimum wage, increased benefits, school funding etc and raising taxes on the rich, and has a surplus now when he inherited debt. Don't take my word for it:
http://www.minnpost.com/...h governor has the better economy In the economic game, Minnesota is pulling away from Wisconsin Minnesota or Wisconsin: Which economy is doing better? So I would say that the data shows that if you do the opposite of whatever the republicans propose you will do better.
... So it keeps demanding more money for programs it can't afford to pay for. Typical republican talking point used to get gullible people to let them strangle social programs while they feed their corporate hogs. The problem is not so much what the programs are but what your priorities are and how do you pay for them.
I don't trust any of the crooks in Washington, D.C. at this time ... they're all corrupt. That is reality ... not paranoia. Then don't vote for them. Get involved in primaries and get vocal. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 312 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
I am simply pointing out that real people don't live their lives by the strict standards of statistical probabilities. [...] Folks bringing statistics into the debate need to be honest about the relevancy of the statistics and their overall weight in the decision-making process of regular human beings. Most "real people" also ignore endogenous retroviruses when making their minds up about creationism and evolution, but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums.
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Jon Inactive Member |
but that doesn't mean that they ought to be ignored and that it would be illegitimate to bring them into an argument on these forums. Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas.Love your enemies!
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ringo Member (Idle past 440 days) Posts: 20940 From: frozen wasteland Joined: |
Jon writes:
Correct.
The bartender's responsibility is the same as the responsibility of someone who tries to enforce a contract signed by someone clearly intoxicated...
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ringo Member (Idle past 440 days) Posts: 20940 From: frozen wasteland Joined: |
Jon writes:
Exactly. Nobody who fires a shotgun out the window thinks he'll hit anybody. When people don't think about the consequences of their actions, society needs to protect itself from their stupidity.
Nobody who buys a gun for protection thinks it will end up killing their own child.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 312 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Good thing I'm not advancing any such nonsensical ideas. Then what is your point? You are presented with a set of facts. You reply that most people ignore the facts. Did you simply intend this as a non sequitur?
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ringo Member (Idle past 440 days) Posts: 20940 From: frozen wasteland Joined:
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mikechell writes:
In the US, guns are clearly under-regulated.
But they proven, again and again, that they would rather over-regulate than under-regulate.
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NoNukes Inactive Member |
If we all based everything we did on statistical probabilities, we'd sit at home all day doing nothing. This is of course nonsense. Based on your analysis, we might well spend the day playing Russian roulette. Of course the gains and risks are important. Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846) History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams
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NoNukes Inactive Member |
But it turns out that a car in the family is more likely to hurt and kill the people who belong in the car than it is to hurt and kill criminals.". Seriously. I thought Jon was the naive poster boy on EvC. Aren't you actually defending guns as useful for defense? If so it would seem to be a problem if they actually hurt the people they were defending more often than they served as a defense. Everybody with a gun thinks they are a responsible gun owner. Nearly every time a toddler gets killed or shoots someone, the local sheriff is waxing away about how responsible the parents are. Overall, guns kill more innocent people in the home than they do criminals in the home. Statistically it is pretty clear that we'd be better served with fewer of them in homes. Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846) History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams
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